Natural variations of tropical width and recent trends
The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and wa...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Mantsis, Damianos F [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2017 |
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| Rechteinformationen: |
Nutzungsrecht: © 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
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| Schlagwörter: |
Tropical circulation variations |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Geophysical research letters - Washington, DC : Union, 1974, 44(2017), 8, Seite 3825-3832 |
|---|---|
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:44 ; year:2017 ; number:8 ; pages:3825-3832 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1002/2016GL072097 |
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| 520 | |a The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and was associated with a global sea surface temperature (SST) change that resembles the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Pacific region. Idealized experiments with Community Atmospheric Model version 5 reveal that Tropical Pacific SST pattern largely accounts for the widening. A number of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models can simulate, without any type of forcing, this satellite‐inferred tropical widening and its associated Pacific SST pattern. While model‐simulated widenings are consistent for all metrics, the two reanalysis‐based widenings are inconsistent internally and with the satellite‐based and model widenings. Our results reinforce suggestions that observed widenings can be explained by internal variability as captured by climate models, though this depends on whether reanalysis trends are regarded as reliable. Tropical expansion is largely attributed to natural variability CMIP5 climate models can reproduce part of this tropical expansion without any type of forcing This tropical expansion is largely forced by SSTs in the Tropical Pacific with SSTs in the Indian Ocean playing a secondary role | ||
| 540 | |a Nutzungsrecht: © 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a tropical expansion | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Sea surface | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Climate models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Climate | |
| 650 | 4 | |a La Nina | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Climate change | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Temperature | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Satellites | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Surface temperature | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Tropical circulation variations | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Ocean temperature | |
| 650 | 4 | |a El Nino | |
| 650 | 4 | |a El Nino-Southern Oscillation event | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Ocean-atmosphere system | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Radiations | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Meteorology | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Sea surface temperatures | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Trends | |
| 650 | 4 | |a El Nino phenomena | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Sherwood, Steven |4 oth | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Allen, Robert |4 oth | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Shi, Lei |4 oth | |
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10.1002/2016GL072097 doi PQ20170901 (DE-627)OLC1994201665 (DE-599)GBVOLC1994201665 (PRQ)p1364-ba6ef4f5ecdfa16946d0667f31a5ff8d2cd187b7233f2dc33a4b34cb87a7bdc40 (KEY)0026932820170000044000803825naturalvariationsoftropicalwidthandrecenttrends DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 DNB 38.70 bkl Mantsis, Damianos F verfasserin aut Natural variations of tropical width and recent trends 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and was associated with a global sea surface temperature (SST) change that resembles the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Pacific region. Idealized experiments with Community Atmospheric Model version 5 reveal that Tropical Pacific SST pattern largely accounts for the widening. A number of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models can simulate, without any type of forcing, this satellite‐inferred tropical widening and its associated Pacific SST pattern. While model‐simulated widenings are consistent for all metrics, the two reanalysis‐based widenings are inconsistent internally and with the satellite‐based and model widenings. Our results reinforce suggestions that observed widenings can be explained by internal variability as captured by climate models, though this depends on whether reanalysis trends are regarded as reliable. Tropical expansion is largely attributed to natural variability CMIP5 climate models can reproduce part of this tropical expansion without any type of forcing This tropical expansion is largely forced by SSTs in the Tropical Pacific with SSTs in the Indian Ocean playing a secondary role Nutzungsrecht: © 