Developing WHO guidelines: Time to formally include evidence from mathematical modelling studies [version 2; referees: 2 approved]
In recent years, the number of mathematical modelling studies has increased steeply. Many of the questions addressed in these studies are relevant to the development of World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, but modelling studies are rarely formally included as part of the body of evidence. An...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Matthias Egger [verfasserIn] Leigh Johnson [verfasserIn] Christian Althaus [verfasserIn] Anna Schöni [verfasserIn] Georgia Salanti [verfasserIn] Nicola Low [verfasserIn] Susan L. Norris [verfasserIn] |
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E-Artikel |
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Englisch |
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2018 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
In: F1000Research - F1000 Research Ltd, 2013, 6(2018) |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:6 ; year:2018 |
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DOI / URN: |
10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 |
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Katalog-ID: |
DOAJ044419465 |
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10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 doi (DE-627)DOAJ044419465 (DE-599)DOAJ2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Matthias Egger verfasserin aut Developing WHO guidelines: Time to formally include evidence from mathematical modelling studies [version 2; referees: 2 approved] 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier In recent years, the number of mathematical modelling studies has increased steeply. Many of the questions addressed in these studies are relevant to the development of World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, but modelling studies are rarely formally included as part of the body of evidence. An expert consultation hosted by WHO, a survey of modellers and users of modelling studies, and literature reviews informed the development of recommendations on when and how to incorporate the results of modelling studies into WHO guidelines. In this article, we argue that modelling studies should routinely be considered in the process of developing WHO guidelines, but particularly in the evaluation of public health programmes, long-term effectiveness or comparative effectiveness. There should be a systematic and transparent approach to identifying relevant published models, and to commissioning new models. We believe that the inclusion of evidence from modelling studies into the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) process is possible and desirable, with relatively few adaptations. No single “one-size-fits-all” approach is appropriate to assess the quality of modelling studies. The concept of the ‘credibility’ of the model, which takes the conceptualization of the problem, model structure, input data, different dimensions of uncertainty, as well as transparency and validation into account, is more appropriate than ‘risk of bias’. Methods of Clinical Decision-Making Statistical Methodologies & Health Informatics Medicine R Science Q Leigh Johnson verfasserin aut Christian Althaus verfasserin aut Anna Schöni verfasserin aut Georgia Salanti verfasserin aut Nicola Low verfasserin aut Susan L. Norris verfasserin aut In F1000Research F1000 Research Ltd, 2013 6(2018) (DE-627)735133581 (DE-600)2699932-8 20461402 nnns volume:6 year:2018 https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 kostenfrei https://f1000research.com/articles/6-1584/v2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2046-1402 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 6 2018 |
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10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 doi (DE-627)DOAJ044419465 (DE-599)DOAJ2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Matthias Egger verfasserin aut Developing WHO guidelines: Time to formally include evidence from mathematical modelling studies [version 2; referees: 2 approved] 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier In recent years, the number of mathematical modelling studies has increased steeply. Many of the questions addressed in these studies are relevant to the development of World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, but modelling studies are rarely formally included as part of the body of evidence. An expert consultation hosted by WHO, a survey of modellers and users of modelling studies, and literature reviews informed the development of recommendations on when and how to incorporate the results of modelling studies into WHO guidelines. In this article, we argue that modelling studies should routinely be considered in the process of developing WHO guidelines, but particularly in the evaluation of public health programmes, long-term effectiveness or comparative effectiveness. There should be a systematic and transparent approach to identifying relevant published models, and to commissioning new models. We believe that the inclusion of evidence from modelling studies into the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) process is possible and desirable, with relatively few adaptations. No single “one-size-fits-all” approach is appropriate to assess the quality of modelling studies. The concept of the ‘credibility’ of the model, which takes the conceptualization of the problem, model structure, input data, different dimensions of uncertainty, as well as transparency and validation into account, is more appropriate than ‘risk of bias’. Methods of Clinical Decision-Making Statistical Methodologies & Health Informatics Medicine R Science Q Leigh Johnson verfasserin aut Christian Althaus verfasserin aut Anna Schöni verfasserin aut Georgia Salanti verfasserin aut Nicola Low verfasserin aut Susan L. Norris verfasserin aut In F1000Research F1000 Research Ltd, 2013 6(2018) (DE-627)735133581 (DE-600)2699932-8 20461402 nnns volume:6 year:2018 https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 kostenfrei https://f1000research.com/articles/6-1584/v2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2046-1402 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 6 2018 |
