Current and Potential Future Global Distribution of the Raisin Moth <em<Cadra figulilella</em< (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under Two Different Climate Change Scenarios

Global trade facilitates the introduction of invasive species that can cause irreversible damage to agriculture and the environment, as well as stored food products. The raisin moth (<i<Cadra figulilella</i<) is an invasive pest that poses a significant threat to fruits and dried foods....
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Autor*in:	Bing-Xin Wang [verfasserIn] Liang Zhu [verfasserIn] Gang Ma [verfasserIn] Adriana Najar-Rodriguez [verfasserIn] Jin-Ping Zhang [verfasserIn] Feng Zhang [verfasserIn] Gonzalo A. Avila [verfasserIn] Chun-Sen Ma [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2023

Schlagwörter:	species distribution model suitability analysis CLIMEX MaxEnt bioclimatic modeling

Übergeordnetes Werk:	In: Biology - MDPI AG, 2012, 12(2023), 3, p 435
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:12 ; year:2023 ; number:3, p 435

Links:	Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Journal toc

DOI / URN:	10.3390/biology12030435

Katalog-ID:	DOAJ087431688

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callnumber-first	Q - Science
author	Bing-Xin Wang
spellingShingle	Bing-Xin Wang misc QH301-705.5 misc species distribution model misc suitability analysis misc CLIMEX misc MaxEnt misc bioclimatic modeling misc Biology (General) Current and Potential Future Global Distribution of the Raisin Moth <em<Cadra figulilella</em< (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under Two Different Climate Change Scenarios
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topic_title	QH301-705.5 Current and Potential Future Global Distribution of the Raisin Moth <em<Cadra figulilella</em< (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under Two Different Climate Change Scenarios species distribution model suitability analysis CLIMEX MaxEnt bioclimatic modeling
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title	Current and Potential Future Global Distribution of the Raisin Moth <em<Cadra figulilella</em< (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under Two Different Climate Change Scenarios
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title_full	Current and Potential Future Global Distribution of the Raisin Moth <em<Cadra figulilella</em< (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under Two Different Climate Change Scenarios
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author_browse	Bing-Xin Wang Liang Zhu Gang Ma Adriana Najar-Rodriguez Jin-Ping Zhang Feng Zhang Gonzalo A. Avila Chun-Sen Ma
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title_sort	current and potential future global distribution of the raisin moth <em<cadra figulilella</em< (lepidoptera: pyralidae) under two different climate change scenarios
callnumber	QH301-705.5
title_auth	Current and Potential Future Global Distribution of the Raisin Moth <em<Cadra figulilella</em< (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under Two Different Climate Change Scenarios
abstract	Global trade facilitates the introduction of invasive species that can cause irreversible damage to agriculture and the environment, as well as stored food products. The raisin moth (<i<Cadra figulilella</i<) is an invasive pest that poses a significant threat to fruits and dried foods. Climate change may exacerbate this threat by expanding moth’s distribution to new areas. In this study, we used CLIMEX and MaxEnt niche modeling tools to assess the potential global distribution of the raisin moth under current and future climate change scenarios. Our models projected that the area of suitable distribution for the raisin moth could increase by up to 36.37% by the end of this century under high emission scenario. We also found that excessive precipitation decreased the probability of raisin moth establishment and that the optimum temperature range for the species during the wettest quarter of the year was 0–18 °C. These findings highlight the need for future research to utilize a combined modeling approach to predict the distribution of the raisin moth under current and future climate conditions more accurately. Our results could be used for environmental risk assessments, as well as to inform international trade decisions and negotiations on phytosanitary measures with regards to this invasive species.
abstractGer	Global trade facilitates the introduction of invasive species that can cause irreversible damage to agriculture and the environment, as well as stored food products. The raisin moth (<i<Cadra figulilella</i<) is an invasive pest that poses a significant threat to fruits and dried foods. Climate change may exacerbate this threat by expanding moth’s distribution to new areas. In this study, we used CLIMEX and MaxEnt niche modeling tools to assess the potential global distribution of the raisin moth under current and future climate change scenarios. Our models projected that the area of suitable distribution for the raisin moth could increase by up to 36.37% by the end of this century under high emission scenario. We also found that excessive precipitation decreased the probability of raisin moth establishment and that the optimum temperature range for the species during the wettest quarter of the year was 0–18 °C. These findings highlight the need for future research to utilize a combined modeling approach to predict the distribution of the raisin moth under current and future climate conditions more accurately. Our results could be used for environmental risk assessments, as well as to inform international trade decisions and negotiations on phytosanitary measures with regards to this invasive species.
abstract_unstemmed	Global trade facilitates the introduction of invasive species that can cause irreversible damage to agriculture and the environment, as well as stored food products. The raisin moth (<i<Cadra figulilella</i<) is an invasive pest that poses a significant threat to fruits and dried foods. Climate change may exacerbate this threat by expanding moth’s distribution to new areas. In this study, we used CLIMEX and MaxEnt niche modeling tools to assess the potential global distribution of the raisin moth under current and future climate change scenarios. Our models projected that the area of suitable distribution for the raisin moth could increase by up to 36.37% by the end of this century under high emission scenario. We also found that excessive precipitation decreased the probability of raisin moth establishment and that the optimum temperature range for the species during the wettest quarter of the year was 0–18 °C. These findings highlight the need for future research to utilize a combined modeling approach to predict the distribution of the raisin moth under current and future climate conditions more accurately. Our results could be used for environmental risk assessments, as well as to inform international trade decisions and negotiations on phytosanitary measures with regards to this invasive species.
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title_short	Current and Potential Future Global Distribution of the Raisin Moth <em<Cadra figulilella</em< (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under Two Different Climate Change Scenarios
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author2	Liang Zhu Gang Ma Adriana Najar-Rodriguez Jin-Ping Zhang Feng Zhang Gonzalo A. Avila Chun-Sen Ma
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Current and Potential Future Global Distribution of the Raisin Moth <em<Cadra figulilella</em< (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under Two Different Climate Change Scenarios

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