Four harmonic cycles explain and predict commodity currencies' wide long term fluctuations
In theory and practice, it is difficult to accept a particular model of explanation and forecasting of exchange currencies as the literature review reveals. However, the currencies that are called commodity currencies, such as the Australian dollar are heavily influenced by commodity prices cycles,...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Sanidas, Elias [verfasserIn] |
|---|
| Format: |
E-Artikel |
|---|---|
| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2014transfer abstract |
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| Umfang: |
17 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Regulation of calcium and magnesium homeostasis in plants: from transporters to signaling network - Tang, Ren-Jie ELSEVIER, 2017, an international journal, Amsterdam [u.a.] |
|---|---|
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:87 ; year:2014 ; pages:135-151 ; extent:17 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1016/j.techfore.2013.11.008 |
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| 520 | |a In theory and practice, it is difficult to accept a particular model of explanation and forecasting of exchange currencies as the literature review reveals. However, the currencies that are called commodity currencies, such as the Australian dollar are heavily influenced by commodity prices cycles, and hence they might be easier to analyze and predict. We investigate the possibility that the Australian dollar is primarily determined by a handful of harmonic cycles which in turn are based not only on commodity prices cycles but also on commodity production cycles and in general on economic cycles. In this way we can get a very good fit of the relevant data and good out-of-sample forecasts. We cross check these results by referring to the main issues involved, such as fundamentals, short and long cycles, and so on. In addition, our analysis, forecasting ability, and conclusions still hold for three more commodity currencies examined here: New Zealand's dollar, Canada's dollar, and Norway's krone. | ||
| 520 | |a In theory and practice, it is difficult to accept a particular model of explanation and forecasting of exchange currencies as the literature review reveals. However, the currencies that are called commodity currencies, such as the Australian dollar are heavily influenced by commodity prices cycles, and hence they might be easier to analyze and predict. We investigate the possibility that the Australian dollar is primarily determined by a handful of harmonic cycles which in turn are based not only on commodity prices cycles but also on commodity production cycles and in general on economic cycles. In this way we can get a very good fit of the relevant data and good out-of-sample forecasts. We cross check these results by referring to the main issues involved, such as fundamentals, short and long cycles, and so on. In addition, our analysis, forecasting ability, and conclusions still hold for three more commodity currencies examined here: New Zealand's dollar, Canada's dollar, and Norway's krone. | ||
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10.1016/j.techfore.2013.11.008 doi GBVA2014001000014.pica (DE-627)ELV017196183 (ELSEVIER)S0040-1625(13)00312-0 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 300 600 300 DE-600 600 DE-600 580 VZ BIODIV DE-30 fid Sanidas, Elias verfasserin aut Four harmonic cycles explain and predict commodity currencies' wide long term fluctuations 2014transfer abstract 17 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier In theory and practice, it is difficult to accept a particular model of explanation and forecasting of exchange currencies as the literature review reveals. However, the currencies that are called commodity currencies, such as the Australian dollar are heavily influenced by commodity prices cycles, and hence they might be easier to analyze and predict. We investigate the possibility that the Australian dollar is primarily determined by a handful of harmonic cycles which in turn are based not only on commodity prices cycles but also on commodity production cycles and in general on economic cycles. In this way we can get a very good fit of the relevant data and good out-of-sample forecasts. We cross check these results by referring to the main issues involved, such as fundamentals, short and long cycles, and so on. In addition, our analysis, forecasting ability, and conclusions still hold for three more commodity currencies examined here: New Zealand's dollar, Canada's dollar, and Norway's krone. In theory and practice, it is difficult to accept a particular model of explanation and forecasting of exchange currencies as the literature review reveals. However, the currencies that are called commodity currencies, such as the Australian dollar are heavily influenced by commodity prices cycles, and hence they might be easier to analyze and predict. We investigate the possibility that the Australian dollar is primarily determined by a handful of harmonic cycles which in turn are based not only on commodity prices cycles but also on commodity production cycles and in general on economic cycles. In this way we can get a very good fit of the relevant data and good out-of-sample forecasts. We cross check these results by referring to the main issues involved, such as fundamentals, short and long cycles, and so on. In addition, our analysis, forecasting ability, and conclusions still hold for three more commodity currencies examined here: New Zealand's dollar, Canada's dollar, and Norway's krone. Enthalten in Elsevier Science Tang, Ren-Jie ELSEVIER Regulation of calcium and magnesium homeostasis in plants: from transporters to signaling network 2017 an international journal Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV003060551 volume:87 year:2014 pages:135-151 extent:17 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.11.008 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHA AR 87 2014 135-151 17 045F 300 |
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Four harmonic cycles explain and predict commodity currencies' wide long term fluctuations |
| abstract |
In theory and practice, it is difficult to accept a particular model of explanation and forecasting of exchange currencies as the literature review reveals. However, the currencies that are called commodity currencies, such as the Australian dollar are heavily influenced by commodity prices cycles, and hence they might be easier to analyze and predict. We investigate the possibility that the Australian dollar is primarily determined by a handful of harmonic cycles which in turn are based not only on commodity prices cycles but also on commodity production cycles and in general on economic cycles. In this way we can get a very good fit of the relevant data and good out-of-sample forecasts. We cross check these results by referring to the main issues involved, such as fundamentals, short and long cycles, and so on. In addition, our analysis, forecasting ability, and conclusions still hold for three more commodity currencies examined here: New Zealand's dollar, Canada's dollar, and Norway's krone. |
| abstractGer |
In theory and practice, it is difficult to accept a particular model of explanation and forecasting of exchange currencies as the literature review reveals. However, the currencies that are called commodity currencies, such as the Australian dollar are heavily influenced by commodity prices cycles, and hence they might be easier to analyze and predict. We investigate the possibility that the Australian dollar is primarily determined by a handful of harmonic cycles which in turn are based not only on commodity prices cycles but also on commodity production cycles and in general on economic cycles. In this way we can get a very good fit of the relevant data and good out-of-sample forecasts. We cross check these results by referring to the main issues involved, such as fundamentals, short and long cycles, and so on. In addition, our analysis, forecasting ability, and conclusions still hold for three more commodity currencies examined here: New Zealand's dollar, Canada's dollar, and Norway's krone. |
| abstract_unstemmed |
In theory and practice, it is difficult to accept a particular model of explanation and forecasting of exchange currencies as the literature review reveals. However, the currencies that are called commodity currencies, such as the Australian dollar are heavily influenced by commodity prices cycles, and hence they might be easier to analyze and predict. We investigate the possibility that the Australian dollar is primarily determined by a handful of harmonic cycles which in turn are based not only on commodity prices cycles but also on commodity production cycles and in general on economic cycles. In this way we can get a very good fit of the relevant data and good out-of-sample forecasts. We cross check these results by referring to the main issues involved, such as fundamentals, short and long cycles, and so on. In addition, our analysis, forecasting ability, and conclusions still hold for three more commodity currencies examined here: New Zealand's dollar, Canada's dollar, and Norway's krone. |
| collection_details |
GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHA |
| title_short |
Four harmonic cycles explain and predict commodity currencies' wide long term fluctuations |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.11.008 |
| remote_bool |
true |
| ppnlink |
ELV003060551 |
| mediatype_str_mv |
z |
| isOA_txt |
false |
| hochschulschrift_bool |
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| doi_str |
10.1016/j.techfore.2013.11.008 |
| up_date |
2024-07-06T21:22:18.275Z |
| _version_ |
1803866276652646400 |
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7.4010477 |