Quantifying the independent contributions of climate and land use change to ecosystem services
Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the indep...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Xiao, Junzhu [verfasserIn] Song, Fei [verfasserIn] Su, Fangli [verfasserIn] Shi, Zheyu [verfasserIn] Song, Shuang [verfasserIn] |
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Format: |
E-Artikel |
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Sprache: |
Englisch |
Erschienen: |
2023 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Ecological indicators - Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier Science, 2001, 153 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:153 |
DOI / URN: |
10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110411 |
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Katalog-ID: |
ELV010497293 |
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520 | |a Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to ESs. Using meteorological, soil, land use, and remote sensing data for Liaoning Province (China) from 2000 to 2020, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model and Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model were used to construct scenario simulation frameworks based on three hypothetical scenarios: 1) CLC effect only; 2) LUCC effect only; 3) a combined effect of CLC and LULC. The three scenario simulation frameworks were then used to determine the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), and their temporal dynamics. Results showed that under the combined effect of CLC and LULC, NPP, WY and SR in Liaoning Province exhibited a trend of gradual increase from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 124.62 gC/m2, 30.64 mm/a and 0.63 t/km2, respectively. Under the CLC only scenario, WY and SR changed by 6.24% and 2%, respectively, exhibiting a more significant effect than under the LUCC only scenario. In contrast, NPP changed by 25.71% under the LUCC only scenario, which was more significant than under the CLC only scenario. Overall, CLC was found to be the dominant factor affecting changes in WY and SR in Liaoning Province, with independent contribution rates of 81.79%-84.02% and 73.57%-85.44%, respectively, whereas LUCC was the dominant factor affecting changes in NPP with an independent contribution rate of 86.12%-92.50%. Decreased precipitation levels and an increase in temperature were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contributions of CLC to WY and SR, while large-scale forest land area damage and rapid urbanization were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contribution of LUCC to NPP. The results of this study identify the specific effects of different climatic conditions on ESs and highlight the conflict between urbanization and ecosystem service provision, providing a theoretical foundation for improving and increasing ESs and regional sustainable development in Liaoning Province. | ||
650 | 4 | |a Ecosystem services | |
650 | 4 | |a Scenario simulation | |
650 | 4 | |a Independent contribution | |
650 | 4 | |a Climate change | |
650 | 4 | |a Land use change | |
700 | 1 | |a Song, Fei |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Su, Fangli |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Shi, Zheyu |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Song, Shuang |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110411 doi (DE-627)ELV010497293 (ELSEVIER)S1470-160X(23)00553-8 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng 570 630 VZ BIODIV DE-30 fid Xiao, Junzhu verfasserin aut Quantifying the independent contributions of climate and land use change to ecosystem services 2023 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to ESs. Using meteorological, soil, land use, and remote sensing data for Liaoning Province (China) from 2000 to 2020, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model and Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model were used to construct scenario simulation frameworks based on three hypothetical scenarios: 1) CLC effect only; 2) LUCC effect only; 3) a combined effect of CLC and LULC. The three scenario simulation frameworks were then used to determine the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), and their temporal dynamics. Results showed that under the combined effect of CLC and LULC, NPP, WY and SR in Liaoning Province exhibited a trend of gradual increase from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 124.62 gC/m2, 30.64 mm/a and 0.63 t/km2, respectively. Under the CLC only scenario, WY and SR changed by 6.24% and 2%, respectively, exhibiting a more significant effect than under the LUCC only scenario. In contrast, NPP changed by 25.71% under the LUCC only scenario, which was more significant than under the CLC only scenario. Overall, CLC was found to be the dominant factor affecting changes in WY and SR in Liaoning Province, with independent contribution rates of 81.79%-84.02% and 73.57%-85.44%, respectively, whereas LUCC was the dominant factor affecting changes in NPP with an independent contribution rate of 86.12%-92.50%. Decreased precipitation levels and an increase in temperature were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contributions of CLC to WY and SR, while large-scale forest land area damage and rapid urbanization were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contribution of LUCC to NPP. The results of this study identify the specific effects of different climatic conditions on ESs and highlight the conflict between urbanization and ecosystem service provision, providing a theoretical foundation for improving and increasing ESs and regional sustainable development in Liaoning Province. Ecosystem services Scenario simulation Independent contribution Climate change Land use change Song, Fei verfasserin aut Su, Fangli verfasserin aut Shi, Zheyu verfasserin aut Song, Shuang verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecological indicators Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier Science, 2001 153 Online-Ressource (DE-627)338074163 (DE-600)2063587-4 (DE-576)259272388 1872-7034 nnns volume:153 GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 153 |
