Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model

Abstract The SLEUTH urban growth model was used to simulate future urban growth patterns and to explore potential environmental impacts of urban development under different conditions of development in Shenyang City, China. The SLEUTH model was calibrated with historical data (1988–2004) extracted f...
Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:

Autor*in:	Wu, Xiaoqing [verfasserIn] Hu, Yuanman He, Hongshi Xi, Fengming Bu, Rencang

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2010

Schlagwörter:	SLEUTH urban growth scenarios landscape pattern Shenyang City

Anmerkung:	© Wuhan University and Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2010

Übergeordnetes Werk:	Enthalten in: Geo-spatial information science - Wuhan : Wuhan Univ. Journals Press, 1998, 13(2010), 1 vom: 01. März, Seite 32-39
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:13 ; year:2010 ; number:1 ; day:01 ; month:03 ; pages:32-39

Links:	Volltext

DOI / URN:	10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7

Katalog-ID:	SPR022481028

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allfields	10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 doi (DE-627)SPR022481028 (SPR)s11806-010-0155-7-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Xiaoqing verfasserin aut Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model 2010 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Wuhan University and Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2010 Abstract The SLEUTH urban growth model was used to simulate future urban growth patterns and to explore potential environmental impacts of urban development under different conditions of development in Shenyang City, China. The SLEUTH model was calibrated with historical data (1988–2004) extracted from a time series of TM satellite images, and the future growth was projected out to 2030 assuming three different policy scenarios: (1) current trends scenario (Scenario CT), (2) regional policy and urban planning scenario (Scenario PP), and (3) environmental protection scenario (Scenario EP). Scenario analysis showed that urban growth would accelerate under all policy scenarios with significant differences in development pattern and sustainability after 2016. Urban development under Scenario CT would lead to substantial loss of resource lands than that under the other two scenarios, and the urban landscape pattern would be increasingly complex and dispersed. In contrast, urban growth under scenario PP and EP would consume less natural resource land and show a relatively compact urban development pattern during the prediction period. This study suggested that it is crucial to take stringent urban planning and management measures to control future urban growth and to protect primary farmland and the support system of urban ecology in Shenyang City. The SLEUTH model is a useful planning tool to guide sustainable utilization of urban land resources to a certain extent. SLEUTH (dpeaa)DE-He213 urban growth (dpeaa)DE-He213 scenarios (dpeaa)DE-He213 landscape pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Shenyang City (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hu, Yuanman aut He, Hongshi aut Xi, Fengming aut Bu, Rencang aut Enthalten in Geo-spatial information science Wuhan : Wuhan Univ. Journals Press, 1998 13(2010), 1 vom: 01. März, Seite 32-39 (DE-627)546503136 (DE-600)2390723-X 1993-5153 nnns volume:13 year:2010 number:1 day:01 month:03 pages:32-39 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 13 2010 1 01 03 32-39
spelling	10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 doi (DE-627)SPR022481028 (SPR)s11806-010-0155-7-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Xiaoqing verfasserin aut Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model 2010 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Wuhan University and Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2010 Abstract The SLEUTH urban growth model was used to simulate future urban growth patterns and to explore potential environmental impacts of urban development under different conditions of development in Shenyang City, China. The SLEUTH model was calibrated with historical data (1988–2004) extracted from a time series of TM satellite images, and the future growth was projected out to 2030 assuming three different policy scenarios: (1) current trends scenario (Scenario CT), (2) regional policy and urban planning scenario (Scenario PP), and (3) environmental protection scenario (Scenario EP). Scenario analysis showed that urban growth would accelerate under all policy scenarios with significant differences in development pattern and sustainability after 2016. Urban development under Scenario CT would lead to substantial loss of resource lands than that under the other two scenarios, and the urban landscape pattern would be increasingly complex and dispersed. In contrast, urban growth under scenario PP and EP would consume less natural resource land and show a relatively compact urban development pattern during