Factors Contributing to Fatality and Injury Outcomes of Maritime Accidents: A Comparative Study of Two Accident-Prone Areas

Shipping, as an important part of the global supply chain, has always been quite sensitive to maritime accidents. Fatality and injury are important metrics indicating an accident’s severity. Understanding the driving factors of fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents can help to improve s...
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Autor*in:	Yang Zhang [verfasserIn] Yujia Zhai [verfasserIn] Jihong Chen [verfasserIn] Qingjun Xu [verfasserIn] Shanshan Fu [verfasserIn] Huizhen Wang [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2022

Schlagwörter:	maritime accident zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) kernel density estimation (KDE) fatalities and injuries

Übergeordnetes Werk:	In: Journal of Marine Science and Engineering - MDPI AG, 2014, 10(2022), 12, p 1945
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:10 ; year:2022 ; number:12, p 1945

Links:	Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Journal toc

DOI / URN:	10.3390/jmse10121945

Katalog-ID:	DOAJ08313011X

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520			\|a Shipping, as an important part of the global supply chain, has always been quite sensitive to maritime accidents. Fatality and injury are important metrics indicating an accident’s severity. Understanding the driving factors of fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents can help to improve supply chain security. Based on maritime accident data obtained from the Lloyd’s List Intelligence, this paper identifies accident-prone sea areas through kernel density estimation (KDE) and selects two of the areas to conduct a comparative study on factors contributing to fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents through zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) and elastic analysis. The results show that collision and ship age significantly impact the number of fatalities and injuries. Specifically, collision and ship age have greater impacts on fatality and injury outcomes of accidents that occurred in the English Channel and North Sea. Whether the accident occurs in ports and whether the accident causes a total loss have more significant impacts on the fatality and injury outcomes of accidents in the Black Sea and the eastern Mediterranean Sea. The research results can potentially support the reduction of fatalities and injuries in maritime accident and help to manage maritime risk.
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source	In Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 10(2022), 12, p 1945 volume:10 year:2022 number:12, p 1945
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callnumber-first	V - Naval Science
author	Yang Zhang
spellingShingle	Yang Zhang misc VM1-989 misc GC1-1581 misc maritime accident misc zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) misc kernel density estimation (KDE) misc fatalities and injuries misc Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering misc Oceanography Factors Contributing to Fatality and Injury Outcomes of Maritime Accidents: A Comparative Study of Two Accident-Prone Areas
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topic_title	VM1-989 GC1-1581 Factors Contributing to Fatality and Injury Outcomes of Maritime Accidents: A Comparative Study of Two Accident-Prone Areas maritime accident zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) kernel density estimation (KDE) fatalities and injuries
topic	misc VM1-989 misc GC1-1581 misc maritime accident misc zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) misc kernel density estimation (KDE) misc fatalities and injuries misc Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering misc Oceanography
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title	Factors Contributing to Fatality and Injury Outcomes of Maritime Accidents: A Comparative Study of Two Accident-Prone Areas
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title_sort	factors contributing to fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents: a comparative study of two accident-prone areas
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title_auth	Factors Contributing to Fatality and Injury Outcomes of Maritime Accidents: A Comparative Study of Two Accident-Prone Areas
abstract	Shipping, as an important part of the global supply chain, has always been quite sensitive to maritime accidents. Fatality and injury are important metrics indicating an accident’s severity. Understanding the driving factors of fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents can help to improve supply chain security. Based on maritime accident data obtained from the Lloyd’s List Intelligence, this paper identifies accident-prone sea areas through kernel density estimation (KDE) and selects two of the areas to conduct a comparative study on factors contributing to fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents through zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) and elastic analysis. The results show that collision and ship age significantly impact the number of fatalities and injuries. Specifically, collision and ship age have greater impacts on fatality and injury outcomes of accidents that occurred in the English Channel and North Sea. Whether the accident occurs in ports and whether the accident causes a total loss have more significant impacts on the fatality and injury outcomes of accidents in the Black Sea and the eastern Mediterranean Sea. The research results can potentially support the reduction of fatalities and injuries in maritime accident and help to manage maritime risk.
abstractGer	Shipping, as an important part of the global supply chain, has always been quite sensitive to maritime accidents. Fatality and injury are important metrics indicating an accident’s severity. Understanding the driving factors of fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents can help to improve supply chain security. Based on maritime accident data obtained from the Lloyd’s List Intelligence, this paper identifies accident-prone sea areas through kernel density estimation (KDE) and selects two of the areas to conduct a comparative study on factors contributing to fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents through zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) and elastic analysis. The results show that collision and ship age significantly impact the number of fatalities and injuries. Specifically, collision and ship age have greater impacts on fatality and injury outcomes of accidents that occurred in the English Channel and North Sea. Whether the accident occurs in ports and whether the accident causes a total loss have more significant impacts on the fatality and injury outcomes of accidents in the Black Sea and the eastern Mediterranean Sea. The research results can potentially support the reduction of fatalities and injuries in maritime accident and help to manage maritime risk.
abstract_unstemmed	Shipping, as an important part of the global supply chain, has always been quite sensitive to maritime accidents. Fatality and injury are important metrics indicating an accident’s severity. Understanding the driving factors of fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents can help to improve supply chain security. Based on maritime accident data obtained from the Lloyd’s List Intelligence, this paper identifies accident-prone sea areas through kernel density estimation (KDE) and selects two of the areas to conduct a comparative study on factors contributing to fatality and injury outcomes of maritime accidents through zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) and elastic analysis. The results show that collision and ship age significantly impact the number of fatalities and injuries. Specifically, collision and ship age have greater impacts on fatality and injury outcomes of accidents that occurred in the English Channel and North Sea. Whether the accident occurs in ports and whether the accident causes a total loss have more significant impacts on the fatality and injury outcomes of accidents in the Black Sea and the eastern Mediterranean Sea. The research results can potentially support the reduction of fatalities and injuries in maritime accident and help to manage maritime risk.
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title_short	Factors Contributing to Fatality and Injury Outcomes of Maritime Accidents: A Comparative Study of Two Accident-Prone Areas
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