Does Governance Cause Growth? Evidence from China
This study tests the causal relationships between quality of governance and economic growth at the provincial level in China during the post-Mao reform era. Exploiting the wide cross-provincial variation and rapid change over time in governance institutions and economic performance in China during t...
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Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Ross Wilson [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2016 |
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| Rechteinformationen: |
Nutzungsrecht: © COPYRIGHT 2016 Elsevier Science Publishers |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: World development - Amsterdam : Elsevier Science, 1973, 79(2016), Seite 138 |
|---|---|
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:79 ; year:2016 ; pages:138 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.015 |
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OLC1970715669 |
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| 520 | |a This study tests the causal relationships between quality of governance and economic growth at the provincial level in China during the post-Mao reform era. Exploiting the wide cross-provincial variation and rapid change over time in governance institutions and economic performance in China during this period (covering 1985-2005), the study provides a new perspective on the relationship between governance and growth. Whereas a large body of prior literature has demonstrated a strong positive association between high-quality governance institutions and good economic performance at the cross-country level, few quantitative studies have explicitly tested the direction of causality between changes in governance quality and changes in economic outcomes. This study aims to address this gap in the literature by testing two causal hypotheses on the interplay between provincial-level governance and economic performance in China: (i) improvements in provincial quality of governance predict subsequent economic growth rates, and (ii) increases in provincial economic growth rates predict subsequent changes in quality of governance. Using new heterogeneous Granger causality tests that allow for potential differences in the causal relations across provinces, I show a significant and positive effect of economic growth on subsequent quality of governance, largely driven by growth in the secondary sector, but no significant effect of quality of governance on economic growth. These findings suggest that improvements in formal governance have not been a key factor driving China's rapid growth; instead, the observed positive association between governance and growth reflects the ability of provincial governments to harness the potential created by economic growth to implement subsequent governance improvements. For researchers studying the effect of governance on growth, the results suggest that greater attention should be paid to possible reverse causality from economic outcomes to governance changes. [web URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X15002958] | ||
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10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.015 doi PQ20160212 (DE-627)OLC1970715669 (DE-599)GBVOLC1970715669 (PRQ)g2323-f1fa76118799e9e490a6812ef9884b48d583d7fee617337e1d94cdac1cbba2000 (KEY)0054168020160000079000000138doesgovernancecausegrowthevidencefromchina DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 050 DNB 83.00 bkl Ross Wilson verfasserin aut Does Governance Cause Growth? Evidence from China 2016 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier This study tests the causal relationships between quality of governance and economic growth at the provincial level in China during the post-Mao reform era. Exploiting the wide cross-provincial variation and rapid change over time in governance institutions and economic performance in China during this period (covering 1985-2005), the study provides a new perspective on the relationship between governance and growth. Whereas a large body of prior literature has demonstrated a strong positive association between high-quality governance institutions and good economic performance at the cross-country level, few quantitative studies have explicitly tested the direction of causality between changes in governance quality and changes in economic outcomes. This study aims to address this gap in the literature by testing two causal hypotheses on the interplay between provincial-level governance and economic performance in China: (i) improvements in provincial quality of governance predict subsequent economic growth rates, and (ii) increases in provincial economic growth rates predict subsequent changes in quality of governance. Using new heterogeneous Granger causality tests that allow for potential differences in the causal relations across provinces, I show a significant and positive effect of economic growth on subsequent quality of governance, largely driven by growth in the secondary sector, but no significant effect of quality of governance on economic growth. These findings suggest that improvements in formal governance have not been a key factor driving China's rapid growth; instead, the observed positive association between governance and growth reflects the ability of provincial governments to harness the potential created by economic growth to implement subsequent governance improvements. For researchers studying the effect of governance on growth, the results suggest that greater attention should be paid to possible reverse causality from economic outcomes to governance changes. [web URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X15002958] Nutzungsrecht: © COPYRIGHT 2016 Elsevier Science Publishers Growth rate Causality Studies Economic growth Enthalten in World development Amsterdam : Elsevier Science, 1973 79(2016), Seite 138 (DE-627)129394289 (DE-600)185339-9 (DE-576)014778793 0305-750X nnns volume:79 year:2016 pages:138 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.015 Volltext http://search.proquest.com/docview/1757950659 http://lup.lub.lu.se/record/8410413 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-WIW SSG-OLC-IBL GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_21 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_70 83.00 AVZ AR 79 2016 138 |
