Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)

Abstract We investigate major results of the NARCCAP multiple regional climate model (RCM) experiments driven by multiple global climate models (GCMs) regarding climate change for seasonal temperature and precipitation over North America. We focus on two major questions: How do the RCM simulated cli...
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Autor*in:	Mearns, L. O. [verfasserIn] Sain, S. Leung, L. R. Bukovsky, M. S. McGinnis, S. Biner, S. Caya, D. Arritt, R. W. Gutowski, W. Takle, E. Snyder, M. Jones, R. G. Nunes, A. M. B. Tucker, S. Herzmann, D. McDaniel, L. Sloan, L.

Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2013

Schlagwörter:	Regional Climate Model Regional Climate Model Simulation Canadian Regional Climate Model North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program Regional Spectral Model

Systematik:	RA 1000

Anmerkung:	© The Author(s) 2013

Übergeordnetes Werk:	Enthalten in: Climatic change - Springer Netherlands, 1977, 120(2013), 4 vom: 27. Juli, Seite 965-975
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:120 ; year:2013 ; number:4 ; day:27 ; month:07 ; pages:965-975

Links:	Volltext

DOI / URN:	10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3

Katalog-ID:	OLC2062612206

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700	1		\|a Nunes, A. M. B. \|4 aut
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700	1		\|a Herzmann, D. \|4 aut
700	1		\|a McDaniel, L. \|4 aut
700	1		\|a Sloan, L. \|4 aut
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allfields	10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 doi (DE-627)OLC2062612206 (DE-He213)s10584-013-0831-3-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Mearns, L. O. verfasserin aut Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) 2013 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2013 Abstract We investigate major results of the NARCCAP multiple regional climate model (RCM) experiments driven by multiple global climate models (GCMs) regarding climate change for seasonal temperature and precipitation over North America. We focus on two major questions: How do the RCM simulated climate changes differ from those of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation: larger increases in the northern part of the domain in winter and greater decreases across a swath of the central part in summer, compared to the four GCMs driving the regional models as well as to the full set of CMIP3 GCM results. We pose some possible process-level mechanisms for the difference in intensity of change, particularly for summer. Detailed process-level studies will be necessary to establish mechanisms and credibility of these results. The GCMs explain more variance for winter temperature and the RCMs for summer temperature. The same is true for precipitation patterns. Thus, we recommend that future RCM-GCM experiments over this region include a balanced number of GCMs and RCMs. Regional Climate Model Regional Climate Model Simulation Canadian Regional Climate Model North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program Regional Spectral Model Sain, S. aut Leung, L. R. aut Bukovsky, M. S. aut McGinnis, S. aut Biner, S. aut Caya, D. aut Arritt, R. W. aut Gutowski, W. aut Takle, E. aut Snyder, M. aut Jones, R. G. aut Nunes, A. M. B. aut Tucker, S. aut Herzmann, D. aut McDaniel, L. aut Sloan, L. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 120(2013), 4 vom: 27. Juli, Seite 965-975 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:120 year:2013 number:4 day:27 month:07 pages:965-975 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4325 RA 1000 AR 120 2013 4 27 07 965-975
spelling	10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 doi (DE-627)OLC2062612206 (DE-He213)s10584-013-0831-3-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Mearns, L. O. verfasserin aut Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) 2013 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2013 Abstract We investigate major results of the NARCCAP multiple regional climate model (RCM) experiments driven by multiple global climate models (GCMs) regarding climate change for seasonal temperature and precipitation over North America. We focus on two major questions: How do the RCM simulated climate changes differ from those of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation: larger increases in the northern part of the domain in winter and greater decreases across a swath of the central part in summer, compared to the four GCMs driving the regional models as well as to the full set of CMIP3 GCM results. We pose some possible process-level mechanisms for the difference in intensity of change, particularly for summer. Detailed process-level studies will be necessary to establish mechanisms and credibility of these results. The GCMs explain more variance for winter temperature and the RCMs for summer temperature. The same is true for precipitation patterns. Thus, we recommend that future RCM-GCM experiments over this region include a balanced number of GCMs and RCMs. Regional Climate Model Regional Climate Model Simulation Canadian Regional Climate Model North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program Regional Spectral Model Sain, S. aut Leung, L. R. aut Bukovsky, M. S. aut McGinnis, S. aut Biner, S. aut Caya, D. aut Arritt, R. W. aut Gutowski, W. aut Takle, E. aut Snyder, M. aut Jones, R. G. aut Nunes, A. M. B. aut Tucker, S. aut Herzmann, D. aut McDaniel, L. aut Sloan, L. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 120(2013), 4 vom: 27. Juli, Seite 965-975 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:120 year:2013 number:4 day:27 month:07 pages:965-975 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4325 RA 1000 AR 120 2013 4 27 07 965-975
