An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem

Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a highly contagious viral disease of small ruminants that threatens livelihoods and food security in developing countries and, in some cases, wild ungulate species conservation. The Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem (GSME) encompasses one of the major wildlife popu...
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Autor*in:	Laura Carrera-Faja [verfasserIn] Chris Yesson [verfasserIn] Bryony A. Jones [verfasserIn] Camilla T. O. Benfield [verfasserIn] Richard A. Kock [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2023

Schlagwörter:	African buffalo disease risk mapping spatial epidemiology maxent peste des petits ruminants virus PPR

Übergeordnetes Werk:	In: Pathogens - MDPI AG, 2012, 12(2023), 12, p 1423
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:12 ; year:2023 ; number:12, p 1423

Links:	Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Link aufrufen Journal toc

DOI / URN:	10.3390/pathogens12121423

Katalog-ID:	DOAJ09881382X

Internformat


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allfields	10.3390/pathogens12121423 doi (DE-627)DOAJ09881382X (DE-599)DOAJ946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Laura Carrera-Faja verfasserin aut An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a highly contagious viral disease of small ruminants that threatens livelihoods and food security in developing countries and, in some cases, wild ungulate species conservation. The Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem (GSME) encompasses one of the major wildlife populations of PPR virus (PPRV)-susceptible species left on earth, although no clinical disease has been reported so far. This study aimed to gain further knowledge about PPRV circulation in the GSME by identifying which factors predict PPRV seropositivity in African buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<). Following an ecological niche modeling framework to map host-pathogen distribution, two models of PPRV exposure and buffalo habitat suitability were performed using serological data and buffalo censuses. Western Maasai Mara National Reserve and Western Serengeti National Park were identified as high-risk areas for PPRV exposure in buffalo. Variables related to wildlife-livestock interaction contributed to the higher risk of PPRV seropositivity in buffalo, providing supportive evidence that buffalo acquire the virus through contact with infected livestock. These findings can guide the design of cost-effective PPRV surveillance using buffalo as a sentinel species at the identified high-risk locations. As more intensive studies have been carried out in Eastern GSME, this study highlights the need for investigating PPRV dynamics in Western GSME. African buffalo disease risk mapping spatial epidemiology maxent peste des petits ruminants virus PPR Medicine R Chris Yesson verfasserin aut Bryony A. Jones verfasserin aut Camilla T. O. Benfield verfasserin aut Richard A. Kock verfasserin aut In Pathogens MDPI AG, 2012 12(2023), 12, p 1423 (DE-627)732627885 (DE-600)2695572-6 20760817 nnns volume:12 year:2023 number:12, p 1423 https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens12121423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 kostenfrei https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0817/12/12/1423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2076-0817 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 12 2023 12, p 1423
spelling	10.3390/pathogens12121423 doi (DE-627)DOAJ09881382X (DE-599)DOAJ946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Laura Carrera-Faja verfasserin aut An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a highly contagious viral disease of small ruminants that threatens livelihoods and food security in developing countries and, in some cases, wild ungulate species conservation. The Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem (GSME) encompasses one of the major wildlife populations of PPR virus (PPRV)-susceptible species left on earth, although no clinical disease has been reported so far. This study aimed to gain further knowledge about PPRV circulation in the GSME by identifying which factors predict PPRV seropositivity in African buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<). Following an ecological niche modeling framework to map host-pathogen distribution, two models of PPRV exposure and buffalo habitat suitability were performed using serological data and buffalo censuses. Western Maasai Mara National Reserve and Western Serengeti National Park were identified as high-risk areas for PPRV exposure in buffalo. Variables related to wildlife-livestock interaction contributed to the higher risk of PPRV seropositivity in buffalo, providing supportive evidence that buffalo acquire the virus through contact with infected livestock. These findings can guide the design of cost-effective PPRV surveillance using buffalo as a sentinel species at the identified high-risk locations. As more intensive