Analyst forecasts during the COVID-19 pandemic : evidence from REITs
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupts capital markets and confuses decision makers. This event represents an opportunity to better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the United States, since REITs are relatively transparen...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Anglin, Paul M. [verfasserIn] Cui, Jianxin [verfasserIn] Gao, Yanmin [verfasserIn] Zhang, Li [verfasserIn] |
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Format: |
E-Artikel |
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Sprache: |
Englisch |
Erschienen: |
2021 |
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Rechteinformationen: |
Open Access Namensnennung 4.0 International ; CC BY 4.0 |
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Schlagwörter: |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Journal of risk and financial management - Basel : MDPI, 2008, 14(2021), 10 vom: Okt., Artikel-ID 457, Seite 1-23 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:14 ; year:2021 ; number:10 ; month:10 ; elocationid:457 ; pages:1-23 |
Links: |
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DOI / URN: |
10.3390/jrfm14100457 |
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Katalog-ID: |
1772797375 |
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10.3390/jrfm14100457 doi 10419/258561 hdl (DE-627)1772797375 (DE-599)KXP1772797375 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng G17 G01 D84 jelc Anglin, Paul M. verfasserin (DE-588)170584259 (DE-627)060693843 (DE-576)131456202 aut Analyst forecasts during the COVID-19 pandemic evidence from REITs Paul Anglin, Jianxin Cui, Yanmin Gao and Li Zhang 2021 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier DE-206 Open Access Controlled Vocabulary for Access Rights http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 The COVID-19 pandemic disrupts capital markets and confuses decision makers. This event represents an opportunity to better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the United States, since REITs are relatively transparent during normal times, and since the real estate sector, as a whole, displays wide variations in forecasts during the pandemic. Using data between October 2018 and November 2020, our regression analysis finds that the severity of the pandemic increases analysts' forecast error and dispersion. Government interventions have an offsetting effect, which is relevant during the more severe times. These results are robust to various measures of the severity of the pandemic. We also find that the pandemic has differential effects across property types, where forecast error rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality and Industrial properties, and dispersion rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality, Retail, and Technology properties. DE-206 Namensnennung 4.0 International CC BY 4.0 cc https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ analysts (dpeaa)DE-206 COVID-19 (dpeaa)DE-206 earnings (dpeaa)DE-206 forecast (dpeaa)DE-206 information environment (dpeaa)DE-206 pandemic (dpeaa)DE-206 REITs (dpeaa)DE-206 Cui, Jianxin verfasserin (DE-588)1242732055 (DE-627)177279774X aut Gao, Yanmin verfasserin (DE-588)1242732233 (DE-627)1772798045 aut Zhang, Li verfasserin (DE-588)1154892875 (DE-627)1016235984 (DE-576)501300899 aut Enthalten in Journal of risk and financial management Basel : MDPI, 2008 14(2021), 10 vom: Okt., Artikel-ID 457, Seite 1-23 Online-Ressource (DE-627)770970427 (DE-600)2739117-6 (DE-576)395129494 1911-8074 nnns volume:14 year:2021 number:10 month:10 elocationid:457 pages:1-23 https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/10/457/pdf Verlag kostenfrei https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14100457 Resolving-System kostenfrei http://hdl.handle.net/10419/258561 Resolving-System kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_26 ISIL_DE-206 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2403 GBV_ILN_2403 ISIL_DE-LFER AR 14 2021 10 10 457 1-23 26 01 0206 3985353190 x1z 08-10-21 2403 01 DE-LFER 3999950390 00 --%%-- --%%-- n --%%-- l01 09-11-21 2403 01 DE-LFER https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14100457 2403 01 DE-LFER https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/10/457/pdf |
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10.3390/jrfm14100457 doi 10419/258561 hdl (DE-627)1772797375 (DE-599)KXP1772797375 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng G17 G01 D84 jelc Anglin, Paul M. verfasserin (DE-588)170584259 (DE-627)060693843 (DE-576)131456202 aut Analyst forecasts during the COVID-19 pandemic evidence from REITs Paul Anglin, Jianxin Cui, Yanmin Gao and Li Zhang 2021 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier DE-206 Open Access Controlled Vocabulary for Access Rights http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 The COVID-19 pandemic disrupts capital markets and confuses decision makers. This event represents an opportunity to better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the United States, since REITs are relatively transparent during normal times, and since the real estate sector, as a whole, displays wide variations in forecasts during the pandemic. Using data between October 2018 and November 2020, our regression analysis finds that the severity of the pandemic increases analysts' forecast error and dispersion. Government interventions have an offsetting effect, which is relevant during the more severe times. These results are robust to various measures of the severity of the pandemic. We also find that the pandemic has differential effects across property types, where forecast error rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality and Industrial properties, and dispersion rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality, Retail, and Technology properties. DE-206 Namensnennung 4.0 International CC BY 4.0 cc https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ analysts (dpeaa)DE-206 COVID-19 (dpeaa)DE-206 earnings (dpeaa)DE-206 forecast (dpeaa)DE-206 information environment (dpeaa)DE-206 pandemic (dpeaa)DE-206 REITs (dpeaa)DE-206 Cui, Jianxin verfasserin (DE-588)1242732055 (DE-627)177279774X aut Gao, Yanmin verfasserin (DE-588)1242732233 (DE-627)1772798045 aut Zhang, Li verfasserin (DE-588)1154892875 (DE-627)1016235984 (DE-576)501300899 aut Enthalten in Journal of risk and financial management Basel : MDPI, 2008 14(2021), 10 vom: Okt., Artikel-ID 457, Seite 1-23 Online-Ressource (DE-627)770970427 (DE-600)2739117-6 (DE-576)395129494 1911-8074 nnns volume:14 year:2021 number:10 month:10 elocationid:457 pages:1-23 https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/10/457/pdf Verlag kostenfrei https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14100457 Resolving-System kostenfrei http://hdl.handle.net/10419/258561 Resolving-System kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_26 ISIL_DE-206 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2403 GBV_ILN_2403 ISIL_DE-LFER AR 14 2021 10 10 457 1-23 26 01 0206 3985353190 x1z 08-10-21 2403 01 DE-LFER 3999950390 00 --%%-- --%%-- n --%%-- l01 09-11-21 2403 01 DE-LFER https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14100457 2403 01 DE-LFER https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/10/457/pdf |
