Uncertainty about future income : initial beliefs and resolution during college

We use unique data from the Berea Panel Study to characterize how much earnings uncertainty is present for students at college entrance and how quickly this uncertainty is resolved. We characterize uncertainty using survey questions that elicit the entire distribution describing one’s beliefs about...
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Autor*in:	Gong, Yifan [verfasserIn] Stinebrickner, Todd R. [verfasserIn] Stinebrickner, Ralph [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2019

Übergeordnetes Werk:	Enthalten in: Quantitative economics - Oxford [u.a.] : Wiley, 2010, 10(2019), 2 vom: Mai, Seite 607-641
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:10 ; year:2019 ; number:2 ; month:05 ; pages:607-641

Links:	Volltext Volltext Link aufrufen Terms of use

DOI / URN:	10.3982/QE954

Katalog-ID:	1671459261

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allfields	10.3982/QE954 doi 10419/217152 hdl (DE-627)1671459261 (DE-599)KXP1671459261 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng J30 jelc Gong, Yifan verfasserin (DE-588)1164098292 (DE-627)1028483759 (DE-576)508373069 aut Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier We use unique data from the Berea Panel Study to characterize how much earnings uncertainty is present for students at college entrance and how quickly this uncertainty is resolved. We characterize uncertainty using survey questions that elicit the entire distribution describing one’s beliefs about future earnings. Taking advantage of the longitudinal nature of the expectations data, we find that roughly two-thirds of the income uncertainty present at the time of entrance remains at the end of college. Taking advantage of a variety of additional survey questions, we provide evidence about how the resolution of income uncertainty is influenced by factors such as college GPA and college major, and also examine why much income uncertainty remains unresolved at the end of college. This paper also contributes to a literature interested in understanding the relative importance of uncertainty and heterogeneity in determining observed earnings distributions. Stinebrickner, Todd R. verfasserin (DE-588)133777995 (DE-627)556370023 (DE-576)300094396 aut Stinebrickner, Ralph verfasserin (DE-588)133778029 (DE-627)556370058 (DE-576)300094426 aut Enthalten in Quantitative economics Oxford [u.a.] : Wiley, 2010 10(2019), 2 vom: Mai, Seite 607-641 Online-Ressource (DE-627)633816477 (DE-600)2569569-1 (DE-576)32818862X 1759-7331 nnns volume:10 year:2019 number:2 month:05 pages:607-641 http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 Verlag kostenfrei Volltext http://hdl.handle.net/10419/217152 Resolving-System kostenfrei https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode Verlag Terms of use GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_26 ISIL_DE-206 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2403 GBV_ILN_2403 ISIL_DE-LFER AR 10 2019 2 5 607-641 26 01 0206 3507199750 x1k 15-08-19 2403 01 DE-LFER 3596233003 00 --%%-- --%%-- n --%%-- l01 17-02-20 2403 01 DE-LFER http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 2403 01 DE-LFER http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 26 00 DE-206 56 Income uncertainty 26 00 DE-206 56 uncertainty resolution 26 00 DE-206 56 heterogeneity 26 00 DE-206 56 expectations data
spelling	10.3982/QE954 doi 10419/217152 hdl (DE-627)1671459261 (DE-599)KXP1671459261 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng J30 jelc Gong, Yifan verfasserin (DE-588)1164098292 (DE-627)1028483759 (DE-576)508373069 aut Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier We use unique data from the Berea Panel Study to characterize how much earnings uncertainty is present for students at college entrance and how quickly this uncertainty is resolved. We characterize uncertainty using survey questions that elicit the entire distribution describing one’s beliefs about future earnings. Taking advantage of the longitudinal nature of the expectations data, we find that roughly two-thirds of the income uncertainty present at the time of entrance remains at the end of college. Taking advantage of a variety of additional survey questions, we provide evidence about how the resolution of income uncertainty is influenced by factors such as college GPA and college major, and also examine why much income uncertainty remains unresolved at the end of college. This paper also contributes to a literature interested in understanding the relative importance of uncertainty and