The spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios

Revealing the future spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave impacts on crops due to global climate change is of great scientific significance for climate change-related agricultural hazards prevention. However, the prediction of future wheat heatwave considering the planting distribution, growth peri...
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Autor*in:	Qinghua Jiang [verfasserIn] Yaojie Yue [verfasserIn] Lu Gao [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2019

Schlagwörter:	climate change heatwave hazard assessment wheat rcp8.5 scenario northern china

Übergeordnetes Werk:	In: Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk - Taylor & Francis Group, 2016, 10(2019), 1, Seite 2346-2367
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:10 ; year:2019 ; number:1 ; pages:2346-2367

Links:	Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Journal toc Journal toc

DOI / URN:	10.1080/19475705.2019.1693435

Katalog-ID:	DOAJ040968472

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callnumber-first	T - Technology
author	Qinghua Jiang
spellingShingle	Qinghua Jiang misc TD1-1066 misc GE1-350 misc climate change misc heatwave hazard assessment misc wheat misc rcp8.5 scenario misc northern china misc Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering misc Environmental sciences misc Risk in industry. Risk management misc HD61 The spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios
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topic_title	TD1-1066 GE1-350 The spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios climate change heatwave hazard assessment wheat rcp8.5 scenario northern china
topic	misc TD1-1066 misc GE1-350 misc climate change misc heatwave hazard assessment misc wheat misc rcp8.5 scenario misc northern china misc Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering misc Environmental sciences misc Risk in industry. Risk management misc HD61
topic_unstemmed	misc TD1-1066 misc GE1-350 misc climate change misc heatwave hazard assessment misc wheat misc rcp8.5 scenario misc northern china misc Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering misc Environmental sciences misc Risk in industry. Risk management misc HD61
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title	The spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios
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title_full	The spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios
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title_sort	spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern china under extreme climate scenarios
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title_auth	The spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios
abstract	Revealing the future spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave impacts on crops due to global climate change is of great scientific significance for climate change-related agricultural hazards prevention. However, the prediction of future wheat heatwave considering the planting distribution, growth period of wheat, as well as heatwave frequencies, days, and intensities remain poorly understood. In this paper, using predicted meteorological data of the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario from 2011 to 2099 as well as a set of indicators that include heatwave days, frequencies and effective accumulative high temperatures, a comprehensive evaluation was performed to characterize the spatial-temporal variability of the heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios. The results indicate that heatwaves across the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, Xinjiang, western Gansu and the agro-pastoral ecotone are most frequent in the long-term. Heatwaves show significant increasing trends with regard to future occurrence frequency, days and intensities. The heatwave hazard on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, Northeast China, and the agro-pastoral ecotone shows a rapid growth trend, and there is a clear transition from relatively low heatwave hazard to a higher hazard. We argue that the continuous increase in heatwaves may pose a great threat to wheat production in northern China.
abstractGer	Revealing the future spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave impacts on crops due to global climate change is of great scientific significance for climate change-related agricultural hazards prevention. However, the prediction of future wheat heatwave considering the planting distribution, growth period of wheat, as well as heatwave frequencies, days, and intensities remain poorly understood. In this paper, using predicted meteorological data of the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario from 2011 to 2099 as well as a set of indicators that include heatwave days, frequencies and effective accumulative high temperatures, a comprehensive evaluation was performed to characterize the spatial-temporal variability of the heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios. The results indicate that heatwaves across the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, Xinjiang, western Gansu and the agro-pastoral ecotone are most frequent in the long-term. Heatwaves show significant increasing trends with regard to future occurrence frequency, days and intensities. The heatwave hazard on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, Northeast China, and the agro-pastoral ecotone shows a rapid growth trend, and there is a clear transition from relatively low heatwave hazard to a higher hazard. We argue that the continuous increase in heatwaves may pose a great threat to wheat production in northern China.
abstract_unstemmed	Revealing the future spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave impacts on crops due to global climate change is of great scientific significance for climate change-related agricultural hazards prevention. However, the prediction of future wheat heatwave considering the planting distribution, growth period of wheat, as well as heatwave frequencies, days, and intensities remain poorly understood. In this paper, using predicted meteorological data of the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario from 2011 to 2099 as well as a set of indicators that include heatwave days, frequencies and effective accumulative high temperatures, a comprehensive evaluation was performed to characterize the spatial-temporal variability of the heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios. The results indicate that heatwaves across the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, Xinjiang, western Gansu and the agro-pastoral ecotone are most frequent in the long-term. Heatwaves show significant increasing trends with regard to future occurrence frequency, days and intensities. The heatwave hazard on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, Northeast China, and the agro-pastoral ecotone shows a rapid growth trend, and there is a clear transition from relatively low heatwave hazard to a higher hazard. We argue that the continuous increase in heatwaves may pose a great threat to wheat production in northern China.
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title_short	The spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios
url	https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2019.1693435 https://doaj.org/article/7e9a7d6510fa422c885382cad28cd3ce http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2019.1693435 https://doaj.org/toc/1947-5705 https://doaj.org/toc/1947-5713
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The spatial-temporal patterns of heatwave hazard impacts on wheat in northern China under extreme climate scenarios

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