Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021
Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexp...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Cannon, David [verfasserIn] |
|---|
| Format: |
Artikel |
|---|---|
| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2023 |
|---|
| Schlagwörter: |
|---|
| Anmerkung: |
© The Author(s) 2023 |
|---|
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Ocean dynamics - Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001, 73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218 |
|---|---|
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:73 ; year:2023 ; number:3-4 ; month:04 ; pages:201-218 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 |
|---|
| Katalog-ID: |
OLC2134474734 |
|---|
| LEADER | 01000naa a22002652 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | OLC2134474734 | ||
| 003 | DE-627 | ||
| 005 | 20230510161922.0 | ||
| 007 | tu | ||
| 008 | 230510s2023 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 |2 doi | |
| 035 | |a (DE-627)OLC2134474734 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-He213)s10236-023-01544-0-p | ||
| 040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rakwb | ||
| 041 | |a eng | ||
| 082 | 0 | 4 | |a 550 |q VZ |
| 084 | |a 14 |2 ssgn | ||
| 084 | |a 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie |2 bkl | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Cannon, David |e verfasserin |0 (orcid)0000-0001-5238-6863 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 |
| 264 | 1 | |c 2023 | |
| 336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a Band |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a © The Author(s) 2023 | ||
| 520 | |a Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Climate change | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Lake | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Warming | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Climatology | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Wang, Jia |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Kessler, James |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Chu, Philip |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | 8 | |i Enthalten in |t Ocean dynamics |d Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 |g 73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218 |w (DE-627)335936091 |w (DE-600)2060148-7 |w (DE-576)096704470 |x 1616-7341 |7 nnns |
| 773 | 1 | 8 | |g volume:73 |g year:2023 |g number:3-4 |g month:04 |g pages:201-218 |
| 856 | 4 | 1 | |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 |z lizenzpflichtig |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a GBV_USEFLAG_A | ||
| 912 | |a SYSFLAG_A | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_OLC | ||
| 912 | |a SSG-OLC-GEO | ||
| 912 | |a SSG-OLC-GGO | ||
| 912 | |a SSG-OPC-GGO | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_ILN_183 | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_ILN_600 | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_ILN_2018 | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_ILN_4277 | ||
| 912 | |a GBV_ILN_4305 | ||
| 936 | b | k | |a 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie |q VZ |0 106421921 |0 (DE-625)106421921 |
| 951 | |a AR | ||
| 952 | |d 73 |j 2023 |e 3-4 |c 04 |h 201-218 | ||
| author_variant |
d c dc a f m afm j w jw j k jk p c pc |
|---|---|
| matchkey_str |
article:16167341:2023----::oeighneiieyaisnsbufctemltutrilkmci |
| hierarchy_sort_str |
2023 |
| bklnumber |
38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie |
| publishDate |
2023 |
| allfields |
10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 doi (DE-627)OLC2134474734 (DE-He213)s10236-023-01544-0-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Cannon, David verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-5238-6863 aut Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2023 Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region. Climate change Lake Warming Climatology Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi aut Wang, Jia aut Kessler, James aut Chu, Philip aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:73 year:2023 number:3-4 month:04 pages:201-218 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 73 2023 3-4 04 201-218 |
| spelling |
10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 doi (DE-627)OLC2134474734 (DE-He213)s10236-023-01544-0-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Cannon, David verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-5238-6863 aut Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2023 Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region. Climate change Lake Warming Climatology Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi aut Wang, Jia aut Kessler, James aut Chu, Philip aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:73 year:2023 number:3-4 month:04 pages:201-218 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 73 2023 3-4 04 201-218 |
| allfields_unstemmed |
10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 doi (DE-627)OLC2134474734 (DE-He213)s10236-023-01544-0-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Cannon, David verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-5238-6863 aut Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2023 Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region. Climate change Lake Warming Climatology Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi aut Wang, Jia aut Kessler, James aut Chu, Philip aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:73 year:2023 number:3-4 month:04 pages:201-218 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 73 2023 3-4 04 201-218 |
| allfieldsGer |
10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 doi (DE-627)OLC2134474734 (DE-He213)s10236-023-01544-0-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Cannon, David verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-5238-6863 aut Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2023 Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region. Climate change Lake Warming Climatology Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi aut Wang, Jia aut Kessler, James aut Chu, Philip aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:73 year:2023 number:3-4 month:04 pages:201-218 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 73 2023 3-4 04 201-218 |
| allfieldsSound |
10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 doi (DE-627)OLC2134474734 (DE-He213)s10236-023-01544-0-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Cannon, David verfasserin (orcid)0000-0001-5238-6863 aut Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2023 Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region. Climate change Lake Warming Climatology Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi aut Wang, Jia aut Kessler, James aut Chu, Philip aut Enthalten in Ocean dynamics Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001 73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218 (DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 1616-7341 nnns volume:73 year:2023 number:3-4 month:04 pages:201-218 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie VZ 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 AR 73 2023 3-4 04 201-218 |
