Initial evaluations of a Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean ocean forecast system in the context of the Deepwater Horizon disaster
Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Zaron, Edward D. [verfasserIn] Fitzpatrick, Patrick J. [verfasserIn] Cross, Scott L. [verfasserIn] Harding, John M. [verfasserIn] Bub, Frank L. [verfasserIn] Wiggert, Jerry D. [verfasserIn] Ko, Dong S. [verfasserIn] Lau, Yee [verfasserIn] Woodard, Katharine [verfasserIn] Mooers, Christopher N. K. [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2015 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Frontiers of earth science in China - Beijing : Higher Education Press, 2007, 9(2015), 4 vom: 30. Jan., Seite 605-636 |
|---|---|
| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:9 ; year:2015 ; number:4 ; day:30 ; month:01 ; pages:605-636 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x |
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| Katalog-ID: |
SPR021964556 |
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| 520 | |a Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster provided a challenge to the application of available ocean-forecast capabilities, and also generated a historically large observational dataset. AMSEAS was evaluated by four complementary efforts, each with somewhat different aims and approaches: a university research consortium within an Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) testbed; a petroleum industry consortium, the Gulf of Mexico 3-D Operational Ocean Forecast System Pilot Prediction Project (GOMEX-PPP); a British Petroleum (BP) funded project at the Northern Gulf Institute in response to the oil spill; and the Navy itself. Validation metrics are presented in these different projects for water temperature and salinity profiles, sea surface wind, sea surface temperature, sea surface height, and volume transport, for different forecast time scales. The validation found certain geographic and time biases/errors, and small but systematic improvements relative to earlier regional and global modeling efforts. On the basis of these positive AMSEAS validation studies, an oil spill transport simulation was conducted using archived AMSEAS nowcasts to examine transport into the estuaries east of the Mississippi River. This effort captured the influences of Hurricane Alex and a non-tropical cyclone off the Louisiana coast, both of which pushed oil into the western Mississippi Sound, illustrating the importance of the atmospheric influence on oil spills such as DwH. | ||
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| 650 | 4 | |a skill assessment |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Fitzpatrick, Patrick J. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Cross, Scott L. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Harding, John M. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Wiggert, Jerry D. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Ko, Dong S. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Lau, Yee |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Woodard, Katharine |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Mooers, Christopher N. K. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x doi (DE-627)SPR021964556 (SPR)s11707-014-0508-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE Zaron, Edward D. verfasserin aut Initial evaluations of a Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean ocean forecast system in the context of the Deepwater Horizon disaster 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster provided a challenge to the application of available ocean-forecast capabilities, and also generated a historically large observational dataset. AMSEAS was evaluated by four complementary efforts, each with somewhat different aims and approaches: a university research consortium within an Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) testbed; a petroleum industry consortium, the Gulf of Mexico 3-D Operational Ocean Forecast System Pilot Prediction Project (GOMEX-PPP); a British Petroleum (BP) funded project at the Northern Gulf Institute in response to the oil spill; and the Navy itself. Validation metrics are presented in these different projects for water temperature and salinity profiles, sea surface wind, sea surface temperature, sea surface height, and volume transport, for different forecast time scales. The validation found certain geographic and time biases/errors, and small but systematic improvements relative to earlier regional and global modeling efforts. On the basis of these positive AMSEAS validation studies, an oil spill transport simulation was conducted using archived AMSEAS nowcasts to examine transport into the estuaries east of the Mississippi River. This effort captured the influences of Hurricane Alex and a non-tropical cyclone off the Louisiana coast, both of which pushed oil into the western Mississippi Sound, illustrating the importance of the atmospheric influence on oil spills such as DwH. Gulf of Mexico (dpeaa)DE-He213 Deepwater Horizon (dpeaa)DE-He213 ocean forecasting (dpeaa)DE-He213 skill assessment (dpeaa)DE-He213 Fitzpatrick, Patrick J. verfasserin aut Cross, Scott L. verfasserin aut Harding, John M. verfasserin aut Bub, Frank L. verfasserin aut Wiggert, Jerry D. verfasserin aut Ko, Dong S. verfasserin aut Lau, Yee verfasserin aut Woodard, Katharine verfasserin aut Mooers, Christopher N. K. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Frontiers of earth science in China Beijing : Higher Education Press, 2007 9(2015), 4 vom: 30. Jan., Seite 605-636 (DE-627)546007406 (DE-600)2389435-0 1673-7490 nnns volume:9 year:2015 number:4 day:30 month:01 pages:605-636 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 AR 9 2015 4 30 01 605-636 |
