The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900
Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 190...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Robert W Snow [verfasserIn] |
---|
Format: |
Artikel |
---|---|
Sprache: |
Englisch |
Erschienen: |
2017 |
---|
Schlagwörter: |
---|
Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Nature - London : Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature, 1869, 550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A |
---|---|
Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:550 ; year:2017 ; number:7677 ; pages:515-3A |
Links: |
---|
DOI / URN: |
10.1038/nature24059 |
---|
Katalog-ID: |
OLC1997476460 |
---|
LEADER | 01000caa a2200265 4500 | ||
---|---|---|---|
001 | OLC1997476460 | ||
003 | DE-627 | ||
005 | 20230715073949.0 | ||
007 | tu | ||
008 | 171125s2017 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c | ||
024 | 7 | |a 10.1038/nature24059 |2 doi | |
028 | 5 | 2 | |a PQ20171125 |
035 | |a (DE-627)OLC1997476460 | ||
035 | |a (DE-599)GBVOLC1997476460 | ||
035 | |a (PRQ)p932-e739d3ec493647096b1281157d47ddd059695babb4fb229607493db39e20fa550 | ||
035 | |a (KEY)0072945020170000550767700515prevalenceofplasmodiumfalciparuminsubsaharanafrica | ||
040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rakwb | ||
041 | |a eng | ||
082 | 0 | 4 | |a 070 |a 500 |q DE-101 |
082 | 0 | 4 | |a 500 |q AVZ |
084 | |a BIODIV |2 fid | ||
100 | 0 | |a Robert W Snow |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 4 | |a The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 |
264 | 1 | |c 2017 | |
336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
337 | |a ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
338 | |a Band |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
520 | |a Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences. | ||
650 | 4 | |a Historical account | |
650 | 4 | |a Parasites | |
650 | 4 | |a Erythrocytes | |
650 | 4 | |a Vector-borne diseases | |
650 | 4 | |a Intervention | |
650 | 4 | |a Malaria | |
650 | 4 | |a Maps | |
650 | 4 | |a Land use | |
650 | 4 | |a Disease transmission | |
650 | 4 | |a Insecticides | |
650 | 4 | |a Epidemiology | |
650 | 4 | |a Pesticides | |
650 | 4 | |a Mosquitoes | |
650 | 4 | |a Parasitic diseases | |
650 | 4 | |a Infections | |
700 | 0 | |a Benn Sartorius |4 oth | |
700 | 0 | |a David Kyalo |4 oth | |
700 | 0 | |a Joseph Maina |4 oth | |
700 | 0 | |a Punam Amratia |4 oth | |
700 | 0 | |a Clara W Mundia |4 oth | |
700 | 0 | |a Philip Bejon |4 oth | |
700 | 0 | |a Abdisalan M Noor |4 oth | |
773 | 0 | 8 | |i Enthalten in |t Nature |d London : Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature, 1869 |g 550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A |w (DE-627)129292834 |w (DE-600)120714-3 |w (DE-576)014473941 |x 0028-0836 |7 nnns |
773 | 1 | 8 | |g volume:550 |g year:2017 |g number:7677 |g pages:515-3A |
856 | 4 | 1 | |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature24059 |3 Volltext |
856 | 4 | 2 | |u https://search.proquest.com/docview/1957212430 |
912 | |a GBV_USEFLAG_A | ||
912 | |a SYSFLAG_A | ||
912 | |a GBV_OLC | ||
912 | |a FID-BIODIV | ||
912 | |a SSG-OLC-PHY | ||
912 | |a SSG-OLC-CHE | ||
912 | |a SSG-OLC-MAT | ||
912 | |a SSG-OLC-FOR | ||
912 | |a SSG-OLC-SPO | ||
912 | |a SSG-OLC-PHA | ||
912 | |a SSG-OLC-DE-84 | ||
912 | |a SSG-OPC-FOR | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_11 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_22 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_40 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_47 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_55 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_59 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_60 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_62 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_69 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_70 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_73 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_101 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_110 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_120 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_135 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_154 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_168 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_170 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_171 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_211 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_252 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_290 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_294 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_601 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_647 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_754 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2001 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2002 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2005 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2007 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2008 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2016 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2018 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2020 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2026 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2095 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2116 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2120 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2121 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2219 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2221 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2279 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_2286 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4012 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4035 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4125 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4219 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4251 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4277 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4302 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4305 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4313 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4314 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4317 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4320 | ||
912 | |a GBV_ILN_4324 | ||
951 | |a AR | ||
952 | |d 550 |j 2017 |e 7677 |h 515-3A |
author_variant |
r w s rws |
---|---|
matchkey_str |
article:00280836:2017----::hpeaecopamdufliauisbaa |
hierarchy_sort_str |
2017 |
publishDate |
2017 |
allfields |
