A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Eskafi, Majid [verfasserIn] Kowsari, Milad [verfasserIn] Dastgheib, Ali [verfasserIn] Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson [verfasserIn] Stefansson, Gunnar [verfasserIn] Taneja, Poonam [verfasserIn] Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2021 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 365-368 |
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| Umfang: |
Illustrationen, Diagramme |
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Maritime economics & logistics - [London] : Palgrave Macmillan, 2003, 23(2021), 2 vom: Juni, Seite 348-368 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:23 ; year:2021 ; number:2 ; month:06 ; pages:348-368 |
| Links: |
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1762474522 |
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| 245 | 1 | 2 | |a A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation |c Majid Eskafi, Milad Kowsari, Ali Dastgheib, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, Gunnar Stefansson, Poonam Taneja, Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir |
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| 986 | |2 358 |1 00 |x DE-Bre2 |a Kurzreferat |b Capacity plays a crucial role in a port's competitive position and the growth of its market share. An investment decision to provide new port capacity should be supported by a growing demand for port services. This paper applies a Bayesian statistical method to forecast the annual throughput of the multipurpose Port of Isafjordur in Iceland. The presented model has an adaptive capability as new information becomes available. The method results in a range of port throughput forecasts, in addition to a point estimate, and it also accounts for epistemic uncertainty, thus increasing the reliability of forecasts. | ||
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(DE-627)1762474522 (DE-599)KXP1762474522 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng Eskafi, Majid verfasserin aut A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation Majid Eskafi, Milad Kowsari, Ali Dastgheib, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, Gunnar Stefansson, Poonam Taneja, Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir 2021 Illustrationen, Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 365-368 Container leasing (dpeaa)DE-206 Option contracts (dpeaa)DE-206 Cox-Ross-Rubinstein pricing model (dpeaa)DE-206 Maritime shipping (dpeaa)DE-206 Shipping line (dpeaa)DE-206 Kowsari, Milad verfasserin aut Dastgheib, Ali verfasserin aut Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson verfasserin (DE-588)1235115046 (DE-627)1760155926 aut Stefansson, Gunnar verfasserin aut Taneja, Poonam verfasserin aut Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Maritime economics & logistics [London] : Palgrave Macmillan, 2003 23(2021), 2 vom: Juni, Seite 348-368 Online-Ressource (DE-627)329557645 (DE-600)2047902-5 (DE-576)375631976 1479-294X nnns volume:23 year:2021 number:2 month:06 pages:348-368 https://www.palgrave.com/ Verlag lizenzpflichtig GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_358 ISIL_DE-Bre2 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 23 2021 2 6 348-368 358 01 4358 3946525849 20210259 DD Z 484 x 08-07-21 358 01 4358 https://www.palgrave.com/ ZZ 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)586108769 Hafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586119833 Seehafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 02 (DE-627)586108815 Hafenausbau 358 00 DE-Bre2 03 (DE-627)586122958 Umschlag 358 00 DE-Bre2 04 (DE-627)586123016 Umschlagsmenge 358 00 DE-Bre2 05 (DE-627)586117016 Prognose 358 00 DE-Bre2 06 (DE-627)586113614 Marktanteil 358 00 DE-Bre2 07 (DE-627)58612473X Wettbewerb 358 00 DE-Bre2 08 (DE-627)586110372 Island 358 00 DE-Bre2 50 Bayes-Schätzer 358 00 DE-Bre2 51 Isafjordur 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)58609976X C05 Hafenumschlag, Umschlagbetriebe, Hafenschifffahrt 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586099786 C07 Hafenplanung, Hafenbau, Hafenausbau 358 01 4358 20210259 358 00 DE-Bre2 Kurzreferat Capacity plays a crucial role in a port's competitive position and the growth of its market share. An investment decision to provide new port capacity should be supported by a growing demand for port services. This paper applies a Bayesian statistical method to forecast the annual throughput of the multipurpose Port of Isafjordur in Iceland. The presented model has an adaptive capability as new information becomes available. The method results in a range of port throughput forecasts, in addition to a point estimate, and it also accounts for epistemic uncertainty, thus increasing the reliability of forecasts. |