heterogeneity in determining observed earnings distributions. Stinebrickner, Todd R. verfasserin (DE-588)133777995 (DE-627)556370023 (DE-576)300094396 aut Stinebrickner, Ralph verfasserin (DE-588)133778029 (DE-627)556370058 (DE-576)300094426 aut Enthalten in Quantitative economics Oxford [u.a.] : Wiley, 2010 10(2019), 2 vom: Mai, Seite 607-641 Online-Ressource (DE-627)633816477 (DE-600)2569569-1 (DE-576)32818862X 1759-7331 nnns volume:10 year:2019 number:2 month:05 pages:607-641 http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 Verlag kostenfrei Volltext http://hdl.handle.net/10419/217152 Resolving-System kostenfrei https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode Verlag Terms of use GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_26 ISIL_DE-206 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2403 GBV_ILN_2403 ISIL_DE-LFER AR 10 2019 2 5 607-641 26 01 0206 3507199750 x1k 15-08-19 2403 01 DE-LFER 3596233003 00 --%%-- --%%-- n --%%-- l01 17-02-20 2403 01 DE-LFER http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 2403 01 DE-LFER http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 26 00 DE-206 56 Income uncertainty 26 00 DE-206 56 uncertainty resolution 26 00 DE-206 56 heterogeneity 26 00 DE-206 56 expectations data
allfields_unstemmed	10.3982/QE954 doi 10419/217152 hdl (DE-627)1671459261 (DE-599)KXP1671459261 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng J30 jelc Gong, Yifan verfasserin (DE-588)1164098292 (DE-627)1028483759 (DE-576)508373069 aut Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier We use unique data from the Berea Panel Study to characterize how much earnings uncertainty is present for students at college entrance and how quickly this uncertainty is resolved. We characterize uncertainty using survey questions that elicit the entire distribution describing one’s beliefs about future earnings. Taking advantage of the longitudinal nature of the expectations data, we find that roughly two-thirds of the income uncertainty present at the time of entrance remains at the end of college. Taking advantage of a variety of additional survey questions, we provide evidence about how the resolution of income uncertainty is influenced by factors such as college GPA and college major, and also examine why much income uncertainty remains unresolved at the end of college. This paper also contributes to a literature interested in understanding the relative importance of uncertainty and heterogeneity in determining observed earnings distributions. Stinebrickner, Todd R. verfasserin (DE-588)133777995 (DE-627)556370023 (DE-576)300094396 aut Stinebrickner, Ralph verfasserin (DE-588)133778029 (DE-627)556370058 (DE-576)300094426 aut Enthalten in Quantitative economics Oxford [u.a.] : Wiley, 2010 10(2019), 2 vom: Mai, Seite 607-641 Online-Ressource (DE-627)633816477 (DE-600)2569569-1 (DE-576)32818862X 1759-7331 nnns volume:10 year:2019 number:2 month:05 pages:607-641 http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 Verlag kostenfrei Volltext http://hdl.handle.net/10419/217152 Resolving-System kostenfrei https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode Verlag Terms of use GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_26 ISIL_DE-206 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2403 GBV_ILN_2403 ISIL_DE-LFER AR 10 2019 2 5 607-641 26 01 0206 3507199750 x1k 15-08-19 2403 01 DE-LFER 3596233003 00 --%%-- --%%-- n --%%-- l01 17-02-20 2403 01 DE-LFER http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 2403 01 DE-LFER http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 26 00 DE-206 56 Income uncertainty 26 00 DE-206 56 uncertainty resolution 26 00 DE-206 56 heterogeneity 26 00 DE-206 56 expectations data
allfieldsGer	10.3982/QE954 doi 10419/217152 hdl (DE-627)1671459261 (DE-599)KXP1671459261 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng J30 jelc Gong, Yifan verfasserin (DE-588)1164098292 (DE-627)1028483759 (DE-576)508373069 aut Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier We use unique data from the Berea Panel Study to characterize how much earnings uncertainty is present for students at college entrance and how quickly this uncertainty is resolved. We characterize uncertainty using survey questions that elicit the entire distribution describing one’s beliefs about future earnings. Taking advantage of the longitudinal nature of the expectations data, we find that roughly two-thirds of the income uncertainty present at the time of entrance remains at the end of college. Taking advantage of a variety of additional survey questions, we provide evidence about how