Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin

Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidence...
Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:

Autor*in:	Júnior, J. L. Siqueira [verfasserIn] Tomasella, J. Rodriguez, D. A.

Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2015

Schlagwörter:	Hydrological Model Hydrological Regime Climate Model Simulation Forest Conversion Flow Duration Curve

Systematik:	RA 1000

Anmerkung:	© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Übergeordnetes Werk:	Enthalten in: Climatic change - Springer Netherlands, 1977, 129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:129 ; year:2015 ; number:1-2 ; day:03 ; month:02 ; pages:117-129

Links:	Volltext

DOI / URN:	10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x

Katalog-ID:	OLC2062616422

Internformat


LEADER	01000caa a22002652 4500
001	OLC2062616422
003	DE-627
005	20230503024326.0
007	tu
008	200819s2015 xx \|\|\|\|\| 00\| \|\|eng c
024	7		\|a 10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x \|2 doi
035			\|a (DE-627)OLC2062616422
035			\|a (DE-He213)s10584-015-1338-x-p
040			\|a DE-627 \|b ger \|c DE-627 \|e rakwb
041			\|a eng
082	0	4	\|a 550 \|q VZ
084			\|a 14 \|2 ssgn
084			\|a RA 1000 \|q VZ \|2 rvk
100	1		\|a Júnior, J. L. Siqueira \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
245	1	0	\|a Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin
264		1	\|c 2015
336			\|a Text \|b txt \|2 rdacontent
337			\|a ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen \|b n \|2 rdamedia
338			\|a Band \|b nc \|2 rdacarrier
500			\|a © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015
520			\|a Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin.
650		4	\|a Hydrological Model
650		4	\|a Hydrological Regime
650		4	\|a Climate Model Simulation
650		4	\|a Forest Conversion
650		4	\|a Flow Duration Curve
700	1		\|a Tomasella, J. \|4 aut
700	1		\|a Rodriguez, D. A. \|4 aut
773	0	8	\|i Enthalten in \|t Climatic change \|d Springer Netherlands, 1977 \|g 129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129 \|w (DE-627)130479020 \|w (DE-600)751086-X \|w (DE-576)016068610 \|x 0165-0009 \|7 nnns
773	1	8	\|g volume:129 \|g year:2015 \|g number:1-2 \|g day:03 \|g month:02 \|g pages:117-129
856	4	1	\|u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x \|z lizenzpflichtig \|3 Volltext
912			\|a GBV_USEFLAG_A
912			\|a SYSFLAG_A
912			\|a GBV_OLC
912			\|a SSG-OLC-UMW
912			\|a SSG-OLC-GEO
912			\|a SSG-OLC-IBL
912			\|a SSG-OPC-GGO
912			\|a GBV_ILN_62
912			\|a GBV_ILN_70
912			\|a GBV_ILN_154
912			\|a GBV_ILN_601
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4012
936	r	v	\|a RA 1000
951			\|a AR
952			\|d 129 \|j 2015 \|e 1-2 \|b 03 \|c 02 \|h 117-129