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10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x doi (DE-627)SPR021964556 (SPR)s11707-014-0508-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE Zaron, Edward D. verfasserin aut Initial evaluations of a Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean ocean forecast system in the context of the Deepwater Horizon disaster 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster provided a challenge to the application of available ocean-forecast capabilities, and also generated a historically large observational dataset. AMSEAS was evaluated by four complementary efforts, each with somewhat different aims and approaches: a university research consortium within an Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) testbed; a petroleum industry consortium, the Gulf of Mexico 3-D Operational Ocean Forecast System Pilot Prediction Project (GOMEX-PPP); a British Petroleum (BP) funded project at the Northern Gulf Institute in response to the oil spill; and the Navy itself. Validation metrics are presented in these different projects for water temperature and salinity profiles, sea surface wind, sea surface temperature, sea surface height, and volume transport, for different forecast time scales. The validation found certain geographic and time biases/errors, and small but systematic improvements relative to earlier regional and global modeling efforts. On the basis of these positive AMSEAS validation studies, an oil spill transport simulation was conducted using archived AMSEAS nowcasts to examine transport into the estuaries east of the Mississippi River. This effort captured the influences of Hurricane Alex and a non-tropical cyclone off the Louisiana coast, both of which pushed oil into the western Mississippi Sound, illustrating the importance of the atmospheric influence on oil spills such as DwH. Gulf of Mexico (dpeaa)DE-He213 Deepwater Horizon (dpeaa)DE-He213 ocean forecasting (dpeaa)DE-He213 skill assessment (dpeaa)DE-He213 Fitzpatrick, Patrick J. verfasserin aut Cross, Scott L. verfasserin aut Harding, John M. verfasserin aut Bub, Frank L. verfasserin aut Wiggert, Jerry D. verfasserin aut Ko, Dong S. verfasserin aut Lau, Yee verfasserin aut Woodard, Katharine verfasserin aut Mooers, Christopher N. K. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Frontiers of earth science in China Beijing : Higher Education Press, 2007 9(2015), 4 vom: 30. Jan., Seite 605-636 (DE-627)546007406 (DE-600)2389435-0 1673-7490 nnns volume:9 year:2015 number:4 day:30 month:01 pages:605-636 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 AR 9 2015 4 30 01 605-636 |
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10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x doi (DE-627)SPR021964556 (SPR)s11707-014-0508-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE Zaron, Edward D. verfasserin aut Initial evaluations of a Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean ocean forecast system in the context of the Deepwater Horizon disaster 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster provided a challenge to the application of available ocean-forecast capabilities, and also generated a historically large observational dataset. AMSEAS was evaluated by four complementary efforts, each with somewhat different aims and approaches: a university research consortium within an Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) testbed; a petroleum industry consortium, the Gulf of Mexico 3-D Operational Ocean Forecast System Pilot Prediction Project (GOMEX-PPP); a British Petroleum (BP) funded project at the Northern Gulf Institute in response to the oil spill; and the Navy itself. Validation metrics are presented in these different projects for water temperature and salinity profiles, sea surface wind, sea surface temperature, sea surface height, and volume transport, for different forecast time scales. The validation found certain geographic and time biases/errors, and small but systematic improvements relative to earlier regional and global modeling efforts. On the basis of these positive AMSEAS validation studies, an oil spill transport simulation was conducted using archived AMSEAS nowcasts to examine transport into the estuaries east of the Mississippi River. This effort captured the influences of Hurricane Alex and a non-tropical cyclone off the Louisiana coast, both of which pushed oil into the western Mississippi Sound, illustrating the importance of the atmospheric influence on oil spills such as DwH. Gulf of Mexico (dpeaa)DE-He213 Deepwater Horizon (dpeaa)DE-He213 ocean forecasting (dpeaa)DE-He213 skill assessment (dpeaa)DE-He213 Fitzpatrick, Patrick J. verfasserin aut Cross, Scott L. verfasserin aut Harding, John M. verfasserin aut Bub, Frank L. verfasserin aut Wiggert, Jerry D. verfasserin aut Ko, Dong S. verfasserin aut Lau, Yee verfasserin aut Woodard, Katharine verfasserin aut Mooers, Christopher N. K. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Frontiers of earth science in China Beijing : Higher Education Press, 2007 9(2015), 4 vom: 30. Jan., Seite 605-636 (DE-627)546007406 (DE-600)2389435-0 1673-7490 nnns volume:9 year:2015 number:4 day:30 month:01 pages:605-636 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 AR 9 2015 4 30 01 605-636 |
