Study of the comprehensive risk analysis of dam-break flooding based on the numerical simulation of flood routing. Part II: Model application and results
Abstract The present model and methodology described in Part I of this work are applied to perform a comprehensive risk analysis of the dam-break flood of five reservoirs in the Haihe River Basin, China. The results indicate that the three-dimensional numerical simulation considering complex terrain...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Zhou, Zhengyin [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2014 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Natural hazards - Springer Netherlands, 1988, 72(2014), 2 vom: 17. Jan., Seite 675-700 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:72 ; year:2014 ; number:2 ; day:17 ; month:01 ; pages:675-700 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s11069-013-1029-8 |
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| Katalog-ID: |
OLC2053663049 |
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| 520 | |a Abstract The present model and methodology described in Part I of this work are applied to perform a comprehensive risk analysis of the dam-break flood of five reservoirs in the Haihe River Basin, China. The results indicate that the three-dimensional numerical simulation considering complex terrain can reflect the characteristics of flood routing and the three-dimensional phenomena. Based on the simulation results, it can be concluded that the risk grades of the consequences induced by a gradual or instantaneous dam break of the Dongwushi reservoir are extremely serious, as determined through the attribute synthetic approach. The results obtained from ranking the risk by the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution method are that the Dongwushi reservoir has the most serious consequences when the dam breaks followed by the Lincheng reservoir, the Miaogong reservoir and the Yunzhou reservoir, and the Youyi reservoir has the least severe consequences. Though the ranking of the relatively comprehensive risk coincides with that of the consequences, the dam safety measured by the dam failure probability plays an important role in ranking the risk. A sensitivity analysis is performed by individually increasing the weight of each criterion by 20 %, and the ranking order is not changed, suggesting that the evaluation model is reasonable, stable and reliable. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Dam-break flood | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Group-dam risk ranking | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Dam-break consequences | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Attribute synthetic assessment | |
| 650 | 4 | |a TOPSIS method | |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Sun, Xiaopei |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Song, Mingrui |4 aut | |
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10.1007/s11069-013-1029-8 doi (DE-627)OLC2053663049 (DE-He213)s11069-013-1029-8-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Zhou, Zhengyin verfasserin aut Study of the comprehensive risk analysis of dam-break flooding based on the numerical simulation of flood routing. Part II: Model application and results 2014 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014 Abstract The present model and methodology described in Part I of this work are applied to perform a comprehensive risk analysis of the dam-break flood of five reservoirs in the Haihe River Basin, China. The results indicate that the three-dimensional numerical simulation considering complex terrain can reflect the characteristics of flood routing and the three-dimensional phenomena. Based on the simulation results, it can be concluded that the risk grades of the consequences induced by a gradual or instantaneous dam break of the Dongwushi reservoir are extremely serious, as determined through the attribute synthetic approach. The results obtained from ranking the risk by the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution method are that the Dongwushi reservoir has the most serious consequences when the dam breaks followed by the Lincheng reservoir, the Miaogong reservoir and the Yunzhou reservoir, and the Youyi reservoir has the least severe consequences. Though the ranking of the relatively comprehensive risk coincides with that of the consequences, the dam safety measured by the dam failure probability plays an important role in ranking the risk. A sensitivity analysis is performed by individually increasing the weight of each criterion by 20 %, and the ranking order is not changed, suggesting that the evaluation model is reasonable, stable and reliable. Dam-break flood Group-dam risk ranking Dam-break consequences Attribute synthetic assessment TOPSIS method Wang, Xiaoling aut Sun, Ruirui aut Ao, Xuefei aut Sun, Xiaopei aut Song, Mingrui aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Springer Netherlands, 1988 72(2014), 2 vom: 17. Jan., Seite 675-700 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:72 year:2014 number:2 day:17 month:01 pages:675-700 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-1029-8 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 AR 72 2014 2 17 01 675-700 |