Indexfelder

author_variant	j l s j jls jlsj j t jt d a r da dar
matchkey_str	article:01650009:2015----::matoftrciaiadadoecagsnhhdooiarg
hierarchy_sort_str	2015
publishDate	2015
allfields	10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x doi (DE-627)OLC2062616422 (DE-He213)s10584-015-1338-x-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Júnior, J. L. Siqueira verfasserin aut Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin 2015 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015 Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin. Hydrological Model Hydrological Regime Climate Model Simulation Forest Conversion Flow Duration Curve Tomasella, J. aut Rodriguez, D. A. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:129 year:2015 number:1-2 day:03 month:02 pages:117-129 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 RA 1000 AR 129 2015 1-2 03 02 117-129
spelling	10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x doi (DE-627)OLC2062616422 (DE-He213)s10584-015-1338-x-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Júnior, J. L. Siqueira verfasserin aut Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin 2015 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015 Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin. Hydrological Model Hydrological Regime Climate Model Simulation Forest Conversion Flow Duration Curve Tomasella, J. aut Rodriguez, D. A. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:129 year:2015 number:1-2 day:03 month:02 pages:117-129 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 RA 1000 AR 129 2015 1-2 03 02 117-129
allfields_unstemmed	10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x doi (DE-627)OLC2062616422 (DE-He213)s10584-015-1338-x-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Júnior, J. L. Siqueira verfasserin aut Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin 2015 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015 Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin. Hydrological Model Hydrological Regime Climate Model Simulation Forest Conversion Flow Duration Curve Tomasella, J. aut Rodriguez, D. A. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:129 year:2015 number:1-2 day:03 month:02 pages:117-129 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 RA 1000 AR 129 2015 1-2 03 02 117-129
allfieldsGer	10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x doi (DE-627)OLC2062616422 (DE-He213)s10584-015-1338-x-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Júnior, J. L. Siqueira verfasserin aut Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin 2015 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015 Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin. Hydrological Model Hydrological Regime Climate Model Simulation Forest Conversion Flow Duration Curve Tomasella, J. aut Rodriguez, D. A. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:129 year:2015 number:1-2 day:03 month:02 pages:117-129 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 RA 1000 AR 129 2015 1-2 03 02 117-129
allfieldsSound	10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x doi (DE-627)OLC2062616422 (DE-He213)s10584-015-1338-x-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Júnior, J. L. Siqueira verfasserin aut Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin 2015 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015 Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin. Hydrological Model Hydrological Regime Climate Model Simulation Forest Conversion Flow Duration Curve Tomasella, J. aut Rodriguez, D. A. aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129 (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:129 year:2015 number:1-2 day:03 month:02 pages:117-129 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012 RA 1000 AR 129 2015 1-2 03 02 117-129
language	English
source	Enthalten in Climatic change 129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129 volume:129 year:2015 number:1-2 day:03 month:02 pages:117-129
sourceStr	Enthalten in Climatic change 129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129 volume:129 year:2015 number:1-2 day:03 month:02 pages:117-129
format_phy_str_mv	Article
institution	findex.gbv.de
topic_facet	Hydrological Model Hydrological Regime Climate Model Simulation Forest Conversion Flow Duration Curve
dewey-raw	550
isfreeaccess_bool	false
container_title	Climatic change
authorswithroles_txt_mv	Júnior, J. L. Siqueira @@aut@@ Tomasella, J. @@aut@@ Rodriguez, D. A. @@aut@@
publishDateDaySort_date	2015-02-03T00:00:00Z
hierarchy_top_id	130479020
dewey-sort	3550
id	OLC2062616422
language_de	englisch
fullrecord	<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">OLC2062616422</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230503024326.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">tu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">200819s2015 xx \|\|\|\|\| 00\| \|\|eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)OLC2062616422</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-He213)s10584-015-1338-x-p</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">550</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">14</subfield><subfield code="2">ssgn</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">RA 1000</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield><subfield code="2">rvk</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Júnior, J. L. Siqueira</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2015</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen</subfield><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Band</subfield><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Hydrological Model</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Hydrological Regime</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Climate Model Simulation</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Forest Conversion</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Flow Duration Curve</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Tomasella, J.</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Rodriguez, D. A.</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Climatic change</subfield><subfield code="d">Springer Netherlands, 1977</subfield><subfield code="g">129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)130479020</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)751086-X</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-576)016068610</subfield><subfield code="x">0165-0009</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:129</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2015</subfield><subfield code="g">number:1-2</subfield><subfield code="g">day:03</subfield><subfield code="g">month:02</subfield><subfield code="g">pages:117-129</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x</subfield><subfield code="z">lizenzpflichtig</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_USEFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_OLC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-UMW</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-GEO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-IBL</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-GGO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_62</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_70</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_154</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_601</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4012</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="936" ind1="r" ind2="v"><subfield code="a">RA 1000</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">129</subfield><subfield code="j">2015</subfield><subfield code="e">1-2</subfield><subfield code="b">03</subfield><subfield code="c">02</subfield><subfield code="h">117-129</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
author	Júnior, J. L. Siqueira