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(DE-627)1762474522 (DE-599)KXP1762474522 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng Eskafi, Majid verfasserin aut A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation Majid Eskafi, Milad Kowsari, Ali Dastgheib, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, Gunnar Stefansson, Poonam Taneja, Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir 2021 Illustrationen, Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 365-368 Container leasing (dpeaa)DE-206 Option contracts (dpeaa)DE-206 Cox-Ross-Rubinstein pricing model (dpeaa)DE-206 Maritime shipping (dpeaa)DE-206 Shipping line (dpeaa)DE-206 Kowsari, Milad verfasserin aut Dastgheib, Ali verfasserin aut Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson verfasserin (DE-588)1235115046 (DE-627)1760155926 aut Stefansson, Gunnar verfasserin aut Taneja, Poonam verfasserin aut Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Maritime economics & logistics [London] : Palgrave Macmillan, 2003 23(2021), 2 vom: Juni, Seite 348-368 Online-Ressource (DE-627)329557645 (DE-600)2047902-5 (DE-576)375631976 1479-294X nnns volume:23 year:2021 number:2 month:06 pages:348-368 https://www.palgrave.com/ Verlag lizenzpflichtig GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_358 ISIL_DE-Bre2 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 23 2021 2 6 348-368 358 01 4358 3946525849 20210259 DD Z 484 x 08-07-21 358 01 4358 https://www.palgrave.com/ ZZ 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)586108769 Hafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586119833 Seehafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 02 (DE-627)586108815 Hafenausbau 358 00 DE-Bre2 03 (DE-627)586122958 Umschlag 358 00 DE-Bre2 04 (DE-627)586123016 Umschlagsmenge 358 00 DE-Bre2 05 (DE-627)586117016 Prognose 358 00 DE-Bre2 06 (DE-627)586113614 Marktanteil 358 00 DE-Bre2 07 (DE-627)58612473X Wettbewerb 358 00 DE-Bre2 08 (DE-627)586110372 Island 358 00 DE-Bre2 50 Bayes-Schätzer 358 00 DE-Bre2 51 Isafjordur 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)58609976X C05 Hafenumschlag, Umschlagbetriebe, Hafenschifffahrt 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586099786 C07 Hafenplanung, Hafenbau, Hafenausbau 358 01 4358 20210259 358 00 DE-Bre2 Kurzreferat Capacity plays a crucial role in a port's competitive position and the growth of its market share. An investment decision to provide new port capacity should be supported by a growing demand for port services. This paper applies a Bayesian statistical method to forecast the annual throughput of the multipurpose Port of Isafjordur in Iceland. The presented model has an adaptive capability as new information becomes available. The method results in a range of port throughput forecasts, in addition to a point estimate, and it also accounts for epistemic uncertainty, thus increasing the reliability of forecasts. |
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(DE-627)1762474522 (DE-599)KXP1762474522 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng Eskafi, Majid verfasserin aut A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation Majid Eskafi, Milad Kowsari, Ali Dastgheib, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, Gunnar Stefansson, Poonam Taneja, Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir 2021 Illustrationen, Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 365-368 Container leasing (dpeaa)DE-206 Option contracts (dpeaa)DE-206 Cox-Ross-Rubinstein pricing model (dpeaa)DE-206 Maritime shipping (dpeaa)DE-206 Shipping line (dpeaa)DE-206 Kowsari, Milad verfasserin aut Dastgheib, Ali verfasserin aut Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson verfasserin (DE-588)1235115046 (DE-627)1760155926 aut Stefansson, Gunnar verfasserin aut Taneja, Poonam verfasserin aut Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Maritime economics & logistics [London] : Palgrave Macmillan, 2003 23(2021), 2 vom: Juni, Seite 348-368 Online-Ressource (DE-627)329557645 (DE-600)2047902-5 (DE-576)375631976 1479-294X nnns volume:23 year:2021 number:2 month:06 pages:348-368 https://www.palgrave.com/ Verlag lizenzpflichtig GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_358 ISIL_DE-Bre2 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 23 2021 2 6 348-368 358 01 4358 3946525849 20210259 DD Z 484 x 08-07-21 358 01 4358 https://www.palgrave.com/ ZZ 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)586108769 Hafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586119833 Seehafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 02 (DE-627)586108815 Hafenausbau 358 00 DE-Bre2 03 (DE-627)586122958 Umschlag 358 00 DE-Bre2 04 (DE-627)586123016 Umschlagsmenge 358 00 DE-Bre2 05 (DE-627)586117016 Prognose 358 00 DE-Bre2 06 (DE-627)586113614 Marktanteil 358 00 DE-Bre2 07 (DE-627)58612473X Wettbewerb 358 00 DE-Bre2 08 (DE-627)586110372 Island 358 00 DE-Bre2 50 Bayes-Schätzer 358 00 DE-Bre2 51 Isafjordur 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)58609976X C05 Hafenumschlag, Umschlagbetriebe, Hafenschifffahrt 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586099786 C07 Hafenplanung, Hafenbau, Hafenausbau 358 01 4358 20210259 358 00 DE-Bre2 Kurzreferat Capacity plays a crucial role in a port's competitive position and the growth of its market share. An investment decision to provide new port capacity should be supported by a growing demand for port services. This paper applies a Bayesian statistical method to forecast the annual throughput of the multipurpose Port of Isafjordur in Iceland. The presented model has an adaptive capability as new information becomes available. The method results in a range of port throughput forecasts, in addition to a point estimate, and it also accounts for epistemic uncertainty, thus increasing the reliability of forecasts. |
