Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model

The introduction of renewable energy (RE) is essential for building a sustainable society. However, RE can cause conflicts between energy production and biodiversity conservation. This study conducted a scenario analysis to evaluate potential conflicts in the nexuses between energy and biodiversity for the Bekambeushi River watershed located in northeastern Japan. The increasing rate of pastureland abandonment resulting from a declining farmer population is a source of great uncertainty in this area. Two alternative sources of RE were selected to utilize these abandoned pasturelands, each taking a unique approach to meet targets stipulated by regional energy plans, thereby producing different ecological consequences at the landscape scale. Thirty-one RE introduction options were simulated, comprising a range of pastureland abandonment expansion speeds and ratios of solar photovoltaic (PV) plant installation to biomass energy use. These were superimposed using two IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, 2.6 and 8.5, resulting in 62 scenarios that were summarized as three groups based on the RE supply–demand balance and the ecological impacts. The LANDIS-II model was used to simulate these scenarios from 2016 to 2100. The results indicate that both the rate of pastureland abandonment and the ratio of the two RE sources had a large impact on changes in tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of raptors. Abandoned pastureland converted to tree biomass energy production shifted to pioneer species-dominated forest. The plant species composition of transitional forests varied between the climate scenarios. The higher temperature of the RCP 8.5 scenario toward 2100 prevented the establishment of Betula platyphylla and altered tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of Ketupa blakistoni blakistoni. Biomass energy utilization produced less energy than the demand but increased the three ecological indicators. Solar PV systems provided more energy than the regional demand, but the tree diversity and habitat suitability indices for two raptors declined. However, an appropriate mixture of the two RE sources satisfied the regional energy demand and maintained ecological conditions. Our results suggest that land–energy planning should consider energy–biodiversity nexuses to strike a balance between decarbonization and biodiversity conservation. Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:

Autor*in:	Chihiro Haga [verfasserIn] Marimi Maeda [verfasserIn] Wataru Hotta [verfasserIn] Takahiro Inoue [verfasserIn] Takanori Matsui [verfasserIn] Takashi Machimura [verfasserIn] Masahiro Nakaoka [verfasserIn] Junko Morimoto [verfasserIn] Hideaki Shibata [verfasserIn] Shizuka Hashimoto [verfasserIn] Osamu Saito [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2020

Schlagwörter:	climate change renewable energy mix farmland abandonment solar power generation woody biomass energy LANDIS-II

Übergeordnetes Werk:	In: Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution - Frontiers Media S.A., 2014, 8(2020)
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:8 ; year:2020

Links:	Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Journal toc

DOI / URN:	10.3389/fevo.2020.00155

Katalog-ID:	DOAJ010117423

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allfields	10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 doi (DE-627)DOAJ010117423 (DE-599)DOAJ3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QH359-425 QH540-549.5 Chihiro Haga verfasserin aut Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier The introduction of renewable energy (RE) is essential for building a sustainable society. However, RE can cause conflicts between energy production and biodiversity conservation. This study conducted a scenario analysis to evaluate potential conflicts in the nexuses between energy and biodiversity for the Bekambeushi River watershed located in northeastern Japan. The increasing rate of pastureland abandonment resulting from a declining farmer population is a source of great uncertainty in this area. Two alternative sources of RE were selected to utilize these abandoned pasturelands, each taking a unique approach to meet targets stipulated by regional energy plans, thereby producing different ecological consequences at the landscape scale. Thirty-one RE introduction options were simulated, comprising a range of pastureland abandonment expansion speeds and ratios of solar photovoltaic (PV) plant installation to biomass energy use. These were superimposed using two IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, 2.6 and 8.5, resulting in 62 scenarios that were summarized as three groups based on the RE supply–demand balance and the ecological impacts. The LANDIS-II model was used to simulate these scenarios from 2016 to 2100. The results indicate that both the rate of pastureland abandonment and the ratio of the two RE sources had a large impact on changes in tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of raptors. Abandoned pastureland converted to tree biomass