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10.1007/s11069-013-1029-8 doi (DE-627)OLC2053663049 (DE-He213)s11069-013-1029-8-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Zhou, Zhengyin verfasserin aut Study of the comprehensive risk analysis of dam-break flooding based on the numerical simulation of flood routing. Part II: Model application and results 2014 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014 Abstract The present model and methodology described in Part I of this work are applied to perform a comprehensive risk analysis of the dam-break flood of five reservoirs in the Haihe River Basin, China. The results indicate that the three-dimensional numerical simulation considering complex terrain can reflect the characteristics of flood routing and the three-dimensional phenomena. Based on the simulation results, it can be concluded that the risk grades of the consequences induced by a gradual or instantaneous dam break of the Dongwushi reservoir are extremely serious, as determined through the attribute synthetic approach. The results obtained from ranking the risk by the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution method are that the Dongwushi reservoir has the most serious consequences when the dam breaks followed by the Lincheng reservoir, the Miaogong reservoir and the Yunzhou reservoir, and the Youyi reservoir has the least severe consequences. Though the ranking of the relatively comprehensive risk coincides with that of the consequences, the dam safety measured by the dam failure probability plays an important role in ranking the risk. A sensitivity analysis is performed by individually increasing the weight of each criterion by 20 %, and the ranking order is not changed, suggesting that the evaluation model is reasonable, stable and reliable. Dam-break flood Group-dam risk ranking Dam-break consequences Attribute synthetic assessment TOPSIS method Wang, Xiaoling aut Sun, Ruirui aut Ao, Xuefei aut Sun, Xiaopei aut Song, Mingrui aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Springer Netherlands, 1988 72(2014), 2 vom: 17. Jan., Seite 675-700 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:72 year:2014 number:2 day:17 month:01 pages:675-700 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-1029-8 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 AR 72 2014 2 17 01 675-700 |
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10.1007/s11069-013-1029-8 doi (DE-627)OLC2053663049 (DE-He213)s11069-013-1029-8-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Zhou, Zhengyin verfasserin aut Study of the comprehensive risk analysis of dam-break flooding based on the numerical simulation of flood routing. Part II: Model application and results 2014 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014 Abstract The present model and methodology described in Part I of this work are applied to perform a comprehensive risk analysis of the dam-break flood of five reservoirs in the Haihe River Basin, China. The results indicate that the three-dimensional numerical simulation considering complex terrain can reflect the characteristics of flood routing and the three-dimensional phenomena. Based on the simulation results, it can be concluded that the risk grades of the consequences induced by a gradual or instantaneous dam break of the Dongwushi reservoir are extremely serious, as determined through the attribute synthetic approach. The results obtained from ranking the risk by the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution method are that the Dongwushi reservoir has the most serious consequences when the dam breaks followed by the Lincheng reservoir, the Miaogong reservoir and the Yunzhou reservoir, and the Youyi reservoir has the least severe consequences. Though the ranking of the relatively comprehensive risk coincides with that of the consequences, the dam safety measured by the dam failure probability plays an important role in ranking the risk. A sensitivity analysis is performed by individually increasing the weight of each criterion by 20 %, and the ranking order is not changed, suggesting that the evaluation model is reasonable, stable and reliable. Dam-break flood Group-dam risk ranking Dam-break consequences Attribute synthetic assessment TOPSIS method Wang, Xiaoling aut Sun, Ruirui aut Ao, Xuefei aut Sun, Xiaopei aut Song, Mingrui aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Springer Netherlands, 1988 72(2014), 2 vom: 17. Jan., Seite 675-700 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:72 year:2014 number:2 day:17 month:01 pages:675-700 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-1029-8 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 AR 72 2014 2 17 01 675-700 |
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10.1007/s11069-013-1029-8 doi (DE-627)OLC2053663049 (DE-He213)s11069-013-1029-8-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Zhou, Zhengyin verfasserin aut Study of the comprehensive risk analysis of dam-break flooding based on the numerical simulation of flood routing. Part II: Model application and results 2014 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014 Abstract The present model and methodology described in Part I of this work are applied to perform a comprehensive risk analysis of the dam-break flood of five reservoirs in the Haihe River Basin, China. The results indicate that the three-dimensional numerical simulation considering complex terrain can reflect the characteristics of flood routing and the three-dimensional phenomena. Based on the simulation results, it can be concluded that the risk grades of the consequences induced by a gradual or instantaneous dam break of the Dongwushi reservoir are extremely serious, as determined through the attribute synthetic approach. The results obtained from ranking the risk by the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution method are that the Dongwushi reservoir has the most serious consequences when the dam breaks followed by the Lincheng reservoir, the Miaogong reservoir and the Yunzhou reservoir, and the Youyi reservoir has the least severe consequences. Though the ranking of the relatively comprehensive risk coincides with that of the consequences, the dam safety measured by the dam failure probability plays an important role in ranking the risk. A sensitivity analysis is performed by individually increasing the weight of each criterion by 20 %, and the ranking order is not changed, suggesting that the evaluation model is reasonable, stable and reliable. Dam-break flood Group-dam risk ranking Dam-break consequences Attribute synthetic assessment TOPSIS method Wang, Xiaoling aut Sun, Ruirui aut Ao, Xuefei aut Sun, Xiaopei aut Song, Mingrui aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Springer Netherlands, 1988 72(2014), 2 vom: 17. Jan., Seite 675-700 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:72 year:2014 number:2 day:17 month:01 pages:675-700 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-1029-8 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_70 AR 72 2014 2 17 01 675-700 |