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10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x doi (DE-627)SPR021964556 (SPR)s11707-014-0508-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE Zaron, Edward D. verfasserin aut Initial evaluations of a Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean ocean forecast system in the context of the Deepwater Horizon disaster 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster provided a challenge to the application of available ocean-forecast capabilities, and also generated a historically large observational dataset. AMSEAS was evaluated by four complementary efforts, each with somewhat different aims and approaches: a university research consortium within an Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) testbed; a petroleum industry consortium, the Gulf of Mexico 3-D Operational Ocean Forecast System Pilot Prediction Project (GOMEX-PPP); a British Petroleum (BP) funded project at the Northern Gulf Institute in response to the oil spill; and the Navy itself. Validation metrics are presented in these different projects for water temperature and salinity profiles, sea surface wind, sea surface temperature, sea surface height, and volume transport, for different forecast time scales. The validation found certain geographic and time biases/errors, and small but systematic improvements relative to earlier regional and global modeling efforts. On the basis of these positive AMSEAS validation studies, an oil spill transport simulation was conducted using archived AMSEAS nowcasts to examine transport into the estuaries east of the Mississippi River. This effort captured the influences of Hurricane Alex and a non-tropical cyclone off the Louisiana coast, both of which pushed oil into the western Mississippi Sound, illustrating the importance of the atmospheric influence on oil spills such as DwH. Gulf of Mexico (dpeaa)DE-He213 Deepwater Horizon (dpeaa)DE-He213 ocean forecasting (dpeaa)DE-He213 skill assessment (dpeaa)DE-He213 Fitzpatrick, Patrick J. verfasserin aut Cross, Scott L. verfasserin aut Harding, John M. verfasserin aut Bub, Frank L. verfasserin aut Wiggert, Jerry D. verfasserin aut Ko, Dong S. verfasserin aut Lau, Yee verfasserin aut Woodard, Katharine verfasserin aut Mooers, Christopher N. K. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Frontiers of earth science in China Beijing : Higher Education Press, 2007 9(2015), 4 vom: 30. Jan., Seite 605-636 (DE-627)546007406 (DE-600)2389435-0 1673-7490 nnns volume:9 year:2015 number:4 day:30 month:01 pages:605-636 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 AR 9 2015 4 30 01 605-636 |
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10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x doi (DE-627)SPR021964556 (SPR)s11707-014-0508-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE Zaron, Edward D. verfasserin aut Initial evaluations of a Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean ocean forecast system in the context of the Deepwater Horizon disaster 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster provided a challenge to the application of available ocean-forecast capabilities, and also generated a historically large observational dataset. AMSEAS was evaluated by four complementary efforts, each with somewhat different aims and approaches: a university research consortium within an Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) testbed; a petroleum industry consortium, the Gulf of Mexico 3-D Operational Ocean Forecast System Pilot Prediction Project (GOMEX-PPP); a British Petroleum (BP) funded project at the Northern Gulf Institute in response to the oil spill; and the Navy itself. Validation metrics are presented in these different projects for water temperature and salinity profiles, sea surface wind, sea surface temperature, sea surface height, and volume transport, for different forecast time scales. The validation found certain geographic and time biases/errors, and small but systematic improvements relative to earlier regional and global modeling efforts. On the basis of these positive AMSEAS validation studies, an oil spill transport simulation was conducted using archived AMSEAS nowcasts to examine transport into the estuaries east of the Mississippi River. This effort captured the influences of Hurricane Alex and a non-tropical cyclone off the Louisiana coast, both of which pushed oil into the western Mississippi Sound, illustrating the importance of the atmospheric influence on oil spills such as DwH. Gulf of Mexico (dpeaa)DE-He213 Deepwater Horizon (dpeaa)DE-He213 ocean forecasting (dpeaa)DE-He213 skill assessment (dpeaa)DE-He213 Fitzpatrick, Patrick J. verfasserin aut Cross, Scott L. verfasserin aut Harding, John M. verfasserin aut Bub, Frank L. verfasserin aut Wiggert, Jerry D. verfasserin aut Ko, Dong S. verfasserin aut Lau, Yee verfasserin aut Woodard, Katharine verfasserin aut Mooers, Christopher N. K. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Frontiers of earth science in China Beijing : Higher Education Press, 2007 9(2015), 4 vom: 30. Jan., Seite 605-636 (DE-627)546007406 (DE-600)2389435-0 1673-7490 nnns volume:9 year:2015 number:4 day:30 month:01 pages:605-636 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11707-014-0508-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 AR 9 2015 4 30 01 605-636 |