the prediction period. This study suggested that it is crucial to take stringent urban planning and management measures to control future urban growth and to protect primary farmland and the support system of urban ecology in Shenyang City. The SLEUTH model is a useful planning tool to guide sustainable utilization of urban land resources to a certain extent. SLEUTH (dpeaa)DE-He213 urban growth (dpeaa)DE-He213 scenarios (dpeaa)DE-He213 landscape pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Shenyang City (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hu, Yuanman aut He, Hongshi aut Xi, Fengming aut Bu, Rencang aut Enthalten in Geo-spatial information science Wuhan : Wuhan Univ. Journals Press, 1998 13(2010), 1 vom: 01. März, Seite 32-39 (DE-627)546503136 (DE-600)2390723-X 1993-5153 nnns volume:13 year:2010 number:1 day:01 month:03 pages:32-39 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 13 2010 1 01 03 32-39
allfields_unstemmed	10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 doi (DE-627)SPR022481028 (SPR)s11806-010-0155-7-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Xiaoqing verfasserin aut Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model 2010 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Wuhan University and Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2010 Abstract The SLEUTH urban growth model was used to simulate future urban growth patterns and to explore potential environmental impacts of urban development under different conditions of development in Shenyang City, China. The SLEUTH model was calibrated with historical data (1988–2004) extracted from a time series of TM satellite images, and the future growth was projected out to 2030 assuming three different policy scenarios: (1) current trends scenario (Scenario CT), (2) regional policy and urban planning scenario (Scenario PP), and (3) environmental protection scenario (Scenario EP). Scenario analysis showed that urban growth would accelerate under all policy scenarios with significant differences in development pattern and sustainability after 2016. Urban development under Scenario CT would lead to substantial loss of resource lands than that under the other two scenarios, and the urban landscape pattern would be increasingly complex and dispersed. In contrast, urban growth under scenario PP and EP would consume less natural resource land and show a relatively compact urban development pattern during the prediction period. This study suggested that it is crucial to take stringent urban planning and management measures to control future urban growth and to protect primary farmland and the support system of urban ecology in Shenyang City. The SLEUTH model is a useful planning tool to guide sustainable utilization of urban land resources to a certain extent. SLEUTH (dpeaa)DE-He213 urban growth (dpeaa)DE-He213 scenarios (dpeaa)DE-He213 landscape pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Shenyang City (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hu, Yuanman aut He, Hongshi aut Xi, Fengming aut Bu, Rencang aut Enthalten in Geo-spatial information science Wuhan : Wuhan Univ. Journals Press, 1998 13(2010), 1 vom: 01. März, Seite 32-39 (DE-627)546503136 (DE-600)2390723-X 1993-5153 nnns volume:13 year:2010 number:1 day:01 month:03 pages:32-39 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 13 2010 1 01 03 32-39
allfieldsGer	10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 doi (DE-627)SPR022481028 (SPR)s11806-010-0155-7-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Xiaoqing verfasserin aut Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model 2010 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Wuhan University and Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2010 Abstract The SLEUTH urban growth model was used to simulate future urban growth patterns and to explore potential environmental impacts of urban development under different conditions of development in Shenyang City, China. The SLEUTH model was calibrated with historical data (1988–2004) extracted from a time series of TM satellite images, and the future growth was projected out to 2030 assuming three different policy scenarios: (1) current trends scenario (Scenario CT), (2) regional policy and urban planning scenario (Scenario PP), and (3) environmental protection scenario (Scenario EP). Scenario analysis showed that urban growth would accelerate under all policy scenarios with significant differences in development pattern and sustainability after 2016. Urban development under Scenario CT would lead to substantial loss of resource lands than that under the other two scenarios, and the urban landscape pattern would be increasingly complex and dispersed. In contrast, urban growth under scenario PP and EP would consume less natural resource land and show a relatively compact urban development pattern during the prediction period. This study suggested that it is crucial to take stringent urban planning and management measures to control future urban growth and to protect primary farmland and the support system of urban ecology in Shenyang City. The SLEUTH model is a useful planning tool to guide sustainable utilization of urban land resources to a certain extent. SLEUTH (dpeaa)DE-He213 urban growth (dpeaa)DE-He213 scenarios (dpeaa)DE-He213 landscape pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Shenyang City (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hu, Yuanman aut He, Hongshi aut Xi, Fengming aut Bu, Rencang aut Enthalten in Geo-spatial information science Wuhan : Wuhan Univ. Journals Press, 1998 13(2010), 1 vom: 01. März, Seite 32-39 (DE-627)546503136 (DE-600)2390723-X 1993-5153 nnns volume:13 year:2010 number:1 day:01 month:03 pages:32-39 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 13 2010 1 01 03 32-39
