An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations
Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Zhong, Xi [verfasserIn] |
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Englisch |
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2023 |
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Anmerkung: |
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Natural hazards - Springer Netherlands, 1988, 117(2023), 3 vom: 07. Apr., Seite 2325-2346 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:117 ; year:2023 ; number:3 ; day:07 ; month:04 ; pages:2325-2346 |
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DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 |
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Katalog-ID: |
OLC2144006806 |
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520 | |a Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth dependencies cannot be well addressed in the original mathematical expression. This study developed a framework for improving the Holland model by considering the azimuth-dependent RMW and Holland B parameter for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)–Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model was applied to construct the precise database of wind fields for six historical typhoons that passed through the Zhejiang coast. The azimuth-dependent functions were proposed to describe the asymmetry of the RMW and Holland B parameter, of which the coefficients were obtained by regression analyses of the precise database of historical typhoons. The improved azimuth-dependent model was then illustrated to assess the coastal hazards along Zhejiang Coast, including wind speeds with 50- and 100-year return periods and storm surges. The asymmetries of the RMW and Holland B parameter were expressed as functions of the heading direction and latitude of the typhoon center, respectively. The improved model showed good agreement with the observations during Typhoon Winnie (9711), Prapiroon (0012), and Khanun (0515). Including azimuth dependency in typhoon wind fields can provide more specific and reliable information in estimating coastal hazards under typhoons. | ||
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10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 doi (DE-627)OLC2144006806 (DE-He213)s11069-023-05944-9-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Zhong, Xi verfasserin aut An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth dependencies cannot be well addressed in the original mathematical expression. This study developed a framework for improving the Holland model by considering the azimuth-dependent RMW and Holland B parameter for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)–Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model was applied to construct the precise database of wind fields for six historical typhoons that passed through the Zhejiang coast. The azimuth-dependent functions were proposed to describe the asymmetry of the RMW and Holland B parameter, of which the coefficients were obtained by regression analyses of the precise database of historical typhoons. The improved azimuth-dependent model was then illustrated to assess the coastal hazards along Zhejiang Coast, including wind speeds with 50- and 100-year return periods and storm surges. The asymmetries of the RMW and Holland B parameter were expressed as functions of the heading direction and latitude of the typhoon center, respectively. The improved model showed good agreement with the observations during Typhoon Winnie (9711), Prapiroon (0012), and Khanun (0515). Including azimuth dependency in typhoon wind fields can provide more specific and reliable information in estimating coastal hazards under typhoons. Typhoon Parametric wind field WRF–ARW Holland model Azimuth-dependent function Coastal hazards Landfall Wei, Kai (orcid)0000-0002-0283-9892 aut Shang, Daimeng aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Springer Netherlands, 1988 117(2023), 3 vom: 07. Apr., Seite 2325-2346 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:117 year:2023 number:3 day:07 month:04 pages:2325-2346 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT AR 117 2023 3 07 04 2325-2346 |
spelling |
10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 doi (DE-627)OLC2144006806 (DE-He213)s11069-023-05944-9-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Zhong, Xi verfasserin aut An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth dependencies cannot be well addressed in the original mathematical expression. This study developed a framework for improving the Holland model by considering the azimuth-dependent RMW and Holland B parameter for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)–Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model was applied to construct the precise database of wind fields for six historical typhoons that passed through the Zhejiang coast. The azimuth-dependent functions were proposed to describe the asymmetry of the RMW and Holland B parameter, of which the coefficients were obtained by regression analyses of the precise database of historical typhoons. The improved azimuth-dependent model was then illustrated to assess the coastal hazards along Zhejiang Coast, including wind speeds with 50- and 100-year return periods and storm surges. The asymmetries of the RMW and Holland B parameter were expressed as functions of the heading direction and latitude of the typhoon center, respectively. The improved model showed good agreement with the observations during Typhoon Winnie (9711), Prapiroon (0012), and Khanun (0515). Including azimuth dependency in typhoon wind fields can provide more specific and reliable information in estimating coastal hazards under typhoons. Typhoon Parametric wind field WRF–ARW Holland model Azimuth-dependent function Coastal hazards Landfall Wei, Kai (orcid)0000-0002-0283-9892 aut Shang, Daimeng aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Springer Netherlands, 1988 117(2023), 3 vom: 07. Apr., Seite 2325-2346 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:117 year:2023 number:3 day:07 month:04 pages:2325-2346 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT AR 117 2023 3 07 04 2325-2346 |