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. tropical expansion Sea surface Climate models Climate La Nina Climate change Temperature Satellites Surface temperature Tropical circulation variations Ocean temperature El Nino El Nino-Southern Oscillation event Ocean-atmosphere system Radiations Meteorology Sea surface temperatures Trends El Nino phenomena Sherwood, Steven oth Allen, Robert oth Shi, Lei oth Enthalten in Geophysical research letters Washington, DC : Union, 1974 44(2017), 8, Seite 3825-3832 (DE-627)129095109 (DE-600)7403-2 (DE-576)01443122X 0094-8276 nnns volume:44 year:2017 number:8 pages:3825-3832 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL072097 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL072097/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1901449992 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_2279 38.70 AVZ AR 44 2017 8 3825-3832 |
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10.1002/2016GL072097 doi PQ20170901 (DE-627)OLC1994201665 (DE-599)GBVOLC1994201665 (PRQ)p1364-ba6ef4f5ecdfa16946d0667f31a5ff8d2cd187b7233f2dc33a4b34cb87a7bdc40 (KEY)0026932820170000044000803825naturalvariationsoftropicalwidthandrecenttrends DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 DNB 38.70 bkl Mantsis, Damianos F verfasserin aut Natural variations of tropical width and recent trends 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and was associated with a global sea surface temperature (SST) change that resembles the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Pacific region. Idealized experiments with Community Atmospheric Model version 5 reveal that Tropical Pacific SST pattern largely accounts for the widening. A number of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models can simulate, without any type of forcing, this satellite‐inferred tropical widening and its associated Pacific SST pattern. While model‐simulated widenings are consistent for all metrics, the two reanalysis‐based widenings are inconsistent internally and with the satellite‐based and model widenings. Our results reinforce suggestions that observed widenings can be explained by internal variability as captured by climate models, though this depends on whether reanalysis trends are regarded as reliable. Tropical expansion is largely attributed to natural variability CMIP5 climate models can reproduce part of this tropical expansion without any type of forcing This tropical expansion is largely forced by SSTs in the Tropical Pacific with SSTs in the Indian Ocean playing a secondary role Nutzungsrecht: © 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. tropical expansion Sea surface Climate models Climate La Nina Climate change Temperature Satellites Surface temperature Tropical circulation variations Ocean temperature El Nino El Nino-Southern Oscillation event Ocean-atmosphere system Radiations Meteorology Sea surface temperatures Trends El Nino phenomena Sherwood, Steven oth Allen, Robert oth Shi, Lei oth Enthalten in Geophysical research letters Washington, DC : Union, 1974 44(2017), 8, Seite 3825-3832 (DE-627)129095109 (DE-600)7403-2 (DE-576)01443122X 0094-8276 nnns volume:44 year:2017 number:8 pages:3825-3832 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL072097 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL072097/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1901449992 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_2279 38.70 AVZ AR 44 2017 8 3825-3832 |
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10.1002/2016GL072097 doi PQ20170901 (DE-627)OLC1994201665 (DE-599)GBVOLC1994201665 (PRQ)p1364-ba6ef4f5ecdfa16946d0667f31a5ff8d2cd187b7233f2dc33a4b34cb87a7bdc40 (KEY)0026932820170000044000803825naturalvariationsoftropicalwidthandrecenttrends DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 DNB 38.70 bkl Mantsis, Damianos F verfasserin aut Natural variations of tropical width and recent trends 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and was associated with a global sea surface temperature (SST) change that resembles the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Pacific region. Idealized experiments with Community Atmospheric Model version 5 reveal that Tropical Pacific SST pattern largely accounts for the widening. A number of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models can simulate, without any type of forcing, this satellite‐inferred tropical widening and its associated Pacific SST pattern. While model‐simulated widenings are consistent for all metrics, the two reanalysis‐based widenings are inconsistent internally and with the satellite‐based and model widenings. Our results reinforce suggestions that observed widenings can be explained by internal variability as captured by climate models, though this depends on whether reanalysis trends are regarded as reliable. Tropical expansion is largely attributed to natural variability CMIP5 climate models can reproduce part of this tropical expansion without any type of forcing This tropical expansion is largely forced by SSTs in the Tropical Pacific with SSTs in the Indian Ocean playing a secondary role Nutzungsrecht: © 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. tropical expansion Sea surface Climate models Climate La Nina Climate change Temperature Satellites Surface temperature Tropical circulation variations Ocean temperature El Nino El Nino-Southern Oscillation event Ocean-atmosphere system Radiations Meteorology Sea surface temperatures Trends El Nino phenomena Sherwood, Steven oth Allen, Robert oth Shi, Lei oth Enthalten in Geophysical research letters Washington, DC : Union, 1974 44(2017), 8, Seite 3825-3832 (DE-627)129095109 (DE-600)7403-2 (DE-576)01443122X 0094-8276 nnns volume:44 year:2017 number:8 pages:3825-3832 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL072097 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL072097/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1901449992 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_2279 38.70 AVZ AR 44 2017 8 3825-3832 |