10.1038/nature24059 doi PQ20171125 (DE-627)OLC1997476460 (DE-599)GBVOLC1997476460 (PRQ)p932-e739d3ec493647096b1281157d47ddd059695babb4fb229607493db39e20fa550 (KEY)0072945020170000550767700515prevalenceofplasmodiumfalciparuminsubsaharanafrica DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 070 500 DE-101 500 AVZ BIODIV fid Robert W Snow verfasserin aut The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences. Historical account Parasites Erythrocytes Vector-borne diseases Intervention Malaria Maps Land use Disease transmission Insecticides Epidemiology Pesticides Mosquitoes Parasitic diseases Infections Benn Sartorius oth David Kyalo oth Joseph Maina oth Punam Amratia oth Clara W Mundia oth Philip Bejon oth Abdisalan M Noor oth Enthalten in Nature London : Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature, 1869 550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A (DE-627)129292834 (DE-600)120714-3 (DE-576)014473941 0028-0836 nnns volume:550 year:2017 number:7677 pages:515-3A http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature24059 Volltext https://search.proquest.com/docview/1957212430 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-CHE SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-SPO SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-FOR GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_55 GBV_ILN_59 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_101 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_135 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_168 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_211 GBV_ILN_252 GBV_ILN_290 GBV_ILN_294 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_754 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2002 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2016 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2095 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2120 GBV_ILN_2121 GBV_ILN_2219 GBV_ILN_2221 GBV_ILN_2279 GBV_ILN_2286 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4219 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4302 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4314 GBV_ILN_4317 GBV_ILN_4320 GBV_ILN_4324 AR 550 2017 7677 515-3A |
spelling |
10.1038/nature24059 doi PQ20171125 (DE-627)OLC1997476460 (DE-599)GBVOLC1997476460 (PRQ)p932-e739d3ec493647096b1281157d47ddd059695babb4fb229607493db39e20fa550 (KEY)0072945020170000550767700515prevalenceofplasmodiumfalciparuminsubsaharanafrica DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 070 500 DE-101 500 AVZ BIODIV fid Robert W Snow verfasserin aut The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences. Historical account Parasites Erythrocytes Vector-borne diseases Intervention Malaria Maps Land use Disease transmission Insecticides Epidemiology Pesticides Mosquitoes Parasitic diseases Infections Benn Sartorius oth David Kyalo oth Joseph Maina oth Punam Amratia oth Clara W Mundia oth Philip Bejon oth Abdisalan M Noor oth Enthalten in Nature London : Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature, 1869 550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A (DE-627)129292834 (DE-600)120714-3 (DE-576)014473941 0028-0836 nnns volume:550 year:2017 number:7677 pages:515-3A http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature24059 Volltext https://search.proquest.com/docview/1957212430 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-CHE SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-SPO SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-FOR GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_55 GBV_ILN_59 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_101 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_135 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_168 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_211 GBV_ILN_252 GBV_ILN_290 GBV_ILN_294 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_754 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2002 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2016 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2095 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2120 GBV_ILN_2121 GBV_ILN_2219 GBV_ILN_2221 GBV_ILN_2279 GBV_ILN_2286 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4219 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4302 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4314 GBV_ILN_4317 GBV_ILN_4320 GBV_ILN_4324 AR 550 2017 7677 515-3A |
allfields_unstemmed |
10.1038/nature24059 doi PQ20171125 (DE-627)OLC1997476460 (DE-599)GBVOLC1997476460 (PRQ)p932-e739d3ec493647096b1281157d47ddd059695babb4fb229607493db39e20fa550 (KEY)0072945020170000550767700515prevalenceofplasmodiumfalciparuminsubsaharanafrica DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 070 500 DE-101 500 AVZ BIODIV fid Robert W Snow verfasserin aut The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences. Historical account Parasites Erythrocytes Vector-borne diseases Intervention Malaria Maps Land use Disease transmission Insecticides Epidemiology Pesticides Mosquitoes Parasitic diseases Infections Benn Sartorius oth David Kyalo oth Joseph Maina oth Punam Amratia oth Clara W Mundia oth Philip Bejon oth Abdisalan M Noor oth Enthalten in Nature London : Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature, 1869 550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A (DE-627)129292834 (DE-600)120714-3 (DE-576)014473941 0028-0836 nnns volume:550 year:2017 number:7677 pages:515-3A http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature24059 Volltext https://search.proquest.com/docview/1957212430 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-CHE SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-SPO SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-FOR GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_55 GBV_ILN_59 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_101 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_135 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_168 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_211 GBV_ILN_252 GBV_ILN_290 GBV_ILN_294 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_754 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2002 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2016 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2095 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2120 GBV_ILN_2121 GBV_ILN_2219 GBV_ILN_2221 GBV_ILN_2279 GBV_ILN_2286 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4219 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4302 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4314 GBV_ILN_4317 GBV_ILN_4320 GBV_ILN_4324 AR 550 2017 7677 515-3A |
allfieldsGer |