allfields_unstemmed |
10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 doi (DE-627)OLC2144006806 (DE-He213)s11069-023-05944-9-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Zhong, Xi verfasserin aut An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth dependencies cannot be well addressed in the original mathematical expression. This study developed a framework for improving the Holland model by considering the azimuth-dependent RMW and Holland B parameter for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)–Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model was applied to construct the precise database of wind fields for six historical typhoons that passed through the Zhejiang coast. The azimuth-dependent functions were proposed to describe the asymmetry of the RMW and Holland B parameter, of which the coefficients were obtained by regression analyses of the precise database of historical typhoons. The improved azimuth-dependent model was then illustrated to assess the coastal hazards along Zhejiang Coast, including wind speeds with 50- and 100-year return periods and storm surges. The asymmetries of the RMW and Holland B parameter were expressed as functions of the heading direction and latitude of the typhoon center, respectively. The improved model showed good agreement with the observations during Typhoon Winnie (9711), Prapiroon (0012), and Khanun (0515). Including azimuth dependency in typhoon wind fields can provide more specific and reliable information in estimating coastal hazards under typhoons. Typhoon Parametric wind field WRF–ARW Holland model Azimuth-dependent function Coastal hazards Landfall Wei, Kai (orcid)0000-0002-0283-9892 aut Shang, Daimeng aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Springer Netherlands, 1988 117(2023), 3 vom: 07. Apr., Seite 2325-2346 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:117 year:2023 number:3 day:07 month:04 pages:2325-2346 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT AR 117 2023 3 07 04 2325-2346 |
allfieldsGer |
10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 doi (DE-627)OLC2144006806 (DE-He213)s11069-023-05944-9-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Zhong, Xi verfasserin aut An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth dependencies cannot be well addressed in the original mathematical expression. This study developed a framework for improving the Holland model by considering the azimuth-dependent RMW and Holland B parameter for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)–Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model was applied to construct the precise database of wind fields for six historical typhoons that passed through the Zhejiang coast. The azimuth-dependent functions were proposed to describe the asymmetry of the RMW and Holland B parameter, of which the coefficients were obtained by regression analyses of the precise database of historical typhoons. The improved azimuth-dependent model was then illustrated to assess the coastal hazards along Zhejiang Coast, including wind speeds with 50- and 100-year return periods and storm surges. The asymmetries of the RMW and Holland B parameter were expressed as functions of the heading direction and latitude of the typhoon center, respectively. The improved model showed good agreement with the observations during Typhoon Winnie (9711), Prapiroon (0012), and Khanun (0515). Including azimuth dependency in typhoon wind fields can provide more specific and reliable information in estimating coastal hazards under typhoons. Typhoon Parametric wind field WRF–ARW Holland model Azimuth-dependent function Coastal hazards Landfall Wei, Kai (orcid)0000-0002-0283-9892 aut Shang, Daimeng aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Springer Netherlands, 1988 117(2023), 3 vom: 07. Apr., Seite 2325-2346 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:117 year:2023 number:3 day:07 month:04 pages:2325-2346 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT AR 117 2023 3 07 04 2325-2346 |
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10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 doi (DE-627)OLC2144006806 (DE-He213)s11069-023-05944-9-p DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ 14 ssgn Zhong, Xi verfasserin aut An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations 2023 Text txt rdacontent ohne Hilfsmittel zu benutzen n rdamedia Band nc rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth dependencies cannot be well addressed in the original mathematical expression. This study developed a framework for improving the Holland model by considering the azimuth-dependent RMW and Holland B parameter for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)–Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model was applied to construct the precise database of wind fields for six historical typhoons that passed through the Zhejiang coast. The azimuth-dependent functions were proposed to describe the asymmetry of the RMW and Holland B parameter, of which the coefficients were obtained by regression analyses of the precise database of historical typhoons. The improved azimuth-dependent model was then illustrated to assess the coastal hazards along Zhejiang Coast, including wind speeds with 50- and 100-year return periods and storm surges. The asymmetries of the RMW and Holland B parameter were expressed as functions of the heading direction and latitude of the typhoon center, respectively. The improved model showed good agreement with the observations during Typhoon Winnie (9711), Prapiroon (0012), and Khanun (0515). Including azimuth dependency in typhoon wind fields can provide more specific and reliable information in estimating coastal hazards under typhoons. Typhoon Parametric wind field WRF–ARW Holland model Azimuth-dependent function Coastal hazards Landfall Wei, Kai (orcid)0000-0002-0283-9892 aut Shang, Daimeng aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Springer Netherlands, 1988 117(2023), 3 vom: 07. Apr., Seite 2325-2346 (DE-627)131010271 (DE-600)1088547-X (DE-576)03285272X 0921-030X nnns volume:117 year:2023 number:3 day:07 month:04 pages:2325-2346 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_OLC SSG-OLC-PHY SSG-OLC-MAT SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-MAT AR 117 2023 3 07 04 2325-2346 |
