Precipitation response to extreme soil moisture conditions over the Mediterranean
Abstract The intimate link between soil moisture and precipitation makes it a “chicken-and-egg situation” that challenges climate studies of the continental water cycle. This association is particularly acute over the Mediterranean, increasingly exposed to droughts with climate change. This study ai...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Ardilouze, Constantin [verfasserIn] |
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Format: |
Artikel |
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Sprache: |
Englisch |
Erschienen: |
2020 |
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Schlagwörter: |
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Anmerkung: |
© The Author(s) 2020 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Climate dynamics - Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986, 58(2020), 7-8 vom: 13. Nov., Seite 1927-1942 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:58 ; year:2020 ; number:7-8 ; day:13 ; month:11 ; pages:1927-1942 |
Links: |
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DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 |
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Katalog-ID: |
OLC2078477567 |
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520 | |a Abstract The intimate link between soil moisture and precipitation makes it a “chicken-and-egg situation” that challenges climate studies of the continental water cycle. This association is particularly acute over the Mediterranean, increasingly exposed to droughts with climate change. This study aims at deciphering the impact of spring soil moisture state in the Mediterranean on subsequent warm season precipitation. In an idealized setup, two distinct climate models are used to generate extreme dry or wet soil conditions, and run climate simulations initialized and/or forced by these conditions. Changes in precipitation distribution and persistence are analyzed and where applicable compared to composites from a reanalysis. Spring soil moisture anomalies are found to be very persistent, but the precipitation response is largely model dependent. Overall, dry soils lead to a reduction of precipitation for early summer months and conversely for wet soils although with a fainter and less robust signal. On the other hand, wet soils tend to favor the persistence of precipitation throughout summer over several sub-regions. Our results highlight the stringent need to reduce the wide array of uncertainties associated to soil moisture, land-atmosphere coupling and convection in climate models, before ascertaining that soil moisture initialization could provide more skillful sub-seasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction. | ||
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10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 doi (DE-627)OLC2078477567 (DE-He213)s00382-020-05519-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 550 VZ 16,13 ssgn Ardilouze, Constantin verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-3949-4450 aut Precipitation response to extreme soil moisture conditions over the Mediterranean 2020 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2020 Abstract The intimate link between soil moisture and precipitation makes it a “chicken-and-egg situation” that challenges climate studies of the continental water cycle. This association is particularly acute over the Mediterranean, increasingly exposed to droughts with climate change. This study aims at deciphering the impact of spring soil moisture state in the Mediterranean on subsequent warm season precipitation. In an idealized setup, two distinct climate models are used to generate extreme dry or wet soil conditions, and run climate simulations initialized and/or forced by these conditions. Changes in precipitation distribution and persistence are analyzed and where applicable compared to composites from a reanalysis. Spring soil moisture anomalies are found to be very persistent, but the precipitation response is largely model dependent. Overall, dry soils lead to a reduction of precipitation for early summer months and conversely for wet soils although with a fainter and less robust signal. On the other hand, wet soils tend to favor the persistence of precipitation throughout summer over several sub-regions. Our results highlight the stringent need to reduce the wide array of uncertainties associated to soil moisture, land-atmosphere coupling and convection in climate models, before ascertaining that soil moisture initialization could provide more skillful sub-seasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction. Soil moisture Precipitation Mediterranean Land-atmosphere coupling Materia, Stefano aut Batté, Lauriane aut Benassi, Marianna aut Prodhomme, Chloé aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986 58(2020), 7-8 vom: 13. Nov., Seite 1927-1942 (DE-627)129932728 (DE-600)382992-3 (DE-576)015479005 0930-7575 nnns volume:58 year:2020 number:7-8 day:13 month:11 pages:1927-1942 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 AR 58 2020 7-8 13 11 1927-1942 |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 doi (DE-627)OLC2078477567 (DE-He213)s00382-020-05519-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 550 VZ 16,13 ssgn Ardilouze, Constantin verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-3949-4450 aut Precipitation response to extreme soil moisture conditions over the Mediterranean 2020 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2020 Abstract The intimate link between soil moisture and precipitation makes it a “chicken-and-egg situation” that challenges climate studies of the continental water cycle. This association is particularly acute over the Mediterranean, increasingly