Linkages of flow regime and micro-topography: prediction for non-native mangrove invasion under sea-level rise

Flow regime is a key driver of invasive aquatic organisms, and the invasiveness of mangrove species may be simultaneously attributed to plant traits and flowing hydrological conditions at the estuary scale. We focused on hydrological and topographic conditions for a non-native mangrove species, Sonn...
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Autor*in:	Luzhen Chen [verfasserIn] Hongyu Feng [verfasserIn] Xiaoxuan Gu [verfasserIn] Ying Dong [verfasserIn] Peng Cheng [verfasserIn] Xudong Guo [verfasserIn] Qiulian Lin [verfasserIn] Ting Tang [verfasserIn] Yihui Zhang [verfasserIn] Xudong Zhu [verfasserIn] Shengchang Yang [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2020

Schlagwörter:	mangroves salinity elevation sea-level rise climatic change biological invasion

Übergeordnetes Werk:	In: Ecosystem Health and Sustainability - American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), 2016, 6(2020), 1
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:6 ; year:2020 ; number:1

Links:	Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Journal toc

DOI / URN:	10.1080/20964129.2020.1780159

Katalog-ID:	DOAJ060566345

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callnumber-first	Q - Science
author	Luzhen Chen
spellingShingle	Luzhen Chen misc QH540-549.5 misc mangroves misc salinity misc elevation misc sea-level rise misc climatic change misc biological invasion misc Ecology Linkages of flow regime and micro-topography: prediction for non-native mangrove invasion under sea-level rise
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topic_title	QH540-549.5 Linkages of flow regime and micro-topography: prediction for non-native mangrove invasion under sea-level rise mangroves salinity elevation sea-level rise climatic change biological invasion
topic	misc QH540-549.5 misc mangroves misc salinity misc elevation misc sea-level rise misc climatic change misc biological invasion misc Ecology
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title	Linkages of flow regime and micro-topography: prediction for non-native mangrove invasion under sea-level rise
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title_full	Linkages of flow regime and micro-topography: prediction for non-native mangrove invasion under sea-level rise
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title_sort	linkages of flow regime and micro-topography: prediction for non-native mangrove invasion under sea-level rise
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title_auth	Linkages of flow regime and micro-topography: prediction for non-native mangrove invasion under sea-level rise
abstract	Flow regime is a key driver of invasive aquatic organisms, and the invasiveness of mangrove species may be simultaneously attributed to plant traits and flowing hydrological conditions at the estuary scale. We focused on hydrological and topographic conditions for a non-native mangrove species, Sonneratia apetala, in Zhangjiang Estuary of Fujian, China. A hydrological model and a micro-topographic model were used to predict its dispersal and early establishment, and field surveys and simulated experiments were integrated to estimate its future dispersal patterns. The mesohaline mudflat with a salinity of 8 ~ 10 PSU at the mangrove seaward edge was the most likely colonization area for S. apetala under current conditions. The south-western region of the estuary with native mangroves was the most likely area for its colonization according to the unstructured-grid finite-volume community ocean model (FVCOM) in September, when the largest tidal currents within a year and the maximum fruit maturity period occur. Approximately 42% of the mudflats throughout the whole estuary may be available for seedling establishment under the future sea-level rise RCP 4.5 scenarios compared with 44% for current establishment; however, the RCP 8.5 scenarios would significantly decrease seedling establishment by 2100 due to serious tidal inundation according to the micro-topographical model.
abstractGer	Flow regime is a key driver of invasive aquatic organisms, and the invasiveness of mangrove species may be simultaneously attributed to plant traits and flowing hydrological conditions at the estuary scale. We focused on hydrological and topographic conditions for a non-native mangrove species, Sonneratia apetala, in Zhangjiang Estuary of Fujian, China. A hydrological model and a micro-topographic model were used to predict its dispersal and early establishment, and field surveys and simulated experiments were integrated to estimate its future dispersal patterns. The mesohaline mudflat with a salinity of 8 ~ 10 PSU at the mangrove seaward edge was the most likely colonization area for S. apetala under current conditions. The south-western region of the estuary with native mangroves was the most likely area for its colonization according to the unstructured-grid finite-volume community ocean model (FVCOM) in September, when the largest tidal currents within a year and the maximum fruit maturity period occur. Approximately 42% of the mudflats throughout the whole estuary may be available for seedling establishment under the future sea-level rise RCP 4.5 scenarios compared with 44% for current establishment; however, the RCP 8.5 scenarios would significantly decrease seedling establishment by 2100 due to serious tidal inundation according to the micro-topographical model.
abstract_unstemmed	Flow regime is a key driver of invasive aquatic organisms, and the invasiveness of mangrove species may be simultaneously attributed to plant traits and flowing hydrological conditions at the estuary scale. We focused on hydrological and topographic conditions for a non-native mangrove species, Sonneratia apetala, in Zhangjiang Estuary of Fujian, China. A hydrological model and a micro-topographic model were used to predict its dispersal and early establishment, and field surveys and simulated experiments were integrated to estimate its future dispersal patterns. The mesohaline mudflat with a salinity of 8 ~ 10 PSU at the mangrove seaward edge was the most likely colonization area for S. apetala under current conditions. The south-western region of the estuary with native mangroves was the most likely area for its colonization according to the unstructured-grid finite-volume community ocean model (FVCOM) in September, when the largest tidal currents within a year and the maximum fruit maturity period occur. Approximately 42% of the mudflats throughout the whole estuary may be available for seedling establishment under the future sea-level rise RCP 4.5 scenarios compared with 44% for current establishment; however, the RCP 8.5 scenarios would significantly decrease seedling establishment by 2100 due to serious tidal inundation according to the micro-topographical model.
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title_short	Linkages of flow regime and micro-topography: prediction for non-native mangrove invasion under sea-level rise
url	https://doi.org/10.1080/20964129.2020.1780159 https://doaj.org/article/8b5a9a92aa824101860eb808bf84f2f0 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20964129.2020.1780159 https://doaj.org/toc/2332-8878
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Linkages of flow regime and micro-topography: prediction for non-native mangrove invasion under sea-level rise

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