Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas
Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change suc...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
García Molinos, Jorge [verfasserIn] |
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Format: |
Artikel |
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Sprache: |
Englisch |
Erschienen: |
2017 |
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Rechteinformationen: |
Nutzungsrecht: © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd |
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Schlagwörter: |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Global change biology - Oxford [u.a.] : Blackwell Science, 1995, 23(2017), 10, Seite 4440-4452 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:23 ; year:2017 ; number:10 ; pages:4440-4452 |
Links: |
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DOI / URN: |
10.1111/gcb.13665 |
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Katalog-ID: |
OLC1998357732 |
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520 | |a Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources. | ||
540 | |a Nutzungsrecht: © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd | ||
650 | 4 | |a protected areas | |
650 | 4 | |a conservation | |
650 | 4 | |a connectivity | |
650 | 4 | |a climate analogues | |
650 | 4 | |a stability | |
650 | 4 | |a ecological coherence | |
650 | 4 | |a climate change | |
650 | 4 | |a Japan | |
650 | 4 | |a Range extension | |
650 | 4 | |a Variability | |
650 | 4 | |a Coastal environments | |
650 | 4 | |a Ecosystems | |
650 | 4 | |a Terrestrial environments | |
650 | 4 | |a Stability analysis | |
650 | 4 | |a Climate change | |
650 | 4 | |a Climatic changes | |
650 | 4 | |a Anthropogenic factors | |
650 | 4 | |a Risks | |
650 | 4 | |a Promoters | |
650 | 4 | |a Fresh water | |
650 | 4 | |a Biota | |
650 | 4 | |a Swaths | |
650 | 4 | |a Protected areas | |
650 | 4 | |a Marine ecosystems | |
650 | 4 | |a Species | |
650 | 4 | |a Threat evaluation | |
650 | 4 | |a Policies | |
650 | 4 | |a Risk analysis | |
650 | 4 | |a Adaptations | |
650 | 4 | |a Marine protected areas | |
650 | 4 | |a Landscape | |
650 | 4 | |a Climates | |
650 | 4 | |a Climate | |
650 | 4 | |a Archipelagoes | |
650 | 4 | |a Protection | |
650 | 4 | |a Ecological risk assessment | |
650 | 4 | |a Stability | |
650 | 4 | |a Aquatic ecosystems | |
650 | 4 | |a Inland water environment | |
650 | 4 | |a Dynamics | |
650 | 4 | |a Ocean currents | |
650 | 4 | |a Biological data | |
650 | 4 | |a Environmental risk | |
650 | 4 | |a Latitudinal variations | |
650 | 4 | |a Marine parks | |
650 | 4 | |a Conservation | |
650 | 4 | |a Spatial discrimination | |
700 | 1 | |a Takao, Shintaro |4 oth | |
700 | 1 | |a Kumagai, Naoki H |4 oth | |
700 | 1 | |a Poloczanska, Elvira S |4 oth | |
700 | 1 | |a Burrows, Michael T |4 oth | |
700 | 1 | |a Fujii, Masahiko |4 oth | |
700 | 1 | |a Yamano, Hiroya |4 oth | |
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10.1111/gcb.13665 doi PQ20171228 (DE-627)OLC1998357732 (DE-599)GBVOLC1998357732 (PRQ)c1675-85553e2418b4ffdd4d7539ac1d2a1d812cd87df3bfaa63ae5acbd694cb448d940 (KEY)0265675220170000023001004440improvingtheinterpretabilityofclimatelandscapemetr DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 570 DNB BIODIV fid García Molinos, Jorge verfasserin aut Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources. Nutzungsrecht: © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd protected areas conservation connectivity climate analogues stability ecological coherence climate change Japan Range extension Variability Coastal environments Ecosystems Terrestrial environments Stability analysis Climate change Climatic changes Anthropogenic factors Risks Promoters Fresh water Biota Swaths Protected areas Marine ecosystems Species Threat evaluation Policies Risk analysis Adaptations Marine protected areas Landscape Climates Climate Archipelagoes Protection Ecological risk assessment Stability Aquatic ecosystems Inland water environment Dynamics Ocean currents Biological data Environmental risk Latitudinal variations Marine parks Conservation Spatial discrimination Takao, Shintaro oth Kumagai, Naoki H oth Poloczanska, Elvira S oth Burrows, Michael T oth Fujii, Masahiko oth Yamano, Hiroya oth Enthalten in Global change biology Oxford [u.a.] : Blackwell Science, 1995 23(2017), 10, Seite 4440-4452 (DE-627)18815499X (DE-600)1281439-8 (DE-576)048525634 1354-1013 nnns volume:23 year:2017 number:10 pages:4440-4452 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13665 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13665/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1937412582 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4219 AR 23 2017 10 4440-4452 |