exposed to droughts with climate change. This study aims at deciphering the impact of spring soil moisture state in the Mediterranean on subsequent warm season precipitation. In an idealized setup, two distinct climate models are used to generate extreme dry or wet soil conditions, and run climate simulations initialized and/or forced by these conditions. Changes in precipitation distribution and persistence are analyzed and where applicable compared to composites from a reanalysis. Spring soil moisture anomalies are found to be very persistent, but the precipitation response is largely model dependent. Overall, dry soils lead to a reduction of precipitation for early summer months and conversely for wet soils although with a fainter and less robust signal. On the other hand, wet soils tend to favor the persistence of precipitation throughout summer over several sub-regions. Our results highlight the stringent need to reduce the wide array of uncertainties associated to soil moisture, land-atmosphere coupling and convection in climate models, before ascertaining that soil moisture initialization could provide more skillful sub-seasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction. Soil moisture Precipitation Mediterranean Land-atmosphere coupling Materia, Stefano aut Batté, Lauriane aut Benassi, Marianna aut Prodhomme, Chloé aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986 58(2020), 7-8 vom: 13. Nov., Seite 1927-1942 (DE-627)129932728 (DE-600)382992-3 (DE-576)015479005 0930-7575 nnns volume:58 year:2020 number:7-8 day:13 month:11 pages:1927-1942 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 AR 58 2020 7-8 13 11 1927-1942 |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 doi (DE-627)OLC2078477567 (DE-He213)s00382-020-05519-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 550 VZ 16,13 ssgn Ardilouze, Constantin verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-3949-4450 aut Precipitation response to extreme soil moisture conditions over the Mediterranean 2020 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2020 Abstract The intimate link between soil moisture and precipitation makes it a “chicken-and-egg situation” that challenges climate studies of the continental water cycle. This association is particularly acute over the Mediterranean, increasingly exposed to droughts with climate change. This study aims at deciphering the impact of spring soil moisture state in the Mediterranean on subsequent warm season precipitation. In an idealized setup, two distinct climate models are used to generate extreme dry or wet soil conditions, and run climate simulations initialized and/or forced by these conditions. Changes in precipitation distribution and persistence are analyzed and where applicable compared to composites from a reanalysis. Spring soil moisture anomalies are found to be very persistent, but the precipitation response is largely model dependent. Overall, dry soils lead to a reduction of precipitation for early summer months and conversely for wet soils although with a fainter and less robust signal. On the other hand, wet soils tend to favor the persistence of precipitation throughout summer over several sub-regions. Our results highlight the stringent need to reduce the wide array of uncertainties associated to soil moisture, land-atmosphere coupling and convection in climate models, before ascertaining that soil moisture initialization could provide more skillful sub-seasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction. Soil moisture Precipitation Mediterranean Land-atmosphere coupling Materia, Stefano aut Batté, Lauriane aut Benassi, Marianna aut Prodhomme, Chloé aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986 58(2020), 7-8 vom: 13. Nov., Seite 1927-1942 (DE-627)129932728 (DE-600)382992-3 (DE-576)015479005 0930-7575 nnns volume:58 year:2020 number:7-8 day:13 month:11 pages:1927-1942 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 AR 58 2020 7-8 13 11 1927-1942 |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 doi (DE-627)OLC2078477567 (DE-He213)s00382-020-05519-5-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 550 VZ 16,13 ssgn Ardilouze, Constantin verfasserin (orcid)0000-0003-3949-4450 aut Precipitation response to extreme soil moisture conditions over the Mediterranean 2020 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2020 Abstract The intimate link between soil moisture and precipitation makes it a “chicken-and-egg situation” that challenges climate studies of the continental water cycle. This association is particularly acute over the Mediterranean, increasingly exposed to droughts with climate change. This study aims at deciphering the impact of spring soil moisture state in the Mediterranean on subsequent warm season precipitation. In an idealized setup, two distinct climate models are used to generate extreme dry or wet soil conditions, and run climate simulations initialized and/or forced by these conditions. Changes in precipitation distribution and persistence are analyzed and where applicable compared to composites from a reanalysis. Spring soil moisture anomalies are found to be very persistent, but the precipitation response is largely model dependent. Overall, dry soils lead to a reduction of precipitation for early summer months and conversely for wet soils although with a fainter and less robust signal. On the other hand, wet soils tend to favor the persistence of precipitation throughout summer over several sub-regions. Our results highlight the stringent need to reduce the wide array of uncertainties associated to soil moisture, land-atmosphere coupling and convection in climate models, before ascertaining that soil moisture initialization could provide more skillful sub-seasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction. Soil moisture Precipitation Mediterranean Land-atmosphere coupling Materia, Stefano aut Batté, Lauriane aut Benassi, Marianna aut Prodhomme, Chloé aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1986 58(2020), 7-8 vom: 13. Nov., Seite 1927-1942 (DE-627)129932728 (DE-600)382992-3 (DE-576)015479005 0930-7575 nnns volume:58 year:2020 number:7-8 day:13 month:11 pages:1927-1942 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_154 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 AR 58 2020 7-8 13 11 1927-1942 |