| allfieldsGer |
(DE-627)1762474522 (DE-599)KXP1762474522 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng Eskafi, Majid verfasserin aut A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation Majid Eskafi, Milad Kowsari, Ali Dastgheib, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, Gunnar Stefansson, Poonam Taneja, Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir 2021 Illustrationen, Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 365-368 Container leasing (dpeaa)DE-206 Option contracts (dpeaa)DE-206 Cox-Ross-Rubinstein pricing model (dpeaa)DE-206 Maritime shipping (dpeaa)DE-206 Shipping line (dpeaa)DE-206 Kowsari, Milad verfasserin aut Dastgheib, Ali verfasserin aut Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson verfasserin (DE-588)1235115046 (DE-627)1760155926 aut Stefansson, Gunnar verfasserin aut Taneja, Poonam verfasserin aut Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Maritime economics & logistics [London] : Palgrave Macmillan, 2003 23(2021), 2 vom: Juni, Seite 348-368 Online-Ressource (DE-627)329557645 (DE-600)2047902-5 (DE-576)375631976 1479-294X nnns volume:23 year:2021 number:2 month:06 pages:348-368 https://www.palgrave.com/ Verlag lizenzpflichtig GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_358 ISIL_DE-Bre2 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 23 2021 2 6 348-368 358 01 4358 3946525849 20210259 DD Z 484 x 08-07-21 358 01 4358 https://www.palgrave.com/ ZZ 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)586108769 Hafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586119833 Seehafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 02 (DE-627)586108815 Hafenausbau 358 00 DE-Bre2 03 (DE-627)586122958 Umschlag 358 00 DE-Bre2 04 (DE-627)586123016 Umschlagsmenge 358 00 DE-Bre2 05 (DE-627)586117016 Prognose 358 00 DE-Bre2 06 (DE-627)586113614 Marktanteil 358 00 DE-Bre2 07 (DE-627)58612473X Wettbewerb 358 00 DE-Bre2 08 (DE-627)586110372 Island 358 00 DE-Bre2 50 Bayes-Schätzer 358 00 DE-Bre2 51 Isafjordur 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)58609976X C05 Hafenumschlag, Umschlagbetriebe, Hafenschifffahrt 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586099786 C07 Hafenplanung, Hafenbau, Hafenausbau 358 01 4358 20210259 358 00 DE-Bre2 Kurzreferat Capacity plays a crucial role in a port's competitive position and the growth of its market share. An investment decision to provide new port capacity should be supported by a growing demand for port services. This paper applies a Bayesian statistical method to forecast the annual throughput of the multipurpose Port of Isafjordur in Iceland. The presented model has an adaptive capability as new information becomes available. The method results in a range of port throughput forecasts, in addition to a point estimate, and it also accounts for epistemic uncertainty, thus increasing the reliability of forecasts. |
| allfieldsSound |
(DE-627)1762474522 (DE-599)KXP1762474522 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng Eskafi, Majid verfasserin aut A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation Majid Eskafi, Milad Kowsari, Ali Dastgheib, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, Gunnar Stefansson, Poonam Taneja, Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir 2021 Illustrationen, Diagramme Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 365-368 Container leasing (dpeaa)DE-206 Option contracts (dpeaa)DE-206 Cox-Ross-Rubinstein pricing model (dpeaa)DE-206 Maritime shipping (dpeaa)DE-206 Shipping line (dpeaa)DE-206 Kowsari, Milad verfasserin aut Dastgheib, Ali verfasserin aut Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson verfasserin (DE-588)1235115046 (DE-627)1760155926 aut Stefansson, Gunnar verfasserin aut Taneja, Poonam verfasserin aut Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Maritime economics & logistics [London] : Palgrave Macmillan, 2003 23(2021), 2 vom: Juni, Seite 348-368 Online-Ressource (DE-627)329557645 (DE-600)2047902-5 (DE-576)375631976 1479-294X nnns volume:23 year:2021 number:2 month:06 pages:348-368 https://www.palgrave.com/ Verlag lizenzpflichtig GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_358 ISIL_DE-Bre2 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_184 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 23 2021 2 6 348-368 358 01 4358 3946525849 20210259 DD Z 484 x 08-07-21 358 01 4358 