Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts
Abstract Estimates of changes in the frequency or height of contemporary extreme sea levels (ESLs) under various climate change scenarios are often used by climate and sea level scientists to help communicate the physical basis for societal concern regarding sea level rise. Changes in ESLs (i.e., th...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Rasmussen, D. J. [verfasserIn] |
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Artikel |
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Englisch |
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2022 |
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Anmerkung: |
© The Author(s) 2022 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Climatic change - Springer Netherlands, 1977, 170(2022), 3-4 vom: Feb. |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:170 ; year:2022 ; number:3-4 ; month:02 |
Links: |
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DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s10584-021-03288-6 |
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Katalog-ID: |
OLC2078048771 |
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520 | |a Abstract Estimates of changes in the frequency or height of contemporary extreme sea levels (ESLs) under various climate change scenarios are often used by climate and sea level scientists to help communicate the physical basis for societal concern regarding sea level rise. Changes in ESLs (i.e., the hazard) are often represented using various metrics and indicators that, when anchored to salient impacts on human systems and the natural environment, provide useful information to policy makers, stakeholders, and the general public. While changes in hazards are often anchored to impacts at local scales, aggregate global summary metrics generally lack the context of local exposure and vulnerability that facilitates translating hazards into impacts. Contextualizing changes in hazards is also needed when communicating the timing of when projected ESL frequencies cross critical thresholds, such as the year in which ESLs higher than the design height benchmark of protective infrastructure (e.g., the 100-year water level) are expected to occur within the lifetime of that infrastructure. We present specific examples demonstrating the need for such contextualization using a simple flood exposure model, local sea level rise projections, and population exposure estimates for 414 global cities. We suggest regional and global climate assessment reports integrate global, regional, and local perspectives on coastal risk to address hazard, vulnerability and exposure simultaneously. | ||
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10.1007/s10584-021-03288-6 doi (DE-627)OLC2078048771 (DE-He213)s10584-021-03288-6-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Rasmussen, D. J. verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-4668-5749 aut Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts 2022 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2022 Abstract Estimates of changes in the frequency or height of contemporary extreme sea levels (ESLs) under various climate change scenarios are often used by climate and sea level scientists to help communicate the physical basis for societal concern regarding sea level rise. Changes in ESLs (i.e., the hazard) are often represented using various metrics and indicators that, when anchored to salient impacts on human systems and the natural environment, provide useful information to policy makers, stakeholders, and the general public. While changes in hazards are often anchored to impacts at local scales, aggregate global summary metrics generally lack the context of local exposure and vulnerability that facilitates translating hazards into impacts. Contextualizing changes in hazards is also needed when communicating the timing of when projected ESL frequencies cross critical thresholds, such as the year in which ESLs higher than the design height benchmark of protective infrastructure (e.g., the 100-year water level) are expected to occur within the lifetime of that infrastructure. We present specific examples demonstrating the need for such contextualization using a simple flood exposure model, local sea level rise projections, and population exposure estimates for 414 global cities. We suggest regional and global climate assessment reports integrate global, regional, and local perspectives on coastal risk to address hazard, vulnerability and exposure simultaneously. Extreme sea level Assessment reports IPCC Sea level rise Impacts Kulp, Scott aut Kopp, Robert E. (orcid)0000-0003-4016-9428 aut Oppenheimer, Michael (orcid)0000-0002-9708-5914 aut Strauss, Benjamin H. (orcid)0000-0002-6856-6575 aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 170(2022), 3-4 vom: Feb. (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:170 year:2022 number:3-4 month:02 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03288-6 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 RA 1000 AR 170 2022 3-4 02 |
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10.1007/s10584-021-03288-6 doi (DE-627)OLC2078048771 (DE-He213)s10584-021-03288-6-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn RA 1000 VZ rvk Rasmussen, D. J. verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-4668-5749 aut Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts 2022 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2022 Abstract Estimates of changes in the frequency or height of contemporary extreme sea levels (ESLs) under various climate change scenarios are often used by climate and sea level scientists to help communicate the physical basis for societal concern regarding sea level rise. Changes in ESLs (i.e., the hazard) are often represented using various metrics and indicators that, when anchored to salient impacts on human systems and the natural environment, provide useful information to policy makers, stakeholders, and the general public. While changes in hazards are often anchored to impacts at local scales, aggregate global summary metrics generally lack the context of local exposure and vulnerability that facilitates translating hazards into impacts. Contextualizing changes in hazards is also needed when communicating the timing of when projected ESL frequencies cross critical thresholds, such as the year in which ESLs higher than the design height benchmark of protective infrastructure (e.g., the 100-year water level) are expected to occur within the lifetime of that infrastructure. We present specific examples demonstrating the need for such contextualization using a simple flood exposure model, local sea level rise projections, and population exposure estimates for 414 global cities. We suggest regional and global climate assessment reports integrate global, regional, and local perspectives on coastal risk to address hazard, vulnerability and exposure simultaneously. Extreme sea level Assessment reports IPCC Sea level rise Impacts Kulp, Scott aut Kopp, Robert E. (orcid)0000-0003-4016-9428 aut Oppenheimer, Michael (orcid)0000-0002-9708-5914 aut Strauss, Benjamin H. (orcid)0000-0002-6856-6575 aut Enthalten in Climatic change Springer Netherlands, 1977 170(2022), 3-4 vom: Feb. (DE-627)130479020 (DE-600)751086-X (DE-576)016068610 0165-0009 nnns volume:170 year:2022 number:3-4 month:02 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03288-6 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-UMW SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-IBL SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_601 RA 1000 AR 170 2022 3-4 02 |
