Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau

Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated hi...
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Autor*in:	Mojarab, Masoud [verfasserIn] Memarian, Hossein [verfasserIn] Zare, Mehdi [verfasserIn] Kossobokov, Vladimir [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2017

Schlagwörter:	M8 algorithm Seismic pattern recognition Intermediate-term prediction Iranian plateau Major earthquake

Übergeordnetes Werk:	Enthalten in: Journal of seismology - Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V, 1997, 21(2017), 4 vom: 09. März, Seite 921-940
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:21 ; year:2017 ; number:4 ; day:09 ; month:03 ; pages:921-940

Links:	Volltext

DOI / URN:	10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6

Katalog-ID:	SPR014925869

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245	1	0	\|a Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau
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520			\|a Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated high performance in a real-time Global Test over the last two decades. An investigation of earthquake catalog covering the entire the Iranian plateau through 2012 has shown that a modification of the M8 algorithm, adjusted for a rather low level of earthquake occurrence reported in the region, is capable for targeting magnitude 7.5+ events. The occurrence of the April 16, 2013, M7.7 Saravan and the September 24, 2013, M7.7 Awaran earthquakes at the time of writing this paper (14 months before Saravan earthquake occurrence) confirmed the results of investigation and demonstrated the need for further studies in this region. Earlier tests, M8 application in all over the Iran, showed that the 2013 Saravan and Awaran earthquakes may precede a great earthquake with magnitude 8+ in Makran region. To verify this statement, the algorithm M8 was applied once again on an updated catalog to September 2013. The result indicated that although the study region recently experienced two magnitude 7.5+ earthquakes, it remains prone to a major earthquake. The present study confirms the applicability of M8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes in the Iranian plateau and establishes an opportunity for a routine monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the largest earthquakes that can play a significant role in mitigation of damages due to natural hazard.
650		4	\|a M8 algorithm \|7 (dpeaa)DE-He213
650		4	\|a Seismic pattern recognition \|7 (dpeaa)DE-He213
650		4	\|a Intermediate-term prediction \|7 (dpeaa)DE-He213
650		4	\|a Iranian plateau \|7 (dpeaa)DE-He213
650		4	\|a Major earthquake \|7 (dpeaa)DE-He213
700	1		\|a Memarian, Hossein \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
700	1		\|a Zare, Mehdi \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
700	1		\|a Kossobokov, Vladimir \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
773	0	8	\|i Enthalten in \|t Journal of seismology \|d Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V, 1997 \|g 21(2017), 4 vom: 09. März, Seite 921-940 \|w (DE-627)271177985 \|w (DE-600)1479210-2 \|x 1573-157X \|7 nnns
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_31
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_39
912			\|a GBV_ILN_40
912			\|a GBV_ILN_60
912			\|a GBV_ILN_62
912			\|a GBV_ILN_63
912			\|a GBV_ILN_69
912			\|a GBV_ILN_70
912			\|a GBV_ILN_73
912			\|a GBV_ILN_74
912			\|a GBV_ILN_90
912			\|a GBV_ILN_95
912			\|a GBV_ILN_100
912			\|a GBV_ILN_105
912			\|a GBV_ILN_110
912			\|a GBV_ILN_120
912			\|a GBV_ILN_138
912			\|a GBV_ILN_150
912			\|a GBV_ILN_151
912			\|a GBV_ILN_161
912			\|a GBV_ILN_170
912			\|a GBV_ILN_171
912			\|a GBV_ILN_187
912			\|a GBV_ILN_213
912			\|a GBV_ILN_224
912			\|a GBV_ILN_230
912			\|a GBV_ILN_250
912			\|a GBV_ILN_281
912			\|a GBV_ILN_285
912			\|a GBV_ILN_293
912			\|a GBV_ILN_370
912			\|a GBV_ILN_602
912			\|a GBV_ILN_636
912			\|a GBV_ILN_702
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2001
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2003
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2004
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2005
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2006
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2007
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2008
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2009
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2010
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2011
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2014
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2015
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2020
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2021
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2025
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2026
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2027
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2031
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2034
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2037
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2038
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2039
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2044
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2048
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2049
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2050
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2055
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2057
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2059
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2061
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2064
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2065
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2068
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2070
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2086
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2088
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2093
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2106
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2107
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2108
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2110
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2111
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2112
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2113
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2116
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2118
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2119
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2122
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2129
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2143
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2144
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2147
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_2232
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912			\|a GBV_ILN_2446
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2470
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2472
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2507
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2522
912			\|a GBV_ILN_2548
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4012
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4035
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4037
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4046
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4112
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4125
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4126
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4242
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4246
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4249
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4251
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4305
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4306
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4307
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4313
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4322
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4323
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4324
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4325
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4326
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4328
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4333
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4334
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4335
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4336
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4338
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4393
912			\|a GBV_ILN_4700
936	b	k	\|a 38.38 \|q ASE
951			\|a AR
952			\|d 21 \|j 2017 \|e 4 \|b 09 \|c 03 \|h 921-940