energy production shifted to pioneer species-dominated forest. The plant species composition of transitional forests varied between the climate scenarios. The higher temperature of the RCP 8.5 scenario toward 2100 prevented the establishment of Betula platyphylla and altered tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of Ketupa blakistoni blakistoni. Biomass energy utilization produced less energy than the demand but increased the three ecological indicators. Solar PV systems provided more energy than the regional demand, but the tree diversity and habitat suitability indices for two raptors declined. However, an appropriate mixture of the two RE sources satisfied the regional energy demand and maintained ecological conditions. Our results suggest that land–energy planning should consider energy–biodiversity nexuses to strike a balance between decarbonization and biodiversity conservation. climate change renewable energy mix farmland abandonment solar power generation woody biomass energy LANDIS-II Evolution Ecology Marimi Maeda verfasserin aut Wataru Hotta verfasserin aut Takahiro Inoue verfasserin aut Takanori Matsui verfasserin aut Takashi Machimura verfasserin aut Masahiro Nakaoka verfasserin aut Junko Morimoto verfasserin aut Hideaki Shibata verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Osamu Saito verfasserin aut In Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Frontiers Media S.A., 2014 8(2020) (DE-627)774108215 (DE-600)2745634-1 2296701X nnns volume:8 year:2020 https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac kostenfrei https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155/full kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2296-701X Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2020
spelling	10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 doi (DE-627)DOAJ010117423 (DE-599)DOAJ3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QH359-425 QH540-549.5 Chihiro Haga verfasserin aut Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier The introduction of renewable energy (RE) is essential for building a sustainable society. However, RE can cause conflicts between energy production and biodiversity conservation. This study conducted a scenario analysis to evaluate potential conflicts in the nexuses between energy and biodiversity for the Bekambeushi River watershed located in northeastern Japan. The increasing rate of pastureland abandonment resulting from a declining farmer population is a source of great uncertainty in this area. Two alternative sources of RE were selected to utilize these abandoned pasturelands, each taking a unique approach to meet targets stipulated by regional energy plans, thereby producing different ecological consequences at the landscape scale. Thirty-one RE introduction options were simulated, comprising a range of pastureland abandonment expansion speeds and ratios of solar photovoltaic (PV) plant installation to biomass energy use. These were superimposed using two IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, 2.6 and 8.5, resulting in 62 scenarios that were summarized as three groups based on the RE supply–demand balance and the ecological impacts. The LANDIS-II model was used to simulate these scenarios from 2016 to 2100. The results indicate that both the rate of pastureland abandonment and the ratio of the two RE sources had a large impact on changes in tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of raptors. Abandoned pastureland converted to tree biomass energy production shifted to pioneer species-dominated forest. The plant species composition of transitional forests varied between the climate scenarios. The higher temperature of the RCP 8.5 scenario toward 2100 prevented the establishment of Betula platyphylla and altered tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of Ketupa blakistoni blakistoni. Biomass energy utilization produced less energy than the demand but increased the three ecological indicators. Solar PV systems provided more energy than the regional demand, but the tree diversity and habitat suitability indices for two raptors declined. However, an appropriate mixture of the two RE sources satisfied the regional energy demand and maintained ecological conditions. Our results suggest that land–energy planning should consider energy–biodiversity nexuses to strike a balance between decarbonization and biodiversity conservation. climate change renewable energy mix farmland abandonment solar power generation woody biomass energy LANDIS-II Evolution Ecology Marimi Maeda verfasserin aut Wataru Hotta verfasserin aut Takahiro Inoue verfasserin aut Takanori Matsui verfasserin aut Takashi Machimura verfasserin aut Masahiro Nakaoka verfasserin aut Junko Morimoto verfasserin aut Hideaki Shibata verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Osamu Saito verfasserin aut In Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Frontiers Media S.A., 2014 8(2020) (DE-627)774108215 (DE-600)2745634-1 2296701X nnns volume:8 year:2020 https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac kostenfrei https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155/full kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2296-701X Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2020