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Zhou, Zhengyin Wang, Xiaoling Sun, Ruirui Ao, Xuefei Sun, Xiaopei Song, Mingrui |
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study of the comprehensive risk analysis of dam-break flooding based on the numerical simulation of flood routing. part ii: model application and results |
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Study of the comprehensive risk analysis of dam-break flooding based on the numerical simulation of flood routing. Part II: Model application and results |
| abstract |
Abstract The present model and methodology described in Part I of this work are applied to perform a comprehensive risk analysis of the dam-break flood of five reservoirs in the Haihe River Basin, China. The results indicate that the three-dimensional numerical simulation considering complex terrain can reflect the characteristics of flood routing and the three-dimensional phenomena. Based on the simulation results, it can be concluded that the risk grades of the consequences induced by a gradual or instantaneous dam break of the Dongwushi reservoir are extremely serious, as determined through the attribute synthetic approach. The results obtained from ranking the risk by the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution method are that the Dongwushi reservoir has the most serious consequences when the dam breaks followed by the Lincheng reservoir, the Miaogong reservoir and the Yunzhou reservoir, and the Youyi reservoir has the least severe consequences. Though the ranking of the relatively comprehensive risk coincides with that of the consequences, the dam safety measured by the dam failure probability plays an important role in ranking the risk. A sensitivity analysis is performed by individually increasing the weight of each criterion by 20 %, and the ranking order is not changed, suggesting that the evaluation model is reasonable, stable and reliable. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014 |
| abstractGer |
Abstract The present model and methodology described in Part I of this work are applied to perform a comprehensive risk analysis of the dam-break flood of five reservoirs in the Haihe River Basin, China. The results indicate that the three-dimensional numerical simulation considering complex terrain can reflect the characteristics of flood routing and the three-dimensional phenomena. Based on the simulation results, it can be concluded that the risk grades of the consequences induced by a gradual or instantaneous dam break of the Dongwushi reservoir are extremely serious, as determined through the attribute synthetic approach. The results obtained from ranking the risk by the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution method are that the Dongwushi reservoir has the most serious consequences when the dam breaks followed by the Lincheng reservoir, the Miaogong reservoir and the Yunzhou reservoir, and the Youyi reservoir has the least severe consequences. Though the ranking of the relatively comprehensive risk coincides with that of the consequences, the dam safety measured by the dam failure probability plays an important role in ranking the risk. A sensitivity analysis is performed by individually increasing the weight of each criterion by 20 %, and the ranking order is not changed, suggesting that the evaluation model is reasonable, stable and reliable. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014 |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract The present model and methodology described in Part I of this work are applied to perform a comprehensive risk analysis of the dam-break flood of five reservoirs in the Haihe River Basin, China. The results indicate that the three-dimensional numerical simulation considering complex terrain can reflect the characteristics of flood routing and the three-dimensional phenomena. Based on the simulation results, it can be concluded that the risk grades of the consequences induced by a gradual or instantaneous dam break of the Dongwushi reservoir are extremely serious, as determined through the attribute synthetic approach. The results obtained from ranking the risk by the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution method are that the Dongwushi reservoir has the most serious consequences when the dam breaks followed by the Lincheng reservoir, the Miaogong reservoir and the Yunzhou reservoir, and the Youyi reservoir has the least severe consequences. Though the ranking of the relatively comprehensive risk coincides with that of the consequences, the dam safety measured by the dam failure probability plays an important role in ranking the risk. A sensitivity analysis is performed by individually increasing the weight of each criterion by 20 %, and the ranking order is not changed, suggesting that the evaluation model is reasonable, stable and reliable. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014 |
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Study of the comprehensive risk analysis of dam-break flooding based on the numerical simulation of flood routing. Part II: Model application and results |
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