All crises are global : capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy
What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Danzman, Sarah Bauerle - 1983- [verfasserIn] Winecoff, William Kindred [verfasserIn] Oatley, Thomas H. - 1962- [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2017 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923 |
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| Umfang: |
1 Online-Ressource ; Diagramme |
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: International studies quarterly - Oxford : Oxford University Press, 1967, 61(2017), 4 vom: Dez., Seite 907-923 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:61 ; year:2017 ; number:4 ; month:12 ; pages:907-923 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1093/isq/sqx054 |
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| Katalog-ID: |
156739373X |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a All crises are global |b capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy |c Sarah Bauerle Danzman and W. Kindred Winecoff (Indiana University Bloomington) and Thomas Oatley (Tulane University) |
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| 520 | |a What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological lens of the new interdependence approach, which assumes that global factors can be as important as local factors in generating outcomes. We analyze global financial conditions from 1978 to 2009 and argue that contemporary global finance is an oscillating system that generates boom and bust capital flow cycles. The phases of this cycle are a consequence of the scale of US net borrowing on global markets: when the United States is a large net importer of foreign capital, other economies struggle to attract foreign capital and are substantially less likely to develop fragile financial positions; when US net capital imports fall, other economies receive an abundance of foreign capital, and financial fragility becomes more likely. In contrast, we find little evidence that cross-national variation in political institutions or financial systems explains why fragility develops, although some regional interdependencies are evident. We conclude that global conditions drive the probability of crises occurring someplace in the system, while local outcomes appear to be idiosyncratic. | ||
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10.1093/isq/sqx054 doi (DE-627)156739373X (DE-576)497393735 (DE-599)BSZ497393735 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RQ fivr SD03 fivs SH02 fivs Danzman, Sarah Bauerle 1983- verfasserin (DE-588)1203724683 (DE-627)1688748946 (DE-576)497393662 aut All crises are global capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy Sarah Bauerle Danzman and W. Kindred Winecoff (Indiana University Bloomington) and Thomas Oatley (Tulane University) 2017 1 Online-Ressource Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923 What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological lens of the new interdependence approach, which assumes that global factors can be as important as local factors in generating outcomes. We analyze global financial conditions from 1978 to 2009 and argue that contemporary global finance is an oscillating system that generates boom and bust capital flow cycles. The phases of this cycle are a consequence of the scale of US net borrowing on global markets: when the United States is a large net importer of foreign capital, other economies struggle to attract foreign capital and are substantially less likely to develop fragile financial positions; when US net capital imports fall, other economies receive an abundance of foreign capital, and financial fragility becomes more likely. In contrast, we find little evidence that cross-national variation in political institutions or financial systems explains why fragility develops, although some regional interdependencies are evident. We conclude that global conditions drive the probability of crises occurring someplace in the system, while local outcomes appear to be idiosyncratic. 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| spelling |
10.1093/isq/sqx054 doi (DE-627)156739373X (DE-576)497393735 (DE-599)BSZ497393735 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RQ fivr SD03 fivs SH02 fivs Danzman, Sarah Bauerle 1983- verfasserin (DE-588)1203724683 (DE-627)1688748946 (DE-576)497393662 aut All crises are global capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy Sarah Bauerle Danzman and W. Kindred Winecoff (Indiana University Bloomington) and Thomas Oatley (Tulane University) 2017 1 Online-Ressource Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923 What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological lens of the new interdependence approach, which assumes that global factors can be as important as local factors in generating outcomes. We analyze global financial conditions from 1978 to 2009 and argue that contemporary global finance is an oscillating