allfields_unstemmed	10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 doi (DE-627)DOAJ010117423 (DE-599)DOAJ3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QH359-425 QH540-549.5 Chihiro Haga verfasserin aut Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier The introduction of renewable energy (RE) is essential for building a sustainable society. However, RE can cause conflicts between energy production and biodiversity conservation. This study conducted a scenario analysis to evaluate potential conflicts in the nexuses between energy and biodiversity for the Bekambeushi River watershed located in northeastern Japan. The increasing rate of pastureland abandonment resulting from a declining farmer population is a source of great uncertainty in this area. Two alternative sources of RE were selected to utilize these abandoned pasturelands, each taking a unique approach to meet targets stipulated by regional energy plans, thereby producing different ecological consequences at the landscape scale. Thirty-one RE introduction options were simulated, comprising a range of pastureland abandonment expansion speeds and ratios of solar photovoltaic (PV) plant installation to biomass energy use. These were superimposed using two IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, 2.6 and 8.5, resulting in 62 scenarios that were summarized as three groups based on the RE supply–demand balance and the ecological impacts. The LANDIS-II model was used to simulate these scenarios from 2016 to 2100. The results indicate that both the rate of pastureland abandonment and the ratio of the two RE sources had a large impact on changes in tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of raptors. Abandoned pastureland converted to tree biomass energy production shifted to pioneer species-dominated forest. The plant species composition of transitional forests varied between the climate scenarios. The higher temperature of the RCP 8.5 scenario toward 2100 prevented the establishment of Betula platyphylla and altered tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of Ketupa blakistoni blakistoni. Biomass energy utilization produced less energy than the demand but increased the three ecological indicators. Solar PV systems provided more energy than the regional demand, but the tree diversity and habitat suitability indices for two raptors declined. However, an appropriate mixture of the two RE sources satisfied the regional energy demand and maintained ecological conditions. Our results suggest that land–energy planning should consider energy–biodiversity nexuses to strike a balance between decarbonization and biodiversity conservation. climate change renewable energy mix farmland abandonment solar power generation woody biomass energy LANDIS-II Evolution Ecology Marimi Maeda verfasserin aut Wataru Hotta verfasserin aut Takahiro Inoue verfasserin aut Takanori Matsui verfasserin aut Takashi Machimura verfasserin aut Masahiro Nakaoka verfasserin aut Junko Morimoto verfasserin aut Hideaki Shibata verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Osamu Saito verfasserin aut In Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Frontiers Media S.A., 2014 8(2020) (DE-627)774108215 (DE-600)2745634-1 2296701X nnns volume:8 year:2020 https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac kostenfrei https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155/full kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2296-701X Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2020
allfieldsGer	10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 doi (DE-627)DOAJ010117423 (DE-599)DOAJ3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QH359-425 QH540-549.5 Chihiro Haga verfasserin aut Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier The introduction of renewable energy (RE) is essential for building a sustainable society. However, RE can cause conflicts between energy production and biodiversity conservation. This study conducted a scenario analysis to evaluate potential conflicts in the nexuses between energy and biodiversity for the Bekambeushi River watershed located in northeastern Japan. The increasing rate of pastureland abandonment resulting from a declining farmer population is a source of great uncertainty in this area. Two alternative sources of RE were selected to utilize these abandoned pasturelands, each taking a unique approach to meet targets stipulated by regional energy plans, thereby producing different ecological consequences at the landscape scale. Thirty-one RE introduction options were simulated, comprising a range of pastureland abandonment expansion speeds and ratios of solar photovoltaic (PV) plant installation to biomass energy use. These were superimposed using two IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, 2.6 and 8.5, resulting in 62 scenarios that were summarized as three groups based on the RE supply–demand balance and the ecological impacts. The LANDIS-II model was used to