allfields_unstemmed	10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 doi (DE-627)OLC2062612206 (DE-He213)s10584-013-0831-3-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Mearns, L. O. verfasserin aut Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) 2013 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2013 Abstract We investigate major results of the NARCCAP multiple regional climate model (RCM) experiments driven by multiple global climate models (GCMs) regarding climate change for seasonal temperature and precipitation over North America. We focus on two major questions: How do the RCM simulated climate changes differ from those of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation: larger increases in the northern part of the domain in winter and greater decreases across a swath of the central part in summer, compared to the four GCMs driving the regional models as well as to the full set of CMIP3 GCM results. We pose some possible process-level mechanisms for the difference in intensity of change, particularly for summer. Detailed process-level studies will be necessary to establish mechanisms and credibility of these results. The GCMs explain more variance for winter temperature and the RCMs for summer temperature. The same is true for precipitation patterns. Thus, we recommend that future RCM-GCM experiments over this region include a balanced number of GCMs and RCMs. Regional Climate Model Regional Climate Model Simulation Canadian Regional Climate Model North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program Regional Spectral Model Sain, S. aut Leung, L. R. aut Bukovsky, M. S. aut McGinnis, S. aut Biner, S. aut Caya, D. aut Arritt, R. W. aut Gutowski, W. aut Takle, E. aut Snyder, M. aut Jones, R. G. aut Nunes, A. M. B. aut Tucker, S. aut Herzmann, D. aut McDaniel, L. aut Sloan, L. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 120(2013), 4 vom: 27. Juli, Seite 965-975 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:120 year:2013 number:4 day:27 month:07 pages:965-975 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4325 RA 1000 AR 120 2013 4 27 07 965-975
allfieldsGer	10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 doi (DE-627)OLC2062612206 (DE-He213)s10584-013-0831-3-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Mearns, L. O. verfasserin aut Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) 2013 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2013 Abstract We investigate major results of the NARCCAP multiple regional climate model (RCM) experiments driven by multiple global climate models (GCMs) regarding climate change for seasonal temperature and precipitation over North America. We focus on two major questions: How do the RCM simulated climate changes differ from those of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation: larger increases in the northern part of the domain in winter and greater decreases across a swath of the central part in summer, compared to the four GCMs driving the regional models as well as to the full set of CMIP3 GCM results. We pose some possible process-level mechanisms for the difference in intensity of change, particularly for summer. Detailed process-level studies will be necessary to establish mechanisms and credibility of these results. The GCMs explain more variance for winter temperature and the RCMs for summer temperature. The same is true for precipitation patterns. Thus, we recommend that future RCM-GCM experiments over this region include a balanced number of GCMs and RCMs. Regional Climate Model Regional Climate Model Simulation Canadian Regional Climate Model North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program Regional Spectral Model Sain, S. aut Leung, L. R. aut Bukovsky, M. S. aut McGinnis, S. aut Biner, S. aut Caya, D. aut Arritt, R. W. aut Gutowski, W. aut Takle, E. aut Snyder, M. aut Jones, R. G. aut Nunes, A. M. B. aut Tucker, S. aut Herzmann, D. aut McDaniel, L. aut Sloan, L. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 120(2013), 4 vom: 27. Juli, Seite 965-975 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:120 year:2013 number:4 day:27 month:07 pages:965-975 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4325 RA 1000 AR 120 2013 4 27 07 965-975
allfieldsSound	10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 doi (DE-627)OLC2062612206 (DE-He213)s10584-013-0831-3-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Mearns, L. O. verfasserin aut Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) 2013 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2013 Abstract We investigate major results of the NARCCAP multiple regional climate model (RCM) experiments driven by multiple global climate models (GCMs) regarding climate change for seasonal temperature and precipitation over North America. We focus on two major questions: How do the RCM simulated climate changes differ from those of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation: larger increases in the northern part of the domain in winter and greater decreases across a swath of the central part in summer, compared to the four GCMs driving the regional models as well as to the full set of CMIP3 GCM results. We pose some possible process-level mechanisms for the difference in intensity of change, particularly for summer. Detailed process-level studies will be necessary to establish mechanisms and credibility of these results. The GCMs explain more variance for winter temperature and the RCMs for summer temperature. The same is true for precipitation patterns. Thus, we recommend that future RCM-GCM experiments over this region include a balanced number of GCMs and RCMs. Regional Climate Model Regional Climate Model Simulation Canadian Regional Climate Model North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program Regional Spectral Model Sain, S. aut Leung, L. R. aut Bukovsky, M. S. aut McGinnis, S. aut Biner, S. aut Caya, D. aut Arritt, R. W. aut Gutowski, W. aut Takle, E. aut Snyder, M. aut Jones, R. G. aut Nunes, A. M. B. aut Tucker, S. aut Herzmann, D. aut McDaniel, L. aut Sloan, L. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 120(2013), 4 vom: 27. Juli, Seite 965-975 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:120 year:2013 number:4 day:27 month:07 pages:965-975 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4325 RA 1000 AR 120 2013 4 27 07 965-975
language	English
source	Enthalten in Climatic change 120(2013), 4 vom: 27. Juli, Seite 965-975 volume:120 year:2013 number:4 day:27 month:07 pages:965-975
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format_phy_str_mv	Article
