Optimism in the Face of Uncertainty Should be Refutable
Abstract We give an example from the theory of Markov decision processes which shows that the “optimism in the face of uncertainty” heuristics may fail to make any progress. This is due to the impossibility to falsify a belief that a (transition) probability is larger than 0. Our example shows the u...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Ortner, Ronald [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2008 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Minds and machines - Springer Netherlands, 1991, 18(2008), 4 vom: 09. Sept., Seite 521-526 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:18 ; year:2008 ; number:4 ; day:09 ; month:09 ; pages:521-526 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s11023-008-9115-5 |
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OLC204778722X |
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| 520 | |a Abstract We give an example from the theory of Markov decision processes which shows that the “optimism in the face of uncertainty” heuristics may fail to make any progress. This is due to the impossibility to falsify a belief that a (transition) probability is larger than 0. Our example shows the utility of Popper’s demand of falsifiability of hypotheses in the area of artificial intelligence. | ||
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| 650 | 4 | |a Reinforcement learning | |
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10.1007/s11023-008-9115-5 doi (DE-627)OLC204778722X (DE-He213)s11023-008-9115-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 050 VZ Ortner, Ronald verfasserin aut Optimism in the Face of Uncertainty Should be Refutable 2008 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008 Abstract We give an example from the theory of Markov decision processes which shows that the “optimism in the face of uncertainty” heuristics may fail to make any progress. This is due to the impossibility to falsify a belief that a (transition) probability is larger than 0. Our example shows the utility of Popper’s demand of falsifiability of hypotheses in the area of artificial intelligence. Markov decision processes Refutability Reinforcement learning Enthalten in Minds and machines Springer Netherlands, 1991 18(2008), 4 vom: 09. Sept., Seite 521-526 (DE-627)130969850 (DE-600)1070272-6 (DE-576)032730268 0924-6495 nnns volume:18 year:2008 number:4 day:09 month:09 pages:521-526 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11023-008-9115-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHI SSG-OLC-MAT GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_130 AR 18 2008 4 09 09 521-526 |
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10.1007/s11023-008-9115-5 doi (DE-627)OLC204778722X (DE-He213)s11023-008-9115-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 050 VZ Ortner, Ronald verfasserin aut Optimism in the Face of Uncertainty Should be Refutable 2008 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008 Abstract We give an example from the theory of Markov decision processes which shows that the “optimism in the face of uncertainty” heuristics may fail to make any progress. This is due to the impossibility to falsify a belief that a (transition) probability is larger than 0. Our example shows the utility of Popper’s demand of falsifiability of hypotheses in the area of artificial intelligence. Markov decision processes Refutability Reinforcement learning Enthalten in Minds and machines Springer Netherlands, 1991 18(2008), 4 vom: 09. Sept., Seite 521-526 (DE-627)130969850 (DE-600)1070272-6 (DE-576)032730268 0924-6495 nnns volume:18 year:2008 number:4 day:09 month:09 pages:521-526 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11023-008-9115-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHI SSG-OLC-MAT GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_130 AR 18 2008 4 09 09 521-526 |
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10.1007/s11023-008-9115-5 doi (DE-627)OLC204778722X (DE-He213)s11023-008-9115-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 050 VZ Ortner, Ronald verfasserin aut Optimism in the Face of Uncertainty Should be Refutable 2008 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008 Abstract We give an example from the theory of Markov decision processes which shows that the “optimism in the face of uncertainty” heuristics may fail to make any progress. This is due to the impossibility to falsify a belief that a (transition) probability is larger than 0. Our example shows the utility of Popper’s demand of falsifiability of hypotheses in the area of artificial intelligence. Markov decision processes Refutability Reinforcement learning Enthalten in Minds and machines Springer Netherlands, 1991 18(2008), 4 vom: 09. Sept., Seite 521-526 (DE-627)130969850 (DE-600)1070272-6 (DE-576)032730268 0924-6495 nnns volume:18 year:2008 number:4 day:09 month:09 pages:521-526 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11023-008-9115-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHI SSG-OLC-MAT GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_130 AR 18 2008 4 09 09 521-526 |
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10.1007/s11023-008-9115-5 doi (DE-627)OLC204778722X (DE-He213)s11023-008-9115-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 050 VZ Ortner, Ronald verfasserin aut Optimism in the Face of Uncertainty Should be Refutable 2008 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008 Abstract We give an example from the theory of Markov decision processes which shows that the “optimism in the face of uncertainty” heuristics may fail to make any progress. This is due to the impossibility to falsify a belief that a (transition) probability is larger than 0. Our example shows the utility of Popper’s demand of falsifiability of hypotheses in the area of artificial intelligence. Markov decision processes Refutability Reinforcement learning Enthalten in Minds and machines Springer Netherlands, 1991 18(2008), 4 vom: 09. Sept., Seite 521-526 (DE-627)130969850 (DE-600)1070272-6 (DE-576)032730268 0924-6495 nnns volume:18 year:2008 number:4 day:09 month:09 pages:521-526 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11023-008-9115-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHI SSG-OLC-MAT GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_130 AR 18 2008 4 09 09 521-526 |
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Abstract We give an example from the theory of Markov decision processes which shows that the “optimism in the face of uncertainty” heuristics may fail to make any progress. This is due to the impossibility to falsify a belief that a (transition) probability is larger than 0. Our example shows the utility of Popper’s demand of falsifiability of hypotheses in the area of artificial intelligence. © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008 |
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Abstract We give an example from the theory of Markov decision processes which shows that the “optimism in the face of uncertainty” heuristics may fail to make any progress. This is due to the impossibility to falsify a belief that a (transition) probability is larger than 0. Our example shows the utility of Popper’s demand of falsifiability of hypotheses in the area of artificial intelligence. © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008 |
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Abstract We give an example from the theory of Markov decision processes which shows that the “optimism in the face of uncertainty” heuristics may fail to make any progress. This is due to the impossibility to falsify a belief that a (transition) probability is larger than 0. Our example shows the utility of Popper’s demand of falsifiability of hypotheses in the area of artificial intelligence. © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008 |
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