Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China
Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Guo, Futao [verfasserIn] Wang, Guangyu [verfasserIn] Innes, John L. [verfasserIn] Ma, Zhihai [verfasserIn] Liu, Aiqin [verfasserIn] Lin, Yurui [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2015 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Journal of forestry research - Harbin : Univ., 1990, 27(2015), 2 vom: 27. Nov., Seite 379-388 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:27 ; year:2015 ; number:2 ; day:27 ; month:11 ; pages:379-388 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z |
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| Katalog-ID: |
SPR022201092 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China |
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| 520 | |a Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing’an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), Poisson hurdle (PH), and negative binomial hurdle (NBH) models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion (AIC), sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by (in order of smaller AIC) NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for predicting either zero counts or positive counts (≥1). The two Hurdle models (PH and NBH) were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning-induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Poisson |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Negative binomial (NB) |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Poisson hurdle (PH) |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Likelihood ratio test (LRT) |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Vuong test |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Wang, Guangyu |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Innes, John L. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Ma, Zhihai |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Liu, Aiqin |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Lin, Yurui |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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| 773 | 1 | 8 | |g volume:27 |g year:2015 |g number:2 |g day:27 |g month:11 |g pages:379-388 |
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10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z doi (DE-627)SPR022201092 (SPR)s11676-015-0176-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 630 640 ASE Guo, Futao verfasserin aut Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing’an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), Poisson hurdle (PH), and negative binomial hurdle (NBH) models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion (AIC), sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by (in order of smaller AIC) NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for predicting either zero counts or positive counts (≥1). The two Hurdle models (PH and NBH) were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning-induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros. Poisson (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial (NB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Poisson hurdle (PH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Likelihood ratio test (LRT) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Vuong test (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Guangyu verfasserin aut Innes, John L. verfasserin aut Ma, Zhihai verfasserin aut Liu, Aiqin verfasserin aut Lin, Yurui verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of forestry research Harbin : Univ., 1990 27(2015), 2 vom: 27. Nov., Seite 379-388 (DE-627)529093545 (DE-600)2299615-1 1993-0607 nnns volume:27 year:2015 number:2 day:27 month:11 pages:379-388 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-FOR SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2036 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2700 GBV_ILN_2817 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4392 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 AR 27 2015 2 27 11 379-388 |
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10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z doi (DE-627)SPR022201092 (SPR)s11676-015-0176-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 630 640 ASE Guo, Futao verfasserin aut Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing’an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), Poisson hurdle (PH), and negative binomial hurdle (NBH) models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion (AIC), sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by (in order of smaller AIC) NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for predicting either zero counts or positive counts (≥1). The two Hurdle models (PH and NBH) were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning-induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros. Poisson (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial (NB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Poisson hurdle (PH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Likelihood ratio test (LRT) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Vuong test (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Guangyu verfasserin aut Innes, John L. verfasserin aut Ma, Zhihai verfasserin aut Liu, Aiqin verfasserin aut Lin, Yurui verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of forestry research Harbin : Univ., 1990 27(2015), 2 vom: 27. Nov., Seite 379-388 (DE-627)529093545 (DE-600)2299615-1 1993-0607 nnns volume:27 year:2015 number:2 day:27 month:11 pages:379-388 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-FOR SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2036 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2700 GBV_ILN_2817 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4392 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 AR 27 2015 2 27 11 379-388 |