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10.1111/gcb.13665 doi PQ20171228 (DE-627)OLC1998357732 (DE-599)GBVOLC1998357732 (PRQ)c1675-85553e2418b4ffdd4d7539ac1d2a1d812cd87df3bfaa63ae5acbd694cb448d940 (KEY)0265675220170000023001004440improvingtheinterpretabilityofclimatelandscapemetr DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 570 DNB BIODIV fid García Molinos, Jorge verfasserin aut Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources. Nutzungsrecht: © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd protected areas conservation connectivity climate analogues stability ecological coherence climate change Japan Range extension Variability Coastal environments Ecosystems Terrestrial environments Stability analysis Climate change Climatic changes Anthropogenic factors Risks Promoters Fresh water Biota Swaths Protected areas Marine ecosystems Species Threat evaluation Policies Risk analysis Adaptations Marine protected areas Landscape Climates Climate Archipelagoes Protection Ecological risk assessment Stability Aquatic ecosystems Inland water environment Dynamics Ocean currents Biological data Environmental risk Latitudinal variations Marine parks Conservation Spatial discrimination Takao, Shintaro oth Kumagai, Naoki H oth Poloczanska, Elvira S oth Burrows, Michael T oth Fujii, Masahiko oth Yamano, Hiroya oth Enthalten in Global change biology Oxford [u.a.] : Blackwell Science, 1995 23(2017), 10, Seite 4440-4452 (DE-627)18815499X (DE-600)1281439-8 (DE-576)048525634 1354-1013 nnns volume:23 year:2017 number:10 pages:4440-4452 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13665 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13665/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1937412582 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4219 AR 23 2017 10 4440-4452 |
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10.1111/gcb.13665 doi PQ20171228 (DE-627)OLC1998357732 (DE-599)GBVOLC1998357732 (PRQ)c1675-85553e2418b4ffdd4d7539ac1d2a1d812cd87df3bfaa63ae5acbd694cb448d940 (KEY)0265675220170000023001004440improvingtheinterpretabilityofclimatelandscapemetr DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 570 DNB BIODIV fid García Molinos, Jorge verfasserin aut Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources. Nutzungsrecht: © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd protected areas conservation connectivity climate analogues stability ecological coherence climate change Japan Range extension Variability Coastal environments Ecosystems Terrestrial environments Stability analysis Climate change Climatic changes Anthropogenic factors Risks Promoters Fresh water Biota Swaths Protected areas Marine ecosystems Species Threat evaluation Policies Risk analysis Adaptations Marine protected areas Landscape Climates Climate Archipelagoes Protection Ecological risk assessment Stability Aquatic ecosystems Inland water environment Dynamics Ocean currents Biological data Environmental risk Latitudinal variations Marine parks Conservation Spatial discrimination Takao, Shintaro oth Kumagai, Naoki H oth Poloczanska, Elvira S oth Burrows, Michael T oth Fujii, Masahiko oth Yamano, Hiroya oth Enthalten in Global change biology Oxford [u.a.] : Blackwell Science, 1995 23(2017), 10, Seite 4440-4452 (DE-627)18815499X (DE-600)1281439-8 (DE-576)048525634 1354-1013 nnns volume:23 year:2017 number:10 pages:4440-4452 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13665 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13665/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1937412582 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4219 AR 23 2017 10 4440-4452 |
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10.1111/gcb.13665 doi PQ20171228 (DE-627)OLC1998357732 (DE-599)GBVOLC1998357732 (PRQ)c1675-85553e2418b4ffdd4d7539ac1d2a1d812cd87df3bfaa63ae5acbd694cb448d940 (KEY)0265675220170000023001004440improvingtheinterpretabilityofclimatelandscapemetr DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 570 DNB BIODIV fid García Molinos, Jorge verfasserin aut Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources. Nutzungsrecht: © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd protected areas conservation connectivity climate analogues stability ecological coherence climate change Japan Range extension Variability Coastal environments Ecosystems Terrestrial environments Stability analysis Climate change Climatic changes Anthropogenic factors Risks Promoters Fresh water Biota Swaths Protected areas Marine ecosystems Species Threat evaluation Policies Risk analysis Adaptations Marine protected areas Landscape Climates Climate Archipelagoes Protection Ecological risk assessment Stability Aquatic ecosystems Inland water environment Dynamics Ocean currents Biological data Environmental risk Latitudinal variations Marine parks Conservation Spatial discrimination Takao, Shintaro oth Kumagai, Naoki H oth Poloczanska, Elvira S oth Burrows, Michael T oth Fujii, Masahiko oth Yamano, Hiroya oth Enthalten in Global change biology Oxford [u.a.] : Blackwell Science, 1995 23(2017), 10, Seite 4440-4452 (DE-627)18815499X (DE-600)1281439-8 (DE-576)048525634 1354-1013 nnns volume:23 year:2017 number:10 pages:4440-4452 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13665 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13665/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1937412582 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4219 AR 23 2017 10 4440-4452 |