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10.1002/2016GL072097 doi PQ20170901 (DE-627)OLC1994201665 (DE-599)GBVOLC1994201665 (PRQ)p1364-ba6ef4f5ecdfa16946d0667f31a5ff8d2cd187b7233f2dc33a4b34cb87a7bdc40 (KEY)0026932820170000044000803825naturalvariationsoftropicalwidthandrecenttrends DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 DNB 38.70 bkl Mantsis, Damianos F verfasserin aut Natural variations of tropical width and recent trends 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and was associated with a global sea surface temperature (SST) change that resembles the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Pacific region. Idealized experiments with Community Atmospheric Model version 5 reveal that Tropical Pacific SST pattern largely accounts for the widening. A number of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models can simulate, without any type of forcing, this satellite‐inferred tropical widening and its associated Pacific SST pattern. While model‐simulated widenings are consistent for all metrics, the two reanalysis‐based widenings are inconsistent internally and with the satellite‐based and model widenings. Our results reinforce suggestions that observed widenings can be explained by internal variability as captured by climate models, though this depends on whether reanalysis trends are regarded as reliable. Tropical expansion is largely attributed to natural variability CMIP5 climate models can reproduce part of this tropical expansion without any type of forcing This tropical expansion is largely forced by SSTs in the Tropical Pacific with SSTs in the Indian Ocean playing a secondary role Nutzungsrecht: © 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. tropical expansion Sea surface Climate models Climate La Nina Climate change Temperature Satellites Surface temperature Tropical circulation variations Ocean temperature El Nino El Nino-Southern Oscillation event Ocean-atmosphere system Radiations Meteorology Sea surface temperatures Trends El Nino phenomena Sherwood, Steven oth Allen, Robert oth Shi, Lei oth Enthalten in Geophysical research letters Washington, DC : Union, 1974 44(2017), 8, Seite 3825-3832 (DE-627)129095109 (DE-600)7403-2 (DE-576)01443122X 0094-8276 nnns volume:44 year:2017 number:8 pages:3825-3832 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL072097 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL072097/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1901449992 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_2279 38.70 AVZ AR 44 2017 8 3825-3832 |
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10.1002/2016GL072097 doi PQ20170901 (DE-627)OLC1994201665 (DE-599)GBVOLC1994201665 (PRQ)p1364-ba6ef4f5ecdfa16946d0667f31a5ff8d2cd187b7233f2dc33a4b34cb87a7bdc40 (KEY)0026932820170000044000803825naturalvariationsoftropicalwidthandrecenttrends DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 DNB 38.70 bkl Mantsis, Damianos F verfasserin aut Natural variations of tropical width and recent trends 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and was associated with a global sea surface temperature (SST) change that resembles the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Pacific region. Idealized experiments with Community Atmospheric Model version 5 reveal that Tropical Pacific SST pattern largely accounts for the widening. A number of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models can simulate, without any type of forcing, this satellite‐inferred tropical widening and its associated Pacific SST pattern. While model‐simulated widenings are consistent for all metrics, the two reanalysis‐based widenings are inconsistent internally and with the satellite‐based and model widenings. Our results reinforce suggestions that observed widenings can be explained by internal variability as captured by climate models, though this depends on whether reanalysis trends are regarded as reliable. Tropical expansion is largely attributed to natural variability CMIP5 climate models can reproduce part of this tropical expansion without any type of forcing This tropical expansion is largely forced by SSTs in the Tropical Pacific with SSTs in the Indian Ocean playing a secondary role Nutzungsrecht: © 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. tropical expansion Sea surface Climate models Climate La Nina Climate change Temperature Satellites Surface temperature Tropical circulation variations Ocean temperature El Nino El Nino-Southern Oscillation event Ocean-atmosphere system Radiations Meteorology Sea surface temperatures Trends El Nino phenomena Sherwood, Steven oth Allen, Robert oth Shi, Lei oth Enthalten in Geophysical research letters Washington, DC : Union, 1974 44(2017), 8, Seite 3825-3832 (DE-627)129095109 (DE-600)7403-2 (DE-576)01443122X 0094-8276 nnns volume:44 year:2017 number:8 pages:3825-3832 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016GL072097 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL072097/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1901449992 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_2279 38.70 AVZ AR 44 2017 8 3825-3832 |