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topic_facet	Regional Climate Model Regional Climate Model Simulation Canadian Regional Climate Model North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program Regional Spectral Model
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container_title	Climatic change
authorswithroles_txt_mv	Mearns, L. O. @@aut@@ Sain, S. @@aut@@ Leung, L. R. @@aut@@ Bukovsky, M. S. @@aut@@ McGinnis, S. @@aut@@ Biner, S. @@aut@@ Caya, D. @@aut@@ Arritt, R. W. @@aut@@ Gutowski, W. @@aut@@ Takle, E. @@aut@@ Snyder, M. @@aut@@ Jones, R. G. @@aut@@ Nunes, A. M. B. @@aut@@ Tucker, S. @@aut@@ Herzmann, D. @@aut@@ McDaniel, L. @@aut@@ Sloan, L. @@aut@@
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author	Mearns, L. O.
spellingShingle	Mearns, L. O. ddc 550 ssgn 14 rvk RA 1000 misc Regional Climate Model misc Regional Climate Model Simulation misc Canadian Regional Climate Model misc North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program misc Regional Spectral Model Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)
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topic_title	550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) Regional Climate Model Regional Climate Model Simulation Canadian Regional Climate Model North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program Regional Spectral Model
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title	Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)
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title_full	Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)
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author_browse	Mearns, L. O. Sain, S. Leung, L. R. Bukovsky, M. S. McGinnis, S. Biner, S. Caya, D. Arritt, R. W. Gutowski, W. Takle, E. Snyder, M. Jones, R. G. Nunes, A. M. B. Tucker, S. Herzmann, D. McDaniel, L. Sloan, L.
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title_sort	climate change projections of the north american regional climate change assessment program (narccap)
title_auth	Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)
abstract	Abstract We investigate major results of the NARCCAP multiple regional climate model (RCM) experiments driven by multiple global climate models (GCMs) regarding climate change for seasonal temperature and precipitation over North America. We focus on two major questions: How do the RCM simulated climate changes differ from those of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation: larger increases in the northern part of the domain in winter and greater decreases across a swath of the central part in summer, compared to the four GCMs driving the regional models as well as to the full set of CMIP3 GCM results. We pose some possible process-level mechanisms for the difference in intensity of change, particularly for summer. Detailed process-level studies will be necessary to establish mechanisms and credibility of these results. The GCMs explain more variance for winter temperature and the RCMs for summer temperature. The same is true for precipitation patterns. Thus, we recommend that future RCM-GCM experiments over this region include a balanced number of GCMs and RCMs. © The Author(s) 2013
abstractGer	Abstract We investigate major results of the NARCCAP multiple regional climate model (RCM) experiments driven by multiple global climate models (GCMs) regarding climate change for seasonal temperature and precipitation over North America. We focus on two major questions: How do the RCM simulated climate changes differ from those of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation: larger increases in the northern part of the domain in winter and greater decreases across a swath of the central part in summer, compared to the four GCMs driving the regional models as well as to the full set of CMIP3 GCM results. We pose some possible process-level mechanisms for the difference in intensity of change, particularly for summer. Detailed process-level studies will be necessary to establish mechanisms and credibility of these results. The GCMs explain more variance for winter temperature and the RCMs for summer temperature. The same is true for precipitation patterns. Thus, we recommend that future RCM-GCM experiments over this region include a balanced number of GCMs and RCMs. © The Author(s) 2013
abstract_unstemmed	Abstract We investigate major results of the NARCCAP multiple regional climate model (RCM) experiments driven by multiple global climate models (GCMs) regarding climate change for seasonal temperature and precipitation over North America. We focus on two major questions: How do the RCM simulated climate changes differ from those of the parent GCMs and thus affect our perception of climate change over North America, and how important are the relative contributions of RCMs and GCMs to the uncertainty (variance explained) for different seasons and variables? The RCMs tend to produce stronger climate changes for precipitation: larger increases in the northern part of the domain in winter and greater decreases across a swath of the central part in summer, compared to the four GCMs driving the regional models as well as to the full set of CMIP3 GCM results. We pose some possible process-level mechanisms for the difference in intensity of change, particularly for summer. Detailed process-level studies will be necessary to establish mechanisms and credibility of these results. The GCMs explain more variance for winter temperature and the RCMs for summer temperature. The same is true for precipitation patterns. Thus, we recommend that future RCM-GCM experiments over this region include a balanced number of GCMs and RCMs. © The Author(s) 2013
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title_short	Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)
url	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3
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author2	Sain, S. Leung, L. R. Bukovsky, M. S. McGinnis, S. Biner, S. Caya, D. Arritt, R. W. Gutowski, W. Takle, E. Snyder, M. Jones, R. G. Nunes, A. M. B. Tucker, S. Herzmann, D. McDaniel, L. Sloan, L.
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