Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning?
Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Tzanis, Andreas [verfasserIn] |
|---|
| Format: |
Artikel |
|---|---|
| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2002 |
|---|
| Schlagwörter: |
|---|
| Anmerkung: |
© Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 |
|---|
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Natural hazards - Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988, 27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103 |
|---|---|
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:27 ; year:2002 ; number:1-2 ; month:10 ; pages:85-103 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1023/A:1019957228371 |
|---|
| Katalog-ID: |
OLC2053640073 |
|---|
| LEADER | 01000caa a22002652 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | OLC2053640073 | ||
| 003 | DE-627 | ||
| 005 | 20230503215942.0 | ||
| 007 | tu | ||
| 008 | 200820s2002 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1023/A:1019957228371 |2 doi | |
| 035 | |a (DE-627)OLC2053640073 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-He213)A:1019957228371-p | ||
| 040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rakwb | ||
| 041 | |a eng | ||
| 082 | 0 | 4 | |a 550 |q VZ |
| 084 | |a 14 |2 ssgn | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Tzanis, Andreas |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? |
| 264 | 1 | |c 2002 | |
| 336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a Band |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a © Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 | ||
| 520 | |a Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Bearing Capacity | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Stress Redistribution | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Seismicity Rate | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Epicentral Area | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Load Bearing Capacity | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Makropoulos, Konstantinos |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | 8 | |i Enthalten in |t Natural hazards |d Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988 |g 27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103 |w (DE-627)131010271 |w (DE-600)1088547-X |w (DE-576)03285272X |x 0921-030X |7 nnns |
| 773 | 1 | 8 | |g volume:27 |g year:2002 |g number:1-2 |g month:10 |g pages:85-103 |
| 856 | 4 | 1 | |u https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019957228371 |z lizenzpflichtig |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a GBV_USEFLAG_A | ||
| 912 | |a SYSFLAG_A | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_OLC | ||
| 912 | |a SSG-OLC-PHY | ||
| 912 | |a SSG-OLC-MAT | ||
| 912 | |a SSG-OPC-GGO | ||
| 912 | |a SSG-OPC-MAT | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_ILN_40 | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_ILN_70 | ||
| 951 | |a AR | ||
| 952 | |d 27 |j 2002 |e 1-2 |c 10 |h 85-103 | ||
| author_variant |
a t at k m km |
|---|---|
| matchkey_str |
article:0921030X:2002----::ite9995ahnerhukc |
| hierarchy_sort_str |
2002 |
| publishDate |
2002 |
| allfields |
10.1023/A:1019957228371 doi (DE-627)OLC2053640073 (DE-He213)A:1019957228371-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Tzanis, Andreas verfasserin aut Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? 2002 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes. Bearing Capacity Stress Redistribution Seismicity Rate Epicentral Area Load Bearing Capacity Makropoulos, Konstantinos aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988 27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:27 year:2002 number:1-2 month:10 pages:85-103 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019957228371 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 AR 27 2002 1-2 10 85-103 |
| spelling |
10.1023/A:1019957228371 doi (DE-627)OLC2053640073 (DE-He213)A:1019957228371-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Tzanis, Andreas verfasserin aut Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? 2002 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes. Bearing Capacity Stress Redistribution Seismicity Rate Epicentral Area Load Bearing Capacity Makropoulos, Konstantinos aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988 27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:27 year:2002 number:1-2 month:10 pages:85-103 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019957228371 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 AR 27 2002 1-2 10 85-103 |
| allfields_unstemmed |
10.1023/A:1019957228371 doi (DE-627)OLC2053640073 (DE-He213)A:1019957228371-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Tzanis, Andreas verfasserin aut Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? 2002 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes. Bearing Capacity Stress Redistribution Seismicity Rate Epicentral Area Load Bearing Capacity Makropoulos, Konstantinos aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988 27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:27 year:2002 number:1-2 month:10 pages:85-103 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019957228371 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 AR 27 2002 1-2 10 85-103 |
| allfieldsGer |
10.1023/A:1019957228371 doi (DE-627)OLC2053640073 (DE-He213)A:1019957228371-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Tzanis, Andreas verfasserin aut Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? 2002 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes. Bearing Capacity Stress Redistribution Seismicity Rate Epicentral Area Load Bearing Capacity Makropoulos, Konstantinos aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988 27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:27 year:2002 number:1-2 month:10 pages:85-103 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019957228371 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 AR 27 2002 1-2 10 85-103 |
| allfieldsSound |
