The Wadden Sea in transition - consequences of sea level rise
Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM....
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| Autor*in: |
Becherer, Johannes [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2017 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Ocean dynamics - Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001, 68(2017), 1 vom: 16. Nov., Seite 131-151 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:68 ; year:2017 ; number:1 ; day:16 ; month:11 ; pages:131-151 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 |
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OLC2070866572 |
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| 520 | |a Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level. | ||
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10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 doi (DE-627)OLC2070866572 (DE-He213)s10236-017-1117-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Becherer, Johannes verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-6453-2573 aut The Wadden Sea in transition - consequences of sea level rise 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017 Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level. Sea level rise Morphodynamic simulation Wadden Sea Hofstede, Jacobus aut Gräwe, Ulf aut Purkiani, Kaveh aut Schulz, Elisabeth aut Burchard, Hans aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 68(2017), 1 vom: 16. Nov., Seite 131-151 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:68 year:2017 number:1 day:16 month:11 pages:131-151 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 68 2017 1 16 11 131-151 |
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10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 doi (DE-627)OLC2070866572 (DE-He213)s10236-017-1117-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Becherer, Johannes verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-6453-2573 aut The Wadden Sea in transition - consequences of sea level rise 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017 Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level. Sea level rise Morphodynamic simulation Wadden Sea Hofstede, Jacobus aut Gräwe, Ulf aut Purkiani, Kaveh aut Schulz, Elisabeth aut Burchard, Hans aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 68(2017), 1 vom: 16. Nov., Seite 131-151 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:68 year:2017 number:1 day:16 month:11 pages:131-151 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 68 2017 1 16 11 131-151 |
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10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 doi (DE-627)OLC2070866572 (DE-He213)s10236-017-1117-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Becherer, Johannes verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-6453-2573 aut The Wadden Sea in transition - consequences of sea level rise 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017 Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level. Sea level rise Morphodynamic simulation Wadden Sea Hofstede, Jacobus aut Gräwe, Ulf aut Purkiani, Kaveh aut Schulz, Elisabeth aut Burchard, Hans aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 68(2017), 1 vom: 16. Nov., Seite 131-151 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:68 year:2017 number:1 day:16 month:11 pages:131-151 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 68 2017 1 16 11 131-151 |
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10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 doi (DE-627)OLC2070866572 (DE-He213)s10236-017-1117-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Becherer, Johannes verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-6453-2573 aut The Wadden Sea in transition - consequences of sea level rise 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017 Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level. Sea level rise Morphodynamic simulation Wadden Sea Hofstede, Jacobus aut Gräwe, Ulf aut Purkiani, Kaveh aut Schulz, Elisabeth aut Burchard, Hans aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 68(2017), 1 vom: 16. Nov., Seite 131-151 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:68 year:2017 number:1 day:16 month:11 pages:131-151 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 68 2017 1 16 11 131-151 |
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10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 doi (DE-627)OLC2070866572 (DE-He213)s10236-017-1117-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Becherer, Johannes verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-6453-2573 aut The Wadden Sea in transition - consequences of sea level rise 2017 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017 Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level. Sea level rise Morphodynamic simulation Wadden Sea Hofstede, Jacobus aut Gräwe, Ulf aut Purkiani, Kaveh aut Schulz, Elisabeth aut Burchard, Hans aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 68(2017), 1 vom: 16. Nov., Seite 131-151 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:68 year:2017 number:1 day:16 month:11 pages:131-151 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-017-1117-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 68 2017 1 16 11 131-151 |
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Enthalten in Ocean dynamics 68(2017), 1 vom: 16. Nov., Seite 131-151 volume:68 year:2017 number:1 day:16 month:11 pages:131-151 |
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Becherer, Johannes @@aut@@ Hofstede, Jacobus @@aut@@ Gräwe, Ulf @@aut@@ Purkiani, Kaveh @@aut@@ Schulz, Elisabeth @@aut@@ Burchard, Hans @@aut@@ |
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Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level. © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017 |
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Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level. © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017 |
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Abstract The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level. © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017 |
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