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author_variant	m m mm h m hm m z mz v k vk
matchkey_str	article:1573157X:2017----::dutnte8loihterhukpeitoit
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bklnumber	38.38
publishDate	2017
allfields	10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 doi (DE-627)SPR014925869 (SPR)s10950-017-9644-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.38 bkl Mojarab, Masoud verfasserin aut Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau 2017 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated high performance in a real-time Global Test over the last two decades. An investigation of earthquake catalog covering the entire the Iranian plateau through 2012 has shown that a modification of the M8 algorithm, adjusted for a rather low level of earthquake occurrence reported in the region, is capable for targeting magnitude 7.5+ events. The occurrence of the April 16, 2013, M7.7 Saravan and the September 24, 2013, M7.7 Awaran earthquakes at the time of writing this paper (14 months before Saravan earthquake occurrence) confirmed the results of investigation and demonstrated the need for further studies in this region. Earlier tests, M8 application in all over the Iran, showed that the 2013 Saravan and Awaran earthquakes may precede a great earthquake with magnitude 8+ in Makran region. To verify this statement, the algorithm M8 was applied once again on an updated catalog to September 2013. The result indicated that although the study region recently experienced two magnitude 7.5+ earthquakes, it remains prone to a major earthquake. The present study confirms the applicability of M8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes in the Iranian plateau and establishes an opportunity for a routine monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the largest earthquakes that can play a significant role in mitigation of damages due to natural hazard. M8 algorithm (dpeaa)DE-He213 Seismic pattern recognition (dpeaa)DE-He213 Intermediate-term prediction (dpeaa)DE-He213 Iranian plateau (dpeaa)DE-He213 Major earthquake (dpeaa)DE-He213 Memarian, Hossein verfasserin aut Zare, Mehdi verfasserin aut Kossobokov, Vladimir verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of seismology Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V, 1997 21(2017), 4 vom: 09. März, Seite 921-940 (DE-627)271177985 (DE-600)1479210-2 1573-157X nnns volume:21 year:2017 number:4 day:09 month:03 pages:921-940 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.38 ASE AR 21 2017 4 09 03 921-940
spelling	10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 doi (DE-627)SPR014925869 (SPR)s10950-017-9644-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.38 bkl Mojarab, Masoud verfasserin aut Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau 2017 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated high performance in a real-time Global Test over the last two decades. An investigation of earthquake catalog covering the entire the Iranian plateau through 2012 has shown that a modification of the M8 algorithm, adjusted for a rather low level of earthquake occurrence reported in the region, is capable for targeting magnitude 7.5+ events. The occurrence of the April 16, 2013, M7.7 Saravan and the September 24, 2013, M7.7 Awaran earthquakes at the time of writing this paper (14 months before Saravan earthquake occurrence) confirmed the results of investigation and demonstrated the need for further studies in this region. Earlier tests, M8 application in all over the Iran, showed that the 2013 Saravan and Awaran earthquakes may precede a great earthquake with magnitude 8+ in Makran region. To verify this statement, the algorithm M8 was applied once again on an updated catalog to September 2013. The result indicated that although the study region recently experienced two magnitude 7.5+ earthquakes, it remains prone to a major earthquake. The present study confirms the applicability of M8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes in the Iranian plateau and establishes an opportunity for a routine monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the largest earthquakes that can play a significant role in mitigation of damages due to natural hazard. M8 algorithm (dpeaa)DE-He213 Seismic pattern recognition (dpeaa)DE-He213 Intermediate-term prediction (dpeaa)DE-He213 Iranian plateau (dpeaa)DE-He213 Major earthquake (dpeaa)DE-He213 Memarian, Hossein verfasserin aut Zare, Mehdi verfasserin aut Kossobokov, Vladimir verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of seismology Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V, 1997 21(2017), 4 vom: 09. März, Seite 921-940 (DE-627)271177985 (DE-600)1479210-2 1573-157X nnns volume:21 year:2017 number:4 day:09 month:03 pages:921-940 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.38 ASE AR 21 2017 4 09 03 921-940