10.1023/A:1019957228371 doi (DE-627)OLC2053640073 (DE-He213)A:1019957228371-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Tzanis, Andreas verfasserin aut Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? 2002 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes. Bearing Capacity Stress Redistribution Seismicity Rate Epicentral Area Load Bearing Capacity Makropoulos, Konstantinos aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988 27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:27 year:2002 number:1-2 month:10 pages:85-103 https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019957228371 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 AR 27 2002 1-2 10 85-103 |
| language |
English |
| source |
Enthalten in Natural hazards 27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103 volume:27 year:2002 number:1-2 month:10 pages:85-103 |
| sourceStr |
Enthalten in Natural hazards 27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103 volume:27 year:2002 number:1-2 month:10 pages:85-103 |
| format_phy_str_mv |
Article |
| institution |
findex.gbv.de |
| topic_facet |
Bearing Capacity Stress Redistribution Seismicity Rate Epicentral Area Load Bearing Capacity |
| dewey-raw |
550 |
| isfreeaccess_bool |
false |
| container_title |
Natural hazards |
| authorswithroles_txt_mv |
Tzanis, Andreas @@aut@@ Makropoulos, Konstantinos @@aut@@ |
| publishDateDaySort_date |
2002-10-01T00:00:00Z |
| hierarchy_top_id |
131010271 |
| dewey-sort |
3550 |
| id |
OLC2053640073 |
| language_de |
englisch |
| fullrecord |
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">OLC2053640073</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230503215942.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">tu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">200820s2002 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1023/A:1019957228371</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)OLC2053640073</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-He213)A:1019957228371-p</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">550</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">14</subfield><subfield code="2">ssgn</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Tzanis, Andreas</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning?</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2002</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen</subfield><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Band</subfield><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">© Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Bearing Capacity</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Stress Redistribution</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Seismicity Rate</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Epicentral Area</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Load Bearing Capacity</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Makropoulos, Konstantinos</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Natural hazards</subfield><subfield code="d">Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988</subfield><subfield code="g">27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)131010271</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)1088547-X</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-576)03285272X</subfield><subfield code="x">0921-030X</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:27</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2002</subfield><subfield code="g">number:1-2</subfield><subfield code="g">month:10</subfield><subfield code="g">pages:85-103</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019957228371</subfield><subfield code="z">lizenzpflichtig</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_USEFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_OLC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-PHY</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-MAT</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-GGO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-MAT</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_40</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_70</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">27</subfield><subfield code="j">2002</subfield><subfield code="e">1-2</subfield><subfield code="c">10</subfield><subfield code="h">85-103</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
|
| author |
Tzanis, Andreas |
| spellingShingle |
Tzanis, Andreas ddc 550 ssgn 14 misc Bearing Capacity misc Stress Redistribution misc Seismicity Rate misc Epicentral Area misc Load Bearing Capacity Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? |
| authorStr |
Tzanis, Andreas |
| ppnlink_with_tag_str_mv |
@@773@@(DE-627)131010271 |
| format |
Article |
| dewey-ones |
550 - Earth sciences |
| delete_txt_mv |
keep |
| author_role |
aut aut |
| collection |
OLC |
| remote_str |
false |
| illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
| issn |
0921-030X |
| topic_title |
550 VZ 14 ssgn Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? Bearing Capacity Stress Redistribution Seismicity Rate Epicentral Area Load Bearing Capacity |
| topic |
ddc 550 ssgn 14 misc Bearing Capacity misc Stress Redistribution misc Seismicity Rate misc Epicentral Area misc Load Bearing Capacity |
| topic_unstemmed |
ddc 550 ssgn 14 misc Bearing Capacity misc Stress Redistribution misc Seismicity Rate misc Epicentral Area misc Load Bearing Capacity |
| topic_browse |
ddc 550 ssgn 14 misc Bearing Capacity misc Stress Redistribution misc Seismicity Rate misc Epicentral Area misc Load Bearing Capacity |
| format_facet |
Aufsätze Gedruckte Aufsätze |
| format_main_str_mv |
Text Zeitschrift/Artikel |
| carriertype_str_mv |
nc |
| hierarchy_parent_title |
Natural hazards |
| hierarchy_parent_id |
131010271 |
| dewey-tens |
550 - Earth sciences & geology |
| hierarchy_top_title |
Natural hazards |
| isfreeaccess_txt |
false |
| familylinks_str_mv |
(DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X |
| title |
Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? |
| ctrlnum |
(DE-627)OLC2053640073 (DE-He213)A:1019957228371-p |
| title_full |
Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? |
| author_sort |
Tzanis, Andreas |
| journal |