system that generates boom and bust capital flow cycles. The phases of this cycle are a consequence of the scale of US net borrowing on global markets: when the United States is a large net importer of foreign capital, other economies struggle to attract foreign capital and are substantially less likely to develop fragile financial positions; when US net capital imports fall, other economies receive an abundance of foreign capital, and financial fragility becomes more likely. In contrast, we find little evidence that cross-national variation in political institutions or financial systems explains why fragility develops, although some regional interdependencies are evident. We conclude that global conditions drive the probability of crises occurring someplace in the system, while local outcomes appear to be idiosyncratic. (DE-588)4066466-1 (DE-627)106113429 (DE-576)209164727 Wirtschaftskrise gnd (DE-588)4005184-5 (DE-627)104325550 (DE-576)20885973X Bedeutung gnd (DE-588)4130478-0 (DE-627)105702277 (DE-576)20961935X Rolle gnd (DE-588)4066493-4 (DE-627)104117133 (DE-576)209164816 Wirtschaftspolitik gnd (DE-588)4314613-2 (DE-627)126503516 (DE-576)211165573 Binnenwirtschaft gnd (DE-588)4209283-8 (DE-627)104353201 (DE-576)210191112 Einflussgröße gnd (DE-588)4065468-0 (DE-627)10476743X (DE-576)209158816 Weltwirtschaft gnd (DE-588)4114036-9 (DE-627)104288531 (DE-576)209481382 Interdependenz gnd (DE-588)4135023-6 (DE-627)104122803 (DE-576)209657235 Verflechtung gnd (DE-588)4003856-7 (DE-627)106388479 (DE-576)208852980 Außenwirtschaft gnd (DE-588)4116599-8 (DE-627)105805556 (DE-576)209502908 Statistische Analyse gnd (DE-588)4124897-1 (DE-627)104188782 (DE-576)209571985 Fallstudie gnd (DE-588)4162044-6 (DE-627)105465380 (DE-576)209870532 Internationale Kapitalbewegung gnd (DE-588)4003783-6 (DE-627)104704926 (DE-576)208852808 Auslandsschulden gnd (DE-588)1135962553 (DE-627)890988382 (DE-576)490197698 Erde gnd (DE-588)4078704-7 (DE-627)106076612 (DE-576)209209682 USA gnd Winecoff, William Kindred verfasserin (DE-588)1082217875 (DE-627)847202739 (DE-576)455197903 aut Oatley, Thomas H. 1962- verfasserin (DE-588)1011156857 (DE-627)658046659 (DE-576)177402016 aut Enthalten in International studies quarterly Oxford : Oxford University Press, 1967 61(2017), 4 vom: Dez., Seite 907-923 Online-Ressource (DE-627)271349204 (DE-600)1479800-1 (DE-576)078590582 1468-2478 nnns volume:61 year:2017 number:4 month:12 pages:907-923 https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqx054 application/pdf Verlag Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 ISIL_DE-F197 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2043 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2098 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2145 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2158 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2810 GBV_ILN_2933 GBV_ILN_2949 GBV_ILN_2950 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4392 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 (DE-627)1756134707 RQ Weltweit Weltweit fivr (DE-627)1756135568 SD03 Internationaler Leistungs-/Kapitalverkehr Internationale Wirtschaft/Außenwirtschaft Internationaler Leistungs-/Kapitalverkehr fivs (DE-627)1756136122 SH02 Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik Wirtschaft Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik fivs (DE-627)1756239770 (DE-615)6606725 Wirtschaftskrise fivt (DE-627)1756231834 (DE-615)6601088 Bedeutung/Rolle fivt (DE-627)1756204462 (DE-615)6600934 Wirtschaftspolitik fivt (DE-627)1756145156 (DE-615)6602997 Binnenwirtschaftliche Faktoren fivt (DE-627)175621154X (DE-615)6605615 Weltwirtschaft fivt (DE-627)1756181705 (DE-615)6605489 Interdependenz/Verflechtung fivt (DE-627)1756233837 (DE-615)6601006 Außenwirtschaftliche Faktoren fivt (DE-627)1756166986 (DE-615)6603060 Statistische Analyse fivt (DE-627)1756180598 (DE-615)6608724 Global fivt (DE-627)1756145318 (DE-615)6602972 Fallstudie fivt (DE-627)1756165688 (DE-615)6601982 Internationaler Kapitalverkehr fivt (DE-627)1756241724 (DE-615)6600257 Vereinigte Staaten fivt (DE-627)1756183724 (DE-615)6605344 Externe Verschuldung fivt AR 61 2017 4 12 907-923 2470 01 DE-615 2993268554 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 22-01-18 2470 02 DE-F197 3024599789 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l01 03-09-18 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBHSFK |
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10.1093/isq/sqx054 doi (DE-627)156739373X (DE-576)497393735 (DE-599)BSZ497393735 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RQ fivr SD03 fivs SH02 fivs Danzman, Sarah Bauerle 1983- verfasserin (DE-588)1203724683 (DE-627)1688748946 (DE-576)497393662 aut All crises are global capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy Sarah Bauerle Danzman and W. Kindred Winecoff (Indiana University Bloomington) and Thomas Oatley (Tulane University) 2017 1 Online-Ressource Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923 What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological lens of the new interdependence approach, which assumes that global factors can be as important as local factors in generating outcomes. We analyze global financial conditions from 1978 to 2009 and argue that contemporary global finance is an oscillating system that generates boom and bust capital flow cycles. The phases of this cycle are a consequence of the scale of US net borrowing on global markets: when the United States is a large net importer of foreign capital, other economies struggle to attract foreign capital and are substantially less likely to develop fragile financial positions; when US net capital imports fall, other economies receive an abundance of foreign capital, and financial fragility becomes more likely. In contrast, we find little evidence that cross-national variation in political institutions or financial systems explains why fragility develops, although some regional interdependencies are evident. We conclude that global conditions drive the probability of crises occurring someplace in the system, while local outcomes appear to be idiosyncratic. 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10.1093/isq/sqx054 doi (DE-627)156739373X (DE-576)497393735 (DE-599)BSZ497393735 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RQ fivr SD03 fivs SH02 fivs Danzman, Sarah Bauerle 1983- verfasserin (DE-588)1203724683 (DE-627)1688748946 (DE-576)497393662 aut All crises are global capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy Sarah Bauerle Danzman and W. Kindred Winecoff (Indiana University Bloomington) and Thomas Oatley (Tulane University) 2017 1 Online-Ressource Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923 What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological lens of the new interdependence approach, which assumes that global factors can be as important as local factors in generating outcomes. We analyze global financial conditions from 1978 to 2009 and argue that contemporary global finance is an oscillating system that generates boom and bust capital flow cycles. The phases of this cycle are a consequence of the scale of US net borrowing on global markets: when the United States is a large net importer of foreign capital, other economies struggle to attract foreign capital and are substantially less likely to develop fragile financial positions; when US net capital imports fall, other economies receive an abundance of foreign capital, and financial fragility becomes more likely. In contrast, we find little evidence that cross-national variation in political institutions or financial systems explains why fragility develops, although some regional interdependencies are evident. We conclude that global conditions drive the probability of crises occurring someplace in the system, while local outcomes appear to be idiosyncratic. (DE-588)4066466-1 (DE-627)106113429 (DE-576)209164727 Wirtschaftskrise gnd (DE-588)4005184-5 (DE-627)104325550 (DE-576)20885973X Bedeutung gnd (DE-588)4130478-0 (DE-627)105702277 (DE-576)20961935X Rolle gnd (DE-588)4066493-4 (DE-627)104117133 (DE-576)209164816 Wirtschaftspolitik gnd (DE-588)4314613-2 (DE-627)126503516 (DE-576)211165573 Binnenwirtschaft gnd (DE-588)4209283-8 (DE-627)104353201 (DE-576)210191112 Einflussgröße gnd (DE-588)4065468-0 (DE-627)10476743X (DE-576)209158816 Weltwirtschaft gnd (DE-588)4114036-9 (DE-627)104288531 (DE-576)209481382 Interdependenz gnd (DE-588)4135023-6 (DE-627)104122803 (DE-576)209657235 Verflechtung gnd (DE-588)4003856-7 (DE-627)106388479 (DE-576)208852980 Außenwirtschaft gnd (DE-588)4116599-8 (DE-627)105805556 (DE-576)209502908 Statistische Analyse gnd (DE-588)4124897-1 (DE-627)104188782 (DE-576)209571985 Fallstudie gnd (DE-588)4162044-6 (DE-627)105465380 (DE-576)209870532 Internationale Kapitalbewegung gnd (DE-588)4003783-6 (DE-627)104704926 (DE-576)208852808 Auslandsschulden gnd (DE-588)1135962553 (DE-627)890988382 (DE-576)490197698 Erde gnd (DE-588)4078704-7 (DE-627)106076612 (DE-576)209209682 USA gnd Winecoff, William Kindred verfasserin (DE-588)1082217875 (DE-627)847202739 (DE-576)455197903 aut Oatley, Thomas H. 1962- verfasserin (DE-588)1011156857 (DE-627)658046659 (DE-576)177402016 aut Enthalten in International studies quarterly Oxford : Oxford University Press, 1967 61(2017), 4 vom: Dez., Seite 907-923 Online-Ressource (DE-627)271349204 (DE-600)1479800-1 (DE-576)078590582 1468-2478 nnns volume:61 year:2017 number:4 month:12 pages:907-923 https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqx054 application/pdf Verlag Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 ISIL_DE-F197 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2043 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2098 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2145 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2158 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2810 GBV_ILN_2933 GBV_ILN_2949 GBV_ILN_2950 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4392 