simulate these scenarios from 2016 to 2100. The results indicate that both the rate of pastureland abandonment and the ratio of the two RE sources had a large impact on changes in tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of raptors. Abandoned pastureland converted to tree biomass energy production shifted to pioneer species-dominated forest. The plant species composition of transitional forests varied between the climate scenarios. The higher temperature of the RCP 8.5 scenario toward 2100 prevented the establishment of Betula platyphylla and altered tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of Ketupa blakistoni blakistoni. Biomass energy utilization produced less energy than the demand but increased the three ecological indicators. Solar PV systems provided more energy than the regional demand, but the tree diversity and habitat suitability indices for two raptors declined. However, an appropriate mixture of the two RE sources satisfied the regional energy demand and maintained ecological conditions. Our results suggest that land–energy planning should consider energy–biodiversity nexuses to strike a balance between decarbonization and biodiversity conservation. climate change renewable energy mix farmland abandonment solar power generation woody biomass energy LANDIS-II Evolution Ecology Marimi Maeda verfasserin aut Wataru Hotta verfasserin aut Takahiro Inoue verfasserin aut Takanori Matsui verfasserin aut Takashi Machimura verfasserin aut Masahiro Nakaoka verfasserin aut Junko Morimoto verfasserin aut Hideaki Shibata verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Osamu Saito verfasserin aut In Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Frontiers Media S.A., 2014 8(2020) (DE-627)774108215 (DE-600)2745634-1 2296701X nnns volume:8 year:2020 https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac kostenfrei https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155/full kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2296-701X Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2020
allfieldsSound	10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 doi (DE-627)DOAJ010117423 (DE-599)DOAJ3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng QH359-425 QH540-549.5 Chihiro Haga verfasserin aut Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier The introduction of renewable energy (RE) is essential for building a sustainable society. However, RE can cause conflicts between energy production and biodiversity conservation. This study conducted a scenario analysis to evaluate potential conflicts in the nexuses between energy and biodiversity for the Bekambeushi River watershed located in northeastern Japan. The increasing rate of pastureland abandonment resulting from a declining farmer population is a source of great uncertainty in this area. Two alternative sources of RE were selected to utilize these abandoned pasturelands, each taking a unique approach to meet targets stipulated by regional energy plans, thereby producing different ecological consequences at the landscape scale. Thirty-one RE introduction options were simulated, comprising a range of pastureland abandonment expansion speeds and ratios of solar photovoltaic (PV) plant installation to biomass energy use. These were superimposed using two IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, 2.6 and 8.5, resulting in 62 scenarios that were summarized as three groups based on the RE supply–demand balance and the ecological impacts. The LANDIS-II model was used to simulate these scenarios from 2016 to 2100. The results indicate that both the rate of pastureland abandonment and the ratio of the two RE sources had a large impact on changes in tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of raptors. Abandoned pastureland converted to tree biomass energy production shifted to pioneer species-dominated forest. The plant species composition of transitional forests varied between the climate scenarios. The higher temperature of the RCP 8.5 scenario toward 2100 prevented the establishment of Betula platyphylla and altered tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of Ketupa blakistoni blakistoni. Biomass energy utilization produced less energy than the demand but increased the three ecological indicators. Solar PV systems provided more energy than the regional demand, but the tree diversity and habitat suitability indices for two raptors declined. However, an appropriate mixture of the two RE sources satisfied the regional energy demand and maintained ecological conditions. Our results suggest that land–energy planning should consider energy–biodiversity nexuses to strike a balance between decarbonization and biodiversity conservation. climate change renewable energy mix farmland abandonment solar power generation woody biomass energy LANDIS-II Evolution Ecology Marimi Maeda verfasserin aut Wataru Hotta verfasserin aut Takahiro Inoue verfasserin aut Takanori Matsui verfasserin aut Takashi Machimura verfasserin aut Masahiro Nakaoka verfasserin aut Junko Morimoto verfasserin aut Hideaki Shibata verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Shizuka Hashimoto verfasserin aut Osamu Saito verfasserin aut In Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Frontiers Media S.A., 2014 8(2020) (DE-627)774108215 (DE-600)2745634-1 2296701X nnns volume:8 year:2020 https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac kostenfrei https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155/full kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2296-701X Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2020