spellingShingle	Júnior, J. L. Siqueira ddc 550 ssgn 14 rvk RA 1000 misc Hydrological Model misc Hydrological Regime misc Climate Model Simulation misc Forest Conversion misc Flow Duration Curve Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin
authorStr	Júnior, J. L. Siqueira
ppnlink_with_tag_str_mv	@@773@@(DE-627)130479020
format	Article
dewey-ones	550 - Earth sciences
delete_txt_mv	keep
author_role	aut aut aut
collection	OLC
remote_str	false
illustrated	Not Illustrated
issn	0165-0009
topic_title	550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin Hydrological Model Hydrological Regime Climate Model Simulation Forest Conversion Flow Duration Curve
topic	ddc 550 ssgn 14 rvk RA 1000 misc Hydrological Model misc Hydrological Regime misc Climate Model Simulation misc Forest Conversion misc Flow Duration Curve
topic_unstemmed	ddc 550 ssgn 14 rvk RA 1000 misc Hydrological Model misc Hydrological Regime misc Climate Model Simulation misc Forest Conversion misc Flow Duration Curve
topic_browse	ddc 550 ssgn 14 rvk RA 1000 misc Hydrological Model misc Hydrological Regime misc Climate Model Simulation misc Forest Conversion misc Flow Duration Curve
format_facet	Aufsätze Gedruckte Aufsätze
format_main_str_mv	Text Zeitschrift/Artikel
carriertype_str_mv	nc
hierarchy_parent_title	Climatic change
hierarchy_parent_id	130479020
dewey-tens	550 - Earth sciences & geology
hierarchy_top_title	Climatic change
isfreeaccess_txt	false
familylinks_str_mv	(DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610
title	Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin
ctrlnum	(DE-627)OLC2062616422 (DE-He213)s10584-015-1338-x-p
title_full	Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin
author_sort	Júnior, J. L. Siqueira
journal	Climatic change
journalStr	Climatic change
lang_code	eng
isOA_bool	false
dewey-hundreds	500 - Science
recordtype	marc
publishDateSort	2015
contenttype_str_mv	txt
container_start_page	117
author_browse	Júnior, J. L. Siqueira Tomasella, J. Rodriguez, D. A.
container_volume	129
class	550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk
format_se	Aufsätze
author-letter	Júnior, J. L. Siqueira
doi_str_mv	10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x
dewey-full	550
title_sort	impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the madeira river basin
title_auth	Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin
abstract	Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015
abstractGer	Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015
abstract_unstemmed	Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015
collection_details	GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 GBV_ILN_4012
container_issue	1-2
title_short	Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin
url	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x
remote_bool	false
author2	Tomasella, J. Rodriguez, D. A.
author2Str	Tomasella, J. Rodriguez, D. A.
ppnlink	130479020
mediatype_str_mv	n
isOA_txt	false
hochschulschrift_bool	false
doi_str	10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x
up_date	2024-07-03T15:47:10.223Z
_version_	1803573400933761024
fullrecord_marcxml	<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">OLC2062616422</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230503024326.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">tu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">200819s2015 xx \|\|\|\|\| 00\| \|\|eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)OLC2062616422</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-He213)s10584-015-1338-x-p</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">550</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">14</subfield><subfield code="2">ssgn</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">RA 1000</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield><subfield code="2">rvk</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Júnior, J. L. Siqueira</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2015</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen</subfield><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Band</subfield><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract Brazilian strategic interest in the Madeira River basin, one of the most important of the southern Amazon tributaries, includes the development of hydropower to satisfy the country’s growing energy needs and new waterways to boost regional trade and economic development. Because of evidences that climate change impacts the hydrological regime of rivers, the aim of this study was to assess how global climate change and regional land cover change caused by deforestation could affect the river’s hydrological regime. To achieve this goal, we calibrated a large-scale hydrological model for the period from 1970–1990 and analyzed the ability of the model to simulate the present hydrological regime when climate model simulations were used as input. Climate change projections produced by climate models were used in the hydrological model to generate scenarios with and without regional land-use and land-cover changes induced by forest conversion to pasture for the period from 2011–2099. Although results show variability among models, consensus scenarios indicated a decrease in the low-flow regime. When the simulations included forest conversion to pasture, climate change impacts on low flows were reduced in the upper basin, while, in the lower basin, discharges were affected along the whole year due to the more vigorous land-use conversion in the Brazilian region of the basin.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Hydrological Model</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Hydrological Regime</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Climate Model Simulation</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Forest Conversion</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Flow Duration Curve</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Tomasella, J.</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Rodriguez, D. A.</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Climatic change</subfield><subfield code="d">Springer Netherlands, 1977</subfield><subfield code="g">129(2015), 1-2 vom: 03. Feb., Seite 117-129</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)130479020</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)751086-X</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-576)016068610</subfield><subfield code="x">0165-0009</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:129</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2015</subfield><subfield code="g">number:1-2</subfield><subfield code="g">day:03</subfield><subfield code="g">month:02</subfield><subfield code="g">pages:117-129</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1338-x</subfield><subfield code="z">lizenzpflichtig</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_USEFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_OLC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-UMW</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-GEO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-IBL</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-GGO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_62</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_70</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_154</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_601</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4012</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="936" ind1="r" ind2="v"><subfield code="a">RA 1000</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">129</subfield><subfield code="j">2015</subfield><subfield code="e">1-2</subfield><subfield code="b">03</subfield><subfield code="c">02</subfield><subfield code="h">117-129</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
score	7.4027834

Nicht das Richtige dabei?

Schreiben Sie uns!

Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin

Nicht das Richtige dabei?

Zugang & Verfügbarkeit

Vorhandene Bände

Nicht das Richtige dabei?