the resolution of income uncertainty is influenced by factors such as college GPA and college major, and also examine why much income uncertainty remains unresolved at the end of college. This paper also contributes to a literature interested in understanding the relative importance of uncertainty and heterogeneity in determining observed earnings distributions. Stinebrickner, Todd R. verfasserin (DE-588)133777995 (DE-627)556370023 (DE-576)300094396 aut Stinebrickner, Ralph verfasserin (DE-588)133778029 (DE-627)556370058 (DE-576)300094426 aut Enthalten in Quantitative economics Oxford [u.a.] : Wiley, 2010 10(2019), 2 vom: Mai, Seite 607-641 Online-Ressource (DE-627)633816477 (DE-600)2569569-1 (DE-576)32818862X 1759-7331 nnns volume:10 year:2019 number:2 month:05 pages:607-641 http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 Verlag kostenfrei Volltext http://hdl.handle.net/10419/217152 Resolving-System kostenfrei https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode Verlag Terms of use GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_26 ISIL_DE-206 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2403 GBV_ILN_2403 ISIL_DE-LFER AR 10 2019 2 5 607-641 26 01 0206 3507199750 x1k 15-08-19 2403 01 DE-LFER 3596233003 00 --%%-- --%%-- n --%%-- l01 17-02-20 2403 01 DE-LFER http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 2403 01 DE-LFER http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 26 00 DE-206 56 Income uncertainty 26 00 DE-206 56 uncertainty resolution 26 00 DE-206 56 heterogeneity 26 00 DE-206 56 expectations data
allfieldsSound	10.3982/QE954 doi 10419/217152 hdl (DE-627)1671459261 (DE-599)KXP1671459261 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng J30 jelc Gong, Yifan verfasserin (DE-588)1164098292 (DE-627)1028483759 (DE-576)508373069 aut Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier We use unique data from the Berea Panel Study to characterize how much earnings uncertainty is present for students at college entrance and how quickly this uncertainty is resolved. We characterize uncertainty using survey questions that elicit the entire distribution describing one’s beliefs about future earnings. Taking advantage of the longitudinal nature of the expectations data, we find that roughly two-thirds of the income uncertainty present at the time of entrance remains at the end of college. Taking advantage of a variety of additional survey questions, we provide evidence about how the resolution of income uncertainty is influenced by factors such as college GPA and college major, and also examine why much income uncertainty remains unresolved at the end of college. This paper also contributes to a literature interested in understanding the relative importance of uncertainty and heterogeneity in determining observed earnings distributions. Stinebrickner, Todd R. verfasserin (DE-588)133777995 (DE-627)556370023 (DE-576)300094396 aut Stinebrickner, Ralph verfasserin (DE-588)133778029 (DE-627)556370058 (DE-576)300094426 aut Enthalten in Quantitative economics Oxford [u.a.] : Wiley, 2010 10(2019), 2 vom: Mai, Seite 607-641 Online-Ressource (DE-627)633816477 (DE-600)2569569-1 (DE-576)32818862X 1759-7331 nnns volume:10 year:2019 number:2 month:05 pages:607-641 http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 Resolving-System kostenfrei Volltext http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 Verlag kostenfrei Volltext http://hdl.handle.net/10419/217152 Resolving-System kostenfrei https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode Verlag Terms of use GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_26 ISIL_DE-206 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2403 GBV_ILN_2403 ISIL_DE-LFER AR 10 2019 2 5 607-641 26 01 0206 3507199750 x1k 15-08-19 2403 01 DE-LFER 3596233003 00 --%%-- --%%-- n --%%-- l01 17-02-20 2403 01 DE-LFER http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 2403 01 DE-LFER http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 26 00 DE-206 56 Income uncertainty 26 00 DE-206 56 uncertainty resolution 26 00 DE-206 56 heterogeneity 26 00 DE-206 56 expectations data
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source	Enthalten in Quantitative economics 10(2019), 2 vom: Mai, Seite 607-641 volume:10 year:2019 number:2 month:05 pages:607-641
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spellingShingle	Gong, Yifan jelc J30 26 Income uncertainty 26 uncertainty resolution 26 heterogeneity 26 expectations data Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college