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10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 doi (DE-627)DOAJ044419465 (DE-599)DOAJ2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Matthias Egger verfasserin aut Developing WHO guidelines: Time to formally include evidence from mathematical modelling studies [version 2; referees: 2 approved] 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier In recent years, the number of mathematical modelling studies has increased steeply. Many of the questions addressed in these studies are relevant to the development of World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, but modelling studies are rarely formally included as part of the body of evidence. An expert consultation hosted by WHO, a survey of modellers and users of modelling studies, and literature reviews informed the development of recommendations on when and how to incorporate the results of modelling studies into WHO guidelines. In this article, we argue that modelling studies should routinely be considered in the process of developing WHO guidelines, but particularly in the evaluation of public health programmes, long-term effectiveness or comparative effectiveness. There should be a systematic and transparent approach to identifying relevant published models, and to commissioning new models. We believe that the inclusion of evidence from modelling studies into the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) process is possible and desirable, with relatively few adaptations. No single “one-size-fits-all” approach is appropriate to assess the quality of modelling studies. The concept of the ‘credibility’ of the model, which takes the conceptualization of the problem, model structure, input data, different dimensions of uncertainty, as well as transparency and validation into account, is more appropriate than ‘risk of bias’. Methods of Clinical Decision-Making Statistical Methodologies & Health Informatics Medicine R Science Q Leigh Johnson verfasserin aut Christian Althaus verfasserin aut Anna Schöni verfasserin aut Georgia Salanti verfasserin aut Nicola Low verfasserin aut Susan L. Norris verfasserin aut In F1000Research F1000 Research Ltd, 2013 6(2018) (DE-627)735133581 (DE-600)2699932-8 20461402 nnns volume:6 year:2018 https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 kostenfrei https://f1000research.com/articles/6-1584/v2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2046-1402 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 6 2018 |
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10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 doi (DE-627)DOAJ044419465 (DE-599)DOAJ2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Matthias Egger verfasserin aut Developing WHO guidelines: Time to formally include evidence from mathematical modelling studies [version 2; referees: 2 approved] 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier In recent years, the number of mathematical modelling studies has increased steeply. Many of the questions addressed in these studies are relevant to the development of World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, but modelling studies are rarely formally included as part of the body of evidence. An expert consultation hosted by WHO, a survey of modellers and users of modelling studies, and literature reviews informed the development of recommendations on when and how to incorporate the results of modelling studies into WHO guidelines. In this article, we argue that modelling studies should routinely be considered in the process of developing WHO guidelines, but particularly in the evaluation of public health programmes, long-term effectiveness or comparative effectiveness. There should be a systematic and transparent approach to identifying relevant published models, and to commissioning new models. We believe that the inclusion of evidence from modelling studies into the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) process is possible and desirable, with relatively few adaptations. No single “one-size-fits-all” approach is appropriate to assess the quality of modelling studies. The concept of the ‘credibility’ of the model, which takes the conceptualization of the problem, model structure, input data, different dimensions of uncertainty, as well as transparency and validation into account, is more appropriate than ‘risk of bias’. Methods of Clinical Decision-Making Statistical Methodologies & Health Informatics Medicine R Science Q Leigh Johnson verfasserin aut Christian Althaus verfasserin aut Anna Schöni verfasserin aut Georgia Salanti verfasserin aut Nicola Low verfasserin aut Susan L. Norris verfasserin aut In F1000Research F1000 Research Ltd, 2013 6(2018) (DE-627)735133581 (DE-600)2699932-8 20461402 nnns volume:6 year:2018 https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 kostenfrei https://f1000research.com/articles/6-1584/v2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2046-1402 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 6 2018 |
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10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 doi (DE-627)DOAJ044419465 (DE-599)DOAJ2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Matthias Egger verfasserin aut Developing WHO guidelines: Time to formally include evidence from mathematical modelling studies [version 2; referees: 2 approved] 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier In recent years, the number of mathematical modelling studies has increased steeply. Many of the questions addressed in these studies are relevant to the development of World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, but modelling studies are rarely formally included as part of the body of evidence. An expert consultation hosted by WHO, a survey of modellers and users of modelling studies, and literature reviews informed the development of recommendations on when and how to incorporate the results of modelling studies into WHO guidelines. In this article, we argue that modelling studies should routinely be considered in the process of developing WHO guidelines, but particularly in the evaluation of public health programmes, long-term effectiveness or comparative effectiveness. There should be a systematic and transparent