Parametric hierarchical kriging for multi-fidelity aero-servo-elastic simulators — Application to extreme loads on wind turbines
In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Abdallah, Imad [verfasserIn] |
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E-Artikel |
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Sprache: |
Englisch |
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2019transfer abstract |
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Umfang: |
11 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Luminescent properties of low-temperature-hydrothermally-synthesized and post-treated YAG:Ce (5%) phosphors - Huang, Botong ELSEVIER, 2014, Amsterdam [u.a.] |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:55 ; year:2019 ; pages:67-77 ; extent:11 |
Links: |
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DOI / URN: |
10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 |
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Katalog-ID: |
ELV046016783 |
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264 | 1 | |c 2019transfer abstract | |
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520 | |a In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. | ||
520 | |a In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. | ||
650 | 7 | |a Hierarchical kriging |2 Elsevier | |
650 | 7 | |a UQLab |2 Elsevier | |
650 | 7 | |a Multi-fidelity |2 Elsevier | |
650 | 7 | |a Surrogate model |2 Elsevier | |
650 | 7 | |a Uncertainty quantification |2 Elsevier | |
650 | 7 | |a Extreme loads |2 Elsevier | |
650 | 7 | |a Parametric |2 Elsevier | |
650 | 7 | |a Wind turbine |2 Elsevier | |
650 | 7 | |a Aero-servo-elasticity |2 Elsevier | |
700 | 1 | |a Lataniotis, Christos |4 oth | |
700 | 1 | |a Sudret, Bruno |4 oth | |
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2019transfer abstract |
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publishDate |
2019 |
allfields |
10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 doi GBV00000000000543.pica (DE-627)ELV046016783 (ELSEVIER)S0266-8920(17)30212-6 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 530 VZ 620 VZ 670 VZ 300 VZ 70.00 bkl 71.00 bkl Abdallah, Imad verfasserin aut Parametric hierarchical kriging for multi-fidelity aero-servo-elastic simulators — Application to extreme loads on wind turbines 2019transfer abstract 11 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. Hierarchical kriging Elsevier UQLab Elsevier Multi-fidelity Elsevier Surrogate model Elsevier Uncertainty quantification Elsevier Extreme loads Elsevier Parametric Elsevier Wind turbine Elsevier Aero-servo-elasticity Elsevier Lataniotis, Christos oth Sudret, Bruno oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Huang, Botong ELSEVIER Luminescent properties of low-temperature-hydrothermally-synthesized and post-treated YAG:Ce (5%) phosphors 2014 Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV017638305 volume:55 year:2019 pages:67-77 extent:11 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U GBV_ILN_70 70.00 Sozialwissenschaften allgemein: Allgemeines VZ 71.00 Soziologie: Allgemeines VZ AR 55 2019 67-77 11 |
spelling |
10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 doi GBV00000000000543.pica (DE-627)ELV046016783 (ELSEVIER)S0266-8920(17)30212-6 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 530 VZ 620 VZ 670 VZ 300 VZ 70.00 bkl 71.00 bkl Abdallah, Imad verfasserin aut Parametric hierarchical kriging for multi-fidelity aero-servo-elastic simulators — Application to extreme loads on wind turbines 2019transfer abstract 11 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. Hierarchical kriging Elsevier UQLab Elsevier Multi-fidelity Elsevier Surrogate model Elsevier Uncertainty quantification Elsevier Extreme loads Elsevier Parametric Elsevier Wind turbine Elsevier Aero-servo-elasticity Elsevier Lataniotis, Christos oth Sudret, Bruno oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Huang, Botong ELSEVIER Luminescent properties of low-temperature-hydrothermally-synthesized and post-treated YAG:Ce (5%) phosphors 2014 Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV017638305 volume:55 year:2019 pages:67-77 extent:11 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U GBV_ILN_70 70.00 Sozialwissenschaften allgemein: Allgemeines VZ 71.00 Soziologie: Allgemeines VZ AR 55 2019 67-77 11 |
allfields_unstemmed |
