A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France.

A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed wa...
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Gespeichert in:

Autor*in:	Jordi Casal [verfasserIn] Claude Saegerman [verfasserIn] Stéphane Bertagnoli [verfasserIn] Gilles Meyer [verfasserIn] Jean Pierre Ganière [verfasserIn] Philippe Caufour [verfasserIn] Kris De Clercq [verfasserIn] Philippe Jacquiet [verfasserIn] Claire Hautefeuille [verfasserIn] Florence Etore [verfasserIn] Sebastián Napp [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2019

Übergeordnetes Werk:	In: PLoS ONE - Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2007, 14(2019), 1, p e0210317
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:14 ; year:2019 ; number:1, p e0210317

Links:	Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Journal toc

DOI / URN:	10.1371/journal.pone.0210317

Katalog-ID:	DOAJ07169529X

Internformat


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520			\|a A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed was calculated based on a series of simple equations that use some trigonometric functions and take into account the spread of the disease, the time required to obtain good vaccination coverage and the cattle density in the affected region. Assuming a 7-weeks period to vaccinate all the animals and a spread of the disease of 7.3 km/week, the vaccination of 740 716 cattle would be enough to control an epidemic of LSD in France in 90% of the simulations (608 196 cattle would cover 75% of the simulations). The results of this simple method were then validated using a dynamic simulation model, which served as reference for the calculation of the vaccine stock required. The differences between both models in different scenarios, related with the time needed to vaccinate the animals, ranged from 7% to 10.5% more vaccines using the simple method to cover 90% of the simulations, and from 9.0% to 13.8% for 75% of the simulations. The model is easy to use and may be adapted for the control of different diseases in different countries, just by using some simple formulas and few input data.
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_40
912			\|a GBV_ILN_60
912			\|a GBV_ILN_62
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_65
912			\|a GBV_ILN_69
912			\|a GBV_ILN_70
912			\|a GBV_ILN_73
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_105
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_151
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_171
912			\|a GBV_ILN_206
912			\|a GBV_ILN_213
912			\|a GBV_ILN_224
912			\|a GBV_ILN_230
912			\|a GBV_ILN_235
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_293
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_602
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_2001
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_4307
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4313
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4322
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4323
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4324
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4325
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4335
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4338
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4367
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4700
951			\|a AR
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Indexfelder