https://www.palgrave.com/ ZZ 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)586108769 Hafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586119833 Seehafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 02 (DE-627)586108815 Hafenausbau 358 00 DE-Bre2 03 (DE-627)586122958 Umschlag 358 00 DE-Bre2 04 (DE-627)586123016 Umschlagsmenge 358 00 DE-Bre2 05 (DE-627)586117016 Prognose 358 00 DE-Bre2 06 (DE-627)586113614 Marktanteil 358 00 DE-Bre2 07 (DE-627)58612473X Wettbewerb 358 00 DE-Bre2 08 (DE-627)586110372 Island 358 00 DE-Bre2 50 Bayes-Schätzer 358 00 DE-Bre2 51 Isafjordur 358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)58609976X C05 Hafenumschlag, Umschlagbetriebe, Hafenschifffahrt 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586099786 C07 Hafenplanung, Hafenbau, Hafenausbau 358 01 4358 20210259 358 00 DE-Bre2 Kurzreferat Capacity plays a crucial role in a port's competitive position and the growth of its market share. An investment decision to provide new port capacity should be supported by a growing demand for port services. This paper applies a Bayesian statistical method to forecast the annual throughput of the multipurpose Port of Isafjordur in Iceland. The presented model has an adaptive capability as new information becomes available. The method results in a range of port throughput forecasts, in addition to a point estimate, and it also accounts for epistemic uncertainty, thus increasing the reliability of forecasts. |
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Enthalten in Maritime economics & logistics 23(2021), 2 vom: Juni, Seite 348-368 volume:23 year:2021 number:2 month:06 pages:348-368 |
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code="a">C07</subfield><subfield code="b">Hafenplanung, Hafenbau, Hafenausbau</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="985" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">01</subfield><subfield code="x">4358</subfield><subfield code="a">20210259</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="986" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="a">Kurzreferat</subfield><subfield code="b">Capacity plays a crucial role in a port's competitive position and the growth of its market share. An investment decision to provide new port capacity should be supported by a growing demand for port services. This paper applies a Bayesian statistical method to forecast the annual throughput of the multipurpose Port of Isafjordur in Iceland. The presented model has an adaptive capability as new information becomes available. The method results in a range of port throughput forecasts, in addition to a point estimate, and it also accounts for epistemic uncertainty, thus increasing the reliability of forecasts.</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
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358 00 DE-Bre2 00 (DE-627)586108769 Hafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 01 (DE-627)586119833 Seehafen 358 00 DE-Bre2 02 (DE-627)586108815 Hafenausbau 358 00 DE-Bre2 03 (DE-627)586122958 Umschlag 358 00 DE-Bre2 04 (DE-627)586123016 Umschlagsmenge 358 00 DE-Bre2 05 (DE-627)586117016 Prognose 358 00 DE-Bre2 06 (DE-627)586113614 Marktanteil 358 00 DE-Bre2 07 (DE-627)58612473X Wettbewerb 358 00 DE-Bre2 08 (DE-627)586110372 Island 358 00 DE-Bre2 50 Bayes-Schätzer 358 00 DE-Bre2 51 Isafjordur A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation Majid Eskafi, Milad Kowsari, Ali Dastgheib, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, Gunnar Stefansson, Poonam Taneja, Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir Container leasing (dpeaa)DE-206 Option contracts (dpeaa)DE-206 Cox-Ross-Rubinstein pricing model (dpeaa)DE-206 Maritime shipping (dpeaa)DE-206 Shipping line (dpeaa)DE-206 |
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A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation Majid Eskafi, Milad Kowsari, Ali Dastgheib, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, Gunnar Stefansson, Poonam Taneja, Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir |
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Eskafi, Majid Kowsari, Milad Dastgheib, Ali Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson Stefansson, Gunnar Taneja, Poonam Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. |
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model for port throughput forecasting using bayesian estimation |
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A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation |
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Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 365-368 |
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Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 365-368 |
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2 |
| title_short |
A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation |
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https://www.palgrave.com/ |
