Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis
Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes....
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Lewis H Ziska, PhD [verfasserIn] László Makra, ProfPhD [verfasserIn] Susan K Harry, AAS [verfasserIn] Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD [verfasserIn] Marijke Hendrickx, PhD [verfasserIn] Frances Coates, MS [verfasserIn] Annika Saarto, PhD [verfasserIn] Michel Thibaudon, PhD [verfasserIn] Gilles Oliver, MSc [verfasserIn] Athanasios Damialis, PhD [verfasserIn] Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD [verfasserIn] Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD [verfasserIn] Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD [verfasserIn] Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc [verfasserIn] Maira Bonini, PhD [verfasserIn] Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD [verfasserIn] Krista Sullivan, BSc [verfasserIn] Linda Ford, MD [verfasserIn] G Daniel Brooks, MD [verfasserIn] Dorota Myszkowska, DSc [verfasserIn] Elena Severova, PhD [verfasserIn] Regula Gehrig, PhD [verfasserIn] Germán Darío Ramón, MD [verfasserIn] Paul J Beggs, PhD [verfasserIn] Kim Knowlton, DSc [verfasserIn] Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2019 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
In: The Lancet Planetary Health - Elsevier, 2018, 3(2019), 3, Seite e124-e131 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:3 ; year:2019 ; number:3 ; pages:e124-e131 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 |
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DOAJ053453247 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis |
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| 520 | |a Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. Funding: None. | ||
| 653 | 0 | |a Environmental sciences | |
| 700 | 0 | |a László Makra, ProfPhD |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Susan K Harry, AAS |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Marijke Hendrickx, PhD |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Frances Coates, MS |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Annika Saarto, PhD |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Michel Thibaudon, PhD |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Gilles Oliver, MSc |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Athanasios Damialis, PhD |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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| 700 | 0 | |a Krista Sullivan, BSc |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Linda Ford, MD |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 doi (DE-627)DOAJ053453247 (DE-599)DOAJ8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng GE1-350 Lewis H Ziska, PhD verfasserin aut Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. Funding: None. Environmental sciences László Makra, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Susan K Harry, AAS verfasserin aut Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD verfasserin aut Marijke Hendrickx, PhD verfasserin aut Frances Coates, MS verfasserin aut Annika Saarto, PhD verfasserin aut Michel Thibaudon, PhD verfasserin aut Gilles Oliver, MSc verfasserin aut Athanasios Damialis, PhD verfasserin aut Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD verfasserin aut Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD verfasserin aut Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc verfasserin aut Maira Bonini, PhD verfasserin aut Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD verfasserin aut Krista Sullivan, BSc verfasserin aut Linda Ford, MD verfasserin aut G Daniel Brooks, MD verfasserin aut Dorota Myszkowska, DSc verfasserin aut Elena Severova, PhD verfasserin aut Regula Gehrig, PhD verfasserin aut Germán Darío Ramón, MD verfasserin aut Paul J Beggs, PhD verfasserin aut Kim Knowlton, DSc verfasserin aut Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP verfasserin aut In The Lancet Planetary Health Elsevier, 2018 3(2019), 3, Seite e124-e131 (DE-627)895241757 (DE-600)2902154-6 25425196 nnns volume:3 year:2019 number:3 pages:e124-e131 https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 kostenfrei http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542519619300154 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2542-5196 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 3 2019 3 e124-e131 |
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10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 doi (DE-627)DOAJ053453247 (DE-599)DOAJ8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng GE1-350 Lewis H Ziska, PhD verfasserin aut Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. Funding: None. Environmental sciences László Makra, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Susan K Harry, AAS verfasserin aut Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD verfasserin aut Marijke Hendrickx, PhD verfasserin aut Frances Coates, MS verfasserin aut Annika Saarto, PhD verfasserin aut Michel Thibaudon, PhD verfasserin aut Gilles Oliver, MSc verfasserin aut Athanasios Damialis, PhD verfasserin aut Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD verfasserin aut Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD verfasserin aut Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc verfasserin aut Maira Bonini, PhD verfasserin aut Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD verfasserin aut Krista Sullivan, BSc verfasserin aut Linda Ford, MD verfasserin aut G Daniel Brooks, MD verfasserin aut Dorota Myszkowska, DSc verfasserin aut Elena Severova, PhD verfasserin aut Regula Gehrig, PhD verfasserin aut Germán Darío Ramón, MD verfasserin aut Paul J Beggs, PhD verfasserin aut Kim Knowlton, DSc verfasserin aut Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP verfasserin aut In The Lancet Planetary Health Elsevier, 2018 3(2019), 3, Seite e124-e131 (DE-627)895241757 (DE-600)2902154-6 25425196 nnns volume:3 year:2019 number:3 pages:e124-e131 https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 kostenfrei http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542519619300154 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2542-5196 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 3 2019 3 e124-e131 |