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topic_title	J30 jelc 26 00 DE-206 56 Income uncertainty 26 00 DE-206 56 uncertainty resolution 26 00 DE-206 56 heterogeneity 26 00 DE-206 56 expectations data Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner
topic	jelc J30 26 Income uncertainty 26 uncertainty resolution 26 heterogeneity 26 expectations data
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title	Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college
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title_full	Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner, Ralph Stinebrickner
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title_sort	uncertainty about future incomeinitial beliefs and resolution during college
title_auth	Uncertainty about future income initial beliefs and resolution during college
abstract	We use unique data from the Berea Panel Study to characterize how much earnings uncertainty is present for students at college entrance and how quickly this uncertainty is resolved. We characterize uncertainty using survey questions that elicit the entire distribution describing one’s beliefs about future earnings. Taking advantage of the longitudinal nature of the expectations data, we find that roughly two-thirds of the income uncertainty present at the time of entrance remains at the end of college. Taking advantage of a variety of additional survey questions, we provide evidence about how the resolution of income uncertainty is influenced by factors such as college GPA and college major, and also examine why much income uncertainty remains unresolved at the end of college. This paper also contributes to a literature interested in understanding the relative importance of uncertainty and heterogeneity in determining observed earnings distributions.
abstractGer	We use unique data from the Berea Panel Study to characterize how much earnings uncertainty is present for students at college entrance and how quickly this uncertainty is resolved. We characterize uncertainty using survey questions that elicit the entire distribution describing one’s beliefs about future earnings. Taking advantage of the longitudinal nature of the expectations data, we find that roughly two-thirds of the income uncertainty present at the time of entrance remains at the end of college. Taking advantage of a variety of additional survey questions, we provide evidence about how the resolution of income uncertainty is influenced by factors such as college GPA and college major, and also examine why much income uncertainty remains unresolved at the end of college. This paper also contributes to a literature interested in understanding the relative importance of uncertainty and heterogeneity in determining observed earnings distributions.
abstract_unstemmed	We use unique data from the Berea Panel Study to characterize how much earnings uncertainty is present for students at college entrance and how quickly this uncertainty is resolved. We characterize uncertainty using survey questions that elicit the entire distribution describing one’s beliefs about future earnings. Taking advantage of the longitudinal nature of the expectations data, we find that roughly two-thirds of the income uncertainty present at the time of entrance remains at the end of college. Taking advantage of a variety of additional survey questions, we provide evidence about how the resolution of income uncertainty is influenced by factors such as college GPA and college major, and also examine why much income uncertainty remains unresolved at the end of college. This paper also contributes to a literature interested in understanding the relative importance of uncertainty and heterogeneity in determining observed earnings distributions.
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title_short	Uncertainty about future income
url	http://doi.org/10.3982/QE954 http://qeconomics.org/ojs/index.php/qe/article/downloadSuppFile/669/2344 http://hdl.handle.net/10419/217152 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode
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author2	Stinebrickner, Todd R. Stinebrickner, Ralph
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GND_str_mv	Yifan, Gong Gong Yifan Gong, Yifan Stinebrickner, T. R. Stinebrickner, Todd Stinebrickner, Todd R. Stinebrickner, Ralph
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doi_str	10.3982/QE954
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up_date	2024-07-04T09:29:16.378Z
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Uncertainty about future income : initial beliefs and resolution during college

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