Natural hazards |
| journalStr |
Natural hazards |
| lang_code |
eng |
| isOA_bool |
false |
| dewey-hundreds |
500 - Science |
| recordtype |
marc |
| publishDateSort |
2002 |
| contenttype_str_mv |
txt |
| container_start_page |
85 |
| author_browse |
Tzanis, Andreas Makropoulos, Konstantinos |
| container_volume |
27 |
| class |
550 VZ 14 ssgn |
| format_se |
Aufsätze |
| author-letter |
Tzanis, Andreas |
| doi_str_mv |
10.1023/A:1019957228371 |
| dewey-full |
550 |
| title_sort |
did the 7/9/1999 m5.9 athens earthquake come with a warning? |
| title_auth |
Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? |
| abstract |
Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes. © Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 |
| abstractGer |
Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes. © Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes. © Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002 |
| collection_details |
GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 |
| container_issue |
1-2 |
| title_short |
Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning? |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019957228371 |
| remote_bool |
false |
| author2 |
Makropoulos, Konstantinos |
| author2Str |
Makropoulos, Konstantinos |
| ppnlink |
131010271 |
| mediatype_str_mv |
n |
| isOA_txt |
false |
| hochschulschrift_bool |
false |
| doi_str |
10.1023/A:1019957228371 |
| up_date |
2024-07-03T19:58:31.656Z |
| _version_ |
1803589214969790464 |
| fullrecord_marcxml |
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">OLC2053640073</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230503215942.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">tu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">200820s2002 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1023/A:1019957228371</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)OLC2053640073</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-He213)A:1019957228371-p</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">550</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">14</subfield><subfield code="2">ssgn</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Tzanis, Andreas</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Did the 7/9/1999 M5.9 Athens Earthquake Come with a Warning?</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2002</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen</subfield><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Band</subfield><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">© Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract Prior to the 7/9/1999 $ M_{S} $ = 5.9 Athens earthquake, regional seismicity has exhibited a power-law increase, of the form ΣΩ = K+A($ t_{c} $ - t)n, where Ω is estimated using an expression log Ω = cM + d and $ t_{c} $ is the time of the culminating event. Such changes appeared after the 17/8/1999 M7.4 Izmit event. We quantified the performance of the power law vs. the null hypothesis of constant seismic release rates, by defining the curvature C as the ratio of the power law fit RMS/linear fit RMS, so that the smaller C is, the better the power law behaviour. By mapping C, we have established a critical radius of 110 km and observed that the region of correlated accelerating seismic release extended from the N. Aegean, through Euboea and Attica to the SW Peloponnese. A few days prior to the Athens event, min(C) was centred at the epicentral area and numerical simulation yielded $ t_{c} $ = 1999.676 and predicted $ M_{S} $ = 5.77. Seismicity rates returned to normal (quasi-constant) after the Athens event. We interpret this effect as critical point behaviour, following remote excitation of a broad area by stress redistribution due to the Izmit event which, at Athens, has triggered `premature' failure of a fault nearing its load bearing capacity. If this is correct, we have documented a case of remote earthquake triggering by another earthquake, as well as insight into the mechanisms producing it. As a corollary, we note that a large event may beget another large event in its broader region of interaction, which may be preceded by characteristic precursory seismicity changes.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Bearing Capacity</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Stress Redistribution</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Seismicity Rate</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Epicentral Area</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Load Bearing Capacity</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Makropoulos, Konstantinos</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Natural hazards</subfield><subfield code="d">Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1988</subfield><subfield code="g">27(2002), 1-2 vom: Okt., Seite 85-103</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)131010271</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)1088547-X</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-576)03285272X</subfield><subfield code="x">0921-030X</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:27</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2002</subfield><subfield code="g">number:1-2</subfield><subfield code="g">month:10</subfield><subfield code="g">pages:85-103</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019957228371</subfield><subfield code="z">lizenzpflichtig</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_USEFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_OLC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-PHY</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-MAT</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-GGO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-MAT</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_40</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_70</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">27</subfield><subfield code="j">2002</subfield><subfield code="e">1-2</subfield><subfield code="c">10</subfield><subfield code="h">85-103</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
|
| score |
7.3980722 |