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10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 doi (DE-627)DOAJ053453247 (DE-599)DOAJ8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng GE1-350 Lewis H Ziska, PhD verfasserin aut Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. Funding: None. Environmental sciences László Makra, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Susan K Harry, AAS verfasserin aut Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD verfasserin aut Marijke Hendrickx, PhD verfasserin aut Frances Coates, MS verfasserin aut Annika Saarto, PhD verfasserin aut Michel Thibaudon, PhD verfasserin aut Gilles Oliver, MSc verfasserin aut Athanasios Damialis, PhD verfasserin aut Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD verfasserin aut Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD verfasserin aut Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc verfasserin aut Maira Bonini, PhD verfasserin aut Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD verfasserin aut Krista Sullivan, BSc verfasserin aut Linda Ford, MD verfasserin aut G Daniel Brooks, MD verfasserin aut Dorota Myszkowska, DSc verfasserin aut Elena Severova, PhD verfasserin aut Regula Gehrig, PhD verfasserin aut Germán Darío Ramón, MD verfasserin aut Paul J Beggs, PhD verfasserin aut Kim Knowlton, DSc verfasserin aut Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP verfasserin aut In The Lancet Planetary Health Elsevier, 2018 3(2019), 3, Seite e124-e131 (DE-627)895241757 (DE-600)2902154-6 25425196 nnns volume:3 year:2019 number:3 pages:e124-e131 https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 kostenfrei http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542519619300154 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2542-5196 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 3 2019 3 e124-e131 |
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10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 doi (DE-627)DOAJ053453247 (DE-599)DOAJ8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng GE1-350 Lewis H Ziska, PhD verfasserin aut Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. Funding: None. Environmental sciences László Makra, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Susan K Harry, AAS verfasserin aut Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD verfasserin aut Marijke Hendrickx, PhD verfasserin aut Frances Coates, MS verfasserin aut Annika Saarto, PhD verfasserin aut Michel Thibaudon, PhD verfasserin aut Gilles Oliver, MSc verfasserin aut Athanasios Damialis, PhD verfasserin aut Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD verfasserin aut Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD verfasserin aut Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc verfasserin aut Maira Bonini, PhD verfasserin aut Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD verfasserin aut Krista Sullivan, BSc verfasserin aut Linda Ford, MD verfasserin aut G Daniel Brooks, MD verfasserin aut Dorota Myszkowska, DSc verfasserin aut Elena Severova, PhD verfasserin aut Regula Gehrig, PhD verfasserin aut Germán Darío Ramón, MD verfasserin aut Paul J Beggs, PhD verfasserin aut Kim Knowlton, DSc verfasserin aut Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP verfasserin aut In The Lancet Planetary Health Elsevier, 2018 3(2019), 3, Seite e124-e131 (DE-627)895241757 (DE-600)2902154-6 25425196 nnns volume:3 year:2019 number:3 pages:e124-e131 https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 kostenfrei http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542519619300154 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2542-5196 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 3 2019 3 e124-e131 |
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10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 doi (DE-627)DOAJ053453247 (DE-599)DOAJ8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng GE1-350 Lewis H Ziska, PhD verfasserin aut Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. Funding: None. Environmental sciences László Makra, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Susan K Harry, AAS verfasserin aut Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD verfasserin aut Marijke Hendrickx, PhD verfasserin aut Frances Coates, MS verfasserin aut Annika Saarto, PhD verfasserin aut Michel Thibaudon, PhD verfasserin aut Gilles Oliver, MSc verfasserin aut Athanasios Damialis, PhD verfasserin aut Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD verfasserin aut Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD verfasserin aut Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD verfasserin aut Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc verfasserin aut Maira Bonini, PhD verfasserin aut Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD verfasserin aut Krista Sullivan, BSc verfasserin aut Linda Ford, MD verfasserin aut G Daniel Brooks, MD verfasserin aut Dorota Myszkowska, DSc verfasserin aut Elena Severova, PhD verfasserin aut Regula Gehrig, PhD verfasserin aut Germán Darío Ramón, MD verfasserin aut Paul J Beggs, PhD verfasserin aut Kim Knowlton, DSc verfasserin aut Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP verfasserin aut In The Lancet Planetary Health Elsevier, 2018 3(2019), 3, Seite e124-e131 (DE-627)895241757 (DE-600)2902154-6 25425196 nnns volume:3 year:2019 number:3 pages:e124-e131 https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 kostenfrei http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542519619300154 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2542-5196 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 3 2019 3 e124-e131 |
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Lewis H Ziska, PhD @@aut@@ László Makra, ProfPhD @@aut@@ Susan K Harry, AAS @@aut@@ Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD @@aut@@ Marijke Hendrickx, PhD @@aut@@ Frances Coates, MS @@aut@@ Annika Saarto, PhD @@aut@@ Michel Thibaudon, PhD @@aut@@ Gilles Oliver, MSc @@aut@@ Athanasios Damialis, PhD @@aut@@ Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD @@aut@@ Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD @@aut@@ Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD @@aut@@ Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc @@aut@@ Maira Bonini, PhD @@aut@@ Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD @@aut@@ Krista Sullivan, BSc @@aut@@ Linda Ford, MD @@aut@@ G Daniel Brooks, MD @@aut@@ Dorota Myszkowska, DSc @@aut@@ Elena Severova, PhD @@aut@@ Regula Gehrig, PhD @@aut@@ Germán Darío Ramón, MD @@aut@@ Paul J Beggs, PhD @@aut@@ Kim Knowlton, DSc @@aut@@ Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP @@aut@@ |
