Global-scale interdecadal variability a skillful predictor at decadal-to-multidecadal timescales for Sahelian and Indian Monsoon Rainfall

Abstract In the present study, a sea surface temperature-based index named global-scale interdecadal variability (GIV) encompassing the combined variability of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) has been proposed. The warm phase of GIV exhibits a “cold...
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Autor*in:	Manish K. Joshi [verfasserIn] Archana Rai [verfasserIn] Ashwini Kulkarni [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2022

Übergeordnetes Werk:	In: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Nature Portfolio, 2018, 5(2022), 1, Seite 8
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:5 ; year:2022 ; number:1 ; pages:8

Links:	Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Journal toc

DOI / URN:	10.1038/s41612-021-00227-1

Katalog-ID:	DOAJ076112772

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spelling	10.1038/s41612-021-00227-1 doi (DE-627)DOAJ076112772 (DE-599)DOAJ44c04be55683412daad595c0c31d239d DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng GE1-350 QC851-999 Manish K. Joshi verfasserin aut Global-scale interdecadal variability a skillful predictor at decadal-to-multidecadal timescales for Sahelian and Indian Monsoon Rainfall 2022 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract In the present study, a sea surface temperature-based index named global-scale interdecadal variability (GIV) encompassing the combined variability of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) has been proposed. The warm phase of GIV exhibits a “cold AMO-like” pattern in the Atlantic basin and a “warm IPO-like” pattern in the Pacific basin. About 84% (R ~−0.914) of Sahelian and 42% (R ~−0.647) of Indian rainfall’s temporal variance is attributed to GIV, showing substantial improvement compared to the variance explained by AMO and IPO individually. The physical mechanism for GIV-rainfall teleconnection is related to a modification of the Walker circulation. Although there is a substantial degree of uncertainty in the current generation of state-of-the-art climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), some still replicate the observed GIV’s spatial structure, its teleconnection, and associated physical mechanism. The results presented herein advance our knowledge about rainfall’s interdecadal variability and have imperative ramifications for developing skillful decadal predictions. Environmental sciences Meteorology. Climatology Archana Rai verfasserin aut Ashwini Kulkarni verfasserin aut In npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Nature Portfolio, 2018 5(2022), 1, Seite 8 (DE-627)1017804974 23973722 nnns volume:5 year:2022 number:1 pages:8 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00227-1 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/44c04be55683412daad595c0c31d239d kostenfrei https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00227-1 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2397-3722 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 5 2022 1 8
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callnumber-first	G - Geography, Anthropology, Recreation
author	Manish K. Joshi
spellingShingle	Manish K. Joshi misc GE1-350 misc QC851-999 misc Environmental sciences misc Meteorology. Climatology Global-scale interdecadal variability a skillful predictor at decadal-to-multidecadal timescales for Sahelian and Indian Monsoon Rainfall
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topic	misc GE1-350 misc QC851-999 misc Environmental sciences misc Meteorology. Climatology
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title	Global-scale interdecadal variability a skillful predictor at decadal-to-multidecadal timescales for Sahelian and Indian Monsoon Rainfall
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title_full	Global-scale interdecadal variability a skillful predictor at decadal-to-multidecadal timescales for Sahelian and Indian Monsoon Rainfall
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title_sort	global-scale interdecadal variability a skillful predictor at decadal-to-multidecadal timescales for sahelian and indian monsoon rainfall
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title_auth	Global-scale interdecadal variability a skillful predictor at decadal-to-multidecadal timescales for Sahelian and Indian Monsoon Rainfall
abstract	Abstract In the present study, a sea surface temperature-based index named global-scale interdecadal variability (GIV) encompassing the combined variability of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) has been proposed. The warm phase of GIV exhibits a “cold AMO-like” pattern in the Atlantic basin and a “warm IPO-like” pattern in the Pacific basin. About 84% (R ~−0.914) of Sahelian and 42% (R ~−0.647) of Indian rainfall’s temporal variance is attributed to GIV, showing substantial improvement compared to the variance explained by AMO and IPO individually. The physical mechanism for GIV-rainfall teleconnection is related to a modification of the Walker circulation. Although there is a substantial degree of uncertainty in the current generation of state-of-the-art climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), some still replicate the observed GIV’s spatial structure, its teleconnection, and associated physical mechanism. The results presented herein advance our knowledge about rainfall’s interdecadal variability and have imperative ramifications for developing skillful decadal predictions.
abstractGer	Abstract In the present study, a sea surface temperature-based index named global-scale interdecadal variability (GIV) encompassing the combined variability of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) has been proposed. The warm phase of GIV exhibits a “cold AMO-like” pattern in the Atlantic basin and a “warm IPO-like” pattern in the Pacific basin. About 84% (R ~−0.914) of Sahelian and 42% (R ~−0.647) of Indian rainfall’s temporal variance is attributed to GIV, showing substantial improvement compared to the variance explained by AMO and IPO individually. The physical mechanism for GIV-rainfall teleconnection is related to a modification of the Walker circulation. Although there is a substantial degree of uncertainty in the current generation of state-of-the-art climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), some still replicate the observed GIV’s spatial structure, its teleconnection, and associated physical mechanism. The results presented herein advance our knowledge about rainfall’s interdecadal variability and have imperative ramifications for developing skillful decadal predictions.
abstract_unstemmed	Abstract In the present study, a sea surface temperature-based index named global-scale interdecadal variability (GIV) encompassing the combined variability of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) has been proposed. The warm phase of GIV exhibits a “cold AMO-like” pattern in the Atlantic basin and a “warm IPO-like” pattern in the Pacific basin. About 84% (R ~−0.914) of Sahelian and 42% (R ~−0.647) of Indian rainfall’s temporal variance is attributed to GIV, showing substantial improvement compared to the variance explained by AMO and IPO individually. The physical mechanism for GIV-rainfall teleconnection is related to a modification of the Walker circulation. Although there is a substantial degree of uncertainty in the current generation of state-of-the-art climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), some still replicate the observed GIV’s spatial structure, its teleconnection, and associated physical mechanism. The results presented herein advance our knowledge about rainfall’s interdecadal variability and have imperative ramifications for developing skillful decadal predictions.
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title_short	Global-scale interdecadal variability a skillful predictor at decadal-to-multidecadal timescales for Sahelian and Indian Monsoon Rainfall
url	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00227-1 https://doaj.org/article/44c04be55683412daad595c0c31d239d https://doaj.org/toc/2397-3722
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Global-scale interdecadal variability a skillful predictor at decadal-to-multidecadal timescales for Sahelian and Indian Monsoon Rainfall

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