| language |
English |
| source |
Enthalten in Ocean dynamics 73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218 volume:73 year:2023 number:3-4 month:04 pages:201-218 |
| sourceStr |
Enthalten in Ocean dynamics 73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218 volume:73 year:2023 number:3-4 month:04 pages:201-218 |
| format_phy_str_mv |
Article |
| institution |
findex.gbv.de |
| topic_facet |
Climate change Lake Warming Climatology |
| dewey-raw |
550 |
| isfreeaccess_bool |
false |
| container_title |
Ocean dynamics |
| authorswithroles_txt_mv |
Cannon, David @@aut@@ Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi @@aut@@ Wang, Jia @@aut@@ Kessler, James @@aut@@ Chu, Philip @@aut@@ |
| publishDateDaySort_date |
2023-04-01T00:00:00Z |
| hierarchy_top_id |
335936091 |
| dewey-sort |
3550 |
| id |
OLC2134474734 |
| language_de |
englisch |
| fullrecord |
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000naa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">OLC2134474734</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230510161922.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">tu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">230510s2023 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)OLC2134474734</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-He213)s10236-023-01544-0-p</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">550</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">14</subfield><subfield code="2">ssgn</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie</subfield><subfield code="2">bkl</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Cannon, David</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="0">(orcid)0000-0001-5238-6863</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2023</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen</subfield><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Band</subfield><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">© The Author(s) 2023</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Climate change</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Lake</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Warming</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Climatology</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Wang, Jia</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Kessler, James</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Chu, Philip</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Ocean dynamics</subfield><subfield code="d">Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001</subfield><subfield code="g">73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)335936091</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)2060148-7</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-576)096704470</subfield><subfield code="x">1616-7341</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:73</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2023</subfield><subfield code="g">number:3-4</subfield><subfield code="g">month:04</subfield><subfield code="g">pages:201-218</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0</subfield><subfield code="z">lizenzpflichtig</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_USEFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_OLC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-GEO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-GGO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-GGO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_183</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_600</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2018</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4277</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4305</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="936" ind1="b" ind2="k"><subfield code="a">38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield><subfield code="0">106421921</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-625)106421921</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">73</subfield><subfield code="j">2023</subfield><subfield code="e">3-4</subfield><subfield code="c">04</subfield><subfield code="h">201-218</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
|
| author |
Cannon, David |
| spellingShingle |
Cannon, David ddc 550 ssgn 14 bkl 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie misc Climate change misc Lake misc Warming misc Climatology Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 |
| authorStr |
Cannon, David |
| ppnlink_with_tag_str_mv |
@@773@@(DE-627)335936091 |
| format |
Article |
| dewey-ones |
550 - Earth sciences |
| delete_txt_mv |
keep |
| author_role |
aut aut aut aut aut |
| collection |
OLC |
| remote_str |
false |
| illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
| issn |
1616-7341 |
| topic_title |
550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 Climate change Lake Warming Climatology |
| topic |
ddc 550 ssgn 14 bkl 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie misc Climate change misc Lake misc Warming misc Climatology |
| topic_unstemmed |
ddc 550 ssgn 14 bkl 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie misc Climate change misc Lake misc Warming misc Climatology |
| topic_browse |
ddc 550 ssgn 14 bkl 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie misc Climate change misc Lake misc Warming misc Climatology |
| format_facet |
Aufsätze Gedruckte Aufsätze |
| format_main_str_mv |
Text Zeitschrift/Artikel |
| carriertype_str_mv |
nc |
| hierarchy_parent_title |
Ocean dynamics |
| hierarchy_parent_id |
335936091 |
| dewey-tens |
550 - Earth sciences & geology |
| hierarchy_top_title |
Ocean dynamics |
| isfreeaccess_txt |
false |
| familylinks_str_mv |
(DE-627)335936091 (DE-600)2060148-7 (DE-576)096704470 |
| title |
Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 |
| ctrlnum |
(DE-627)OLC2134474734 (DE-He213)s10236-023-01544-0-p |
| title_full |
Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 |
| author_sort |
Cannon, David |
| journal |
Ocean dynamics |
| journalStr |
Ocean dynamics |
| lang_code |
eng |
| isOA_bool |
false |
| dewey-hundreds |
500 - Science |
| recordtype |
marc |
| publishDateSort |
2023 |
| contenttype_str_mv |
txt |
| container_start_page |
201 |
| author_browse |
Cannon, David Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi Wang, Jia Kessler, James Chu, Philip |
| container_volume |
73 |
| class |
550 VZ 14 ssgn 38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie bkl |
| format_se |
Aufsätze |
| author-letter |
Cannon, David |
| doi_str_mv |
10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 |
| normlink |
(ORCID)0000-0001-5238-6863 106421921 |
| normlink_prefix_str_mv |
(orcid)0000-0001-5238-6863 106421921 (DE-625)106421921 |
| dewey-full |
550 |
| title_sort |
modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in lake michigan-huron between 1979 and 2021 |
| title_auth |
Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 |
| abstract |
Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region. © The Author(s) 2023 |
| abstractGer |
Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region. © The Author(s) 2023 |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region. © The Author(s) 2023 |
| collection_details |
GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-GEO SSG-OLC-GGO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_183 GBV_ILN_600 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 |
| container_issue |
3-4 |
| title_short |
Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021 |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 |
| remote_bool |
false |
| author2 |
Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi Wang, Jia Kessler, James Chu, Philip |
| author2Str |
Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi Wang, Jia Kessler, James Chu, Philip |
| ppnlink |
335936091 |
| mediatype_str_mv |
n |
| isOA_txt |
false |
| hochschulschrift_bool |
false |
| doi_str |
10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0 |
| up_date |
2024-07-04T01:18:36.266Z |
| _version_ |
1803609352456634368 |
| fullrecord_marcxml |
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000naa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">OLC2134474734</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230510161922.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">tu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">230510s2023 xx ||||| 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)OLC2134474734</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-He213)s10236-023-01544-0-p</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">550</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">14</subfield><subfield code="2">ssgn</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie</subfield><subfield code="2">bkl</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Cannon, David</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="0">(orcid)0000-0001-5238-6863</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Modeling changes in ice dynamics and subsurface thermal structure in Lake Michigan-Huron between 1979 and 2021</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2023</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen</subfield><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Band</subfield><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">© The Author(s) 2023</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract The world’s largest lakes, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, have experienced significant surface warming and loss of ice cover over the last several decades. Although changing surface conditions have received substantial research interest, changes below the surface remain largely unexplored, despite their importance for turbulent mixing, nutrient cycling, and primary production. In this study, we investigate changes in subsurface thermal structure and timing in Lake Michigan-Huron related to ongoing climate warming. This work utilizes atmospheric reanalysis data to drive the Great Lakes Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (GL-FVCOM), providing three-dimensional hydrodynamic and ice simulations between 1979 and 2021. Results are used to analyze trends in ice and temperature dynamics, revealing significant changes in annually averaged ice cover (− 2.1– − 5.2%/decade), ice thickness (− 0.68 – − 2.0 cm/decade), surface temperature (+ 0.47– + 0.51 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade), and bottom temperature (+ 0.26– + 0.29 $$^\circ{\rm C}$$/decade) over the last 40 years, especially in ecologically important bays (e.g., Green Bay, Saginaw Bay). Significant warming was observed at all depth layers (0–270 m), with warming trends in the epilimnion and hypolimnion that agreed well with recent analysis of observational data in Lake Michigan. Shifting stratification dynamics led to dramatic changes in modelled overturning behavior, and earlier spring turnover dates (− 2.2– − 7.5 days/decade) and later fall turnover dates (+ 2.5– + 6.3 days/decade) led to a net lengthening of the stratified period. This study presents one of the most comprehensive analyses of changes in Great Lakes subsurface temperatures to date, providing important context for future climate modelling and coastal management efforts in the region.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Climate change</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Lake</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Warming</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Climatology</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Fujisaki-Manome, Ayumi</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Wang, Jia</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Kessler, James</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Chu, Philip</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Ocean dynamics</subfield><subfield code="d">Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001</subfield><subfield code="g">73(2023), 3-4 vom: Apr., Seite 201-218</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-627)335936091</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-600)2060148-7</subfield><subfield code="w">(DE-576)096704470</subfield><subfield code="x">1616-7341</subfield><subfield code="7">nnns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="1" ind2="8"><subfield code="g">volume:73</subfield><subfield code="g">year:2023</subfield><subfield code="g">number:3-4</subfield><subfield code="g">month:04</subfield><subfield code="g">pages:201-218</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="1"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01544-0</subfield><subfield code="z">lizenzpflichtig</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_USEFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SYSFLAG_A</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_OLC</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-GEO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OLC-GGO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">SSG-OPC-GGO</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_183</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_600</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_2018</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4277</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">GBV_ILN_4305</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="936" ind1="b" ind2="k"><subfield code="a">38.90$jOzeanologie$jOzeanographie</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield><subfield code="0">106421921</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-625)106421921</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="951" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">AR</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="952" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="d">73</subfield><subfield code="j">2023</subfield><subfield code="e">3-4</subfield><subfield code="c">04</subfield><subfield code="h">201-218</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
|
| score |
7.400301 |