Near crises in world politics : a new dataset
Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the firs...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Iakhnis, Evgeniia [verfasserIn] James, Patrick - 1957- [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2021 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 242-243 |
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| Umfang: |
1 Online-Ressource ; Tabellen, Graphen |
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Conflict management and peace science - Thousand Oaks, Calif. : Sage, 1980, 38(2021), 2 vom: März, Seite 224-243 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:38 ; year:2021 ; number:2 ; month:03 ; pages:224-243 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1177/0738894219855610 |
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| Katalog-ID: |
1751483088 |
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| 520 | |a Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the first place? In this paper, we first introduce the concept of a near crisis following the approach taken over the course of more than four decades by the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. A near crisis is just below a crisis as defined by ICB with regard to intensity, as it lacks one essential condition for a crisis—higher likelihood of military hostilities. Second, we present a newly developed dataset that contains information on 86 cases in which actors perceived a threat to one or more basic values, along with an awareness of finite time for response to the value threat. We also present simple statistical models comparing (a) near crisis to crisis and (b) crisis to war that show that analyses based on the Near Crisis dataset will contribute to advancement of knowledge. | ||
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10.1177/0738894219855610 doi (DE-627)1751483088 (DE-599)KXP1751483088 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RS fivr SB05 fivs Iakhnis, Evgeniia verfasserin (DE-588)1231305878 (DE-627)1753975948 aut Near crises in world politics a new dataset Evgeniia Iakhnis and Patrick James (University of Southern California, USA) 2021 1 Online-Ressource Tabellen, Graphen Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 242-243 Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the first place? In this paper, we first introduce the concept of a near crisis following the approach taken over the course of more than four decades by the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. A near crisis is just below a crisis as defined by ICB with regard to intensity, as it lacks one essential condition for a crisis—higher likelihood of military hostilities. Second, we present a newly developed dataset that contains information on 86 cases in which actors perceived a threat to one or more basic values, along with an awareness of finite time for response to the value threat. We also present simple statistical models comparing (a) near crisis to crisis and (b) crisis to war that show that analyses based on the Near Crisis dataset will contribute to advancement of knowledge. 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| spelling |
10.1177/0738894219855610 doi (DE-627)1751483088 (DE-599)KXP1751483088 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RS fivr SB05 fivs Iakhnis, Evgeniia verfasserin (DE-588)1231305878 (DE-627)1753975948 aut Near crises in world politics a new dataset Evgeniia Iakhnis and Patrick James (University of Southern California, USA) 2021 1 Online-Ressource Tabellen, Graphen Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 242-243 Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the first place? In this paper, we first introduce the concept of a near crisis following the approach taken over the course of more than four decades by the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. A near crisis is just below a crisis as defined by ICB with regard to intensity, as it lacks one essential condition for a crisis—higher likelihood of military hostilities. Second, we present a newly developed dataset that contains information on 86 cases in which actors perceived a threat to one or more basic values, along with an awareness of finite time for response to the value threat. We also present simple statistical models comparing (a) near crisis to crisis and (b) crisis to war that show that analyses based on the Near Crisis dataset will contribute to advancement of knowledge. (DE-588)4072883-3 (DE-627)106093940 (DE-576)209188545 Internationale Krise gnd (DE-588)4162071-9 (DE-627)105465216 (DE-576)209870753 Internationaler Konflikt gnd (DE-588)4153029-9 (DE-627)104262168 (DE-576)209800186 Eskalation gnd (DE-588)4127374-6 (DE-627)104609370 (DE-576)209593105 Krisenmanagement gnd (DE-588)4164958-8 (DE-627)105443484 (DE-576)20989217X Konfliktregelung gnd (DE-588)4011119-2 (DE-627)106354256 (DE-576)208891943 Datenbank gnd (DE-588)4148875-1 (DE-627)105565431 (DE-576)20976810X Datensammlung gnd James, Patrick 