studies have been carried out in Eastern GSME, this study highlights the need for investigating PPRV dynamics in Western GSME. African buffalo disease risk mapping spatial epidemiology maxent peste des petits ruminants virus PPR Medicine R Chris Yesson verfasserin aut Bryony A. Jones verfasserin aut Camilla T. O. Benfield verfasserin aut Richard A. Kock verfasserin aut In Pathogens MDPI AG, 2012 12(2023), 12, p 1423 (DE-627)732627885 (DE-600)2695572-6 20760817 nnns volume:12 year:2023 number:12, p 1423 https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens12121423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 kostenfrei https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0817/12/12/1423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2076-0817 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 12 2023 12, p 1423
allfields_unstemmed	10.3390/pathogens12121423 doi (DE-627)DOAJ09881382X (DE-599)DOAJ946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Laura Carrera-Faja verfasserin aut An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a highly contagious viral disease of small ruminants that threatens livelihoods and food security in developing countries and, in some cases, wild ungulate species conservation. The Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem (GSME) encompasses one of the major wildlife populations of PPR virus (PPRV)-susceptible species left on earth, although no clinical disease has been reported so far. This study aimed to gain further knowledge about PPRV circulation in the GSME by identifying which factors predict PPRV seropositivity in African buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<). Following an ecological niche modeling framework to map host-pathogen distribution, two models of PPRV exposure and buffalo habitat suitability were performed using serological data and buffalo censuses. Western Maasai Mara National Reserve and Western Serengeti National Park were identified as high-risk areas for PPRV exposure in buffalo. Variables related to wildlife-livestock interaction contributed to the higher risk of PPRV seropositivity in buffalo, providing supportive evidence that buffalo acquire the virus through contact with infected livestock. These findings can guide the design of cost-effective PPRV surveillance using buffalo as a sentinel species at the identified high-risk locations. As more intensive studies have been carried out in Eastern GSME, this study highlights the need for investigating PPRV dynamics in Western GSME. African buffalo disease risk mapping spatial epidemiology maxent peste des petits ruminants virus PPR Medicine R Chris Yesson verfasserin aut Bryony A. Jones verfasserin aut Camilla T. O. Benfield verfasserin aut Richard A. Kock verfasserin aut In Pathogens MDPI AG, 2012 12(2023), 12, p 1423 (DE-627)732627885 (DE-600)2695572-6 20760817 nnns volume:12 year:2023 number:12, p 1423 https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens12121423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 kostenfrei https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0817/12/12/1423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2076-0817 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 12 2023 12, p 1423
allfieldsGer	10.3390/pathogens12121423 doi (DE-627)DOAJ09881382X (DE-599)DOAJ946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Laura Carrera-Faja verfasserin aut An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a highly contagious viral disease of small ruminants that threatens livelihoods and food security in developing countries and, in some cases, wild ungulate species conservation. The Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem (GSME) encompasses one of the major wildlife populations of PPR virus (PPRV)-susceptible species left on earth, although no clinical disease has been reported so far. This study aimed to gain further knowledge about PPRV circulation in the GSME by identifying which factors predict PPRV seropositivity in African buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<). Following an ecological niche modeling framework to map host-pathogen distribution, two models of PPRV exposure and buffalo habitat suitability were performed using serological data and buffalo censuses. Western Maasai Mara National Reserve and Western Serengeti National Park were identified as high-risk areas for PPRV exposure in buffalo. Variables related to wildlife-livestock interaction contributed to the higher risk of PPRV seropositivity in buffalo, providing supportive evidence that buffalo acquire the virus through contact with infected livestock. These findings can guide the design of cost-effective PPRV surveillance using buffalo as a sentinel species at the identified high-risk locations. As more intensive studies have been carried out in Eastern GSME, this study highlights the need for investigating PPRV dynamics in Western GSME. African buffalo disease risk mapping spatial epidemiology maxent peste des petits ruminants virus PPR Medicine R Chris Yesson verfasserin aut Bryony A. Jones verfasserin aut Camilla T. O. Benfield verfasserin aut Richard A. Kock verfasserin aut In Pathogens MDPI AG, 2012 12(2023), 12, p 1423 (DE-627)732627885 (DE-600)2695572-6 20760817 nnns volume:12 year:2023 number:12, p 1423 https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens12121423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 kostenfrei https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0817/12/12/1423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2076-0817 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 12 2023 12, p 1423