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10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.015 doi PQ20160212 (DE-627)OLC1970715669 (DE-599)GBVOLC1970715669 (PRQ)g2323-f1fa76118799e9e490a6812ef9884b48d583d7fee617337e1d94cdac1cbba2000 (KEY)0054168020160000079000000138doesgovernancecausegrowthevidencefromchina DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 050 DNB 83.00 bkl Ross Wilson verfasserin aut Does Governance Cause Growth? Evidence from China 2016 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier This study tests the causal relationships between quality of governance and economic growth at the provincial level in China during the post-Mao reform era. Exploiting the wide cross-provincial variation and rapid change over time in governance institutions and economic performance in China during this period (covering 1985-2005), the study provides a new perspective on the relationship between governance and growth. Whereas a large body of prior literature has demonstrated a strong positive association between high-quality governance institutions and good economic performance at the cross-country level, few quantitative studies have explicitly tested the direction of causality between changes in governance quality and changes in economic outcomes. This study aims to address this gap in the literature by testing two causal hypotheses on the interplay between provincial-level governance and economic performance in China: (i) improvements in provincial quality of governance predict subsequent economic growth rates, and (ii) increases in provincial economic growth rates predict subsequent changes in quality of governance. Using new heterogeneous Granger causality tests that allow for potential differences in the causal relations across provinces, I show a significant and positive effect of economic growth on subsequent quality of governance, largely driven by growth in the secondary sector, but no significant effect of quality of governance on economic growth. These findings suggest that improvements in formal governance have not been a key factor driving China's rapid growth; instead, the observed positive association between governance and growth reflects the ability of provincial governments to harness the potential created by economic growth to implement subsequent governance improvements. For researchers studying the effect of governance on growth, the results suggest that greater attention should be paid to possible reverse causality from economic outcomes to governance changes. [web URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X15002958] Nutzungsrecht: © COPYRIGHT 2016 Elsevier Science Publishers Growth rate Causality Studies Economic growth Enthalten in World development Amsterdam : Elsevier Science, 1973 79(2016), Seite 138 (DE-627)129394289 (DE-600)185339-9 (DE-576)014778793 0305-750X nnns volume:79 year:2016 pages:138 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.015 Volltext http://search.proquest.com/docview/1757950659 http://lup.lub.lu.se/record/8410413 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-WIW SSG-OLC-IBL GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_21 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_70 83.00 AVZ AR 79 2016 138 |
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10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.015 doi PQ20160212 (DE-627)OLC1970715669 (DE-599)GBVOLC1970715669 (PRQ)g2323-f1fa76118799e9e490a6812ef9884b48d583d7fee617337e1d94cdac1cbba2000 (KEY)0054168020160000079000000138doesgovernancecausegrowthevidencefromchina DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 050 DNB 83.00 bkl Ross Wilson verfasserin aut Does Governance Cause Growth? Evidence from China 2016 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier This study tests the causal relationships between quality of governance and economic growth at the provincial level in China during the post-Mao reform era. Exploiting the wide cross-provincial variation and rapid change over time in governance institutions and economic performance in China during this period (covering 1985-2005), the study provides a new perspective on the relationship between governance and growth. Whereas a large body of prior literature has demonstrated a strong positive association between high-quality governance institutions and good economic performance at the cross-country level, few quantitative studies have explicitly tested the direction of causality between changes in governance quality and changes in economic outcomes. This study aims to address this gap in the literature by testing two causal hypotheses on the interplay between provincial-level governance and economic performance in China: (i) improvements in provincial quality of governance predict subsequent economic growth rates, and (ii) increases in provincial economic growth rates predict subsequent changes in quality of governance. Using new heterogeneous Granger causality tests that allow for potential differences in the causal relations across provinces, I show a significant and positive effect of economic growth on subsequent quality of governance, largely driven by growth in the secondary sector, but no significant effect of quality of governance on economic growth. These findings suggest that improvements in formal governance have not been a key factor driving China's rapid growth; instead, the observed positive association between governance and growth reflects the ability of provincial governments to harness the potential created by economic growth to implement subsequent governance improvements. For researchers studying the effect of governance on growth, the results suggest that greater attention should be paid to possible reverse causality from economic outcomes to governance changes. [web URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X15002958] Nutzungsrecht: © COPYRIGHT 2016 Elsevier Science Publishers Growth rate Causality Studies Economic growth Enthalten in World development Amsterdam : Elsevier Science, 1973 79(2016), Seite 138 (DE-627)129394289 (DE-600)185339-9 (DE-576)014778793 0305-750X nnns volume:79 year:2016 pages:138 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.11.015 Volltext http://search.proquest.com/docview/1757950659 http://lup.lub.lu.se/record/8410413 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-WIW SSG-OLC-IBL GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_21 GBV_ILN_26 GBV_ILN_70 83.00 AVZ AR 79 2016 138 |
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Does Governance Cause Growth? Evidence from China |
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does governance cause growth? evidence from china |