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Natural variations of tropical width and recent trends |
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natural variations of tropical width and recent trends |
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Natural variations of tropical width and recent trends |
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The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and was associated with a global sea surface temperature (SST) change that resembles the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Pacific region. Idealized experiments with Community Atmospheric Model version 5 reveal that Tropical Pacific SST pattern largely accounts for the widening. A number of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models can simulate, without any type of forcing, this satellite‐inferred tropical widening and its associated Pacific SST pattern. While model‐simulated widenings are consistent for all metrics, the two reanalysis‐based widenings are inconsistent internally and with the satellite‐based and model widenings. Our results reinforce suggestions that observed widenings can be explained by internal variability as captured by climate models, though this depends on whether reanalysis trends are regarded as reliable. Tropical expansion is largely attributed to natural variability CMIP5 climate models can reproduce part of this tropical expansion without any type of forcing This tropical expansion is largely forced by SSTs in the Tropical Pacific with SSTs in the Indian Ocean playing a secondary role |
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The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and was associated with a global sea surface temperature (SST) change that resembles the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Pacific region. Idealized experiments with Community Atmospheric Model version 5 reveal that Tropical Pacific SST pattern largely accounts for the widening. A number of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models can simulate, without any type of forcing, this satellite‐inferred tropical widening and its associated Pacific SST pattern. While model‐simulated widenings are consistent for all metrics, the two reanalysis‐based widenings are inconsistent internally and with the satellite‐based and model widenings. Our results reinforce suggestions that observed widenings can be explained by internal variability as captured by climate models, though this depends on whether reanalysis trends are regarded as reliable. Tropical expansion is largely attributed to natural variability CMIP5 climate models can reproduce part of this tropical expansion without any type of forcing This tropical expansion is largely forced by SSTs in the Tropical Pacific with SSTs in the Indian Ocean playing a secondary role |
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The temporal evolution of the tropical width since 1979 is investigated in observations and models by using metrics based on outgoing radiation, 6.7 µm brightness temperature, and atmospheric reanalysis. The maximum 20 year widening as seen in radiation by satellites occurred during 1993–2012 and was associated with a global sea surface temperature (SST) change that resembles the El Niño–Southern Oscillation/Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the Pacific region. Idealized experiments with Community Atmospheric Model version 5 reveal that Tropical Pacific SST pattern largely accounts for the widening. A number of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 coupled models can simulate, without any type of forcing, this satellite‐inferred tropical widening and its associated Pacific SST pattern. While model‐simulated widenings are consistent for all metrics, the two reanalysis‐based widenings are inconsistent internally and with the satellite‐based and model widenings. Our results reinforce suggestions that observed widenings can be explained by internal variability as captured by climate models, though this depends on whether reanalysis trends are regarded as reliable. Tropical expansion is largely attributed to natural variability CMIP5 climate models can reproduce part of this tropical expansion without any type of forcing This tropical expansion is largely forced by SSTs in the Tropical Pacific with SSTs in the Indian Ocean playing a secondary role |
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Natural variations of tropical width and recent trends |
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