10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 doi GBV00000000000543.pica (DE-627)ELV046016783 (ELSEVIER)S0266-8920(17)30212-6 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 530 VZ 620 VZ 670 VZ 300 VZ 70.00 bkl 71.00 bkl Abdallah, Imad verfasserin aut Parametric hierarchical kriging for multi-fidelity aero-servo-elastic simulators — Application to extreme loads on wind turbines 2019transfer abstract 11 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. Hierarchical kriging Elsevier UQLab Elsevier Multi-fidelity Elsevier Surrogate model Elsevier Uncertainty quantification Elsevier Extreme loads Elsevier Parametric Elsevier Wind turbine Elsevier Aero-servo-elasticity Elsevier Lataniotis, Christos oth Sudret, Bruno oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Huang, Botong ELSEVIER Luminescent properties of low-temperature-hydrothermally-synthesized and post-treated YAG:Ce (5%) phosphors 2014 Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV017638305 volume:55 year:2019 pages:67-77 extent:11 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U GBV_ILN_70 70.00 Sozialwissenschaften allgemein: Allgemeines VZ 71.00 Soziologie: Allgemeines VZ AR 55 2019 67-77 11 |
allfieldsGer |
10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 doi GBV00000000000543.pica (DE-627)ELV046016783 (ELSEVIER)S0266-8920(17)30212-6 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 530 VZ 620 VZ 670 VZ 300 VZ 70.00 bkl 71.00 bkl Abdallah, Imad verfasserin aut Parametric hierarchical kriging for multi-fidelity aero-servo-elastic simulators — Application to extreme loads on wind turbines 2019transfer abstract 11 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. Hierarchical kriging Elsevier UQLab Elsevier Multi-fidelity Elsevier Surrogate model Elsevier Uncertainty quantification Elsevier Extreme loads Elsevier Parametric Elsevier Wind turbine Elsevier Aero-servo-elasticity Elsevier Lataniotis, Christos oth Sudret, Bruno oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Huang, Botong ELSEVIER Luminescent properties of low-temperature-hydrothermally-synthesized and post-treated YAG:Ce (5%) phosphors 2014 Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV017638305 volume:55 year:2019 pages:67-77 extent:11 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U GBV_ILN_70 70.00 Sozialwissenschaften allgemein: Allgemeines VZ 71.00 Soziologie: Allgemeines VZ AR 55 2019 67-77 11 |
allfieldsSound |
10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 doi GBV00000000000543.pica (DE-627)ELV046016783 (ELSEVIER)S0266-8920(17)30212-6 DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 530 VZ 620 VZ 670 VZ 300 VZ 70.00 bkl 71.00 bkl Abdallah, Imad verfasserin aut Parametric hierarchical kriging for multi-fidelity aero-servo-elastic simulators — Application to extreme loads on wind turbines 2019transfer abstract 11 nicht spezifiziert zzz rdacontent nicht spezifiziert z rdamedia nicht spezifiziert zu rdacarrier In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. 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In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. Hierarchical kriging Elsevier UQLab Elsevier Multi-fidelity Elsevier Surrogate model Elsevier Uncertainty quantification Elsevier Extreme loads Elsevier Parametric Elsevier Wind turbine Elsevier Aero-servo-elasticity Elsevier Lataniotis, Christos oth Sudret, Bruno oth Enthalten in Elsevier Science Huang, Botong ELSEVIER Luminescent properties of low-temperature-hydrothermally-synthesized and post-treated YAG:Ce (5%) phosphors 2014 Amsterdam [u.a.] (DE-627)ELV017638305 volume:55 year:2019 pages:67-77 extent:11 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001 Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_U GBV_ELV SYSFLAG_U GBV_ILN_70 70.00 Sozialwissenschaften allgemein: Allgemeines VZ 71.00 Soziologie: Allgemeines VZ AR 55 2019 67-77 11 |
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Parametric hierarchical kriging for multi-fidelity aero-servo-elastic simulators — Application to extreme loads on wind turbines |
abstract |
In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. |
abstractGer |
In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. |
abstract_unstemmed |
In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error. |
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<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">ELV046016783</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230626012845.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">191021s2019 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="028" ind1="5" ind2="2"><subfield code="a">GBV00000000000543.pica</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)ELV046016783</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(ELSEVIER)S0266-8920(17)30212-6</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">530</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">620</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">670</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">300</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">70.00</subfield><subfield code="2">bkl</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">71.00</subfield><subfield code="2">bkl</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abdallah, Imad</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Parametric hierarchical kriging for multi-fidelity aero-servo-elastic simulators — Application to extreme loads on wind turbines</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2019transfer