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Does Governance Cause Growth? Evidence from China |
| abstract |
This study tests the causal relationships between quality of governance and economic growth at the provincial level in China during the post-Mao reform era. Exploiting the wide cross-provincial variation and rapid change over time in governance institutions and economic performance in China during this period (covering 1985-2005), the study provides a new perspective on the relationship between governance and growth. Whereas a large body of prior literature has demonstrated a strong positive association between high-quality governance institutions and good economic performance at the cross-country level, few quantitative studies have explicitly tested the direction of causality between changes in governance quality and changes in economic outcomes. This study aims to address this gap in the literature by testing two causal hypotheses on the interplay between provincial-level governance and economic performance in China: (i) improvements in provincial quality of governance predict subsequent economic growth rates, and (ii) increases in provincial economic growth rates predict subsequent changes in quality of governance. Using new heterogeneous Granger causality tests that allow for potential differences in the causal relations across provinces, I show a significant and positive effect of economic growth on subsequent quality of governance, largely driven by growth in the secondary sector, but no significant effect of quality of governance on economic growth. These findings suggest that improvements in formal governance have not been a key factor driving China's rapid growth; instead, the observed positive association between governance and growth reflects the ability of provincial governments to harness the potential created by economic growth to implement subsequent governance improvements. For researchers studying the effect of governance on growth, the results suggest that greater attention should be paid to possible reverse causality from economic outcomes to governance changes. [web URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X15002958] |
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This study tests the causal relationships between quality of governance and economic growth at the provincial level in China during the post-Mao reform era. Exploiting the wide cross-provincial variation and rapid change over time in governance institutions and economic performance in China during this period (covering 1985-2005), the study provides a new perspective on the relationship between governance and growth. Whereas a large body of prior literature has demonstrated a strong positive association between high-quality governance institutions and good economic performance at the cross-country level, few quantitative studies have explicitly tested the direction of causality between changes in governance quality and changes in economic outcomes. This study aims to address this gap in the literature by testing two causal hypotheses on the interplay between provincial-level governance and economic performance in China: (i) improvements in provincial quality of governance predict subsequent economic growth rates, and (ii) increases in provincial economic growth rates predict subsequent changes in quality of governance. Using new heterogeneous Granger causality tests that allow for potential differences in the causal relations across provinces, I show a significant and positive effect of economic growth on subsequent quality of governance, largely driven by growth in the secondary sector, but no significant effect of quality of governance on economic growth. These findings suggest that improvements in formal governance have not been a key factor driving China's rapid growth; instead, the observed positive association between governance and growth reflects the ability of provincial governments to harness the potential created by economic growth to implement subsequent governance improvements. For researchers studying the effect of governance on growth, the results suggest that greater attention should be paid to possible reverse causality from economic outcomes to governance changes. [web URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X15002958] |
| abstract_unstemmed |
This study tests the causal relationships between quality of governance and economic growth at the provincial level in China during the post-Mao reform era. Exploiting the wide cross-provincial variation and rapid change over time in governance institutions and economic performance in China during this period (covering 1985-2005), the study provides a new perspective on the relationship between governance and growth. Whereas a large body of prior literature has demonstrated a strong positive association between high-quality governance institutions and good economic performance at the cross-country level, few quantitative studies have explicitly tested the direction of causality between changes in governance quality and changes in economic outcomes. This study aims to address this gap in the literature by testing two causal hypotheses on the interplay between provincial-level governance and economic performance in China: (i) improvements in provincial quality of governance predict subsequent economic growth rates, and (ii) increases in provincial economic growth rates predict subsequent changes in quality of governance. Using new heterogeneous Granger causality tests that allow for potential differences in the causal relations across provinces, I show a significant and positive effect of economic growth on subsequent quality of governance, largely driven by growth in the secondary sector, but no significant effect of quality of governance on economic growth. These findings suggest that improvements in formal governance have not been a key factor driving China's rapid growth; instead, the observed positive association between governance and growth reflects the ability of provincial governments to harness the potential created by economic growth to implement subsequent governance improvements. For researchers studying the effect of governance on growth, the results suggest that greater attention should be paid to possible reverse causality from economic outcomes to governance changes. [web URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X15002958] |
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Does Governance Cause Growth? Evidence from China |
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