approach to identifying relevant published models, and to commissioning new models. We believe that the inclusion of evidence from modelling studies into the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) process is possible and desirable, with relatively few adaptations. No single “one-size-fits-all” approach is appropriate to assess the quality of modelling studies. The concept of the ‘credibility’ of the model, which takes the conceptualization of the problem, model structure, input data, different dimensions of uncertainty, as well as transparency and validation into account, is more appropriate than ‘risk of bias’. Methods of Clinical Decision-Making Statistical Methodologies & Health Informatics Medicine R Science Q Leigh Johnson verfasserin aut Christian Althaus verfasserin aut Anna Schöni verfasserin aut Georgia Salanti verfasserin aut Nicola Low verfasserin aut Susan L. Norris verfasserin aut In F1000Research F1000 Research Ltd, 2013 6(2018) (DE-627)735133581 (DE-600)2699932-8 20461402 nnns volume:6 year:2018 https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.12367.2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/2bd577efadd34747bf29667fe0ed6314 kostenfrei https://f1000research.com/articles/6-1584/v2 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2046-1402 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 6 2018 |
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Developing WHO guidelines: Time to formally include evidence from mathematical modelling studies [version 2; referees: 2 approved] |
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In recent years, the number of mathematical modelling studies has increased steeply. Many of the questions addressed in these studies are relevant to the development of World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, but modelling studies are rarely formally included as part of the body of evidence. An expert consultation hosted by WHO, a survey of modellers and users of modelling studies, and literature reviews informed the development of recommendations on when and how to incorporate the results of modelling studies into WHO guidelines. In this article, we argue that modelling studies should routinely be considered in the process of developing WHO guidelines, but particularly in the evaluation of public health programmes, long-term effectiveness or comparative effectiveness. There should be a systematic and transparent approach to identifying relevant published models, and to commissioning new models. We believe that the inclusion of evidence from modelling studies into the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) process is possible and desirable, with relatively few adaptations. No single “one-size-fits-all” approach is appropriate to assess the quality of modelling studies. The concept of the ‘credibility’ of the model, which takes the conceptualization of the problem, model structure, input data, different dimensions of uncertainty, as well as transparency and validation into account, is more appropriate than ‘risk of bias’. |
abstractGer |
In recent years, the number of mathematical modelling studies has increased steeply. Many of the questions addressed in these studies are relevant to the development of World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, but modelling studies are rarely formally included as part of the body of evidence. An expert consultation hosted by WHO, a survey of modellers and users of modelling studies, and literature reviews informed the development of recommendations on when and how to incorporate the results of modelling studies into WHO guidelines. In this article, we argue that modelling studies should routinely be considered in the process of developing WHO guidelines, but particularly in the evaluation of public health programmes, long-term effectiveness or comparative effectiveness. There should be a systematic and transparent approach to identifying relevant published models, and to commissioning new models. We believe that the inclusion of evidence from modelling studies into the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) process is possible and desirable, with relatively few adaptations. No single “one-size-fits-all” approach is appropriate to assess the quality of modelling studies. The concept of the ‘credibility’ of the model, which takes the conceptualization of the problem, model structure, input data, different dimensions of uncertainty, as well as transparency and validation into account, is more appropriate than ‘risk of bias’. |
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In recent years, the number of mathematical modelling studies has increased steeply. Many of the questions addressed in these studies are relevant to the development of World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, but modelling studies are rarely formally included as part of the body of evidence. An expert consultation hosted by WHO, a survey of modellers and users of modelling studies, and literature reviews informed the development of recommendations on when and how to incorporate the results of modelling studies into WHO guidelines. In this article, we argue that modelling studies should routinely be considered in the process of developing WHO guidelines, but particularly in the evaluation of public health programmes, long-term effectiveness or comparative effectiveness. There should be a systematic and transparent approach to identifying relevant published models, and to commissioning new models. We believe that the inclusion of evidence from modelling studies into the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) process is possible and desirable, with relatively few adaptations. No single “one-size-fits-all” approach is appropriate to assess the quality of modelling studies. The concept of the ‘credibility’ of the model, which takes the conceptualization of the problem, model structure, input data, different dimensions of uncertainty, as well as transparency and validation into account, is more appropriate than ‘risk of bias’. |
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Developing WHO guidelines: Time to formally include evidence from mathematical modelling studies [version 2; referees: 2 approved] |
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