Sustainability of Forest Cover under Climate Change on the Temperate-Continental Xeric Limits
Climate change particularly threatens the xeric limits of temperate-continental forests. In Hungary, annual temperatures have increased by 1.2 °C–1.8 °C in the last 30 years and the frequency of extreme droughts has grown. With the aim to gain stand-level prospects of susta...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Csaba Mátyás [verfasserIn] Imre Berki [verfasserIn] András Bidló [verfasserIn] György Csóka [verfasserIn] Kornél Czimber [verfasserIn] Ernő Führer [verfasserIn] Borbála Gálos [verfasserIn] Zoltán Gribovszki [verfasserIn] Gábor Illés [verfasserIn] Anikó Hirka [verfasserIn] Zoltán Somogyi [verfasserIn] |
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E-Artikel |
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Sprache: |
Englisch |
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2018 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
In: Forests - MDPI AG, 2010, 9(2018), 8, p 489 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:9 ; year:2018 ; number:8, p 489 |
Links: |
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DOI / URN: |
10.3390/f9080489 |
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Katalog-ID: |
DOAJ005442184 |
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10.3390/f9080489 doi (DE-627)DOAJ005442184 (DE-599)DOAJ5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QK900-989 Csaba Mátyás verfasserin aut Sustainability of Forest Cover under Climate Change on the Temperate-Continental Xeric Limits 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Climate change particularly threatens the xeric limits of temperate-continental forests. In Hungary, annual temperatures have increased by 1.2 °C–1.8 °C in the last 30 years and the frequency of extreme droughts has grown. With the aim to gain stand-level prospects of sustainability, we have used local forest site variables to identify and project effects of recent and expected changes of climate. We have used a climatic descriptor (FAI index) to compare trends estimated from forest datasets with climatological projections; this is likely for the first time such a comparison has been made. Four independent approaches confirmed the near-linear decline of growth and vitality with increasing hot droughts in summer, using sessile oak as model species. The correlation between droughts and the expansion of pest and disease damages was also found to be significant. Projections of expected changes of main site factors predict a dramatic rise of future drought frequency and, consequently, a substantial shift of forest climate classes, especially at low elevation. Excess water-dependent lowland forests may lose supply from groundwater, which may change vegetation cover and soil development processes. The overall change of site conditions not only causes economic losses, but also challenges long-term sustainability of forest cover at the xeric limits. trailing limits site potential change growth decline drought stress pests and diseases mortality adaptation decision support system adaptive forestry sessile oak Plant ecology Imre Berki verfasserin aut András Bidló verfasserin aut György Csóka verfasserin aut Kornél Czimber verfasserin aut Ernő Führer verfasserin aut Borbála Gálos verfasserin aut Zoltán Gribovszki verfasserin aut Gábor Illés verfasserin aut Anikó Hirka verfasserin aut Zoltán Somogyi verfasserin aut In Forests MDPI AG, 2010 9(2018), 8, p 489 (DE-627)614095689 (DE-600)2527081-3 19994907 nnns volume:9 year:2018 number:8, p 489 https://doi.org/10.3390/f9080489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 kostenfrei http://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/9/8/489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 9 2018 8, p 489 |
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10.3390/f9080489 doi (DE-627)DOAJ005442184 (DE-599)DOAJ5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QK900-989 Csaba Mátyás verfasserin aut Sustainability of Forest Cover under Climate Change on the Temperate-Continental Xeric Limits 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Climate change particularly threatens the xeric limits of temperate-continental forests. In Hungary, annual temperatures have increased by 1.2 °C–1.8 °C in the last 30 years and the frequency of extreme droughts has grown. With the aim to gain stand-level prospects of sustainability, we have used local forest site variables to identify and project effects of recent and expected changes of climate. We have used a climatic descriptor (FAI index) to compare trends estimated from forest datasets with climatological projections; this is likely for the first time such a comparison has been made. Four independent approaches confirmed the near-linear decline of growth and vitality with increasing hot droughts in summer, using sessile oak as model species. The correlation between droughts and the expansion of pest and disease damages was also found to be significant. Projections of expected changes of main site factors predict a dramatic rise of future drought frequency and, consequently, a substantial shift of forest climate classes, especially at low elevation. Excess water-dependent lowland forests may lose supply from groundwater, which may change vegetation cover and soil development processes. The overall change of site conditions not only causes economic losses, but also challenges long-term sustainability of forest cover at the xeric limits. trailing limits site potential change growth decline drought stress pests and diseases mortality adaptation decision support system adaptive forestry sessile oak Plant ecology Imre Berki verfasserin aut András Bidló verfasserin aut György Csóka verfasserin aut Kornél Czimber verfasserin aut Ernő Führer verfasserin aut Borbála Gálos verfasserin aut Zoltán Gribovszki verfasserin aut Gábor Illés verfasserin aut Anikó Hirka verfasserin aut Zoltán Somogyi verfasserin aut In Forests MDPI AG, 2010 9(2018), 8, p 489 (DE-627)614095689 (DE-600)2527081-3 19994907 nnns volume:9 year:2018 number:8, p 489 https://doi.org/10.3390/f9080489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 kostenfrei http://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/9/8/489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 9 2018 8, p 489 |