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matchkey_str	article:19326203:2019----::smlmtotetmtteubrfoeticuenbnovcieteae
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publishDate	2019
allfields	10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 doi (DE-627)DOAJ07169529X (DE-599)DOAJacd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Jordi Casal verfasserin aut A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France. 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed was calculated based on a series of simple equations that use some trigonometric functions and take into account the spread of the disease, the time required to obtain good vaccination coverage and the cattle density in the affected region. Assuming a 7-weeks period to vaccinate all the animals and a spread of the disease of 7.3 km/week, the vaccination of 740 716 cattle would be enough to control an epidemic of LSD in France in 90% of the simulations (608 196 cattle would cover 75% of the simulations). The results of this simple method were then validated using a dynamic simulation model, which served as reference for the calculation of the vaccine stock required. The differences between both models in different scenarios, related with the time needed to vaccinate the animals, ranged from 7% to 10.5% more vaccines using the simple method to cover 90% of the simulations, and from 9.0% to 13.8% for 75% of the simulations. The model is easy to use and may be adapted for the control of different diseases in different countries, just by using some simple formulas and few input data. Medicine R Science Q Claude Saegerman verfasserin aut Stéphane Bertagnoli verfasserin aut Gilles Meyer verfasserin aut Jean Pierre Ganière verfasserin aut Philippe Caufour verfasserin aut Kris De Clercq verfasserin aut Philippe Jacquiet verfasserin aut Claire Hautefeuille verfasserin aut Florence Etore verfasserin aut Sebastián Napp verfasserin aut In PLoS ONE Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2007 14(2019), 1, p e0210317 (DE-627)523574592 (DE-600)2267670-3 19326203 nnns volume:14 year:2019 number:1, p e0210317 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/acd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 kostenfrei https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_34 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_235 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 14 2019 1, p e0210317
spelling	10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 doi (DE-627)DOAJ07169529X (DE-599)DOAJacd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Jordi Casal verfasserin aut A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France. 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed was calculated based on a series of simple equations that use some trigonometric functions and take into account the spread of the disease, the time required to obtain good vaccination coverage and the cattle density in the affected region. Assuming a 7-weeks period to vaccinate all the animals and a spread of the disease of 7.3 km/week, the vaccination of 740 716 cattle would be enough to control an epidemic of LSD in France in 90% of the simulations (608 196 cattle would cover 75% of the simulations). The results of this simple method were then validated using a dynamic simulation model, which served as reference for the calculation of the vaccine stock required. The differences between both models in different scenarios, related with the time needed to vaccinate the animals, ranged from 7% to 10.5% more vaccines using the simple method to cover 90% of the simulations, and from 9.0% to 13.8% for 75% of the simulations. The model is easy to use and may be adapted for the control of different diseases in different countries, just by using some simple formulas and few input data. Medicine R Science Q Claude Saegerman verfasserin aut Stéphane Bertagnoli verfasserin aut Gilles Meyer verfasserin aut Jean Pierre Ganière verfasserin aut Philippe Caufour verfasserin aut Kris De Clercq verfasserin aut Philippe Jacquiet verfasserin aut Claire Hautefeuille verfasserin aut Florence Etore verfasserin aut Sebastián Napp verfasserin aut In PLoS ONE Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2007 14(2019), 1, p e0210317 (DE-627)523574592 (DE-600)2267670-3 19326203 nnns volume:14 year:2019 number:1, p e0210317 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/acd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 kostenfrei https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_34 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_235 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 14 2019 1, p e0210317
allfields_unstemmed	10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 doi (DE-627)DOAJ07169529X (DE-599)DOAJacd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Jordi Casal verfasserin aut A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France. 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed was calculated based on a series of simple equations that use some trigonometric functions and take into account the spread of the disease, the time required to obtain good vaccination coverage and the cattle density in the affected region. Assuming a 7-weeks period to vaccinate all the animals and a spread of the disease of 7.3 km/week, the vaccination of 740 716 cattle would be enough to control an epidemic of LSD in France in 90% of the simulations (608 196 cattle would cover 75% of the simulations). The results of this simple method were then validated using a dynamic simulation model, which served as reference for the calculation of the vaccine stock required. The differences between both models in different scenarios, related with the time needed to vaccinate the animals, ranged from 7% to 10.5% more vaccines using the simple method to cover 90% of the simulations, and from 9.0% to 13.8% for 75% of the simulations. The model is easy to use and may be adapted for the control of different diseases in different countries, just by using some simple formulas and few input data. Medicine R Science Q Claude Saegerman verfasserin aut Stéphane Bertagnoli verfasserin aut Gilles Meyer verfasserin aut Jean Pierre Ganière verfasserin aut Philippe Caufour verfasserin aut Kris De Clercq verfasserin aut Philippe Jacquiet verfasserin aut Claire Hautefeuille verfasserin aut Florence Etore verfasserin aut Sebastián Napp verfasserin aut In PLoS ONE Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2007 14(2019), 1, p e0210317 (DE-627)523574592 (DE-600)2267670-3 19326203 nnns volume:14 year:2019 number:1, p e0210317 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/acd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 kostenfrei https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_34 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_235 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 14 2019 1, p e0210317
allfieldsGer	10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 doi (DE-627)DOAJ07169529X (DE-599)DOAJacd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Jordi Casal verfasserin aut A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France. 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed was calculated based on a series of simple equations that use some trigonometric functions and take into account the spread of the disease, the time required to obtain good vaccination coverage and the cattle density in the affected region. Assuming a 7-weeks period to vaccinate all the animals and a spread of the disease of 7.3 km/week, the vaccination of 740 716 cattle would be enough to control an epidemic of LSD in France in 90% of the simulations (608 196 cattle would cover 75% of the simulations). The results of this simple method were then validated using a dynamic simulation model, which served as reference for the calculation of the vaccine stock required. The differences between both models in different scenarios, related with the time needed to vaccinate the animals, ranged from 7% to 10.5% more vaccines using the simple method to cover 90% of the simulations, and from 9.0% to 13.8% for 75% of the simulations. The model is easy to use and may be adapted for the control of different diseases in different countries, just by using some simple formulas and few input data. Medicine R Science Q Claude Saegerman verfasserin aut Stéphane Bertagnoli verfasserin aut Gilles Meyer verfasserin aut Jean Pierre Ganière verfasserin aut Philippe Caufour verfasserin aut Kris De Clercq verfasserin aut Philippe Jacquiet verfasserin aut Claire Hautefeuille verfasserin aut Florence Etore verfasserin aut Sebastián Napp verfasserin aut In PLoS ONE Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2007 14(2019), 1, p e0210317 (DE-627)523574592 (DE-600)2267670-3 19326203 nnns volume:14 year:2019 number:1, p e0210317 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/acd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 kostenfrei https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_34 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_235 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 14 2019 1, p e0210317