allfields_unstemmed	10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 doi (DE-627)SPR014925869 (SPR)s10950-017-9644-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.38 bkl Mojarab, Masoud verfasserin aut Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau 2017 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated high performance in a real-time Global Test over the last two decades. An investigation of earthquake catalog covering the entire the Iranian plateau through 2012 has shown that a modification of the M8 algorithm, adjusted for a rather low level of earthquake occurrence reported in the region, is capable for targeting magnitude 7.5+ events. The occurrence of the April 16, 2013, M7.7 Saravan and the September 24, 2013, M7.7 Awaran earthquakes at the time of writing this paper (14 months before Saravan earthquake occurrence) confirmed the results of investigation and demonstrated the need for further studies in this region. Earlier tests, M8 application in all over the Iran, showed that the 2013 Saravan and Awaran earthquakes may precede a great earthquake with magnitude 8+ in Makran region. To verify this statement, the algorithm M8 was applied once again on an updated catalog to September 2013. The result indicated that although the study region recently experienced two magnitude 7.5+ earthquakes, it remains prone to a major earthquake. The present study confirms the applicability of M8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes in the Iranian plateau and establishes an opportunity for a routine monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the largest earthquakes that can play a significant role in mitigation of damages due to natural hazard. M8 algorithm (dpeaa)DE-He213 Seismic pattern recognition (dpeaa)DE-He213 Intermediate-term prediction (dpeaa)DE-He213 Iranian plateau (dpeaa)DE-He213 Major earthquake (dpeaa)DE-He213 Memarian, Hossein verfasserin aut Zare, Mehdi verfasserin aut Kossobokov, Vladimir verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of seismology Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V, 1997 21(2017), 4 vom: 09. März, Seite 921-940 (DE-627)271177985 (DE-600)1479210-2 1573-157X nnns volume:21 year:2017 number:4 day:09 month:03 pages:921-940 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.38 ASE AR 21 2017 4 09 03 921-940
allfieldsGer	10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 doi (DE-627)SPR014925869 (SPR)s10950-017-9644-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.38 bkl Mojarab, Masoud verfasserin aut Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau 2017 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated high performance in a real-time Global Test over the last two decades. An investigation of earthquake catalog covering the entire the Iranian plateau through 2012 has shown that a modification of the M8 algorithm, adjusted for a rather low level of earthquake occurrence reported in the region, is capable for targeting magnitude 7.5+ events. The occurrence of the April 16, 2013, M7.7 Saravan and the September 24, 2013, M7.7 Awaran earthquakes at the time of writing this paper (14 months before Saravan earthquake occurrence) confirmed the results of investigation and demonstrated the need for further studies in this region. Earlier tests, M8 application in all over the Iran, showed that the 2013 Saravan and Awaran earthquakes may precede a great earthquake with magnitude 8+ in Makran region. To verify this statement, the algorithm M8 was applied once again on an updated catalog to September 2013. The result indicated that although the study region recently experienced two magnitude 7.5+ earthquakes, it remains prone to a major earthquake. The present study confirms the applicability of M8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes in the Iranian plateau and establishes an opportunity for a routine monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the largest earthquakes that can play a significant role in mitigation of damages due to natural hazard. M8 algorithm (dpeaa)DE-He213 Seismic pattern recognition (dpeaa)DE-He213 Intermediate-term prediction (dpeaa)DE-He213 Iranian plateau (dpeaa)DE-He213 Major earthquake (dpeaa)DE-He213 Memarian, Hossein verfasserin aut Zare, Mehdi verfasserin aut Kossobokov, Vladimir verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of seismology Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V, 1997 21(2017), 4 vom: 09. März, Seite 921-940 (DE-627)271177985 (DE-600)1479210-2 1573-157X nnns volume:21 year:2017 number:4 day:09 month:03 pages:921-940 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.38 ASE AR 21 2017 4 09 03 921-940