10.1038/nature24059 doi PQ20171125 (DE-627)OLC1997476460 (DE-599)GBVOLC1997476460 (PRQ)p932-e739d3ec493647096b1281157d47ddd059695babb4fb229607493db39e20fa550 (KEY)0072945020170000550767700515prevalenceofplasmodiumfalciparuminsubsaharanafrica DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 070 500 DE-101 500 AVZ BIODIV fid Robert W Snow verfasserin aut The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences. Historical account Parasites Erythrocytes Vector-borne diseases Intervention Malaria Maps Land use Disease transmission Insecticides Epidemiology Pesticides Mosquitoes Parasitic diseases Infections Benn Sartorius oth David Kyalo oth Joseph Maina oth Punam Amratia oth Clara W Mundia oth Philip Bejon oth Abdisalan M Noor oth Enthalten in Nature London : Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature, 1869 550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A (DE-627)129292834 (DE-600)120714-3 (DE-576)014473941 0028-0836 nnns volume:550 year:2017 number:7677 pages:515-3A http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature24059 Volltext https://search.proquest.com/docview/1957212430 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-CHE SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-SPO SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-FOR GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_55 GBV_ILN_59 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_101 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_135 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_168 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_211 GBV_ILN_252 GBV_ILN_290 GBV_ILN_294 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_754 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2002 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2016 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2095 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2120 GBV_ILN_2121 GBV_ILN_2219 GBV_ILN_2221 GBV_ILN_2279 GBV_ILN_2286 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4219 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4302 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4314 GBV_ILN_4317 GBV_ILN_4320 GBV_ILN_4324 AR 550 2017 7677 515-3A |
allfieldsSound |
10.1038/nature24059 doi PQ20171125 (DE-627)OLC1997476460 (DE-599)GBVOLC1997476460 (PRQ)p932-e739d3ec493647096b1281157d47ddd059695babb4fb229607493db39e20fa550 (KEY)0072945020170000550767700515prevalenceofplasmodiumfalciparuminsubsaharanafrica DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 070 500 DE-101 500 AVZ BIODIV fid Robert W Snow verfasserin aut The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences. Historical account Parasites Erythrocytes Vector-borne diseases Intervention Malaria Maps Land use Disease transmission Insecticides Epidemiology Pesticides Mosquitoes Parasitic diseases Infections Benn Sartorius oth David Kyalo oth Joseph Maina oth Punam Amratia oth Clara W Mundia oth Philip Bejon oth Abdisalan M Noor oth Enthalten in Nature London : Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature, 1869 550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A (DE-627)129292834 (DE-600)120714-3 (DE-576)014473941 0028-0836 nnns volume:550 year:2017 number:7677 pages:515-3A http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature24059 Volltext https://search.proquest.com/docview/1957212430 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-CHE SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-SPO SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-FOR GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_55 GBV_ILN_59 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_101 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_135 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_168 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_211 GBV_ILN_252 GBV_ILN_290 GBV_ILN_294 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_754 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2002 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2016 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2095 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2120 GBV_ILN_2121 GBV_ILN_2219 GBV_ILN_2221 GBV_ILN_2279 GBV_ILN_2286 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4219 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4302 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4314 GBV_ILN_4317 GBV_ILN_4320 GBV_ILN_4324 AR 550 2017 7677 515-3A |
language |
English |
source |
Enthalten in Nature 550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A volume:550 year:2017 number:7677 pages:515-3A |
sourceStr |
Enthalten in Nature 550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A volume:550 year:2017 number:7677 pages:515-3A |
format_phy_str_mv |
Article |
institution |
findex.gbv.de |
topic_facet |
Historical account Parasites Erythrocytes Vector-borne diseases Intervention Malaria Maps Land use Disease transmission Insecticides Epidemiology Pesticides Mosquitoes Parasitic diseases Infections |
dewey-raw |
070 |
isfreeaccess_bool |
false |
container_title |
Nature |
authorswithroles_txt_mv |
Robert W Snow @@aut@@ Benn Sartorius @@oth@@ David Kyalo @@oth@@ Joseph Maina @@oth@@ Punam Amratia @@oth@@ Clara W Mundia @@oth@@ Philip Bejon @@oth@@ Abdisalan M Noor @@oth@@ |
publishDateDaySort_date |
2017-01-01T00:00:00Z |
hierarchy_top_id |
129292834 |
dewey-sort |
270 |
id |
OLC1997476460 |
language_de |
englisch |
fullrecord |
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a2200265 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">OLC1997476460</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230715073949.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">tu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">171125s2017 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1038/nature24059</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="028" ind1="5" ind2="2"><subfield code="a">PQ20171125</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)OLC1997476460</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)GBVOLC1997476460</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(PRQ)p932-e739d3ec493647096b1281157d47ddd059695babb4fb229607493db39e20fa550</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(KEY)0072945020170000550767700515prevalenceofplasmodiumfalciparuminsubsaharanafrica</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">070</subfield><subfield code="a">500</subfield><subfield code="q">DE-101</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">500</subfield><subfield code="q">AVZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">BIODIV</subfield><subfield code="2">fid</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Robert W Snow</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2017</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen</subfield><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Band</subfield><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Historical account</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Parasites</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Erythrocytes</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Vector-borne