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Kowsari, Milad Dastgheib, Ali Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson Stefansson, Gunnar Taneja, Poonam Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. |
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Kowsari, Milad Dastgheib, Ali Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson Stefansson, Gunnar Taneja, Poonam Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. |
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Ulfarsson, Gudmundur F. Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson |
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Ulfarsson, Gudmundur F. Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson |
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Ulfarsson, Gudmundur F. Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson |
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2024-07-04T22:29:09.121Z |
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1803689288399847424 |
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code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">01</subfield><subfield code="x">4358</subfield><subfield code="b">3946525849</subfield><subfield code="k">20210259 DD Z 484</subfield><subfield code="y">x</subfield><subfield code="z">08-07-21</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="981" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">01</subfield><subfield code="x">4358</subfield><subfield code="r">https://www.palgrave.com/</subfield><subfield code="z">ZZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">00</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)586108769</subfield><subfield code="a">Hafen</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">01</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)586119833</subfield><subfield code="a">Seehafen</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">02</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)586108815</subfield><subfield code="a">Hafenausbau</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">03</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)586122958</subfield><subfield code="a">Umschlag</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">04</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)586123016</subfield><subfield code="a">Umschlagsmenge</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">05</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)586117016</subfield><subfield code="a">Prognose</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">06</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)586113614</subfield><subfield code="a">Marktanteil</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">07</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)58612473X</subfield><subfield code="a">Wettbewerb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">08</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)586110372</subfield><subfield code="a">Island</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">50</subfield><subfield code="a">Bayes-Schätzer</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="982" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">51</subfield><subfield code="a">Isafjordur</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="983" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">00</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)58609976X</subfield><subfield code="a">C05</subfield><subfield code="b">Hafenumschlag, Umschlagbetriebe, Hafenschifffahrt</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="983" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="8">01</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-627)586099786</subfield><subfield code="a">C07</subfield><subfield code="b">Hafenplanung, Hafenbau, Hafenausbau</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="985" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">01</subfield><subfield code="x">4358</subfield><subfield code="a">20210259</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="986" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="2">358</subfield><subfield code="1">00</subfield><subfield code="x">DE-Bre2</subfield><subfield code="a">Kurzreferat</subfield><subfield code="b">Capacity plays a crucial role in a port's competitive position and the growth of its market share. An investment decision to provide new port capacity should be supported by a growing demand for port services. This paper applies a Bayesian statistical method to forecast the annual throughput of the multipurpose Port of Isafjordur in Iceland. The presented model has an adaptive capability as new information becomes available. The method results in a range of port throughput forecasts, in addition to a point estimate, and it also accounts for epistemic uncertainty, thus increasing the reliability of forecasts.</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
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| score |
7.402298 |