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10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110411 doi (DE-627)ELV010497293 (ELSEVIER)S1470-160X(23)00553-8 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng 570 630 VZ BIODIV DE-30 fid Xiao, Junzhu verfasserin aut Quantifying the independent contributions of climate and land use change to ecosystem services 2023 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to ESs. Using meteorological, soil, land use, and remote sensing data for Liaoning Province (China) from 2000 to 2020, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model and Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model were used to construct scenario simulation frameworks based on three hypothetical scenarios: 1) CLC effect only; 2) LUCC effect only; 3) a combined effect of CLC and LULC. The three scenario simulation frameworks were then used to determine the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), and their temporal dynamics. Results showed that under the combined effect of CLC and LULC, NPP, WY and SR in Liaoning Province exhibited a trend of gradual increase from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 124.62 gC/m2, 30.64 mm/a and 0.63 t/km2, respectively. Under the CLC only scenario, WY and SR changed by 6.24% and 2%, respectively, exhibiting a more significant effect than under the LUCC only scenario. In contrast, NPP changed by 25.71% under the LUCC only scenario, which was more significant than under the CLC only scenario. Overall, CLC was found to be the dominant factor affecting changes in WY and SR in Liaoning Province, with independent contribution rates of 81.79%-84.02% and 73.57%-85.44%, respectively, whereas LUCC was the dominant factor affecting changes in NPP with an independent contribution rate of 86.12%-92.50%. Decreased precipitation levels and an increase in temperature were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contributions of CLC to WY and SR, while large-scale forest land area damage and rapid urbanization were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contribution of LUCC to NPP. The results of this study identify the specific effects of different climatic conditions on ESs and highlight the conflict between urbanization and ecosystem service provision, providing a theoretical foundation for improving and increasing ESs and regional sustainable development in Liaoning Province. Ecosystem services Scenario simulation Independent contribution Climate change Land use change Song, Fei verfasserin aut Su, Fangli verfasserin aut Shi, Zheyu verfasserin aut Song, Shuang verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecological indicators Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier Science, 2001 153 Online-Ressource (DE-627)338074163 (DE-600)2063587-4 (DE-576)259272388 1872-7034 nnns volume:153 GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 153 |
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10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110411 doi (DE-627)ELV010497293 (ELSEVIER)S1470-160X(23)00553-8 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng 570 630 VZ BIODIV DE-30 fid Xiao, Junzhu verfasserin aut Quantifying the independent contributions of climate and land use change to ecosystem services 2023 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to ESs. Using meteorological, soil, land use, and remote sensing data for Liaoning Province (China) from 2000 to 2020, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model and Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model were used to construct scenario simulation frameworks based on three hypothetical scenarios: 1) CLC effect only; 2) LUCC effect only; 3) a combined effect of CLC and LULC. The three scenario simulation frameworks were then used to determine the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), and their temporal dynamics. Results showed that under the combined effect of CLC and LULC, NPP, WY and SR in Liaoning Province exhibited a trend of gradual increase from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 124.62 gC/m2, 30.64 mm/a and 0.63 t/km2, respectively. Under the CLC only scenario, WY and SR changed by 6.24% and 2%, respectively, exhibiting a more significant effect than under the LUCC only scenario. In contrast, NPP changed by 25.71% under the LUCC only scenario, which was more significant than under the CLC only scenario. Overall, CLC was found to be the dominant factor affecting changes in WY and SR in Liaoning Province, with independent contribution rates of 81.79%-84.02% and 73.57%-85.44%, respectively, whereas LUCC was the dominant factor affecting changes in NPP with an independent contribution rate of 86.12%-92.50%. Decreased precipitation levels and an increase in temperature were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contributions of CLC to WY and SR, while large-scale forest land area damage and rapid urbanization were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contribution of LUCC to NPP. The results of this study identify the specific effects of different climatic conditions on ESs and highlight the conflict between urbanization and ecosystem service provision, providing a theoretical foundation for improving and increasing ESs and regional sustainable development in Liaoning Province. Ecosystem services Scenario simulation Independent contribution Climate change Land use change Song, Fei verfasserin aut Su, Fangli verfasserin aut Shi, Zheyu verfasserin aut Song, Shuang verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecological indicators Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier Science, 2001 153 Online-Ressource (DE-627)338074163 (DE-600)2063587-4 (DE-576)259272388 1872-7034 nnns volume:153 GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 153 |