1957- verfasserin (DE-588)139033106 (DE-627)607775289 (DE-576)164269509 aut Enthalten in Conflict management and peace science Thousand Oaks, Calif. : Sage, 1980 38(2021), 2 vom: März, Seite 224-243 Online-Ressource (DE-627)387481516 (DE-600)2145757-8 (DE-576)112775640 1549-9219 nnns volume:38 year:2021 number:2 month:03 pages:224-243 https://doi.org/10.1177/0738894219855610 Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 ISIL_DE-F197 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_165 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2036 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2043 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2098 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2125 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2145 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2158 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2193 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2705 GBV_ILN_2889 GBV_ILN_2890 GBV_ILN_2949 GBV_ILN_2950 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4238 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 (DE-627)1756134723 RS Ohne direkten Regionalbezug Ohne direkten Regionalbezug fivr (DE-627)1756135339 SB05 Internationale politische Konflikte Internationale(s) Politik/System Internationale politische Konflikte fivs (DE-627)1756161577 (DE-615)6602336 Internationale Krise fivt (DE-627)1756150370 (DE-615)6603167 Eskalation internationaler Konflikte fivt (DE-627)1756222045 (DE-615)6600706 Internationales Krisenmanagement fivt (DE-627)1756199787 (DE-615)6600560 Internationales Konfliktmanagement fivt (DE-627)1756230242 (DE-615)6609376 Krisenprävention fivt (DE-627)1756142408 (DE-615)6603901 Internationale Konfliktprävention fivt (DE-627)1756154252 (DE-615)6606518 Datenbank fivt (DE-627)1756150311 (DE-615)6602899 Datensammlung/Informationssammlung fivt AR 38 2021 2 3 224-243 2470 01 DE-615 3889291503 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 16-03-21 2470 02 DE-F197 3890110754 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l02 17-03-21 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBHSFK |
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10.1177/0738894219855610 doi (DE-627)1751483088 (DE-599)KXP1751483088 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RS fivr SB05 fivs Iakhnis, Evgeniia verfasserin (DE-588)1231305878 (DE-627)1753975948 aut Near crises in world politics a new dataset Evgeniia Iakhnis and Patrick James (University of Southern California, USA) 2021 1 Online-Ressource Tabellen, Graphen Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 242-243 Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the first place? In this paper, we first introduce the concept of a near crisis following the approach taken over the course of more than four decades by the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. A near crisis is just below a crisis as defined by ICB with regard to intensity, as it lacks one essential condition for a crisis—higher likelihood of military hostilities. Second, we present a newly developed dataset that contains information on 86 cases in which actors perceived a threat to one or more basic values, along with an awareness of finite time for response to the value threat. We also present simple statistical models comparing (a) near crisis to crisis and (b) crisis to war that show that analyses based on the Near Crisis dataset will contribute to advancement of knowledge. (DE-588)4072883-3 (DE-627)106093940 (DE-576)209188545 Internationale Krise gnd (DE-588)4162071-9 (DE-627)105465216 (DE-576)209870753 Internationaler Konflikt gnd (DE-588)4153029-9 (DE-627)104262168 (DE-576)209800186 Eskalation gnd (DE-588)4127374-6 (DE-627)104609370 (DE-576)209593105 Krisenmanagement gnd (DE-588)4164958-8 (DE-627)105443484 (DE-576)20989217X Konfliktregelung gnd (DE-588)4011119-2 (DE-627)106354256 (DE-576)208891943 Datenbank gnd (DE-588)4148875-1 (DE-627)105565431 (DE-576)20976810X Datensammlung gnd James, Patrick 1957- verfasserin (DE-588)139033106 (DE-627)607775289 (DE-576)164269509 aut Enthalten in Conflict management and peace science Thousand Oaks, Calif. : Sage, 1980 38(2021), 2 vom: März, Seite 224-243 Online-Ressource (DE-627)387481516 (DE-600)2145757-8 (DE-576)112775640 1549-9219 nnns volume:38 year:2021 number:2 month:03 pages:224-243 https://doi.org/10.1177/0738894219855610 Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 ISIL_DE-F197 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_165 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2036 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2043 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2098 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2125 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2145 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2158 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2193 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2705 GBV_ILN_2889 GBV_ILN_2890 GBV_ILN_2949 