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<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">DOAJ053453247</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230308174033.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">230227s2019 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)DOAJ053453247</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)DOAJ8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="050" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">GE1-350</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Lewis H Ziska, PhD</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2019</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. 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GE1-350 Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis |
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Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis |
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Lewis H Ziska, PhD László Makra, ProfPhD Susan K Harry, AAS Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD Marijke Hendrickx, PhD Frances Coates, MS Annika Saarto, PhD Michel Thibaudon, PhD Gilles Oliver, MSc Athanasios Damialis, PhD Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc Maira Bonini, PhD Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD Krista Sullivan, BSc Linda Ford, MD G Daniel Brooks, MD Dorota Myszkowska, DSc Elena Severova, PhD Regula Gehrig, PhD Germán Darío Ramón, MD Paul J Beggs, PhD Kim Knowlton, DSc Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP |
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temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis |
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Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis |
| abstract |
Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. Funding: None. |
| abstractGer |
Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. Funding: None. |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Summary: Background: Ongoing climate change might, through rising temperatures, alter allergenic pollen biology across the northern hemisphere. We aimed to analyse trends in pollen seasonality and pollen load and to establish whether there are specific climate-related links to any observed changes. Methods: For this retrospective data analysis, we did an extensive search for global datasets with 20 years or more of airborne pollen data that consistently recorded pollen season indices (eg, duration and intensity). 17 locations across three continents with long-term (approximately 26 years on average) quantitative records of seasonal concentrations of multiple pollen (aeroallergen) taxa met the selection criteria. These datasets were analysed in the context of recent annual changes in maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) associated with anthropogenic climate change. Seasonal regressions (slopes) of variation in pollen load and pollen season duration over time were compared to Tmax, cumulative degree day Tmax, Tmin, cumulative degree day Tmin, and frost-free days among all 17 locations to ascertain significant correlations. Findings: 12 (71%) of the 17 locations showed significant increases in seasonal cumulative pollen or annual pollen load. Similarly, 11 (65%) of the 17 locations showed a significant increase in pollen season duration over time, increasing, on average, 0·9 days per year. Across the northern hemisphere locations analysed, annual cumulative increases in Tmax over time were significantly associated with percentage increases in seasonal pollen load (r=0·52, p=0·034) as were annual cumulative increases in Tmin (r=0·61, p=0·010). Similar results were observed for pollen season duration, but only for cumulative degree days (higher than the freezing point [0°C or 32°F]) for Tmax (r=0·53, p=0·030) and Tmin (r=0·48, p=0·05). Additionally, temporal increases in frost-free days per year were significantly correlated with increases in both pollen load (r=0·62, p=0·008) and pollen season duration (r=0·68, p=0·003) when averaged for all 17 locations. Interpretation: Our findings reveal that the ongoing increase in temperature extremes (Tmin and Tmax) might already be contributing to extended seasonal duration and increased pollen load for multiple aeroallergenic pollen taxa in diverse locations across the northern hemisphere. This study, done across multiple continents, highlights an important link between ongoing global warming and public health—one that could be exacerbated as temperatures continue to increase. Funding: None. |
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| title_short |
Temperature-related changes in airborne allergenic pollen abundance and seasonality across the northern hemisphere: a retrospective data analysis |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 https://doaj.org/article/8c56621711eb43599b94d60f464a1270 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542519619300154 https://doaj.org/toc/2542-5196 |
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László Makra, ProfPhD Susan K Harry, AAS Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD Marijke Hendrickx, PhD Frances Coates, MS Annika Saarto, PhD Michel Thibaudon, PhD Gilles Oliver, MSc Athanasios Damialis, PhD Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc Maira Bonini, PhD Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD Krista Sullivan, BSc Linda Ford, MD G Daniel Brooks, MD Dorota Myszkowska, DSc Elena Severova, PhD Regula Gehrig, PhD Germán Darío Ramón, MD Paul J Beggs, PhD Kim Knowlton, DSc Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP |
| author2Str |
László Makra, ProfPhD Susan K Harry, AAS Nicolas Bruffaerts, PhD Marijke Hendrickx, PhD Frances Coates, MS Annika Saarto, PhD Michel Thibaudon, PhD Gilles Oliver, MSc Athanasios Damialis, PhD Athanasios Charalampopoulos, PhD Despoina Vokou, ProfPhD Starri Heiđmarsson, PhD Ellý Guđjohnsen, BSc Maira Bonini, PhD Jae-Won Oh, ProfMD Krista Sullivan, BSc Linda Ford, MD G Daniel Brooks, MD Dorota Myszkowska, DSc Elena Severova, PhD Regula Gehrig, PhD Germán Darío Ramón, MD Paul J Beggs, PhD Kim Knowlton, DSc Allison R Crimmins, MS MPP |
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10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30015-4 |
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2024-07-03T17:44:55.331Z |
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| score |
7.397253 |