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10.3390/jrfm14100457 doi 10419/258561 hdl (DE-627)1772797375 (DE-599)KXP1772797375 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng G17 G01 D84 jelc Anglin, Paul M. verfasserin (DE-588)170584259 (DE-627)060693843 (DE-576)131456202 aut Analyst forecasts during the COVID-19 pandemic evidence from REITs Paul Anglin, Jianxin Cui, Yanmin Gao and Li Zhang 2021 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier DE-206 Open Access Controlled Vocabulary for Access Rights http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 The COVID-19 pandemic disrupts capital markets and confuses decision makers. This event represents an opportunity to better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the United States, since REITs are relatively transparent during normal times, and since the real estate sector, as a whole, displays wide variations in forecasts during the pandemic. Using data between October 2018 and November 2020, our regression analysis finds that the severity of the pandemic increases analysts' forecast error and dispersion. Government interventions have an offsetting effect, which is relevant during the more severe times. These results are robust to various measures of the severity of the pandemic. We also find that the pandemic has differential effects across property types, where forecast error rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality and Industrial properties, and dispersion rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality, Retail, and Technology properties. DE-206 Namensnennung 4.0 International CC BY 4.0 cc https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ analysts (dpeaa)DE-206 COVID-19 (dpeaa)DE-206 earnings (dpeaa)DE-206 forecast (dpeaa)DE-206 information environment (dpeaa)DE-206 pandemic (dpeaa)DE-206 REITs (dpeaa)DE-206 Cui, Jianxin verfasserin (DE-588)1242732055 (DE-627)177279774X aut Gao, Yanmin verfasserin (DE-588)1242732233 (DE-627)1772798045 aut Zhang, Li verfasserin (DE-588)1154892875 (DE-627)1016235984 (DE-576)501300899 aut Enthalten in Journal of risk and financial management Basel : MDPI, 2008 14(2021), 10 vom: Okt., Artikel-ID 457, Seite 1-23 Online-Ressource (DE-627)770970427 (DE-600)2739117-6 (DE-576)395129494 1911-8074 nnns volume:14 year:2021 number:10 month:10 elocationid:457 pages:1-23 https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/10/457/pdf Verlag kostenfrei https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14100457 Resolving-System kostenfrei http://hdl.handle.net/10419/258561 Resolving-System kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ILN_26 ISIL_DE-206 SYSFLAG_1 GBV_KXP GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_2403 GBV_ILN_2403 ISIL_DE-LFER AR 14 2021 10 10 457 1-23 26 01 0206 3985353190 x1z 08-10-21 2403 01 DE-LFER 3999950390 00 --%%-- --%%-- n --%%-- l01 09-11-21 2403 01 DE-LFER https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14100457 2403 01 DE-LFER https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/10/457/pdf |
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G17 G01 D84 jelc Analyst forecasts during the COVID-19 pandemic evidence from REITs Paul Anglin, Jianxin Cui, Yanmin Gao and Li Zhang analysts (dpeaa)DE-206 COVID-19 (dpeaa)DE-206 earnings (dpeaa)DE-206 forecast (dpeaa)DE-206 information environment (dpeaa)DE-206 pandemic (dpeaa)DE-206 REITs (dpeaa)DE-206 |
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The COVID-19 pandemic disrupts capital markets and confuses decision makers. This event represents an opportunity to better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the United States, since REITs are relatively transparent during normal times, and since the real estate sector, as a whole, displays wide variations in forecasts during the pandemic. Using data between October 2018 and November 2020, our regression analysis finds that the severity of the pandemic increases analysts' forecast error and dispersion. Government interventions have an offsetting effect, which is relevant during the more severe times. These results are robust to various measures of the severity of the pandemic. We also find that the pandemic has differential effects across property types, where forecast error rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality and Industrial properties, and dispersion rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality, Retail, and Technology properties. |
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The COVID-19 pandemic disrupts capital markets and confuses decision makers. This event represents an opportunity to better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the United States, since REITs are relatively transparent during normal times, and since the real estate sector, as a whole, displays wide variations in forecasts during the pandemic. Using data between October 2018 and November 2020, our regression analysis finds that the severity of the pandemic increases analysts' forecast error and dispersion. Government interventions have an offsetting effect, which is relevant during the more severe times. These results are robust to various measures of the severity of the pandemic. We also find that the pandemic has differential effects across property types, where forecast error rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality and Industrial properties, and dispersion rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality, Retail, and Technology properties. |
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The COVID-19 pandemic disrupts capital markets and confuses decision makers. This event represents an opportunity to better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the United States, since REITs are relatively transparent during normal times, and since the real estate sector, as a whole, displays wide variations in forecasts during the pandemic. Using data between October 2018 and November 2020, our regression analysis finds that the severity of the pandemic increases analysts' forecast error and dispersion. Government interventions have an offsetting effect, which is relevant during the more severe times. These results are robust to various measures of the severity of the pandemic. We also find that the pandemic has differential effects across property types, where forecast error rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality and Industrial properties, and dispersion rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality, Retail, and Technology properties. |
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7.401143 |