diseases</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Intervention</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Malaria</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Maps</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Land use</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Disease transmission</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Insecticides</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Epidemiology</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Pesticides</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Mosquitoes</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Parasitic diseases</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Infections</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Benn Sartorius</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">David Kyalo</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Joseph Maina</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Punam Amratia</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Clara W Mundia</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Philip Bejon</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abdisalan M Noor</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Nature</subfield><subfield code="d">London : Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature, 1869</subfield><subfield code="g">550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)129292834</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)120714-3</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-576)014473941</subfield><subfield code="x">0028-0836</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:550</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2017</subfield><subfield code="g">number:7677</subfield><subfield code="g">pages:515-3A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature24059</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="u">https://search.proquest.com/docview/1957212430</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_USEFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_OLC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">FID-BIODIV</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-PHY</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-CHE</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-MAT</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-FOR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-SPO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-PHA</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-DE-84</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-FOR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_11</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_22</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_40</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_47</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_55</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_59</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_60</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_62</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_69</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_70</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_73</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_101</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_110</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_120</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_135</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_154</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_168</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_170</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_171</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_211</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_252</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_290</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_294</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_601</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_647</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_754</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2001</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2002</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2005</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2007</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2008</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2016</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2018</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2020</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2026</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2095</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2116</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2120</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2121</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2219</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2221</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2279</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2286</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4012</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4035</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4125</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4219</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4251</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4277</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4302</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4305</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4313</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4314</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4317</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4320</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4324</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">550</subfield><subfield code="j">2017</subfield><subfield code="e">7677</subfield><subfield code="h">515-3A</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
|
author |
Robert W Snow |
spellingShingle |
Robert W Snow ddc 070 ddc 500 fid BIODIV misc Historical account misc Parasites misc Erythrocytes misc Vector-borne diseases misc Intervention misc Malaria misc Maps misc Land use misc Disease transmission misc Insecticides misc Epidemiology misc Pesticides misc Mosquitoes misc Parasitic diseases misc Infections The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 |
authorStr |
Robert W Snow |
ppnlink_with_tag_str_mv |
@@773@@(DE-627)129292834 |
format |
Article |
dewey-ones |
070 - News media, journalism & publishing 500 - Natural sciences & mathematics |
delete_txt_mv |
keep |
author_role |
aut |
collection |
OLC |
remote_str |
false |
illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
issn |
0028-0836 |
topic_title |