GBV_ILN_2950 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4238 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 (DE-627)1756134723 RS Ohne direkten Regionalbezug Ohne direkten Regionalbezug fivr (DE-627)1756135339 SB05 Internationale politische Konflikte Internationale(s) Politik/System Internationale politische Konflikte fivs (DE-627)1756161577 (DE-615)6602336 Internationale Krise fivt (DE-627)1756150370 (DE-615)6603167 Eskalation internationaler Konflikte fivt (DE-627)1756222045 (DE-615)6600706 Internationales Krisenmanagement fivt (DE-627)1756199787 (DE-615)6600560 Internationales Konfliktmanagement fivt (DE-627)1756230242 (DE-615)6609376 Krisenprävention fivt (DE-627)1756142408 (DE-615)6603901 Internationale Konfliktprävention fivt (DE-627)1756154252 (DE-615)6606518 Datenbank fivt (DE-627)1756150311 (DE-615)6602899 Datensammlung/Informationssammlung fivt AR 38 2021 2 3 224-243 2470 01 DE-615 3889291503 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 16-03-21 2470 02 DE-F197 3890110754 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l02 17-03-21 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBHSFK |
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10.1177/0738894219855610 doi (DE-627)1751483088 (DE-599)KXP1751483088 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RS fivr SB05 fivs Iakhnis, Evgeniia verfasserin (DE-588)1231305878 (DE-627)1753975948 aut Near crises in world politics a new dataset Evgeniia Iakhnis and Patrick James (University of Southern California, USA) 2021 1 Online-Ressource Tabellen, Graphen Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 242-243 Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the first place? In this paper, we first introduce the concept of a near crisis following the approach taken over the course of more than four decades by the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. A near crisis is just below a crisis as defined by ICB with regard to intensity, as it lacks one essential condition for a crisis—higher likelihood of military hostilities. Second, we present a newly developed dataset that contains information on 86 cases in which actors perceived a threat to one or more basic values, along with an awareness of finite time for response to the value threat. We also present simple statistical models comparing (a) near crisis to crisis and (b) crisis to war that show that analyses based on the Near Crisis dataset will contribute to advancement of knowledge. (DE-588)4072883-3 (DE-627)106093940 (DE-576)209188545 Internationale Krise gnd (DE-588)4162071-9 (DE-627)105465216 (DE-576)209870753 Internationaler Konflikt gnd (DE-588)4153029-9 (DE-627)104262168 (DE-576)209800186 Eskalation gnd (DE-588)4127374-6 (DE-627)104609370 (DE-576)209593105 Krisenmanagement gnd (DE-588)4164958-8 (DE-627)105443484 (DE-576)20989217X Konfliktregelung gnd (DE-588)4011119-2 (DE-627)106354256 (DE-576)208891943 Datenbank gnd (DE-588)4148875-1 (DE-627)105565431 (DE-576)20976810X Datensammlung gnd James, Patrick 1957- verfasserin (DE-588)139033106 (DE-627)607775289 (DE-576)164269509 aut Enthalten in Conflict management and peace science Thousand Oaks, Calif. : Sage, 1980 38(2021), 2 vom: März, Seite 224-243 Online-Ressource (DE-627)387481516 (DE-600)2145757-8 (DE-576)112775640 1549-9219 nnns volume:38 year:2021 number:2 month:03 pages:224-243 https://doi.org/10.1177/0738894219855610 Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_2470 ISIL_DE-615 ISIL_DE-F197 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_165 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2036 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2043 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2098 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2125 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2145 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2158 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2193 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2705 GBV_ILN_2889 GBV_ILN_2890 GBV_ILN_2949 GBV_ILN_2950 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4238 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 (DE-627)1756134723 RS Ohne direkten Regionalbezug Ohne direkten Regionalbezug fivr (DE-627)1756135339 SB05 Internationale politische Konflikte Internationale(s) Politik/System Internationale politische Konflikte fivs (DE-627)1756161577 (DE-615)6602336 Internationale Krise fivt (DE-627)1756150370 (DE-615)6603167 Eskalation internationaler Konflikte fivt (DE-627)1756222045 (DE-615)6600706 Internationales Krisenmanagement fivt (DE-627)1756199787 (DE-615)6600560 Internationales Konfliktmanagement fivt (DE-627)1756230242 (DE-615)6609376 Krisenprävention fivt (DE-627)1756142408 (DE-615)6603901 Internationale Konfliktprävention fivt (DE-627)1756154252 (DE-615)6606518 Datenbank fivt (DE-627)1756150311 (DE-615)6602899 Datensammlung/Informationssammlung fivt AR 38 2021 2 3 224-243 2470 01 DE-615 3889291503 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l01 16-03-21 2470 02 DE-F197 3890110754 00 --%%-- --%%-- --%%-- l l02 17-03-21 2470 01 DE-615 00 DEIBHSFK |