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10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z doi (DE-627)SPR022201092 (SPR)s11676-015-0176-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 630 640 ASE Guo, Futao verfasserin aut Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing’an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), Poisson hurdle (PH), and negative binomial hurdle (NBH) models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion (AIC), sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by (in order of smaller AIC) NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for predicting either zero counts or positive counts (≥1). The two Hurdle models (PH and NBH) were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning-induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros. Poisson (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial (NB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Poisson hurdle (PH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Likelihood ratio test (LRT) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Vuong test (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Guangyu verfasserin aut Innes, John L. verfasserin aut Ma, Zhihai verfasserin aut Liu, Aiqin verfasserin aut Lin, Yurui verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of forestry research Harbin : Univ., 1990 27(2015), 2 vom: 27. Nov., Seite 379-388 (DE-627)529093545 (DE-600)2299615-1 1993-0607 nnns volume:27 year:2015 number:2 day:27 month:11 pages:379-388 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-FOR SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2036 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2700 GBV_ILN_2817 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4392 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 AR 27 2015 2 27 11 379-388 |
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10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z doi (DE-627)SPR022201092 (SPR)s11676-015-0176-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 630 640 ASE Guo, Futao verfasserin aut Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing’an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), Poisson hurdle (PH), and negative binomial hurdle (NBH) models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion (AIC), sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by (in order of smaller AIC) NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for predicting either zero counts or positive counts (≥1). The two Hurdle models (PH and NBH) were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning-induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros. Poisson (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial (NB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Poisson hurdle (PH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Likelihood ratio test (LRT) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Vuong test (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Guangyu verfasserin aut Innes, John L. verfasserin aut Ma, Zhihai verfasserin aut Liu, Aiqin verfasserin aut Lin, Yurui verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of forestry research Harbin : Univ., 1990 27(2015), 2 vom: 27. Nov., Seite 379-388 (DE-627)529093545 (DE-600)2299615-1 1993-0607 nnns volume:27 year:2015 number:2 day:27 month:11 pages:379-388 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-FOR SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2036 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2700 GBV_ILN_2817 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4392 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 AR 27 2015 2 27 11 379-388 |
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10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z doi (DE-627)SPR022201092 (SPR)s11676-015-0176-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 630 640 ASE Guo, Futao verfasserin aut Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China 2015 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing’an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), Poisson hurdle (PH), and negative binomial hurdle (NBH) models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion (AIC), sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by (in order of smaller AIC) NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for predicting either zero counts or positive counts (≥1). The two Hurdle models (PH and NBH) were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning-induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros. Poisson (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial (NB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Poisson hurdle (PH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Likelihood ratio test (LRT) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Vuong test (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Guangyu verfasserin aut Innes, John L. verfasserin aut Ma, Zhihai verfasserin aut Liu, Aiqin verfasserin aut Lin, Yurui verfasserin aut Enthalten in Journal of forestry research Harbin : Univ., 1990 27(2015), 2 vom: 27. Nov., Seite 379-388 (DE-627)529093545 (DE-600)2299615-1 1993-0607 nnns volume:27 year:2015 number:2 day:27 month:11 pages:379-388 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-FOR SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_121 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_374 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_647 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2018 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2036 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2070 GBV_ILN_2086 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2116 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_2700 GBV_ILN_2817 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4277 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4346 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4392 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 GBV_ILN_4753 AR 27 2015 2 27 11 379-388 |
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Enthalten in Journal of forestry research 27(2015), 2 vom: 27. Nov., Seite 379-388 volume:27 year:2015 number:2 day:27 month:11 pages:379-388 |
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Poisson Negative binomial (NB) Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) Poisson hurdle (PH) Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) Likelihood ratio test (LRT) Vuong test |
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Guo, Futao @@aut@@ Wang, Guangyu @@aut@@ Innes, John L. @@aut@@ Ma, Zhihai @@aut@@ Liu, Aiqin @@aut@@ Lin, Yurui @@aut@@ |
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|
| author |
Guo, Futao |
| spellingShingle |
Guo, Futao ddc 630 misc Poisson misc Negative binomial (NB) misc Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) misc Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) misc Poisson hurdle (PH) misc Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) misc Likelihood ratio test (LRT) misc Vuong test Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China |
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Guo, Futao |
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electronic Article |
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630 - Agriculture & related technologies 640 - Home & family management |
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1993-0607 |
| topic_title |
