Sources of uncertainty in satellite-derived chlorophyll-a concentration—An Adriatic Sea case study

This paper analyses a time series of chlorophyll-a profiles in the Adriatic from 1997 to 2019, and compares the data with satellite products with the view of analysing and reducing uncertainties in the corresponding satellite products. Three sources of uncertainties in satellite chlorophyll-a concen...
Ausführliche Beschreibung

This paper analyses a time series of chlorophyll-a profiles in the Adriatic from 1997 to 2019, and compares the data with satellite products with the view of analysing and reducing uncertainties in the corresponding satellite products. Three sources of uncertainties in satellite chlorophyll-a concentration are examined: (a) the algorithm itself; (b) the vertical structure of the water column; and (c) the phytoplankton community structure. Global and regional algorithms were examined, along with a local algorithm tuned using the time series data. The global algorithm produced the largest uncertainties when compared with the in situ data, followed by the regional and local algorithms. Correlation coefficient for the local algorithm was 0.690 - a significant increase from regional’s 0.420 and global’s 0.042. Both the global and the regional algorithms exhibited systemic errors that inversely were related to chlorophyll-a concentration, while the local algorithm displayed some reduction in the systematic errors, highlighting the value of local in situ observations, for improving sub-regional and local algorithms for retrieval of chlorophyll-a concentration from satellite ocean colour data. While the mixed layer has not shown any direct correlation with the uncertainties, it may facilitate exceptionally strong vertical gradients in chlorophyll-a profiles after summer blooms that take role as the main source of high differences between satellite observations and surface chlorophyll-a concentration. As such, it is important to supplement satellite measurements with vertical profiles to ensure valid readings and exercise caution when dealing with data post-blooms. These instances occurred in less than 3% of all cases. Differences in the phytoplankton community structures have shown direct correlation to estimation error - Miozoa is associated with low error, Bacillariophyta with high error, while Phytoflagellates abundance tips the error between underestimation and overestimation. Ausführliche Beschreibung