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author |
Zhong, Xi |
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550 VZ 14 ssgn An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations Typhoon Parametric wind field WRF–ARW Holland model Azimuth-dependent function Coastal hazards Landfall |
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An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations |
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An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations |
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an improved azimuth-dependent holland model for typhoons along the zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on wrf–arw simulations |
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An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations |
abstract |
Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth dependencies cannot be well addressed in the original mathematical expression. This study developed a framework for improving the Holland model by considering the azimuth-dependent RMW and Holland B parameter for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)–Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model was applied to construct the precise database of wind fields for six historical typhoons that passed through the Zhejiang coast. The azimuth-dependent functions were proposed to describe the asymmetry of the RMW and Holland B parameter, of which the coefficients were obtained by regression analyses of the precise database of historical typhoons. The improved azimuth-dependent model was then illustrated to assess the coastal hazards along Zhejiang Coast, including wind speeds with 50- and 100-year return periods and storm surges. The asymmetries of the RMW and Holland B parameter were expressed as functions of the heading direction and latitude of the typhoon center, respectively. The improved model showed good agreement with the observations during Typhoon Winnie (9711), Prapiroon (0012), and Khanun (0515). Including azimuth dependency in typhoon wind fields can provide more specific and reliable information in estimating coastal hazards under typhoons. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
abstractGer |
Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth dependencies cannot be well addressed in the original mathematical expression. This study developed a framework for improving the Holland model by considering the azimuth-dependent RMW and Holland B parameter for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)–Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model was applied to construct the precise database of wind fields for six historical typhoons that passed through the Zhejiang coast. The azimuth-dependent functions were proposed to describe the asymmetry of the RMW and Holland B parameter, of which the coefficients were obtained by regression analyses of the precise database of historical typhoons. The improved azimuth-dependent model was then illustrated to assess the coastal hazards along Zhejiang Coast, including wind speeds with 50- and 100-year return periods and storm surges. The asymmetries of the RMW and Holland B parameter were expressed as functions of the heading direction and latitude of the typhoon center, respectively. The improved model showed good agreement with the observations during Typhoon Winnie (9711), Prapiroon (0012), and Khanun (0515). Including azimuth dependency in typhoon wind fields can provide more specific and reliable information in estimating coastal hazards under typhoons. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract The Holland model is a common and efficient parametric model for constructing the typhoon wind field and involves two critical parameters: the radius of maximum wind (RMW) and the Holland B parameter, which are sensitive to the azimuth of a typhoon prior to landfall. However, their azimuth dependencies cannot be well addressed in the original mathematical expression. This study developed a framework for improving the Holland model by considering the azimuth-dependent RMW and Holland B parameter for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)–Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model was applied to construct the precise database of wind fields for six historical typhoons that passed through the Zhejiang coast. The azimuth-dependent functions were proposed to describe the asymmetry of the RMW and Holland B parameter, of which the coefficients were obtained by regression analyses of the precise database of historical typhoons. The improved azimuth-dependent model was then illustrated to assess the coastal hazards along Zhejiang Coast, including wind speeds with 50- and 100-year return periods and storm surges. The asymmetries of the RMW and Holland B parameter were expressed as functions of the heading direction and latitude of the typhoon center, respectively. The improved model showed good agreement with the observations during Typhoon Winnie (9711), Prapiroon (0012), and Khanun (0515). Including azimuth dependency in typhoon wind fields can provide more specific and reliable information in estimating coastal hazards under typhoons. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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An improved azimuth-dependent Holland model for typhoons along the Zhejiang coast prior to landfall based on WRF–ARW simulations |
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05944-9 |
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