Predicting shoreline evolution on a centennial scale using the example of the vistula (Baltic) spit
Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spi...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Leont’yev, I. O. [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2012 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
© Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2012 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Oceanology - SP MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica, 1966, 52(2012), 5 vom: Sept., Seite 700-709 |
|---|---|
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:52 ; year:2012 ; number:5 ; month:09 ; pages:700-709 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1134/S0001437012050104 |
|---|
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OLC207161609X |
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| 520 | |a Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spit, the shoreline’s orientation causes westward sediment transport (more than 100 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). The gradients of the longshore and cross shore sediment transport become the major contributors to the overall sediment balance. The only exception is the northeastern tip of the spit due to the appreciable imbalance of the sediment budget (13 $ m^{3} $$ m^{−1} $ $ yr^{−1} $). The second step in the prediction modeling is the estimation of the potential sea-level changes during the 21st century. The third step involves modeling of the shoreline’s behavior using the SPELT model [6, 7, 8]. In the most likely scenario, the rate of the recession is predicted to be about 0.3 m/year in 2010–2050 and will increase to 0.4 m/year in 2050–2100. The sand deficit, other than the sea-level rise, will be a key factor in the control of the shoreline’s evolution at the northeastern tip of the spit, and the amount of recession will range from 160 to 200 m in 2010–2100. | ||
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10.1134/S0001437012050104 doi (DE-627)OLC207161609X (DE-He213)S0001437012050104-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Leont’yev, I. O. verfasserin aut Predicting shoreline evolution on a centennial scale using the example of the vistula (Baltic) spit 2012 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2012 Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spit, the shoreline’s orientation causes westward sediment transport (more than 100 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). The gradients of the longshore and cross shore sediment transport become the major contributors to the overall sediment balance. The only exception is the northeastern tip of the spit due to the appreciable imbalance of the sediment budget (13 $ m^{3} $$ m^{−1} $ $ yr^{−1} $). The second step in the prediction modeling is the estimation of the potential sea-level changes during the 21st century. The third step involves modeling of the shoreline’s behavior using the SPELT model [6, 7, 8]. In the most likely scenario, the rate of the recession is predicted to be about 0.3 m/year in 2010–2050 and will increase to 0.4 m/year in 2050–2100. The sand deficit, other than the sea-level rise, will be a key factor in the control of the shoreline’s evolution at the northeastern tip of the spit, and the amount of recession will range from 160 to 200 m in 2010–2100. Wave Height Significant Wave Height Root Segment Centennial Scale Sediment Budget Enthalten in Oceanology SP MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica, 1966 52(2012), 5 vom: Sept., Seite 700-709 (DE-627)130005363 (DE-600)417045-3 (DE-576)9130005361 0001-4370 nnns volume:52 year:2012 number:5 month:09 pages:700-709 https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001437012050104 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_201 AR 52 2012 5 09 700-709 |
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10.1134/S0001437012050104 doi (DE-627)OLC207161609X (DE-He213)S0001437012050104-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Leont’yev, I. O. verfasserin aut Predicting shoreline evolution on a centennial scale using the example of the vistula (Baltic) spit 2012 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2012 Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spit, the shoreline’s orientation causes westward sediment transport (more than 100 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). The gradients of the longshore and cross shore sediment transport become the major contributors to the overall sediment balance. The only exception is the northeastern tip of the spit due to the appreciable imbalance of the sediment budget (13 $ m^{3} $$ m^{−1} $ $ yr^{−1} $). The second step in the prediction modeling is the estimation of the potential sea-level changes during the 21st century. The third step involves modeling of the shoreline’s behavior using the SPELT model [6, 7, 8]. In the most likely scenario, the rate of the recession is predicted to be about 0.3 m/year in 2010–2050 and will increase to 0.4 m/year in 2050–2100. The sand deficit, other than the sea-level rise, will be a key factor in the control of the shoreline’s evolution at the northeastern tip of the spit, and the amount of recession will range from 160 to 200 m in 2010–2100. Wave Height Significant Wave Height Root Segment Centennial Scale Sediment Budget Enthalten in Oceanology SP MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica, 1966 52(2012), 5 vom: Sept., Seite 700-709 (DE-627)130005363 (DE-600)417045-3 (DE-576)9130005361 0001-4370 nnns volume:52 year:2012 number:5 month:09 pages:700-709 https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001437012050104 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_201 AR 52 2012 5 09 700-709 |