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10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110411 doi (DE-627)ELV010497293 (ELSEVIER)S1470-160X(23)00553-8 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng 570 630 VZ BIODIV DE-30 fid Xiao, Junzhu verfasserin aut Quantifying the independent contributions of climate and land use change to ecosystem services 2023 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to ESs. Using meteorological, soil, land use, and remote sensing data for Liaoning Province (China) from 2000 to 2020, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model and Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model were used to construct scenario simulation frameworks based on three hypothetical scenarios: 1) CLC effect only; 2) LUCC effect only; 3) a combined effect of CLC and LULC. The three scenario simulation frameworks were then used to determine the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), and their temporal dynamics. Results showed that under the combined effect of CLC and LULC, NPP, WY and SR in Liaoning Province exhibited a trend of gradual increase from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 124.62 gC/m2, 30.64 mm/a and 0.63 t/km2, respectively. Under the CLC only scenario, WY and SR changed by 6.24% and 2%, respectively, exhibiting a more significant effect than under the LUCC only scenario. In contrast, NPP changed by 25.71% under the LUCC only scenario, which was more significant than under the CLC only scenario. Overall, CLC was found to be the dominant factor affecting changes in WY and SR in Liaoning Province, with independent contribution rates of 81.79%-84.02% and 73.57%-85.44%, respectively, whereas LUCC was the dominant factor affecting changes in NPP with an independent contribution rate of 86.12%-92.50%. Decreased precipitation levels and an increase in temperature were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contributions of CLC to WY and SR, while large-scale forest land area damage and rapid urbanization were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contribution of LUCC to NPP. The results of this study identify the specific effects of different climatic conditions on ESs and highlight the conflict between urbanization and ecosystem service provision, providing a theoretical foundation for improving and increasing ESs and regional sustainable development in Liaoning Province. Ecosystem services Scenario simulation Independent contribution Climate change Land use change Song, Fei verfasserin aut Su, Fangli verfasserin aut Shi, Zheyu verfasserin aut Song, Shuang verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecological indicators Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier Science, 2001 153 Online-Ressource (DE-627)338074163 (DE-600)2063587-4 (DE-576)259272388 1872-7034 nnns volume:153 GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 153 |
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10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110411 doi (DE-627)ELV010497293 (ELSEVIER)S1470-160X(23)00553-8 DE-627 ger DE-627 rda eng 570 630 VZ BIODIV DE-30 fid Xiao, Junzhu verfasserin aut Quantifying the independent contributions of climate and land use change to ecosystem services 2023 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to ESs. Using meteorological, soil, land use, and remote sensing data for Liaoning Province (China) from 2000 to 2020, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model and Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model were used to construct scenario simulation frameworks based on three hypothetical scenarios: 1) CLC effect only; 2) LUCC effect only; 3) a combined effect of CLC and LULC. The three scenario simulation frameworks were then used to determine the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), and their temporal dynamics. Results showed that under the combined effect of CLC and LULC, NPP, WY and SR in Liaoning Province exhibited a trend of gradual increase from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 124.62 gC/m2, 30.64 mm/a and 0.63 t/km2, respectively. Under the CLC only scenario, WY and SR changed by 6.24% and 2%, respectively, exhibiting a more significant effect than under the LUCC only scenario. In contrast, NPP changed by 25.71% under the LUCC only scenario, which was more significant than under the CLC only scenario. Overall, CLC was found to be the dominant factor affecting changes in WY and SR in Liaoning Province, with independent contribution rates of 81.79%-84.02% and 73.57%-85.44%, respectively, whereas LUCC was the dominant factor affecting changes in NPP with an independent contribution rate of 86.12%-92.50%. Decreased precipitation levels and an increase in temperature were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contributions of CLC to WY and SR, while large-scale forest land area damage and rapid urbanization were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contribution of LUCC to NPP. The results of this study identify the specific effects of different climatic conditions on ESs and highlight the conflict between urbanization and ecosystem service provision, providing a theoretical foundation for improving and increasing ESs and regional sustainable development in Liaoning Province. Ecosystem services Scenario simulation Independent contribution Climate change Land use change Song, Fei verfasserin aut Su, Fangli verfasserin aut Shi, Zheyu verfasserin aut Song, Shuang verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecological indicators Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier Science, 2001 153 Online-Ressource (DE-627)338074163 (DE-600)2063587-4 (DE-576)259272388 1872-7034 nnns volume:153 GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHA GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 153 |
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Quantifying the independent contributions of climate and land use change to ecosystem services |
abstract |
Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to ESs. Using meteorological, soil, land use, and remote sensing data for Liaoning Province (China) from 2000 to 2020, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model and Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model were used to construct scenario simulation frameworks based on three hypothetical scenarios: 1) CLC effect only; 2) LUCC effect only; 3) a combined effect of CLC and LULC. The three scenario simulation frameworks were then used to determine the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), and their temporal dynamics. Results showed that under the combined effect of CLC and LULC, NPP, WY and SR in Liaoning Province exhibited a trend of gradual increase from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 124.62 gC/m2, 30.64 mm/a and 0.63 t/km2, respectively. Under the CLC only scenario, WY and SR changed by 6.24% and 2%, respectively, exhibiting a more significant effect than under the LUCC only scenario. In contrast, NPP changed by 25.71% under the LUCC only scenario, which was more significant than under the CLC only scenario. Overall, CLC was found to be the dominant factor affecting changes in WY and SR in Liaoning Province, with independent contribution rates of 81.79%-84.02% and 73.57%-85.44%, respectively, whereas LUCC was the dominant factor affecting changes in NPP with an independent contribution rate of 86.12%-92.50%. Decreased precipitation levels and an increase in temperature were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contributions of CLC to WY and SR, while large-scale forest land area damage and rapid urbanization were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contribution of LUCC to NPP. The results of this study identify the specific effects of different climatic conditions on ESs and highlight the conflict between urbanization and ecosystem service provision, providing a theoretical foundation for improving and increasing ESs and regional sustainable development in Liaoning Province. |
abstractGer |
Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to ESs. Using meteorological, soil, land use, and remote sensing data for Liaoning Province (China) from 2000 to 2020, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model and Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model were used to construct scenario simulation frameworks based on three hypothetical scenarios: 1) CLC effect only; 2) LUCC effect only; 3) a combined effect of CLC and LULC. The three scenario simulation frameworks were then used to determine the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), and their temporal dynamics. Results showed that under the combined effect of CLC and LULC, NPP, WY and SR in Liaoning Province exhibited a trend of gradual increase from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 124.62 gC/m2, 30.64 mm/a and 0.63 t/km2, respectively. Under the CLC only scenario, WY and SR changed by 6.24% and 2%, respectively, exhibiting a more significant effect than under the LUCC only scenario. In contrast, NPP changed by 25.71% under the LUCC only scenario, which was more significant than under the CLC only scenario. Overall, CLC was found to be the dominant factor affecting changes in WY and SR in Liaoning Province, with independent contribution rates of 81.79%-84.02% and 73.57%-85.44%, respectively, whereas LUCC was the dominant factor affecting changes in NPP with an independent contribution rate of 86.12%-92.50%. Decreased precipitation levels and an increase in temperature were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contributions of CLC to WY and SR, while large-scale forest land area damage and rapid urbanization were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contribution of LUCC to NPP. The results of this study identify the specific effects of different climatic conditions on ESs and highlight the conflict between urbanization and ecosystem service provision, providing a theoretical foundation for improving and increasing ESs and regional sustainable development in Liaoning Province. |
abstract_unstemmed |
Ecosystem services (ESs) are critical to human welfare and play an important role in supporting sustainable social and economic development. Climate change (CLC) and land use change (LUCC) are two of the most important factors influencing ESs. However, few studies have tried to distinguish the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to ESs. Using meteorological, soil, land use, and remote sensing data for Liaoning Province (China) from 2000 to 2020, the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model and Carnegie-Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model were used to construct scenario simulation frameworks based on three hypothetical scenarios: 1) CLC effect only; 2) LUCC effect only; 3) a combined effect of CLC and LULC. The three scenario simulation frameworks were then used to determine the independent contributions of CLC and LUCC to net primary productivity (NPP), water yield (WY), soil retention (SR), and their temporal dynamics. Results showed that under the combined effect of CLC and LULC, NPP, WY and SR in Liaoning Province exhibited a trend of gradual increase from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 124.62 gC/m2, 30.64 mm/a and 0.63 t/km2, respectively. Under the CLC only scenario, WY and SR changed by 6.24% and 2%, respectively, exhibiting a more significant effect than under the LUCC only scenario. In contrast, NPP changed by 25.71% under the LUCC only scenario, which was more significant than under the CLC only scenario. Overall, CLC was found to be the dominant factor affecting changes in WY and SR in Liaoning Province, with independent contribution rates of 81.79%-84.02% and 73.57%-85.44%, respectively, whereas LUCC was the dominant factor affecting changes in NPP with an independent contribution rate of 86.12%-92.50%. Decreased precipitation levels and an increase in temperature were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contributions of CLC to WY and SR, while large-scale forest land area damage and rapid urbanization were the two primary factors driving fluctuations in the independent contribution of LUCC to NPP. The results of this study identify the specific effects of different climatic conditions on ESs and highlight the conflict between urbanization and ecosystem service provision, providing a theoretical foundation for improving and increasing ESs and regional sustainable development in Liaoning Province. |
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title_short |
Quantifying the independent contributions of climate and land use change to ecosystem services |
remote_bool |
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author2 |
Song, Fei Su, Fangli Shi, Zheyu Song, Shuang |
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Song, Fei Su, Fangli Shi, Zheyu Song, Shuang |
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doi_str |
10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110411 |
up_date |
2024-07-06T18:11:55.827Z |
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