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10.1177/0738894219855610 doi (DE-627)1751483088 (DE-599)KXP1751483088 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng RS fivr SB05 fivs Iakhnis, Evgeniia verfasserin (DE-588)1231305878 (DE-627)1753975948 aut Near crises in world politics a new dataset Evgeniia Iakhnis and Patrick James (University of Southern California, USA) 2021 1 Online-Ressource Tabellen, Graphen Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 242-243 Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the first place? In this paper, we first introduce the concept of a near crisis following the approach taken over the course of more than four decades by the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. A near crisis is just below a crisis as defined by ICB with regard to intensity, as it lacks one essential condition for a crisis—higher likelihood of military hostilities. Second, we present a newly developed dataset that contains information on 86 cases in which actors perceived a threat to one or more basic values, along with an awareness of finite time for response to the value threat. We also present simple statistical models comparing (a) near crisis to crisis and (b) crisis to war that show that analyses based on the Near Crisis dataset will contribute to advancement of knowledge. 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Near crises in world politics a new dataset |
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Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the first place? In this paper, we first introduce the concept of a near crisis following the approach taken over the course of more than four decades by the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. A near crisis is just below a crisis as defined by ICB with regard to intensity, as it lacks one essential condition for a crisis—higher likelihood of military hostilities. Second, we present a newly developed dataset that contains information on 86 cases in which actors perceived a threat to one or more basic values, along with an awareness of finite time for response to the value threat. We also present simple statistical models comparing (a) near crisis to crisis and (b) crisis to war that show that analyses based on the Near Crisis dataset will contribute to advancement of knowledge. Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 242-243 |
| abstractGer |
Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the first place? In this paper, we first introduce the concept of a near crisis following the approach taken over the course of more than four decades by the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. A near crisis is just below a crisis as defined by ICB with regard to intensity, as it lacks one essential condition for a crisis—higher likelihood of military hostilities. Second, we present a newly developed dataset that contains information on 86 cases in which actors perceived a threat to one or more basic values, along with an awareness of finite time for response to the value threat. We also present simple statistical models comparing (a) near crisis to crisis and (b) crisis to war that show that analyses based on the Near Crisis dataset will contribute to advancement of knowledge. Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 242-243 |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Crisis escalation to war is a subject of longstanding interest. Case studies, formal models and statistical analysis offer compelling explanations for why some crises escalate to war while others do not. Much less can be said in answer to the following question: where do crises come from in the first place? In this paper, we first introduce the concept of a near crisis following the approach taken over the course of more than four decades by the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project. A near crisis is just below a crisis as defined by ICB with regard to intensity, as it lacks one essential condition for a crisis—higher likelihood of military hostilities. Second, we present a newly developed dataset that contains information on 86 cases in which actors perceived a threat to one or more basic values, along with an awareness of finite time for response to the value threat. We also present simple statistical models comparing (a) near crisis to crisis and (b) crisis to war that show that analyses based on the Near Crisis dataset will contribute to advancement of knowledge. Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 242-243 |
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| container_issue |
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| title_short |
Near crises in world politics |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.1177/0738894219855610 |
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| up_date |
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