allfieldsSound	10.3390/pathogens12121423 doi (DE-627)DOAJ09881382X (DE-599)DOAJ946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Laura Carrera-Faja verfasserin aut An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a highly contagious viral disease of small ruminants that threatens livelihoods and food security in developing countries and, in some cases, wild ungulate species conservation. The Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem (GSME) encompasses one of the major wildlife populations of PPR virus (PPRV)-susceptible species left on earth, although no clinical disease has been reported so far. This study aimed to gain further knowledge about PPRV circulation in the GSME by identifying which factors predict PPRV seropositivity in African buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<). Following an ecological niche modeling framework to map host-pathogen distribution, two models of PPRV exposure and buffalo habitat suitability were performed using serological data and buffalo censuses. Western Maasai Mara National Reserve and Western Serengeti National Park were identified as high-risk areas for PPRV exposure in buffalo. Variables related to wildlife-livestock interaction contributed to the higher risk of PPRV seropositivity in buffalo, providing supportive evidence that buffalo acquire the virus through contact with infected livestock. These findings can guide the design of cost-effective PPRV surveillance using buffalo as a sentinel species at the identified high-risk locations. As more intensive studies have been carried out in Eastern GSME, this study highlights the need for investigating PPRV dynamics in Western GSME. African buffalo disease risk mapping spatial epidemiology maxent peste des petits ruminants virus PPR Medicine R Chris Yesson verfasserin aut Bryony A. Jones verfasserin aut Camilla T. O. Benfield verfasserin aut Richard A. Kock verfasserin aut In Pathogens MDPI AG, 2012 12(2023), 12, p 1423 (DE-627)732627885 (DE-600)2695572-6 20760817 nnns volume:12 year:2023 number:12, p 1423 https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens12121423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/article/946923c1b91c4496a6e434ce0fcf9796 kostenfrei https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0817/12/12/1423 kostenfrei https://doaj.org/toc/2076-0817 Journal toc kostenfrei GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_DOAJ GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 12 2023 12, p 1423
language	English
source	In Pathogens 12(2023), 12, p 1423 volume:12 year:2023 number:12, p 1423
sourceStr	In Pathogens 12(2023), 12, p 1423 volume:12 year:2023 number:12, p 1423
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topic_facet	African buffalo disease risk mapping spatial epidemiology maxent peste des petits ruminants virus PPR Medicine R
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authorswithroles_txt_mv	Laura Carrera-Faja @@aut@@ Chris Yesson @@aut@@ Bryony A. Jones @@aut@@ Camilla T. O. Benfield @@aut@@ Richard A. Kock @@aut@@
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author	Laura Carrera-Faja
spellingShingle	Laura Carrera-Faja misc African buffalo misc disease risk mapping misc spatial epidemiology misc maxent misc peste des petits ruminants virus misc PPR misc Medicine misc R An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem
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topic_title	An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem African buffalo disease risk mapping spatial epidemiology maxent peste des petits ruminants virus PPR
topic	misc African buffalo misc disease risk mapping misc spatial epidemiology misc maxent misc peste des petits ruminants virus misc PPR misc Medicine misc R
topic_unstemmed	misc African buffalo misc disease risk mapping misc spatial epidemiology misc maxent misc peste des petits ruminants virus misc PPR misc Medicine misc R
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title	An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem
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title_full	An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem
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author_browse	Laura Carrera-Faja Chris Yesson Bryony A. Jones Camilla T. O. Benfield Richard A. Kock
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title_sort	integrated ecological niche modelling framework for risk mapping of peste des petits ruminants virus exposure in african buffalo (<i<syncerus caffer</i<) in the greater serengeti-mara ecosystem