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 (DE-627)1756134707 RQ Weltweit Weltweit fivr (DE-627)1756135568 SD03 Internationaler Leistungs-/Kapitalverkehr Internationale Wirtschaft/Außenwirtschaft Internationaler Leistungs-/Kapitalverkehr fivs (DE-627)1756136122 SH02 Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik Wirtschaft Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik fivs (DE-627)1756239770 (DE-615)6606725 Wirtschaftskrise fivt (DE-627)1756231834 (DE-615)6601088 Bedeutung/Rolle fivt (DE-627)1756204462 (DE-615)6600934 Wirtschaftspolitik fivt (DE-627)1756145156 (DE-615)6602997 Binnenwirtschaftliche Faktoren fivt (DE-627)175621154X (DE-615)6605615 Weltwirtschaft fivt (DE-627)1756181705 (DE-615)6605489 Interdependenz/Verflechtung fivt (DE-627)1756233837 (DE-615)6601006 Außenwirtschaftliche Faktoren fivt (DE-627)1756166986 (DE-615)6603060 Statistische Analyse fivt (DE-627)1756180598 (DE-615)6608724 Global fivt (DE-627)1756145318 (DE-615)6602972 Fallstudie fivt (DE-627)1756165688 (DE-615)6601982 Internationaler Kapitalverkehr fivt (DE-627)1756241724 (DE-615)6600257 Vereinigte Staaten fivt (DE-627)1756183724 (DE-615)6605344 Externe Verschuldung fivt AR 61 2017 4 12 907-923 2470 01 DE-615 2993268554 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 22-01-18 2470 02 DE-F197 3024599789 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l01 03-09-18 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBHSFK |
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10.1093/isq/sqx054 doi (DE-627)156739373X (DE-576)497393735 (DE-599)BSZ497393735 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RQ fivr SD03 fivs SH02 fivs Danzman, Sarah Bauerle 1983- verfasserin (DE-588)1203724683 (DE-627)1688748946 (DE-576)497393662 aut All crises are global capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy Sarah Bauerle Danzman and W. Kindred Winecoff (Indiana University Bloomington) and Thomas Oatley (Tulane University) 2017 1 Online-Ressource Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923 What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological lens of the new interdependence approach, which assumes that global factors can be as important as local factors in generating outcomes. We analyze global financial conditions from 1978 to 2009 and argue that contemporary global finance is an oscillating system that generates boom and bust capital flow cycles. The phases of this cycle are a consequence of the scale of US net borrowing on global markets: when the United States is a large net importer of foreign capital, other economies struggle to attract foreign capital and are substantially less likely to develop fragile financial positions; when US net capital imports fall, other economies receive an abundance of foreign capital, and financial fragility becomes more likely. In contrast, we find little evidence that cross-national variation in political institutions or financial systems explains why fragility develops, although some regional interdependencies are evident. We conclude that global conditions drive the probability of crises occurring someplace in the system, while local outcomes appear to be idiosyncratic. 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Danzman, Sarah Bauerle 1983- fivr RQ fivs SD03 fivs SH02 gnd Wirtschaftskrise gnd Bedeutung gnd Rolle gnd Wirtschaftspolitik gnd Binnenwirtschaft gnd Einflussgröße gnd Weltwirtschaft gnd Interdependenz gnd Verflechtung gnd Außenwirtschaft gnd Statistische Analyse gnd Fallstudie gnd Internationale Kapitalbewegung gnd Auslandsschulden fivt Wirtschaftskrise fivt Bedeutung/Rolle fivt Wirtschaftspolitik fivt Binnenwirtschaftliche Faktoren fivt Weltwirtschaft fivt Interdependenz/Verflechtung fivt Außenwirtschaftliche Faktoren fivt Statistische Analyse fivt Global fivt Fallstudie fivt Internationaler Kapitalverkehr fivt Vereinigte Staaten fivt Externe Verschuldung 2470 DEIBHSFK All crises are global capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy |
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all crises are globalcapital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy |
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All crises are global capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy |
| abstract |
What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological lens of the new interdependence approach, which assumes that global factors can be as important as local factors in generating outcomes. We analyze global financial conditions from 1978 to 2009 and argue that contemporary global finance is an oscillating system that generates boom and bust capital flow cycles. The phases of this cycle are a consequence of the scale of US net borrowing on global markets: when the United States is a large net importer of foreign capital, other economies struggle to attract foreign capital and are substantially less likely to develop fragile financial positions; when US net capital imports fall, other economies receive an abundance of foreign capital, and financial fragility becomes more likely. In contrast, we find little evidence that cross-national variation in political institutions or financial systems explains why fragility develops, although some regional interdependencies are evident. We conclude that global conditions drive the probability of crises occurring someplace in the system, while local outcomes appear to be idiosyncratic. Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923 |