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10.3390/f9080489 doi (DE-627)DOAJ005442184 (DE-599)DOAJ5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QK900-989 Csaba Mátyás verfasserin aut Sustainability of Forest Cover under Climate Change on the Temperate-Continental Xeric Limits 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Climate change particularly threatens the xeric limits of temperate-continental forests. In Hungary, annual temperatures have increased by 1.2 °C–1.8 °C in the last 30 years and the frequency of extreme droughts has grown. With the aim to gain stand-level prospects of sustainability, we have used local forest site variables to identify and project effects of recent and expected changes of climate. We have used a climatic descriptor (FAI index) to compare trends estimated from forest datasets with climatological projections; this is likely for the first time such a comparison has been made. Four independent approaches confirmed the near-linear decline of growth and vitality with increasing hot droughts in summer, using sessile oak as model species. The correlation between droughts and the expansion of pest and disease damages was also found to be significant. Projections of expected changes of main site factors predict a dramatic rise of future drought frequency and, consequently, a substantial shift of forest climate classes, especially at low elevation. Excess water-dependent lowland forests may lose supply from groundwater, which may change vegetation cover and soil development processes. The overall change of site conditions not only causes economic losses, but also challenges long-term sustainability of forest cover at the xeric limits. trailing limits site potential change growth decline drought stress pests and diseases mortality adaptation decision support system adaptive forestry sessile oak Plant ecology Imre Berki verfasserin aut András Bidló verfasserin aut György Csóka verfasserin aut Kornél Czimber verfasserin aut Ernő Führer verfasserin aut Borbála Gálos verfasserin aut Zoltán Gribovszki verfasserin aut Gábor Illés verfasserin aut Anikó Hirka verfasserin aut Zoltán Somogyi verfasserin aut In Forests MDPI AG, 2010 9(2018), 8, p 489 (DE-627)614095689 (DE-600)2527081-3 19994907 nnns volume:9 year:2018 number:8, p 489 https://doi.org/10.3390/f9080489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 kostenfrei http://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/9/8/489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 9 2018 8, p 489 |
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10.3390/f9080489 doi (DE-627)DOAJ005442184 (DE-599)DOAJ5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QK900-989 Csaba Mátyás verfasserin aut Sustainability of Forest Cover under Climate Change on the Temperate-Continental Xeric Limits 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Climate change particularly threatens the xeric limits of temperate-continental forests. In Hungary, annual temperatures have increased by 1.2 °C–1.8 °C in the last 30 years and the frequency of extreme droughts has grown. With the aim to gain stand-level prospects of sustainability, we have used local forest site variables to identify and project effects of recent and expected changes of climate. We have used a climatic descriptor (FAI index) to compare trends estimated from forest datasets with climatological projections; this is likely for the first time such a comparison has been made. Four independent approaches confirmed the near-linear decline of growth and vitality with increasing hot droughts in summer, using sessile oak as model species. The correlation between droughts and the expansion of pest and disease damages was also found to be significant. Projections of expected changes of main site factors predict a dramatic rise of future drought frequency and, consequently, a substantial shift of forest climate classes, especially at low elevation. Excess water-dependent lowland forests may lose supply from groundwater, which may change vegetation cover and soil development processes. The overall change of site conditions not only causes economic losses, but also challenges long-term sustainability of forest cover at the xeric limits. trailing limits site potential change growth decline drought stress pests and diseases mortality adaptation decision support system adaptive forestry sessile oak Plant ecology Imre Berki verfasserin aut András Bidló verfasserin aut György Csóka verfasserin aut Kornél Czimber verfasserin aut Ernő Führer verfasserin aut Borbála Gálos verfasserin aut Zoltán Gribovszki verfasserin aut Gábor Illés verfasserin aut Anikó Hirka verfasserin aut Zoltán Somogyi verfasserin aut In Forests MDPI AG, 2010 9(2018), 8, p 489 (DE-627)614095689 (DE-600)2527081-3 19994907 nnns volume:9 year:2018 number:8, p 489 https://doi.org/10.3390/f9080489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 kostenfrei http://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/9/8/489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 9 2018 8, p 489 |
