Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh

This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific...
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Gespeichert in:

Autor*in:	Medina, Leandro [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2018

Schlagwörter:	Fiskalpolitik Wechselkurs Rohstoffpreis Zins Bangladesch

Übergeordnetes Werk:	Enthalten in: Asian development review - Singapore : World Scientific, 1997, 35(2018), 1, Seite 196-222
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:35 ; year:2018 ; number:1 ; pages:196-222

Links:	Volltext

DOI / URN:	10.1162/adev_a_00111

Katalog-ID:	1583905413

Internformat


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Indexfelder

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allfields	10.1162/adev_a_00111 doi (DE-627)1583905413 (DE-576)513905413 (DE-599)BSZ513905413 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RI01.11 fivr SH02 fivs SH10 fivs Medina, Leandro verfasserin (DE-588)1171904762 (DE-627)1041696701 (DE-576)513901442 aut Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh Leandro Medina 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, including those related to the pension system, issuance of guarantees, state-owned commercial banks, and external borrowing and debt management strategies. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and the exchange rate. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and limited institutional capacity. (Asian Dev Rev) (DE-588)4071234-5 (DE-627)106098411 (DE-576)20918311X Fiskalpolitik gnd (DE-588)4064921-0 (DE-627)106121456 (DE-576)209155892 Wechselkurs gnd (DE-588)4050428-1 (DE-627)106182137 (DE-576)209087331 Rohstoffpreis gnd (DE-588)4067845-3 (DE-627)104117125 (DE-576)20917174X Zins gnd (DE-588)4130903-0 (DE-627)104262508 (DE-576)209622954 Bangladesch gnd Enthalten in Asian development review Singapore : World Scientific, 1997 35(2018), 1, Seite 196-222 Online-Ressource (DE-627)374141118 (DE-600)2127407-1 (DE-576)112890946 1996-7241 nnns volume:35 year:2018 number:1 pages:196-222 https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/410941/adr-vol35-no1-2018.pdf application/pdf Verlag kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2548 ISIL_DE-H221 (DE-627)1756133964 RI01.11 Bangladesch Asien (ohne westliches Asien) Südasien Bangladesch fivr (DE-627)1756136122 SH02 Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik Wirtschaft Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik fivs (DE-627)1756136327 SH10 Öffentliche Finanzen Wirtschaft Öffentliche Finanzen fivs (DE-627)1756241864 (DE-615)6600633 Bangladesch fivt (DE-627)175622787X (DE-615)6606614 Fiskalpolitik fivt (DE-627)1756168180 (DE-615)6605376 Wechselkurs fivt (DE-627)1756168997 (DE-615)6605932 Rohstoffpreise fivt (DE-627)1756215588 (DE-615)6600186 Zinsen fivt AR 35 2018 1 196-222 2470 01 DE-615 3032830915 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 21-11-18 2548 01 DE-H221 3036045007 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l02 30-11-18 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBCASDOK
spelling	10.1162/adev_a_00111 doi (DE-627)1583905413 (DE-576)513905413 (DE-599)BSZ513905413 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RI01.11 fivr SH02 fivs SH10 fivs Medina, Leandro verfasserin (DE-588)1171904762 (DE-627)1041696701 (DE-576)513901442 aut Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh Leandro Medina 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, including those related to the pension system, issuance of guarantees, state-owned commercial banks, and external borrowing and debt management strategies. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and the exchange rate. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and limited institutional capacity. (Asian Dev Rev) (DE-588)4071234-5 (DE-627)106098411 (DE-576)20918311X Fiskalpolitik gnd (DE-588)4064921-0 (DE-627)106121456 (DE-576)209155892 Wechselkurs gnd (DE-588)4050428-1 (DE-627)106182137 (DE-576)209087331 Rohstoffpreis gnd (DE-588)4067845-3 (DE-627)104117125 (DE-576)20917174X Zins gnd (DE-588)4130903-0 (DE-627)104262508 (DE-576)209622954 Bangladesch gnd Enthalten in Asian development review Singapore : World Scientific, 1997 35(2018), 1, Seite 196-222 Online-Ressource (DE-627)374141118 (DE-600)2127407-1 (DE-576)112890946 1996-7241 nnns volume:35 year:2018 number:1 pages:196-222 https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/410941/adr-vol35-no1-2018.pdf application/pdf Verlag kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2548 ISIL_DE-H221 (DE-627)1756133964 RI01.11 Bangladesch Asien (ohne westliches Asien) Südasien Bangladesch fivr (DE-627)1756136122 SH02 Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik Wirtschaft Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik fivs (DE-627)1756136327 SH10 Öffentliche Finanzen Wirtschaft Öffentliche Finanzen fivs (DE-627)1756241864 (DE-615)6600633 Bangladesch fivt (DE-627)175622787X (DE-615)6606614 Fiskalpolitik fivt (DE-627)1756168180 (DE-615)6605376 Wechselkurs fivt (DE-627)1756168997 (DE-615)6605932 Rohstoffpreise fivt (DE-627)1756215588 (DE-615)6600186 Zinsen fivt AR 35 2018 1 196-222 2470 01 DE-615 3032830915 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 21-11-18 2548 01 DE-H221 3036045007 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l02 30-11-18 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBCASDOK
allfields_unstemmed	10.1162/adev_a_00111 doi (DE-627)1583905413 (DE-576)513905413 (DE-599)BSZ513905413 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RI01.11 fivr SH02 fivs SH10 fivs Medina, Leandro verfasserin (DE-588)1171904762 (DE-627)1041696701 (DE-576)513901442 aut Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh Leandro Medina 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, including those related to the pension system, issuance of guarantees, state-owned commercial banks, and external borrowing and debt management strategies. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and the exchange rate. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and limited institutional capacity. (Asian Dev Rev) (DE-588)4071234-5 (DE-627)106098411 (DE-576)20918311X Fiskalpolitik gnd (DE-588)4064921-0 (DE-627)106121456 (DE-576)209155892 Wechselkurs gnd (DE-588)4050428-1 (DE-627)106182137 (DE-576)209087331 Rohstoffpreis gnd (DE-588)4067845-3 (DE-627)104117125 (DE-576)20917174X Zins gnd (DE-588)4130903-0 (DE-627)104262508 (DE-576)209622954 Bangladesch gnd Enthalten in Asian development review Singapore : World Scientific, 1997 35(2018), 1, Seite 196-222 Online-Ressource (DE-627)374141118 (DE-600)2127407-1 (DE-576)112890946 1996-7241 nnns volume:35 year:2018 number:1 pages:196-222 https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/410941/adr-vol35-no1-2018.pdf application/pdf Verlag kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2548 ISIL_DE-H221 (DE-627)1756133964 RI01.11 Bangladesch Asien (ohne westliches Asien) Südasien Bangladesch fivr (DE-627)1756136122 SH02 Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik Wirtschaft Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik fivs (DE-627)1756136327 SH10 Öffentliche Finanzen Wirtschaft Öffentliche Finanzen fivs (DE-627)1756241864 (DE-615)6600633 Bangladesch fivt (DE-627)175622787X (DE-615)6606614 Fiskalpolitik fivt (DE-627)1756168180 (DE-615)6605376 Wechselkurs fivt (DE-627)1756168997 (DE-615)6605932 Rohstoffpreise fivt (DE-627)1756215588 (DE-615)6600186 Zinsen fivt AR 35 2018 1 196-222 2470 01 DE-615 3032830915 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 21-11-18 2548 01 DE-H221 3036045007 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l02 30-11-18 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBCASDOK
allfieldsGer	10.1162/adev_a_00111 doi (DE-627)1583905413 (DE-576)513905413 (DE-599)BSZ513905413 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RI01.11 fivr SH02 fivs SH10 fivs Medina, Leandro verfasserin (DE-588)1171904762 (DE-627)1041696701 (DE-576)513901442 aut Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh Leandro Medina 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, including those related to the pension system, issuance of guarantees, state-owned commercial banks, and external borrowing and debt management strategies. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and the exchange rate. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and limited institutional capacity. (Asian Dev Rev) (DE-588)4071234-5 (DE-627)106098411 (DE-576)20918311X Fiskalpolitik gnd (DE-588)4064921-0 (DE-627)106121456 (DE-576)209155892 Wechselkurs gnd (DE-588)4050428-1 (DE-627)106182137 (DE-576)209087331 Rohstoffpreis gnd (DE-588)4067845-3 (DE-627)104117125 (DE-576)20917174X Zins gnd (DE-588)4130903-0 (DE-627)104262508 (DE-576)209622954 Bangladesch gnd Enthalten in Asian development review Singapore : World Scientific, 1997 35(2018), 1, Seite 196-222 Online-Ressource (DE-627)374141118 (DE-600)2127407-1 (DE-576)112890946 1996-7241 nnns volume:35 year:2018 number:1 pages:196-222 https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/410941/adr-vol35-no1-2018.pdf application/pdf Verlag kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2548 ISIL_DE-H221 (DE-627)1756133964 RI01.11 Bangladesch Asien (ohne westliches Asien) Südasien Bangladesch fivr (DE-627)1756136122 SH02 Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik Wirtschaft Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik fivs (DE-627)1756136327 SH10 Öffentliche Finanzen Wirtschaft Öffentliche Finanzen fivs (DE-627)1756241864 (DE-615)6600633 Bangladesch fivt (DE-627)175622787X (DE-615)6606614 Fiskalpolitik fivt (DE-627)1756168180 (DE-615)6605376 Wechselkurs fivt (DE-627)1756168997 (DE-615)6605932 Rohstoffpreise fivt (DE-627)1756215588 (DE-615)6600186 Zinsen fivt AR 35 2018 1 196-222 2470 01 DE-615 3032830915 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 21-11-18 2548 01 DE-H221 3036045007 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l02 30-11-18 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBCASDOK
allfieldsSound	10.1162/adev_a_00111 doi (DE-627)1583905413 (DE-576)513905413 (DE-599)BSZ513905413 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RI01.11 fivr SH02 fivs SH10 fivs Medina, Leandro verfasserin (DE-588)1171904762 (DE-627)1041696701 (DE-576)513901442 aut Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh Leandro Medina 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, including those related to the pension system, issuance of guarantees, state-owned commercial banks, and external borrowing and debt management strategies. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and the exchange rate. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and limited institutional capacity. (Asian Dev Rev) (DE-588)4071234-5 (DE-627)106098411 (DE-576)20918311X Fiskalpolitik gnd (DE-588)4064921-0 (DE-627)106121456 (DE-576)209155892 Wechselkurs gnd (DE-588)4050428-1 (DE-627)106182137 (DE-576)209087331 Rohstoffpreis gnd (DE-588)4067845-3 (DE-627)104117125 (DE-576)20917174X Zins gnd (DE-588)4130903-0 (DE-627)104262508 (DE-576)209622954 Bangladesch gnd Enthalten in Asian development review Singapore : World Scientific, 1997 35(2018), 1, Seite 196-222 Online-Ressource (DE-627)374141118 (DE-600)2127407-1 (DE-576)112890946 1996-7241 nnns volume:35 year:2018 number:1 pages:196-222 https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/410941/adr-vol35-no1-2018.pdf application/pdf Verlag kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2548 ISIL_DE-H221 (DE-627)1756133964 RI01.11 Bangladesch Asien (ohne westliches Asien) Südasien Bangladesch fivr (DE-627)1756136122 SH02 Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik Wirtschaft Wirtschaftsentwicklung/Wirtschaftspolitik fivs (DE-627)1756136327 SH10 Öffentliche Finanzen Wirtschaft Öffentliche Finanzen fivs (DE-627)1756241864 (DE-615)6600633 Bangladesch fivt (DE-627)175622787X (DE-615)6606614 Fiskalpolitik fivt (DE-627)1756168180 (DE-615)6605376 Wechselkurs fivt (DE-627)1756168997 (DE-615)6605932 Rohstoffpreise fivt (DE-627)1756215588 (DE-615)6600186 Zinsen fivt AR 35 2018 1 196-222 2470 01 DE-615 3032830915 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 21-11-18 2548 01 DE-H221 3036045007 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l02 30-11-18 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBCASDOK
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source	Enthalten in Asian development review 35(2018), 1, Seite 196-222 volume:35 year:2018 number:1 pages:196-222
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title	Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh
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title_full	Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh Leandro Medina
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title_sort	assessing fiscal risks in bangladesh
title_auth	Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh
abstract	This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, including those related to the pension system, issuance of guarantees, state-owned commercial banks, and external borrowing and debt management strategies. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and the exchange rate. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and limited institutional capacity. (Asian Dev Rev)
abstractGer	This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, including those related to the pension system, issuance of guarantees, state-owned commercial banks, and external borrowing and debt management strategies. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and the exchange rate. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and limited institutional capacity. (Asian Dev Rev)
abstract_unstemmed	This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, including those related to the pension system, issuance of guarantees, state-owned commercial banks, and external borrowing and debt management strategies. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and the exchange rate. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and limited institutional capacity. (Asian Dev Rev)
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title_short	Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh
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fullrecord_marcxml	<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a2200265 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">1583905413</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20240705095951.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">181121s2018 xx \|\|\|\|\|o 00\| \|\|eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1162/adev_a_00111</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)1583905413</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-576)513905413</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BSZ513905413</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">RI01.11</subfield><subfield code="2">fivr</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SH02</subfield><subfield code="2">fivs</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SH10</subfield><subfield code="2">fivs</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Medina, Leandro</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)1171904762</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)1041696701</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-576)513901442</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh</subfield><subfield code="c">Leandro Medina</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2018</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to gross domestic product growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, including those related to the pension system, issuance of guarantees, state-owned commercial banks, and external borrowing and debt management strategies. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and the exchange rate. Other factors that could affect fiscal aggregates are the unfunded pension system and limited institutional capacity. 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Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh

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