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10.1134/S0001437012050104 doi (DE-627)OLC207161609X (DE-He213)S0001437012050104-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Leont’yev, I. O. verfasserin aut Predicting shoreline evolution on a centennial scale using the example of the vistula (Baltic) spit 2012 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2012 Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spit, the shoreline’s orientation causes westward sediment transport (more than 100 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). The gradients of the longshore and cross shore sediment transport become the major contributors to the overall sediment balance. The only exception is the northeastern tip of the spit due to the appreciable imbalance of the sediment budget (13 $ m^{3} $$ m^{−1} $ $ yr^{−1} $). The second step in the prediction modeling is the estimation of the potential sea-level changes during the 21st century. The third step involves modeling of the shoreline’s behavior using the SPELT model [6, 7, 8]. In the most likely scenario, the rate of the recession is predicted to be about 0.3 m/year in 2010–2050 and will increase to 0.4 m/year in 2050–2100. The sand deficit, other than the sea-level rise, will be a key factor in the control of the shoreline’s evolution at the northeastern tip of the spit, and the amount of recession will range from 160 to 200 m in 2010–2100. Wave Height Significant Wave Height Root Segment Centennial Scale Sediment Budget Enthalten in Oceanology SP MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica, 1966 52(2012), 5 vom: Sept., Seite 700-709 (DE-627)130005363 (DE-600)417045-3 (DE-576)9130005361 0001-4370 nnns volume:52 year:2012 number:5 month:09 pages:700-709 https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001437012050104 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_201 AR 52 2012 5 09 700-709 |
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10.1134/S0001437012050104 doi (DE-627)OLC207161609X (DE-He213)S0001437012050104-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Leont’yev, I. O. verfasserin aut Predicting shoreline evolution on a centennial scale using the example of the vistula (Baltic) spit 2012 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2012 Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spit, the shoreline’s orientation causes westward sediment transport (more than 100 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). The gradients of the longshore and cross shore sediment transport become the major contributors to the overall sediment balance. The only exception is the northeastern tip of the spit due to the appreciable imbalance of the sediment budget (13 $ m^{3} $$ m^{−1} $ $ yr^{−1} $). The second step in the prediction modeling is the estimation of the potential sea-level changes during the 21st century. The third step involves modeling of the shoreline’s behavior using the SPELT model [6, 7, 8]. In the most likely scenario, the rate of the recession is predicted to be about 0.3 m/year in 2010–2050 and will increase to 0.4 m/year in 2050–2100. The sand deficit, other than the sea-level rise, will be a key factor in the control of the shoreline’s evolution at the northeastern tip of the spit, and the amount of recession will range from 160 to 200 m in 2010–2100. Wave Height Significant Wave Height Root Segment Centennial Scale Sediment Budget Enthalten in Oceanology SP MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica, 1966 52(2012), 5 vom: Sept., Seite 700-709 (DE-627)130005363 (DE-600)417045-3 (DE-576)9130005361 0001-4370 nnns volume:52 year:2012 number:5 month:09 pages:700-709 https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001437012050104 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_201 AR 52 2012 5 09 700-709 |
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10.1134/S0001437012050104 doi (DE-627)OLC207161609X (DE-He213)S0001437012050104-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Leont’yev, I. O. verfasserin aut Predicting shoreline evolution on a centennial scale using the example of the vistula (Baltic) spit 2012 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2012 Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spit, the shoreline’s orientation causes westward sediment transport (more than 100 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). The gradients of the longshore and cross shore sediment transport become the major contributors to the overall sediment balance. The only exception is the northeastern tip of the spit due to the appreciable imbalance of the sediment budget (13 $ m^{3} $$ m^{−1} $ $ yr^{−1} $). The second step in the prediction modeling