title_auth	An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem
abstract	Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a highly contagious viral disease of small ruminants that threatens livelihoods and food security in developing countries and, in some cases, wild ungulate species conservation. The Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem (GSME) encompasses one of the major wildlife populations of PPR virus (PPRV)-susceptible species left on earth, although no clinical disease has been reported so far. This study aimed to gain further knowledge about PPRV circulation in the GSME by identifying which factors predict PPRV seropositivity in African buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<). Following an ecological niche modeling framework to map host-pathogen distribution, two models of PPRV exposure and buffalo habitat suitability were performed using serological data and buffalo censuses. Western Maasai Mara National Reserve and Western Serengeti National Park were identified as high-risk areas for PPRV exposure in buffalo. Variables related to wildlife-livestock interaction contributed to the higher risk of PPRV seropositivity in buffalo, providing supportive evidence that buffalo acquire the virus through contact with infected livestock. These findings can guide the design of cost-effective PPRV surveillance using buffalo as a sentinel species at the identified high-risk locations. As more intensive studies have been carried out in Eastern GSME, this study highlights the need for investigating PPRV dynamics in Western GSME.
abstractGer	Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a highly contagious viral disease of small ruminants that threatens livelihoods and food security in developing countries and, in some cases, wild ungulate species conservation. The Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem (GSME) encompasses one of the major wildlife populations of PPR virus (PPRV)-susceptible species left on earth, although no clinical disease has been reported so far. This study aimed to gain further knowledge about PPRV circulation in the GSME by identifying which factors predict PPRV seropositivity in African buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<). Following an ecological niche modeling framework to map host-pathogen distribution, two models of PPRV exposure and buffalo habitat suitability were performed using serological data and buffalo censuses. Western Maasai Mara National Reserve and Western Serengeti National Park were identified as high-risk areas for PPRV exposure in buffalo. Variables related to wildlife-livestock interaction contributed to the higher risk of PPRV seropositivity in buffalo, providing supportive evidence that buffalo acquire the virus through contact with infected livestock. These findings can guide the design of cost-effective PPRV surveillance using buffalo as a sentinel species at the identified high-risk locations. As more intensive studies have been carried out in Eastern GSME, this study highlights the need for investigating PPRV dynamics in Western GSME.
abstract_unstemmed	Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a highly contagious viral disease of small ruminants that threatens livelihoods and food security in developing countries and, in some cases, wild ungulate species conservation. The Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem (GSME) encompasses one of the major wildlife populations of PPR virus (PPRV)-susceptible species left on earth, although no clinical disease has been reported so far. This study aimed to gain further knowledge about PPRV circulation in the GSME by identifying which factors predict PPRV seropositivity in African buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<). Following an ecological niche modeling framework to map host-pathogen distribution, two models of PPRV exposure and buffalo habitat suitability were performed using serological data and buffalo censuses. Western Maasai Mara National Reserve and Western Serengeti National Park were identified as high-risk areas for PPRV exposure in buffalo. Variables related to wildlife-livestock interaction contributed to the higher risk of PPRV seropositivity in buffalo, providing supportive evidence that buffalo acquire the virus through contact with infected livestock. These findings can guide the design of cost-effective PPRV surveillance using buffalo as a sentinel species at the identified high-risk locations. As more intensive studies have been carried out in Eastern GSME, this study highlights the need for investigating PPRV dynamics in Western GSME.
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title_short	An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem
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An Integrated Ecological Niche Modelling Framework for Risk Mapping of Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus Exposure in African Buffalo (<i<Syncerus caffer</i<) in the Greater Serengeti-Mara Ecosystem

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