| abstractGer |
What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological lens of the new interdependence approach, which assumes that global factors can be as important as local factors in generating outcomes. We analyze global financial conditions from 1978 to 2009 and argue that contemporary global finance is an oscillating system that generates boom and bust capital flow cycles. The phases of this cycle are a consequence of the scale of US net borrowing on global markets: when the United States is a large net importer of foreign capital, other economies struggle to attract foreign capital and are substantially less likely to develop fragile financial positions; when US net capital imports fall, other economies receive an abundance of foreign capital, and financial fragility becomes more likely. In contrast, we find little evidence that cross-national variation in political institutions or financial systems explains why fragility develops, although some regional interdependencies are evident. We conclude that global conditions drive the probability of crises occurring someplace in the system, while local outcomes appear to be idiosyncratic. Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923 |
| abstract_unstemmed |
What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? Existing research assumes that the development of these conditions is more likely to emerge under some configurations of domestic economic and political attributes. We examine the development of financial fragility through the ontological lens of the new interdependence approach, which assumes that global factors can be as important as local factors in generating outcomes. We analyze global financial conditions from 1978 to 2009 and argue that contemporary global finance is an oscillating system that generates boom and bust capital flow cycles. The phases of this cycle are a consequence of the scale of US net borrowing on global markets: when the United States is a large net importer of foreign capital, other economies struggle to attract foreign capital and are substantially less likely to develop fragile financial positions; when US net capital imports fall, other economies receive an abundance of foreign capital, and financial fragility becomes more likely. In contrast, we find little evidence that cross-national variation in political institutions or financial systems explains why fragility develops, although some regional interdependencies are evident. We conclude that global conditions drive the probability of crises occurring someplace in the system, while local outcomes appear to be idiosyncratic. Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923 |
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<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a2200265 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">156739373X</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20210519183244.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">180122s2017 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1093/isq/sqx054</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)156739373X</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-576)497393735</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BSZ497393735</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">RQ</subfield><subfield code="2">fivr</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SD03</subfield><subfield code="2">fivs</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SH02</subfield><subfield code="2">fivs</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Danzman, Sarah Bauerle</subfield><subfield code="d">1983-</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)1203724683</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)1688748946</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-576)497393662</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">All crises are global</subfield><subfield code="b">capital cycles in an imbalanced international political economy</subfield><subfield code="c">Sarah Bauerle Danzman and W. Kindred Winecoff (Indiana University Bloomington) and Thomas Oatley (Tulane University)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2017</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">Diagramme</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Literaturverzeichnis Seite 922-923</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">What factors generate financial fragility in open economies? 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