language	English
source	In Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 8(2020) volume:8 year:2020
sourceStr	In Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 8(2020) volume:8 year:2020
format_phy_str_mv	Article
institution	findex.gbv.de
topic_facet	climate change renewable energy mix farmland abandonment solar power generation woody biomass energy LANDIS-II Evolution Ecology
isfreeaccess_bool	true
container_title	Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
authorswithroles_txt_mv	Chihiro Haga @@aut@@ Marimi Maeda @@aut@@ Wataru Hotta @@aut@@ Takahiro Inoue @@aut@@ Takanori Matsui @@aut@@ Takashi Machimura @@aut@@ Masahiro Nakaoka @@aut@@ Junko Morimoto @@aut@@ Hideaki Shibata @@aut@@ Shizuka Hashimoto @@aut@@ Osamu Saito @@aut@@
publishDateDaySort_date	2020-01-01T00:00:00Z
hierarchy_top_id	774108215
id	DOAJ010117423
language_de	englisch
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callnumber-first	Q - Science
author	Chihiro Haga
spellingShingle	Chihiro Haga misc QH359-425 misc QH540-549.5 misc climate change misc renewable energy mix misc farmland abandonment misc solar power generation misc woody biomass energy misc LANDIS-II misc Evolution misc Ecology Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model
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topic_title	QH359-425 QH540-549.5 Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model climate change renewable energy mix farmland abandonment solar power generation woody biomass energy LANDIS-II
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title	Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model
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title_full	Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model
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author_browse	Chihiro Haga Marimi Maeda Wataru Hotta Takahiro Inoue Takanori Matsui Takashi Machimura Masahiro Nakaoka Junko Morimoto Hideaki Shibata Shizuka Hashimoto Osamu Saito
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title_sort	scenario analysis of renewable energy–biodiversity nexuses using a forest landscape model
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title_auth	Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model
abstract	The introduction of renewable energy (RE) is essential for building a sustainable society. However, RE can cause conflicts between energy production and biodiversity conservation. This study conducted a scenario analysis to evaluate potential conflicts in the nexuses between energy and biodiversity for the Bekambeushi River watershed located in northeastern Japan. The increasing rate of pastureland abandonment resulting from a declining farmer population is a source of great uncertainty in this area. Two alternative sources of RE were selected to utilize these abandoned pasturelands, each taking a unique approach to meet targets stipulated by regional energy plans, thereby producing different ecological consequences at the landscape scale. Thirty-one RE introduction options were simulated, comprising a range of pastureland abandonment expansion speeds and ratios of solar photovoltaic (PV) plant installation to biomass energy use. These were superimposed using two IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, 2.6 and 8.5, resulting in 62 scenarios that were summarized as three groups based on the RE supply–demand balance and the ecological impacts. The LANDIS-II model was used to simulate these scenarios from 2016 to 2100. The results indicate that both the rate of pastureland abandonment and the ratio of the two RE sources had a large impact on changes in tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of raptors. Abandoned pastureland converted to tree biomass energy production shifted to pioneer species-dominated forest. The plant species composition of transitional forests varied between the climate scenarios. The higher temperature of the RCP 8.5 scenario toward 2100 prevented the establishment of Betula platyphylla and altered tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of Ketupa blakistoni blakistoni. Biomass energy utilization produced less energy than the demand but increased the three ecological indicators. Solar PV systems provided more energy than the regional demand, but the tree diversity and habitat suitability indices for two raptors declined. However, an appropriate mixture of the two RE sources satisfied the regional energy demand and maintained ecological conditions. Our results suggest that land–energy planning should consider energy–biodiversity nexuses to strike a balance between decarbonization and biodiversity conservation.