630 640 ASE Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China Poisson (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial (NB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Poisson hurdle (PH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Likelihood ratio test (LRT) (dpeaa)DE-He213 Vuong test (dpeaa)DE-He213 |
| topic |
ddc 630 misc Poisson misc Negative binomial (NB) misc Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) misc Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) misc Poisson hurdle (PH) misc Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) misc Likelihood ratio test (LRT) misc Vuong test |
| topic_unstemmed |
ddc 630 misc Poisson misc Negative binomial (NB) misc Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) misc Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) misc Poisson hurdle (PH) misc Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) misc Likelihood ratio test (LRT) misc Vuong test |
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ddc 630 misc Poisson misc Negative binomial (NB) misc Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) misc Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) misc Poisson hurdle (PH) misc Negative binomial hurdle (NBH) misc Likelihood ratio test (LRT) misc Vuong test |
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Elektronische Aufsätze Aufsätze Elektronische Ressource |
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Journal of forestry research |
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529093545 |
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630 - Agriculture 640 - Home & family management |
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Journal of forestry research |
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| title |
Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China |
| ctrlnum |
(DE-627)SPR022201092 (SPR)s11676-015-0176-z-e |
| title_full |
Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China |
| author_sort |
Guo, Futao |
| journal |
Journal of forestry research |
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Journal of forestry research |
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eng |
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600 - Technology |
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2015 |
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txt |
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379 |
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Guo, Futao Wang, Guangyu Innes, John L. Ma, Zhihai Liu, Aiqin Lin, Yurui |
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27 |
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630 640 ASE |
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Elektronische Aufsätze |
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Guo, Futao |
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10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z |
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630 640 |
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verfasserin |
| title_sort |
comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern daxing’an mountains, china |
| title_auth |
Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China |
| abstract |
Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing’an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), Poisson hurdle (PH), and negative binomial hurdle (NBH) models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion (AIC), sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by (in order of smaller AIC) NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for predicting either zero counts or positive counts (≥1). The two Hurdle models (PH and NBH) were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning-induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros. |
| abstractGer |
Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing’an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), Poisson hurdle (PH), and negative binomial hurdle (NBH) models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion (AIC), sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by (in order of smaller AIC) NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for predicting either zero counts or positive counts (≥1). The two Hurdle models (PH and NBH) were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning-induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros. |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract The occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires during a time period is count data featuring over-dispersion (i.e., variance is larger than mean) and a high frequency of zero counts. In this study, we used six generalized linear models to examine the relationship between the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires and meteorological factors in the Northern Daxing’an Mountains of China. The six models included Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), Poisson hurdle (PH), and negative binomial hurdle (NBH) models. Goodness-of-fit was compared and tested among the six models using Akaike information criterion (AIC), sum of squared errors, likelihood ratio test, and Vuong test. The predictive performance of the models was assessed and compared using independent validation data by the data-splitting method. Based on the model AIC, the ZINB model best fitted the fire occurrence data, followed by (in order of smaller AIC) NBH, ZIP, NB, PH, and Poisson models. The ZINB model was also best for predicting either zero counts or positive counts (≥1). The two Hurdle models (PH and NBH) were better than ZIP, Poisson, and NB models for predicting positive counts, but worse than these three models for predicting zero counts. Thus, the ZINB model was the first choice for modeling the occurrence of lightning-induced forest fires in this study, which implied that the excessive zero counts of lightning-induced fires came from both structure and sampling zeros. |
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2 |
| title_short |
Comparison of six generalized linear models for occurrence of lightning-induced fires in northern Daxing’an Mountains, China |
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https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z |
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Wang, Guangyu Innes, John L. Ma, Zhihai Liu, Aiqin Lin, Yurui |
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Wang, Guangyu Innes, John L. Ma, Zhihai Liu, Aiqin Lin, Yurui |
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529093545 |
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| doi_str |
10.1007/s11676-015-0176-z |
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2024-07-04T02:14:06.710Z |
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| score |
7.401248 |