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Ardilouze, Constantin |
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title_sort |
precipitation response to extreme soil moisture conditions over the mediterranean |
title_auth |
Precipitation response to extreme soil moisture conditions over the Mediterranean |
abstract |
Abstract The intimate link between soil moisture and precipitation makes it a “chicken-and-egg situation” that challenges climate studies of the continental water cycle. This association is particularly acute over the Mediterranean, increasingly exposed to droughts with climate change. This study aims at deciphering the impact of spring soil moisture state in the Mediterranean on subsequent warm season precipitation. In an idealized setup, two distinct climate models are used to generate extreme dry or wet soil conditions, and run climate simulations initialized and/or forced by these conditions. Changes in precipitation distribution and persistence are analyzed and where applicable compared to composites from a reanalysis. Spring soil moisture anomalies are found to be very persistent, but the precipitation response is largely model dependent. Overall, dry soils lead to a reduction of precipitation for early summer months and conversely for wet soils although with a fainter and less robust signal. On the other hand, wet soils tend to favor the persistence of precipitation throughout summer over several sub-regions. Our results highlight the stringent need to reduce the wide array of uncertainties associated to soil moisture, land-atmosphere coupling and convection in climate models, before ascertaining that soil moisture initialization could provide more skillful sub-seasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction. © The Author(s) 2020 |
abstractGer |
Abstract The intimate link between soil moisture and precipitation makes it a “chicken-and-egg situation” that challenges climate studies of the continental water cycle. This association is particularly acute over the Mediterranean, increasingly exposed to droughts with climate change. This study aims at deciphering the impact of spring soil moisture state in the Mediterranean on subsequent warm season precipitation. In an idealized setup, two distinct climate models are used to generate extreme dry or wet soil conditions, and run climate simulations initialized and/or forced by these conditions. Changes in precipitation distribution and persistence are analyzed and where applicable compared to composites from a reanalysis. Spring soil moisture anomalies are found to be very persistent, but the precipitation response is largely model dependent. Overall, dry soils lead to a reduction of precipitation for early summer months and conversely for wet soils although with a fainter and less robust signal. On the other hand, wet soils tend to favor the persistence of precipitation throughout summer over several sub-regions. Our results highlight the stringent need to reduce the wide array of uncertainties associated to soil moisture, land-atmosphere coupling and convection in climate models, before ascertaining that soil moisture initialization could provide more skillful sub-seasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction. © The Author(s) 2020 |
abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract The intimate link between soil moisture and precipitation makes it a “chicken-and-egg situation” that challenges climate studies of the continental water cycle. This association is particularly acute over the Mediterranean, increasingly exposed to droughts with climate change. This study aims at deciphering the impact of spring soil moisture state in the Mediterranean on subsequent warm season precipitation. In an idealized setup, two distinct climate models are used to generate extreme dry or wet soil conditions, and run climate simulations initialized and/or forced by these conditions. Changes in precipitation distribution and persistence are analyzed and where applicable compared to composites from a reanalysis. Spring soil moisture anomalies are found to be very persistent, but the precipitation response is largely model dependent. Overall, dry soils lead to a reduction of precipitation for early summer months and conversely for wet soils although with a fainter and less robust signal. On the other hand, wet soils tend to favor the persistence of precipitation throughout summer over several sub-regions. Our results highlight the stringent need to reduce the wide array of uncertainties associated to soil moisture, land-atmosphere coupling and convection in climate models, before ascertaining that soil moisture initialization could provide more skillful sub-seasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction. © The Author(s) 2020 |
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container_issue |
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title_short |
Precipitation response to extreme soil moisture conditions over the Mediterranean |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 |
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author2 |
Materia, Stefano Batté, Lauriane Benassi, Marianna Prodhomme, Chloé |
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up_date |
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