Household electricity demand forecasting using adaptive conditional density estimation
Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Amara, Fatima [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2017transfer abstract |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Umfang: |
10 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Advanced head and neck surgical techniques: A survey of US otolaryngology resident perspectives - Plonowska, Karolina A. ELSEVIER, 2018, an international journal of research applied to energy efficiency in the built environment, Amsterdam [u.a.] |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:156 ; year:2017 ; day:1 ; month:12 ; pages:271-280 ; extent:10 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 |
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ELV040841820 |
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| 520 | |a Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. | ||
| 520 | |a Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. | ||
| 650 | 7 | |a Building thermal performance |2 Elsevier | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Density forecasting |2 Elsevier | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Short-term load forecasting |2 Elsevier | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Adaptive load forecasting |2 Elsevier | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Agbossou, Kodjo |4 oth | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Dubé, Yves |4 oth | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Kelouwani, Sousso |4 oth | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Cardenas, Alben |4 oth | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Bouchard, Jonathan |4 oth | |
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10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 doi GBV00000000000355.pica (DE-627)ELV040841820 (ELSEVIER)S0378-7788(17)31429-9 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ 44.94 bkl Amara, Fatima verfasserin aut Household electricity demand forecasting using adaptive conditional density estimation 2017transfer abstract 10 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Building thermal performance Elsevier Density forecasting Elsevier Short-term load forecasting Elsevier Adaptive load forecasting Elsevier Agbossou, Kodjo oth Dubé, Yves oth Kelouwani, Sousso oth Cardenas, Alben oth Bouchard, Jonathan oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Plonowska, Karolina A. ELSEVIER Advanced head and neck surgical techniques: A survey of US otolaryngology resident perspectives 2018 an international journal of research applied to energy efficiency in the built environment Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV001764748 volume:156 year:2017 day:1 month:12 pages:271-280 extent:10 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U SSG-OLC-PHA 44.94 Hals-Nasen-Ohrenheilkunde VZ AR 156 2017 1 1201 271-280 10 |
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10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 doi GBV00000000000355.pica (DE-627)ELV040841820 (ELSEVIER)S0378-7788(17)31429-9 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ 44.94 bkl Amara, Fatima verfasserin aut Household electricity demand forecasting using adaptive conditional density estimation 2017transfer abstract 10 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Building thermal performance Elsevier Density forecasting Elsevier Short-term load forecasting Elsevier Adaptive load forecasting Elsevier Agbossou, Kodjo oth Dubé, Yves oth Kelouwani, Sousso oth Cardenas, Alben oth Bouchard, Jonathan oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Plonowska, Karolina A. ELSEVIER Advanced head and neck surgical techniques: A survey of US otolaryngology resident perspectives 2018 an international journal of research applied to energy efficiency in the built environment Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV001764748 volume:156 year:2017 day:1 month:12 pages:271-280 extent:10 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U SSG-OLC-PHA 44.94 Hals-Nasen-Ohrenheilkunde VZ AR 156 2017 1 1201 271-280 10 |
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10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 doi GBV00000000000355.pica (DE-627)ELV040841820 (ELSEVIER)S0378-7788(17)31429-9 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ 44.94 bkl Amara, Fatima verfasserin aut Household electricity demand forecasting using adaptive conditional density estimation 2017transfer abstract 10 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Building thermal performance Elsevier Density forecasting Elsevier Short-term load forecasting Elsevier Adaptive load forecasting Elsevier Agbossou, Kodjo oth Dubé, Yves oth Kelouwani, Sousso oth Cardenas, Alben oth Bouchard, Jonathan oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Plonowska, Karolina A. ELSEVIER Advanced head and neck surgical techniques: A survey of US otolaryngology resident perspectives 2018 an international journal of research applied to energy efficiency in the built environment Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV001764748 volume:156 year:2017 day:1 month:12 pages:271-280 extent:10 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U SSG-OLC-PHA 44.94 Hals-Nasen-Ohrenheilkunde VZ AR 156 2017 1 1201 271-280 10 |
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10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 doi GBV00000000000355.pica (DE-627)ELV040841820 (ELSEVIER)S0378-7788(17)31429-9 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ 44.94 bkl Amara, Fatima verfasserin aut Household electricity demand forecasting using adaptive conditional density estimation 2017transfer abstract 10 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Building thermal performance Elsevier Density forecasting Elsevier Short-term load forecasting Elsevier Adaptive load forecasting Elsevier Agbossou, Kodjo oth Dubé, Yves oth Kelouwani, Sousso oth Cardenas, Alben oth Bouchard, Jonathan oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Plonowska, Karolina A. ELSEVIER Advanced head and neck surgical techniques: A survey of US otolaryngology resident perspectives 2018 an international journal of research applied to energy efficiency in the built environment Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV001764748 volume:156 year:2017 day:1 month:12 pages:271-280 extent:10 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U SSG-OLC-PHA 44.94 Hals-Nasen-Ohrenheilkunde VZ AR 156 2017 1 1201 271-280 10 |
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10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 doi GBV00000000000355.pica (DE-627)ELV040841820 (ELSEVIER)S0378-7788(17)31429-9 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 610 VZ 44.94 bkl Amara, Fatima verfasserin aut Household electricity demand forecasting using adaptive conditional density estimation 2017transfer abstract 10 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. Building thermal performance Elsevier Density forecasting Elsevier Short-term load forecasting Elsevier Adaptive load forecasting Elsevier Agbossou, Kodjo oth Dubé, Yves oth Kelouwani, Sousso oth Cardenas, Alben oth Bouchard, Jonathan oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Plonowska, Karolina A. ELSEVIER Advanced head and neck surgical techniques: A survey of US otolaryngology resident perspectives 2018 an international journal of research applied to energy efficiency in the built environment Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV001764748 volume:156 year:2017 day:1 month:12 pages:271-280 extent:10 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.09.082 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U SSG-OLC-PHA 44.94 Hals-Nasen-Ohrenheilkunde VZ AR 156 2017 1 1201 271-280 10 |
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In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. 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Household electricity demand forecasting using adaptive conditional density estimation |
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Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. |
| abstractGer |
Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. |
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Large-scale deployment of advanced smart grid technologies bolsters load forecasting as a vital requirement for deregulated power systems. In this regard, providing an accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) can facilitate demand response applications and real-time electricity dispatch. STLF is mainly influenced by meteorological conditions among which investigating the relationship between temperature and household total electricity consumption is notably important due to their strong correlation. Accordingly, in this paper, we estimate the total electricity consumption to explore the impact of temperature in terms of a non-linear relationship with electricity demand. We propose the adaptive conditional density estimation (ACDE) method on the basis of kernel density estimation (KDE) to enhance the load forecast accuracy. The aim of the suggested approach is to decompose and examine the mentioned relationship in the context of both temperature-related, and residual components of the total consumption. The performance of the model to forecast the electricity demand is evaluated using a comparison study. The results prove that an ACDE model can significantly improve the recognition capability of the temperature-related component of aggregated power. Finally, the efficacy of the ACDE method is examined via numerical analysis of real data. |
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