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10.3390/f9080489 doi (DE-627)DOAJ005442184 (DE-599)DOAJ5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QK900-989 Csaba Mátyás verfasserin aut Sustainability of Forest Cover under Climate Change on the Temperate-Continental Xeric Limits 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Climate change particularly threatens the xeric limits of temperate-continental forests. In Hungary, annual temperatures have increased by 1.2 °C–1.8 °C in the last 30 years and the frequency of extreme droughts has grown. With the aim to gain stand-level prospects of sustainability, we have used local forest site variables to identify and project effects of recent and expected changes of climate. We have used a climatic descriptor (FAI index) to compare trends estimated from forest datasets with climatological projections; this is likely for the first time such a comparison has been made. Four independent approaches confirmed the near-linear decline of growth and vitality with increasing hot droughts in summer, using sessile oak as model species. The correlation between droughts and the expansion of pest and disease damages was also found to be significant. Projections of expected changes of main site factors predict a dramatic rise of future drought frequency and, consequently, a substantial shift of forest climate classes, especially at low elevation. Excess water-dependent lowland forests may lose supply from groundwater, which may change vegetation cover and soil development processes. The overall change of site conditions not only causes economic losses, but also challenges long-term sustainability of forest cover at the xeric limits. trailing limits site potential change growth decline drought stress pests and diseases mortality adaptation decision support system adaptive forestry sessile oak Plant ecology Imre Berki verfasserin aut András Bidló verfasserin aut György Csóka verfasserin aut Kornél Czimber verfasserin aut Ernő Führer verfasserin aut Borbála Gálos verfasserin aut Zoltán Gribovszki verfasserin aut Gábor Illés verfasserin aut Anikó Hirka verfasserin aut Zoltán Somogyi verfasserin aut In Forests MDPI AG, 2010 9(2018), 8, p 489 (DE-627)614095689 (DE-600)2527081-3 19994907 nnns volume:9 year:2018 number:8, p 489 https://doi.org/10.3390/f9080489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/5e9ed44419834a30b56fb23a662b2299 kostenfrei http://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/9/8/489 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 9 2018 8, p 489 |
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Sustainability of Forest Cover under Climate Change on the Temperate-Continental Xeric Limits |
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Climate change particularly threatens the xeric limits of temperate-continental forests. In Hungary, annual temperatures have increased by 1.2 °C–1.8 °C in the last 30 years and the frequency of extreme droughts has grown. With the aim to gain stand-level prospects of sustainability, we have used local forest site variables to identify and project effects of recent and expected changes of climate. We have used a climatic descriptor (FAI index) to compare trends estimated from forest datasets with climatological projections; this is likely for the first time such a comparison has been made. Four independent approaches confirmed the near-linear decline of growth and vitality with increasing hot droughts in summer, using sessile oak as model species. The correlation between droughts and the expansion of pest and disease damages was also found to be significant. Projections of expected changes of main site factors predict a dramatic rise of future drought frequency and, consequently, a substantial shift of forest climate classes, especially at low elevation. Excess water-dependent lowland forests may lose supply from groundwater, which may change vegetation cover and soil development processes. The overall change of site conditions not only causes economic losses, but also challenges long-term sustainability of forest cover at the xeric limits. |
abstractGer |
Climate change particularly threatens the xeric limits of temperate-continental forests. In Hungary, annual temperatures have increased by 1.2 °C–1.8 °C in the last 30 years and the frequency of extreme droughts has grown. With the aim to gain stand-level prospects of sustainability, we have used local forest site variables to identify and project effects of recent and expected changes of climate. We have used a climatic descriptor (FAI index) to compare trends estimated from forest datasets with climatological projections; this is likely for the first time such a comparison has been made. Four independent approaches confirmed the near-linear decline of growth and vitality with increasing hot droughts in summer, using sessile oak as model species. The correlation between droughts and the expansion of pest and disease damages was also found to be significant. Projections of expected changes of main site factors predict a dramatic rise of future drought frequency and, consequently, a substantial shift of forest climate classes, especially at low elevation. Excess water-dependent lowland forests may lose supply from groundwater, which may change vegetation cover and soil development processes. The overall change of site conditions not only causes economic losses, but also challenges long-term sustainability of forest cover at the xeric limits. |
abstract_unstemmed |
Climate change particularly threatens the xeric limits of temperate-continental forests. In Hungary, annual temperatures have increased by 1.2 °C–1.8 °C in the last 30 years and the frequency of extreme droughts has grown. With the aim to gain stand-level prospects of sustainability, we have used local forest site variables to identify and project effects of recent and expected changes of climate. We have used a climatic descriptor (FAI index) to compare trends estimated from forest datasets with climatological projections; this is likely for the first time such a comparison has been made. Four independent approaches confirmed the near-linear decline of growth and vitality with increasing hot droughts in summer, using sessile oak as model species. The correlation between droughts and the expansion of pest and disease damages was also found to be significant. Projections of expected changes of main site factors predict a dramatic rise of future drought frequency and, consequently, a substantial shift of forest climate classes, especially at low elevation. Excess water-dependent lowland forests may lose supply from groundwater, which may change vegetation cover and soil development processes. The overall change of site conditions not only causes economic losses, but also challenges long-term sustainability of forest cover at the xeric limits. |
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Sustainability of Forest Cover under Climate Change on the Temperate-Continental Xeric Limits |
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