allfieldsSound	10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 doi (DE-627)DOAJ07169529X (DE-599)DOAJacd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Jordi Casal verfasserin aut A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France. 2019 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed was calculated based on a series of simple equations that use some trigonometric functions and take into account the spread of the disease, the time required to obtain good vaccination coverage and the cattle density in the affected region. Assuming a 7-weeks period to vaccinate all the animals and a spread of the disease of 7.3 km/week, the vaccination of 740 716 cattle would be enough to control an epidemic of LSD in France in 90% of the simulations (608 196 cattle would cover 75% of the simulations). The results of this simple method were then validated using a dynamic simulation model, which served as reference for the calculation of the vaccine stock required. The differences between both models in different scenarios, related with the time needed to vaccinate the animals, ranged from 7% to 10.5% more vaccines using the simple method to cover 90% of the simulations, and from 9.0% to 13.8% for 75% of the simulations. The model is easy to use and may be adapted for the control of different diseases in different countries, just by using some simple formulas and few input data. Medicine R Science Q Claude Saegerman verfasserin aut Stéphane Bertagnoli verfasserin aut Gilles Meyer verfasserin aut Jean Pierre Ganière verfasserin aut Philippe Caufour verfasserin aut Kris De Clercq verfasserin aut Philippe Jacquiet verfasserin aut Claire Hautefeuille verfasserin aut Florence Etore verfasserin aut Sebastián Napp verfasserin aut In PLoS ONE Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2007 14(2019), 1, p e0210317 (DE-627)523574592 (DE-600)2267670-3 19326203 nnns volume:14 year:2019 number:1, p e0210317 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/acd239aaa5444c1cac30616a1fa050c5 kostenfrei https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0210317 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_34 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_235 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 14 2019 1, p e0210317
language	English
source	In PLoS ONE 14(2019), 1, p e0210317 volume:14 year:2019 number:1, p e0210317
sourceStr	In PLoS ONE 14(2019), 1, p e0210317 volume:14 year:2019 number:1, p e0210317
format_phy_str_mv	Article
institution	findex.gbv.de
topic_facet	Medicine R Science Q
isfreeaccess_bool	true
container_title	PLoS ONE
authorswithroles_txt_mv	Jordi Casal @@aut@@ Claude Saegerman @@aut@@ Stéphane Bertagnoli @@aut@@ Gilles Meyer @@aut@@ Jean Pierre Ganière @@aut@@ Philippe Caufour @@aut@@ Kris De Clercq @@aut@@ Philippe Jacquiet @@aut@@ Claire Hautefeuille @@aut@@ Florence Etore @@aut@@ Sebastián Napp @@aut@@
publishDateDaySort_date	2019-01-01T00:00:00Z
hierarchy_top_id	523574592
id	DOAJ07169529X
language_de	englisch
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author	Jordi Casal
spellingShingle	Jordi Casal misc Medicine misc R misc Science misc Q A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France.
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topic_title	A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France
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title	A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France.
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author_browse	Jordi Casal Claude Saegerman Stéphane Bertagnoli Gilles Meyer Jean Pierre Ganière Philippe Caufour Kris De Clercq Philippe Jacquiet Claire Hautefeuille Florence Etore Sebastián Napp
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title_sort	simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. the case of lumpy skin disease in france
title_auth	A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France.
abstract	A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed was calculated based on a series of simple equations that use some trigonometric functions and take into account the spread of the disease, the time required to obtain good vaccination coverage and the cattle density in the affected region. Assuming a 7-weeks period to vaccinate all the animals and a spread of the disease of 7.3 km/week, the vaccination of 740 716 cattle would be enough to control an epidemic of LSD in France in 90% of the simulations (608 196 cattle would cover 75% of the simulations). The results of this simple method were then validated using a dynamic simulation model, which served as reference for the calculation of the vaccine stock required. The differences between both models in different scenarios, related with the time needed to vaccinate the animals, ranged from 7% to 10.5% more vaccines using the simple method to cover 90% of the simulations, and from 9.0% to 13.8% for 75% of the simulations. The model is easy to use and may be adapted for the control of different diseases in different countries, just by using some simple formulas and few input data.
abstractGer	A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed was calculated based on a series of simple equations that use some trigonometric functions and take into account the spread of the disease, the time required to obtain good vaccination coverage and the cattle density in the affected region. Assuming a 7-weeks period to vaccinate all the animals and a spread of the disease of 7.3 km/week, the vaccination of 740 716 cattle would be enough to control an epidemic of LSD in France in 90% of the simulations (608 196 cattle would cover 75% of the simulations). The results of this simple method were then validated using a dynamic simulation model, which served as reference for the calculation of the vaccine stock required. The differences between both models in different scenarios, related with the time needed to vaccinate the animals, ranged from 7% to 10.5% more vaccines using the simple method to cover 90% of the simulations, and from 9.0% to 13.8% for 75% of the simulations. The model is easy to use and may be adapted for the control of different diseases in different countries, just by using some simple formulas and few input data.
abstract_unstemmed	A simple method to estimate the size of the vaccine bank needed to control an epidemic of an exotic infectious disease in case of introduction into a country is presented. The method was applied to the case of a Lumpy Skin disease (LSD) epidemic in France. The size of the stock of vaccines needed was calculated based on a series of simple equations that use some trigonometric functions and take into account the spread of the disease, the time required to obtain good vaccination coverage and the cattle density in the affected region. Assuming a 7-weeks period to vaccinate all the animals and a spread of the disease of 7.3 km/week, the vaccination of 740 716 cattle would be enough to control an epidemic of LSD in France in 90% of the simulations (608 196 cattle would cover 75% of the simulations). The results of this simple method were then validated using a dynamic simulation model, which served as reference for the calculation of the vaccine stock required. The differences between both models in different scenarios, related with the time needed to vaccinate the animals, ranged from 7% to 10.5% more vaccines using the simple method to cover 90% of the simulations, and from 9.0% to 13.8% for 75% of the simulations. The model is easy to use and may be adapted for the control of different diseases in different countries, just by using some simple formulas and few input data.
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title_short	A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France.
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A simple method to estimate the number of doses to include in a bank of vaccines. The case of Lumpy Skin Disease in France.

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