allfieldsSound	10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 doi (DE-627)SPR014925869 (SPR)s10950-017-9644-6-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.38 bkl Mojarab, Masoud verfasserin aut Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau 2017 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated high performance in a real-time Global Test over the last two decades. An investigation of earthquake catalog covering the entire the Iranian plateau through 2012 has shown that a modification of the M8 algorithm, adjusted for a rather low level of earthquake occurrence reported in the region, is capable for targeting magnitude 7.5+ events. The occurrence of the April 16, 2013, M7.7 Saravan and the September 24, 2013, M7.7 Awaran earthquakes at the time of writing this paper (14 months before Saravan earthquake occurrence) confirmed the results of investigation and demonstrated the need for further studies in this region. Earlier tests, M8 application in all over the Iran, showed that the 2013 Saravan and Awaran earthquakes may precede a great earthquake with magnitude 8+ in Makran region. To verify this statement, the algorithm M8 was applied once again on an updated catalog to September 2013. The result indicated that although the study region recently experienced two magnitude 7.5+ earthquakes, it remains prone to a major earthquake. The present study confirms the applicability of M8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes in the Iranian plateau and establishes an opportunity for a routine monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the largest earthquakes that can play a significant role in mitigation of damages due to natural hazard. M8 algorithm (dpeaa)DE-He213 Seismic pattern recognition (dpeaa)DE-He213 Intermediate-term prediction (dpeaa)DE-He213 Iranian plateau (dpeaa)DE-He213 Major earthquake (dpeaa)DE-He213 Memarian, Hossein verfasserin aut Zare, Mehdi verfasserin aut Kossobokov, Vladimir verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of seismology Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V, 1997 21(2017), 4 vom: 09. März, Seite 921-940 (DE-627)271177985 (DE-600)1479210-2 1573-157X nnns volume:21 year:2017 number:4 day:09 month:03 pages:921-940 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.38 ASE AR 21 2017 4 09 03 921-940
language	English
source	Enthalten in Journal of seismology 21(2017), 4 vom: 09. März, Seite 921-940 volume:21 year:2017 number:4 day:09 month:03 pages:921-940
sourceStr	Enthalten in Journal of seismology 21(2017), 4 vom: 09. März, Seite 921-940 volume:21 year:2017 number:4 day:09 month:03 pages:921-940
format_phy_str_mv	Article
institution	findex.gbv.de
topic_facet	M8 algorithm Seismic pattern recognition Intermediate-term prediction Iranian plateau Major earthquake
dewey-raw	550
isfreeaccess_bool	false
container_title	Journal of seismology
authorswithroles_txt_mv	Mojarab, Masoud @@aut@@ Memarian, Hossein @@aut@@ Zare, Mehdi @@aut@@ Kossobokov, Vladimir @@aut@@
publishDateDaySort_date	2017-03-09T00:00:00Z
hierarchy_top_id	271177985
dewey-sort	3550
id	SPR014925869
language_de	englisch
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author	Mojarab, Masoud
spellingShingle	Mojarab, Masoud ddc 550 bkl 38.38 misc M8 algorithm misc Seismic pattern recognition misc Intermediate-term prediction misc Iranian plateau misc Major earthquake Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau
authorStr	Mojarab, Masoud
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topic_title	550 ASE 38.38 bkl Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau M8 algorithm (dpeaa)DE-He213 Seismic pattern recognition (dpeaa)DE-He213 Intermediate-term prediction (dpeaa)DE-He213 Iranian plateau (dpeaa)DE-He213 Major earthquake (dpeaa)DE-He213
topic	ddc 550 bkl 38.38 misc M8 algorithm misc Seismic pattern recognition misc Intermediate-term prediction misc Iranian plateau misc Major earthquake
topic_unstemmed	ddc 550 bkl 38.38 misc M8 algorithm misc Seismic pattern recognition misc Intermediate-term prediction misc Iranian plateau misc Major earthquake
topic_browse	ddc 550 bkl 38.38 misc M8 algorithm misc Seismic pattern recognition misc Intermediate-term prediction misc Iranian plateau misc Major earthquake
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title	Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau
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title_full	Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau
author_sort	Mojarab, Masoud
journal	Journal of seismology
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author_browse	Mojarab, Masoud Memarian, Hossein Zare, Mehdi Kossobokov, Vladimir
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class	550 ASE 38.38 bkl
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author-letter	Mojarab, Masoud
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author2-role	verfasserin
title_sort	adjusting the m8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the iranian plateau
title_auth	Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau