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Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts |
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Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts |
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Rasmussen, D. J. |
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Climatic change |
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Rasmussen, D. J. Kulp, Scott Kopp, Robert E. Oppenheimer, Michael Strauss, Benjamin H. |
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Rasmussen, D. J. |
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10.1007/s10584-021-03288-6 |
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title_sort |
popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts |
title_auth |
Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts |
abstract |
Abstract Estimates of changes in the frequency or height of contemporary extreme sea levels (ESLs) under various climate change scenarios are often used by climate and sea level scientists to help communicate the physical basis for societal concern regarding sea level rise. Changes in ESLs (i.e., the hazard) are often represented using various metrics and indicators that, when anchored to salient impacts on human systems and the natural environment, provide useful information to policy makers, stakeholders, and the general public. While changes in hazards are often anchored to impacts at local scales, aggregate global summary metrics generally lack the context of local exposure and vulnerability that facilitates translating hazards into impacts. Contextualizing changes in hazards is also needed when communicating the timing of when projected ESL frequencies cross critical thresholds, such as the year in which ESLs higher than the design height benchmark of protective infrastructure (e.g., the 100-year water level) are expected to occur within the lifetime of that infrastructure. We present specific examples demonstrating the need for such contextualization using a simple flood exposure model, local sea level rise projections, and population exposure estimates for 414 global cities. We suggest regional and global climate assessment reports integrate global, regional, and local perspectives on coastal risk to address hazard, vulnerability and exposure simultaneously. © The Author(s) 2022 |
abstractGer |
Abstract Estimates of changes in the frequency or height of contemporary extreme sea levels (ESLs) under various climate change scenarios are often used by climate and sea level scientists to help communicate the physical basis for societal concern regarding sea level rise. Changes in ESLs (i.e., the hazard) are often represented using various metrics and indicators that, when anchored to salient impacts on human systems and the natural environment, provide useful information to policy makers, stakeholders, and the general public. While changes in hazards are often anchored to impacts at local scales, aggregate global summary metrics generally lack the context of local exposure and vulnerability that facilitates translating hazards into impacts. Contextualizing changes in hazards is also needed when communicating the timing of when projected ESL frequencies cross critical thresholds, such as the year in which ESLs higher than the design height benchmark of protective infrastructure (e.g., the 100-year water level) are expected to occur within the lifetime of that infrastructure. We present specific examples demonstrating the need for such contextualization using a simple flood exposure model, local sea level rise projections, and population exposure estimates for 414 global cities. We suggest regional and global climate assessment reports integrate global, regional, and local perspectives on coastal risk to address hazard, vulnerability and exposure simultaneously. © The Author(s) 2022 |
abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract Estimates of changes in the frequency or height of contemporary extreme sea levels (ESLs) under various climate change scenarios are often used by climate and sea level scientists to help communicate the physical basis for societal concern regarding sea level rise. Changes in ESLs (i.e., the hazard) are often represented using various metrics and indicators that, when anchored to salient impacts on human systems and the natural environment, provide useful information to policy makers, stakeholders, and the general public. While changes in hazards are often anchored to impacts at local scales, aggregate global summary metrics generally lack the context of local exposure and vulnerability that facilitates translating hazards into impacts. Contextualizing changes in hazards is also needed when communicating the timing of when projected ESL frequencies cross critical thresholds, such as the year in which ESLs higher than the design height benchmark of protective infrastructure (e.g., the 100-year water level) are expected to occur within the lifetime of that infrastructure. We present specific examples demonstrating the need for such contextualization using a simple flood exposure model, local sea level rise projections, and population exposure estimates for 414 global cities. We suggest regional and global climate assessment reports integrate global, regional, and local perspectives on coastal risk to address hazard, vulnerability and exposure simultaneously. © The Author(s) 2022 |
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Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts |
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03288-6 |
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Kulp, Scott Kopp, Robert E. Oppenheimer, Michael Strauss, Benjamin H. |
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