070 500 DE-101 500 AVZ BIODIV fid The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 Historical account Parasites Erythrocytes Vector-borne diseases Intervention Malaria Maps Land use Disease transmission Insecticides Epidemiology Pesticides Mosquitoes Parasitic diseases Infections |
topic |
ddc 070 ddc 500 fid BIODIV misc Historical account misc Parasites misc Erythrocytes misc Vector-borne diseases misc Intervention misc Malaria misc Maps misc Land use misc Disease transmission misc Insecticides misc Epidemiology misc Pesticides misc Mosquitoes misc Parasitic diseases misc Infections |
topic_unstemmed |
ddc 070 ddc 500 fid BIODIV misc Historical account misc Parasites misc Erythrocytes misc Vector-borne diseases misc Intervention misc Malaria misc Maps misc Land use misc Disease transmission misc Insecticides misc Epidemiology misc Pesticides misc Mosquitoes misc Parasitic diseases misc Infections |
topic_browse |
ddc 070 ddc 500 fid BIODIV misc Historical account misc Parasites misc Erythrocytes misc Vector-borne diseases misc Intervention misc Malaria misc Maps misc Land use misc Disease transmission misc Insecticides misc Epidemiology misc Pesticides misc Mosquitoes misc Parasitic diseases misc Infections |
format_facet |
Aufsätze Gedruckte Aufsätze |
format_main_str_mv |
Text Zeitschrift/Artikel |
carriertype_str_mv |
nc |
author2_variant |
b s bs d k dk j m jm p a pa c w m cwm p b pb a m n amn |
hierarchy_parent_title |
Nature |
hierarchy_parent_id |
129292834 |
dewey-tens |
070 - News media, journalism & publishing 500 - Science |
hierarchy_top_title |
Nature |
isfreeaccess_txt |
false |
familylinks_str_mv |
(DE-627)129292834 (DE-600)120714-3 (DE-576)014473941 |
title |
The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 |
ctrlnum |
(DE-627)OLC1997476460 (DE-599)GBVOLC1997476460 (PRQ)p932-e739d3ec493647096b1281157d47ddd059695babb4fb229607493db39e20fa550 (KEY)0072945020170000550767700515prevalenceofplasmodiumfalciparuminsubsaharanafrica |
title_full |
The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 |
author_sort |
Robert W Snow |
journal |
Nature |
journalStr |
Nature |
lang_code |
eng |
isOA_bool |
false |
dewey-hundreds |
000 - Computer science, information & general works 500 - Science |
recordtype |
marc |
publishDateSort |
2017 |
contenttype_str_mv |
txt |
container_start_page |
515 |
author_browse |
Robert W Snow |
container_volume |
550 |
class |
070 500 DE-101 500 AVZ BIODIV fid |
format_se |
Aufsätze |
author-letter |
Robert W Snow |
doi_str_mv |
10.1038/nature24059 |
dewey-full |
070 500 |
title_sort |
prevalence of plasmodium falciparum in sub-saharan africa since 1900 |
title_auth |
The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 |
abstract |
Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences. |
abstractGer |
Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences. |
abstract_unstemmed |
Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences. |
collection_details |
GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-CHE SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-SPO SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-FOR GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_47 GBV_ILN_55 GBV_ILN_59 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_101 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_135 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_168 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_211 GBV_ILN_252 GBV_ILN_290 GBV_ILN_294 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_754 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2002 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2016 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2095 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2120 GBV_ILN_2121 GBV_ILN_2219 GBV_ILN_2221 GBV_ILN_2279 GBV_ILN_2286 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4219 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4302 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4314 GBV_ILN_4317 GBV_ILN_4320 GBV_ILN_4324 |
container_issue |
7677 |
title_short |
The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature24059 https://search.proquest.com/docview/1957212430 |
remote_bool |
false |
author2 |
Benn Sartorius David Kyalo Joseph Maina Punam Amratia Clara W Mundia Philip Bejon Abdisalan M Noor |
author2Str |
Benn Sartorius David Kyalo Joseph Maina Punam Amratia Clara W Mundia Philip Bejon Abdisalan M Noor |
ppnlink |
129292834 |
mediatype_str_mv |
n |
isOA_txt |
false |
hochschulschrift_bool |
false |
author2_role |
oth oth oth oth oth oth oth |
doi_str |
10.1038/nature24059 |
up_date |
2024-07-04T03:00:01.557Z |
_version_ |
1803615733355118592 |
fullrecord_marcxml |
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a2200265 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">OLC1997476460</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230715073949.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">tu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">171125s2017 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1038/nature24059</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="028" ind1="5" ind2="2"><subfield code="a">PQ20171125</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)OLC1997476460</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)GBVOLC1997476460</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(PRQ)p932-e739d3ec493647096b1281157d47ddd059695babb4fb229607493db39e20fa550</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(KEY)0072945020170000550767700515prevalenceofplasmodiumfalciparuminsubsaharanafrica</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">070</subfield><subfield code="a">500</subfield><subfield code="q">DE-101</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">500</subfield><subfield code="q">AVZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">BIODIV</subfield><subfield code="2">fid</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Robert W Snow</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2017</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen</subfield><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Band</subfield><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate interventions. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here we show that the African continent has witnessed a long-term decline in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum from 40% prevalence in the period 1900-1929 to 24% prevalence in the period 2010-2015, a trend that has been interrupted by periods of rapidly increasing or decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the past 115 years are inconsistent with explanations in terms of climate or deliberate intervention alone. Previous global initiatives have had minor impacts on malaria transmission, and a historically unprecedented decline has been observed since 2000. However, there has been little change in the high transmission belt that covers large parts of West and Central Africa. Previous efforts to model the changing patterns of P. falciparum transmission intensity in Africa have been limited to the past 15 years1,2 or have used maps drawn from historical expert opinions3. We provide quantitative data, from 50,424 surveys at 36,966 geocoded locations, that covers 115 years of malaria history in sub-Saharan Africa; inferring from these data to future trends, we would expect continued reductions in malaria transmission, punctuated with resurgences.