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10.1111/gcb.13665 doi PQ20171228 (DE-627)OLC1998357732 (DE-599)GBVOLC1998357732 (PRQ)c1675-85553e2418b4ffdd4d7539ac1d2a1d812cd87df3bfaa63ae5acbd694cb448d940 (KEY)0265675220170000023001004440improvingtheinterpretabilityofclimatelandscapemetr DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 570 DNB BIODIV fid García Molinos, Jorge verfasserin aut Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources. Nutzungsrecht: © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd protected areas conservation connectivity climate analogues stability ecological coherence climate change Japan Range extension Variability Coastal environments Ecosystems Terrestrial environments Stability analysis Climate change Climatic changes Anthropogenic factors Risks Promoters Fresh water Biota Swaths Protected areas Marine ecosystems Species Threat evaluation Policies Risk analysis Adaptations Marine protected areas Landscape Climates Climate Archipelagoes Protection Ecological risk assessment Stability Aquatic ecosystems Inland water environment Dynamics Ocean currents Biological data Environmental risk Latitudinal variations Marine parks Conservation Spatial discrimination Takao, Shintaro oth Kumagai, Naoki H oth Poloczanska, Elvira S oth Burrows, Michael T oth Fujii, Masahiko oth Yamano, Hiroya oth Enthalten in Global change biology Oxford [u.a.] : Blackwell Science, 1995 23(2017), 10, Seite 4440-4452 (DE-627)18815499X (DE-600)1281439-8 (DE-576)048525634 1354-1013 nnns volume:23 year:2017 number:10 pages:4440-4452 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13665 Volltext http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13665/abstract https://search.proquest.com/docview/1937412582 GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC FID-BIODIV SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-FOR SSG-OLC-PHA SSG-OLC-DE-84 SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4219 AR 23 2017 10 4440-4452 |
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García Molinos, Jorge ddc 570 fid BIODIV misc protected areas misc conservation misc connectivity misc climate analogues misc stability misc ecological coherence misc climate change misc Japan misc Range extension misc Variability misc Coastal environments misc Ecosystems misc Terrestrial environments misc Stability analysis misc Climate change misc Climatic changes misc Anthropogenic factors misc Risks misc Promoters misc Fresh water misc Biota misc Swaths misc Protected areas misc Marine ecosystems misc Species misc Threat evaluation misc Policies misc Risk analysis misc Adaptations misc Marine protected areas misc Landscape misc Climates misc Climate misc Archipelagoes misc Protection misc Ecological risk assessment misc Stability misc Aquatic ecosystems misc Inland water environment misc Dynamics misc Ocean currents misc Biological data misc Environmental risk misc Latitudinal variations misc Marine parks misc Conservation misc Spatial discrimination Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas |
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570 DNB BIODIV fid Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas protected areas conservation connectivity climate analogues stability ecological coherence climate change Japan Range extension Variability Coastal environments Ecosystems Terrestrial environments Stability analysis Climate change Climatic changes Anthropogenic factors Risks Promoters Fresh water Biota Swaths Protected areas Marine ecosystems Species Threat evaluation Policies Risk analysis Adaptations Marine protected areas Landscape Climates Climate Archipelagoes Protection Ecological risk assessment Stability Aquatic ecosystems Inland water environment Dynamics Ocean currents Biological data Environmental risk Latitudinal variations Marine parks Conservation Spatial discrimination |
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ddc 570 fid BIODIV misc protected areas misc conservation misc connectivity misc climate analogues misc stability misc ecological coherence misc climate change misc Japan misc Range extension misc Variability misc Coastal environments misc Ecosystems misc Terrestrial environments misc Stability analysis misc Climate change misc Climatic changes misc Anthropogenic factors misc Risks misc Promoters misc Fresh water misc Biota misc Swaths misc Protected areas misc Marine ecosystems misc Species misc Threat evaluation misc Policies misc Risk analysis misc Adaptations misc Marine protected areas misc Landscape misc Climates misc Climate misc Archipelagoes misc Protection misc Ecological risk assessment misc Stability misc Aquatic ecosystems misc Inland water environment misc Dynamics misc Ocean currents misc Biological data misc Environmental risk misc Latitudinal variations misc Marine parks misc Conservation misc Spatial discrimination |
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improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: an ecological risk analysis of japan's marine protected areas |
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Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas |
abstract |
Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources. |
abstractGer |
Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources. |
abstract_unstemmed |
Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources. |
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Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas |
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<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a2200265 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">OLC1998357732</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230715081800.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">tu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">171125s2017 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1111/gcb.13665</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="028" ind1="5" ind2="2"><subfield code="a">PQ20171228</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)OLC1998357732</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)GBVOLC1998357732</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(PRQ)c1675-85553e2418b4ffdd4d7539ac1d2a1d812cd87df3bfaa63ae5acbd694cb448d940</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(KEY)0265675220170000023001004440improvingtheinterpretabilityofclimatelandscapemetr</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">570</subfield><subfield code="q">DNB</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">BIODIV</subfield><subfield code="2">fid</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">García Molinos, Jorge</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2017</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen</subfield><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Band</subfield><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Conservation efforts strive to protect significant swaths of terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems from a range of threats. As climate change becomes an increasing concern, these efforts must take into account how resilient‐protected spaces will be in the face of future drivers of change such as warming temperatures. Climate landscape metrics, which signal the spatial magnitude and direction of climate change, support a convenient initial assessment of potential threats to and opportunities within ecosystems to inform conservation and policy efforts where biological data are not available. However, inference of risk from purely physical climatic changes is difficult unless set in a meaningful ecological context. Here, we aim to establish this context using historical climatic variability, as a proxy for local adaptation by resident biota, to identify areas where current local climate conditions will remain extant and future regional climate analogues will emerge. This information is then related to the processes governing species’ climate‐driven range edge dynamics, differentiating changes in local climate conditions as promoters of species range contractions from those in neighbouring locations facilitating range expansions. We applied this approach to assess the future climatic stability and connectivity of Japanese waters and its network of marine protected areas ( MPA s). We find 88% of Japanese waters transitioning to climates outside their historical variability bounds by 2035, resulting in large reductions in the amount of available climatic space potentially promoting widespread range contractions and expansions. Areas of high connectivity, where shifting climates converge, are present along sections of the coast facilitated by the strong latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago and its ocean current system. While these areas overlap significantly with areas currently under significant anthropogenic pressures, they also include much of the MPA network that may provide stepping‐stone protection for species that must shift their distribution because of climate change. Climate landscape metrics offer useful first‐cut assessments of the potential ecological implications from climate change. However, being simple descriptors of changes in climate conditions, direct ecological attribution is problematic if not framed in an ecologically coherent context. Doing so will facilitate interpretation and ease their incorporation into conservation and management of natural resources.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="540" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Nutzungsrecht: © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">protected areas</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">conservation</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">connectivity</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">climate analogues</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">stability</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">ecological coherence</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">climate change</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield 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