abstract	Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated high performance in a real-time Global Test over the last two decades. An investigation of earthquake catalog covering the entire the Iranian plateau through 2012 has shown that a modification of the M8 algorithm, adjusted for a rather low level of earthquake occurrence reported in the region, is capable for targeting magnitude 7.5+ events. The occurrence of the April 16, 2013, M7.7 Saravan and the September 24, 2013, M7.7 Awaran earthquakes at the time of writing this paper (14 months before Saravan earthquake occurrence) confirmed the results of investigation and demonstrated the need for further studies in this region. Earlier tests, M8 application in all over the Iran, showed that the 2013 Saravan and Awaran earthquakes may precede a great earthquake with magnitude 8+ in Makran region. To verify this statement, the algorithm M8 was applied once again on an updated catalog to September 2013. The result indicated that although the study region recently experienced two magnitude 7.5+ earthquakes, it remains prone to a major earthquake. The present study confirms the applicability of M8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes in the Iranian plateau and establishes an opportunity for a routine monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the largest earthquakes that can play a significant role in mitigation of damages due to natural hazard.
abstractGer	Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated high performance in a real-time Global Test over the last two decades. An investigation of earthquake catalog covering the entire the Iranian plateau through 2012 has shown that a modification of the M8 algorithm, adjusted for a rather low level of earthquake occurrence reported in the region, is capable for targeting magnitude 7.5+ events. The occurrence of the April 16, 2013, M7.7 Saravan and the September 24, 2013, M7.7 Awaran earthquakes at the time of writing this paper (14 months before Saravan earthquake occurrence) confirmed the results of investigation and demonstrated the need for further studies in this region. Earlier tests, M8 application in all over the Iran, showed that the 2013 Saravan and Awaran earthquakes may precede a great earthquake with magnitude 8+ in Makran region. To verify this statement, the algorithm M8 was applied once again on an updated catalog to September 2013. The result indicated that although the study region recently experienced two magnitude 7.5+ earthquakes, it remains prone to a major earthquake. The present study confirms the applicability of M8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes in the Iranian plateau and establishes an opportunity for a routine monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the largest earthquakes that can play a significant role in mitigation of damages due to natural hazard.
abstract_unstemmed	Abstract Earthquake prediction is one of the challenging problems of seismology. The present study intended to setup a routine prediction of major earthquakes in the Iranian plateau using a modification of the intermediate-term middle-range algorithm M8, in which original version has demonstrated high performance in a real-time Global Test over the last two decades. An investigation of earthquake catalog covering the entire the Iranian plateau through 2012 has shown that a modification of the M8 algorithm, adjusted for a rather low level of earthquake occurrence reported in the region, is capable for targeting magnitude 7.5+ events. The occurrence of the April 16, 2013, M7.7 Saravan and the September 24, 2013, M7.7 Awaran earthquakes at the time of writing this paper (14 months before Saravan earthquake occurrence) confirmed the results of investigation and demonstrated the need for further studies in this region. Earlier tests, M8 application in all over the Iran, showed that the 2013 Saravan and Awaran earthquakes may precede a great earthquake with magnitude 8+ in Makran region. To verify this statement, the algorithm M8 was applied once again on an updated catalog to September 2013. The result indicated that although the study region recently experienced two magnitude 7.5+ earthquakes, it remains prone to a major earthquake. The present study confirms the applicability of M8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes in the Iranian plateau and establishes an opportunity for a routine monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the largest earthquakes that can play a significant role in mitigation of damages due to natural hazard.
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container_issue	4
title_short	Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau
url	https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6
remote_bool	true
author2	Memarian, Hossein Zare, Mehdi Kossobokov, Vladimir
author2Str	Memarian, Hossein Zare, Mehdi Kossobokov, Vladimir
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doi_str	10.1007/s10950-017-9644-6
up_date	2024-07-04T03:29:44.544Z
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Adjusting the M8 algorithm to earthquake prediction in the Iranian plateau

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