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initial evaluations of a gulf of mexico/caribbean ocean forecast system in the context of the deepwater horizon disaster |
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Initial evaluations of a Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean ocean forecast system in the context of the Deepwater Horizon disaster |
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Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster provided a challenge to the application of available ocean-forecast capabilities, and also generated a historically large observational dataset. AMSEAS was evaluated by four complementary efforts, each with somewhat different aims and approaches: a university research consortium within an Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) testbed; a petroleum industry consortium, the Gulf of Mexico 3-D Operational Ocean Forecast System Pilot Prediction Project (GOMEX-PPP); a British Petroleum (BP) funded project at the Northern Gulf Institute in response to the oil spill; and the Navy itself. Validation metrics are presented in these different projects for water temperature and salinity profiles, sea surface wind, sea surface temperature, sea surface height, and volume transport, for different forecast time scales. The validation found certain geographic and time biases/errors, and small but systematic improvements relative to earlier regional and global modeling efforts. On the basis of these positive AMSEAS validation studies, an oil spill transport simulation was conducted using archived AMSEAS nowcasts to examine transport into the estuaries east of the Mississippi River. This effort captured the influences of Hurricane Alex and a non-tropical cyclone off the Louisiana coast, both of which pushed oil into the western Mississippi Sound, illustrating the importance of the atmospheric influence on oil spills such as DwH. |
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Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster provided a challenge to the application of available ocean-forecast capabilities, and also generated a historically large observational dataset. AMSEAS was evaluated by four complementary efforts, each with somewhat different aims and approaches: a university research consortium within an Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) testbed; a petroleum industry consortium, the Gulf of Mexico 3-D Operational Ocean Forecast System Pilot Prediction Project (GOMEX-PPP); a British Petroleum (BP) funded project at the Northern Gulf Institute in response to the oil spill; and the Navy itself. Validation metrics are presented in these different projects for water temperature and salinity profiles, sea surface wind, sea surface temperature, sea surface height, and volume transport, for different forecast time scales. The validation found certain geographic and time biases/errors, and small but systematic improvements relative to earlier regional and global modeling efforts. On the basis of these positive AMSEAS validation studies, an oil spill transport simulation was conducted using archived AMSEAS nowcasts to examine transport into the estuaries east of the Mississippi River. This effort captured the influences of Hurricane Alex and a non-tropical cyclone off the Louisiana coast, both of which pushed oil into the western Mississippi Sound, illustrating the importance of the atmospheric influence on oil spills such as DwH. |
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Abstract In response to the Deepwater Horizon (DwH) oil spill event in 2010, the Naval Oceanographic Office deployed a nowcast-forecast system covering the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent Caribbean Sea that was designated Americas Seas, or AMSEAS, which is documented in this manuscript. The DwH disaster provided a challenge to the application of available ocean-forecast capabilities, and also generated a historically large observational dataset. AMSEAS was evaluated by four complementary efforts, each with somewhat different aims and approaches: a university research consortium within an Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) testbed; a petroleum industry consortium, the Gulf of Mexico 3-D Operational Ocean Forecast System Pilot Prediction Project (GOMEX-PPP); a British Petroleum (BP) funded project at the Northern Gulf Institute in response to the oil spill; and the Navy itself. Validation metrics are presented in these different projects for water temperature and salinity profiles, sea surface wind, sea surface temperature, sea surface height, and volume transport, for different forecast time scales. The validation found certain geographic and time biases/errors, and small but systematic improvements relative to earlier regional and global modeling efforts. On the basis of these positive AMSEAS validation studies, an oil spill transport simulation was conducted using archived AMSEAS nowcasts to examine transport into the estuaries east of the Mississippi River. This effort captured the influences of Hurricane Alex and a non-tropical cyclone off the Louisiana coast, both of which pushed oil into the western Mississippi Sound, illustrating the importance of the atmospheric influence on oil spills such as DwH. |
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