abstract</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">11</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">nicht spezifiziert</subfield><subfield code="b">zzz</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">nicht spezifiziert</subfield><subfield code="b">z</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">nicht spezifiziert</subfield><subfield code="b">zu</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity of interest on a wind turbine are available. In this type of situation, there is strong evidence that fusing the output from multiple aero-servo-elastic simulators yields better predictive ability and lower model uncertainty than using any single simulator. A computer simulator of a physical system requires a high number of runs in order to establish how the model response varies due to the variations in the input variables. Such evaluations might be expensive and time consuming. One solution consists in substituting the computer simulator with a mathematical approximation (surrogate model) built from a limited but well chosen set of simulations output. Hierarchical Kriging is a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling method in which the Kriging surrogate model of the cheap (low-fidelity) simulator is used as a trend of the Kriging surrogate model of the higher fidelity simulator. We propose a parametric approach to Hierarchical Kriging where the best surrogate models are selected based on evaluating all possible combinations of the available Kriging parameters candidates. The parametric Hierarchical Kriging approach is illustrated by fusing the extreme flapwise bending moment at the blade root of a large multi-megawatt wind turbine as a function of wind speed, turbulence and wind shear exponent in the presence of model uncertainty and heterogeneously noisy output. The extreme responses are obtained by two widely accepted wind turbine specific aero-servo-elastic computer simulators, FAST and Bladed. With limited high-fidelity simulations, Hierarchical Kriging produces more accurate predictions of validation data compared to conventional Kriging. In addition, contrary to conventional Kriging, Hierarchical Kriging is shown to be a robust surrogate modelling technique because it is less sensitive to the choice of the Kriging parameters and the choice of the estimation error.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Hierarchical kriging</subfield><subfield code="2">Elsevier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">UQLab</subfield><subfield code="2">Elsevier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Multi-fidelity</subfield><subfield code="2">Elsevier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Surrogate model</subfield><subfield code="2">Elsevier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Uncertainty quantification</subfield><subfield code="2">Elsevier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Extreme loads</subfield><subfield code="2">Elsevier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Parametric</subfield><subfield code="2">Elsevier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Wind turbine</subfield><subfield code="2">Elsevier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Aero-servo-elasticity</subfield><subfield code="2">Elsevier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Lataniotis, Christos</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Sudret, Bruno</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="n">Elsevier Science</subfield><subfield code="a">Huang, Botong ELSEVIER</subfield><subfield code="t">Luminescent properties of low-temperature-hydrothermally-synthesized and post-treated YAG:Ce (5%) phosphors</subfield><subfield code="d">2014</subfield><subfield code="g">Amsterdam [u.a.]</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)ELV017638305</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:55</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2019</subfield><subfield code="g">pages:67-77</subfield><subfield code="g">extent:11</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2018.10.001</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_USEFLAG_U</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ELV</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_U</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_70</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="936" ind1="b" ind2="k"><subfield code="a">70.00</subfield><subfield code="j">Sozialwissenschaften allgemein: Allgemeines</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="936" ind1="b" ind2="k"><subfield code="a">71.00</subfield><subfield code="j">Soziologie: Allgemeines</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">55</subfield><subfield code="j">2019</subfield><subfield code="h">67-77</subfield><subfield code="g">11</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
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