abstractGer	The introduction of renewable energy (RE) is essential for building a sustainable society. However, RE can cause conflicts between energy production and biodiversity conservation. This study conducted a scenario analysis to evaluate potential conflicts in the nexuses between energy and biodiversity for the Bekambeushi River watershed located in northeastern Japan. The increasing rate of pastureland abandonment resulting from a declining farmer population is a source of great uncertainty in this area. Two alternative sources of RE were selected to utilize these abandoned pasturelands, each taking a unique approach to meet targets stipulated by regional energy plans, thereby producing different ecological consequences at the landscape scale. Thirty-one RE introduction options were simulated, comprising a range of pastureland abandonment expansion speeds and ratios of solar photovoltaic (PV) plant installation to biomass energy use. These were superimposed using two IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, 2.6 and 8.5, resulting in 62 scenarios that were summarized as three groups based on the RE supply–demand balance and the ecological impacts. The LANDIS-II model was used to simulate these scenarios from 2016 to 2100. The results indicate that both the rate of pastureland abandonment and the ratio of the two RE sources had a large impact on changes in tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of raptors. Abandoned pastureland converted to tree biomass energy production shifted to pioneer species-dominated forest. The plant species composition of transitional forests varied between the climate scenarios. The higher temperature of the RCP 8.5 scenario toward 2100 prevented the establishment of Betula platyphylla and altered tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of Ketupa blakistoni blakistoni. Biomass energy utilization produced less energy than the demand but increased the three ecological indicators. Solar PV systems provided more energy than the regional demand, but the tree diversity and habitat suitability indices for two raptors declined. However, an appropriate mixture of the two RE sources satisfied the regional energy demand and maintained ecological conditions. Our results suggest that land–energy planning should consider energy–biodiversity nexuses to strike a balance between decarbonization and biodiversity conservation.
abstract_unstemmed	The introduction of renewable energy (RE) is essential for building a sustainable society. However, RE can cause conflicts between energy production and biodiversity conservation. This study conducted a scenario analysis to evaluate potential conflicts in the nexuses between energy and biodiversity for the Bekambeushi River watershed located in northeastern Japan. The increasing rate of pastureland abandonment resulting from a declining farmer population is a source of great uncertainty in this area. Two alternative sources of RE were selected to utilize these abandoned pasturelands, each taking a unique approach to meet targets stipulated by regional energy plans, thereby producing different ecological consequences at the landscape scale. Thirty-one RE introduction options were simulated, comprising a range of pastureland abandonment expansion speeds and ratios of solar photovoltaic (PV) plant installation to biomass energy use. These were superimposed using two IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, 2.6 and 8.5, resulting in 62 scenarios that were summarized as three groups based on the RE supply–demand balance and the ecological impacts. The LANDIS-II model was used to simulate these scenarios from 2016 to 2100. The results indicate that both the rate of pastureland abandonment and the ratio of the two RE sources had a large impact on changes in tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of raptors. Abandoned pastureland converted to tree biomass energy production shifted to pioneer species-dominated forest. The plant species composition of transitional forests varied between the climate scenarios. The higher temperature of the RCP 8.5 scenario toward 2100 prevented the establishment of Betula platyphylla and altered tree species diversity and the habitat suitability of Ketupa blakistoni blakistoni. Biomass energy utilization produced less energy than the demand but increased the three ecological indicators. Solar PV systems provided more energy than the regional demand, but the tree diversity and habitat suitability indices for two raptors declined. However, an appropriate mixture of the two RE sources satisfied the regional energy demand and maintained ecological conditions. Our results suggest that land–energy planning should consider energy–biodiversity nexuses to strike a balance between decarbonization and biodiversity conservation.
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title_short	Scenario Analysis of Renewable Energy–Biodiversity Nexuses Using a Forest Landscape Model
url	https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155 https://doaj.org/article/3dbcbd812b5f49cf9139a8e7485770ac https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2020.00155/full https://doaj.org/toc/2296-701X
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author2	Marimi Maeda Wataru Hotta Takahiro Inoue Takanori Matsui Takashi Machimura Masahiro Nakaoka Junko Morimoto Hideaki Shibata Shizuka Hashimoto Osamu Saito
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