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Historical account</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Parasites</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Erythrocytes</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Vector-borne diseases</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Intervention</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Malaria</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Maps</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Land use</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Disease transmission</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Insecticides</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Epidemiology</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Pesticides</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Mosquitoes</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Parasitic diseases</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Infections</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Benn Sartorius</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">David Kyalo</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Joseph Maina</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Punam Amratia</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Clara W Mundia</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Philip Bejon</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abdisalan M Noor</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Nature</subfield><subfield code="d">London : Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature, 1869</subfield><subfield code="g">550(2017), 7677, Seite 515-3A</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)129292834</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)120714-3</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-576)014473941</subfield><subfield code="x">0028-0836</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:550</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2017</subfield><subfield code="g">number:7677</subfield><subfield code="g">pages:515-3A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature24059</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="u">https://search.proquest.com/docview/1957212430</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_USEFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_OLC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">FID-BIODIV</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-PHY</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-CHE</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-MAT</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-FOR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-SPO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-PHA</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-DE-84</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-FOR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_11</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_22</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_40</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_47</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_55</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_59</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_60</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_62</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_69</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_70</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_73</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_101</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_110</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_120</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_135</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_154</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_168</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_170</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_171</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_211</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_252</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_290</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_294</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_601</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_647</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_754</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2001</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2002</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2005</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2007</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2008</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2016</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2018</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2020</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2026</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2095</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2116</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2120</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2121</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2219</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2221</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2279</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2286</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4012</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4035</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4125</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4219</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4251</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4277</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4302</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4305</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4313</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4314</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4317</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4320</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4324</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">550</subfield><subfield code="j">2017</subfield><subfield code="e">7677</subfield><subfield code="h">515-3A</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
|
score |
7.400386 |