is the estimation of the potential sea-level changes during the 21st century. The third step involves modeling of the shoreline’s behavior using the SPELT model [6, 7, 8]. In the most likely scenario, the rate of the recession is predicted to be about 0.3 m/year in 2010–2050 and will increase to 0.4 m/year in 2050–2100. The sand deficit, other than the sea-level rise, will be a key factor in the control of the shoreline’s evolution at the northeastern tip of the spit, and the amount of recession will range from 160 to 200 m in 2010–2100. Wave Height Significant Wave Height Root Segment Centennial Scale Sediment Budget Enthalten in Oceanology SP MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica, 1966 52(2012), 5 vom: Sept., Seite 700-709 (DE-627)130005363 (DE-600)417045-3 (DE-576)9130005361 0001-4370 nnns volume:52 year:2012 number:5 month:09 pages:700-709 https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001437012050104 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_201 AR 52 2012 5 09 700-709 |
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Predicting shoreline evolution on a centennial scale using the example of the vistula (Baltic) spit |
| abstract |
Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spit, the shoreline’s orientation causes westward sediment transport (more than 100 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). The gradients of the longshore and cross shore sediment transport become the major contributors to the overall sediment balance. The only exception is the northeastern tip of the spit due to the appreciable imbalance of the sediment budget (13 $ m^{3} $$ m^{−1} $ $ yr^{−1} $). The second step in the prediction modeling is the estimation of the potential sea-level changes during the 21st century. The third step involves modeling of the shoreline’s behavior using the SPELT model [6, 7, 8]. In the most likely scenario, the rate of the recession is predicted to be about 0.3 m/year in 2010–2050 and will increase to 0.4 m/year in 2050–2100. The sand deficit, other than the sea-level rise, will be a key factor in the control of the shoreline’s evolution at the northeastern tip of the spit, and the amount of recession will range from 160 to 200 m in 2010–2100. © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2012 |
| abstractGer |
Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spit, the shoreline’s orientation causes westward sediment transport (more than 100 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). The gradients of the longshore and cross shore sediment transport become the major contributors to the overall sediment balance. The only exception is the northeastern tip of the spit due to the appreciable imbalance of the sediment budget (13 $ m^{3} $$ m^{−1} $ $ yr^{−1} $). The second step in the prediction modeling is the estimation of the potential sea-level changes during the 21st century. The third step involves modeling of the shoreline’s behavior using the SPELT model [6, 7, 8]. In the most likely scenario, the rate of the recession is predicted to be about 0.3 m/year in 2010–2050 and will increase to 0.4 m/year in 2050–2100. The sand deficit, other than the sea-level rise, will be a key factor in the control of the shoreline’s evolution at the northeastern tip of the spit, and the amount of recession will range from 160 to 200 m in 2010–2100. © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2012 |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract The proposed algorithm comprises three main steps. The first step is the evaluation of the sediment transport and budget. It was shown that the root segment of the Vistula Spit is dominated by eastward longshore sediment transport (up to 50 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). Over the rest of the spit, the shoreline’s orientation causes westward sediment transport (more than 100 thousand $ m^{3} $/year). The gradients of the longshore and cross shore sediment transport become the major contributors to the overall sediment balance. The only exception is the northeastern tip of the spit due to the appreciable imbalance of the sediment budget (13 $ m^{3} $$ m^{−1} $ $ yr^{−1} $). The second step in the prediction modeling is the estimation of the potential sea-level changes during the 21st century. The third step involves modeling of the shoreline’s behavior using the SPELT model [6, 7, 8]. In the most likely scenario, the rate of the recession is predicted to be about 0.3 m/year in 2010–2050 and will increase to 0.4 m/year in 2050–2100. The sand deficit, other than the sea-level rise, will be a key factor in the control of the shoreline’s evolution at the northeastern tip of the spit, and the amount of recession will range from 160 to 200 m in 2010–2100. © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2012 |
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| title_short |
Predicting shoreline evolution on a centennial scale using the example of the vistula (Baltic) spit |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001437012050104 |
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| doi_str |
10.1134/S0001437012050104 |
| up_date |
2024-07-04T03:51:00.404Z |
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