allfieldsSound	10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 doi (DE-627)SPR022481028 (SPR)s11806-010-0155-7-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Xiaoqing verfasserin aut Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model 2010 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Wuhan University and Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2010 Abstract The SLEUTH urban growth model was used to simulate future urban growth patterns and to explore potential environmental impacts of urban development under different conditions of development in Shenyang City, China. The SLEUTH model was calibrated with historical data (1988–2004) extracted from a time series of TM satellite images, and the future growth was projected out to 2030 assuming three different policy scenarios: (1) current trends scenario (Scenario CT), (2) regional policy and urban planning scenario (Scenario PP), and (3) environmental protection scenario (Scenario EP). Scenario analysis showed that urban growth would accelerate under all policy scenarios with significant differences in development pattern and sustainability after 2016. Urban development under Scenario CT would lead to substantial loss of resource lands than that under the other two scenarios, and the urban landscape pattern would be increasingly complex and dispersed. In contrast, urban growth under scenario PP and EP would consume less natural resource land and show a relatively compact urban development pattern during the prediction period. This study suggested that it is crucial to take stringent urban planning and management measures to control future urban growth and to protect primary farmland and the support system of urban ecology in Shenyang City. The SLEUTH model is a useful planning tool to guide sustainable utilization of urban land resources to a certain extent. SLEUTH (dpeaa)DE-He213 urban growth (dpeaa)DE-He213 scenarios (dpeaa)DE-He213 landscape pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Shenyang City (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hu, Yuanman aut He, Hongshi aut Xi, Fengming aut Bu, Rencang aut Enthalten in Geo-spatial information science Wuhan : Wuhan Univ. Journals Press, 1998 13(2010), 1 vom: 01. März, Seite 32-39 (DE-627)546503136 (DE-600)2390723-X 1993-5153 nnns volume:13 year:2010 number:1 day:01 month:03 pages:32-39 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 13 2010 1 01 03 32-39
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author	Wu, Xiaoqing
spellingShingle	Wu, Xiaoqing misc SLEUTH misc urban growth misc scenarios misc landscape pattern misc Shenyang City Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model
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topic_title	Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model SLEUTH (dpeaa)DE-He213 urban growth (dpeaa)DE-He213 scenarios (dpeaa)DE-He213 landscape pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Shenyang City (dpeaa)DE-He213
topic	misc SLEUTH misc urban growth misc scenarios misc landscape pattern misc Shenyang City
topic_unstemmed	misc SLEUTH misc urban growth misc scenarios misc landscape pattern misc Shenyang City
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title	Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model
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title_full	Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model
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author_browse	Wu, Xiaoqing Hu, Yuanman He, Hongshi Xi, Fengming Bu, Rencang
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title_sort	study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in shenyang city based on sleuth model
title_auth	Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model
abstract	Abstract The SLEUTH urban growth model was used to simulate future urban growth patterns and to explore potential environmental impacts of urban development under different conditions of development in Shenyang City, China. The SLEUTH model was calibrated with historical data (1988–2004) extracted from a time series of TM satellite images, and the future growth was projected out to 2030 assuming three different policy scenarios: (1) current trends scenario (Scenario CT), (2) regional policy and urban planning scenario (Scenario PP), and (3) environmental protection scenario (Scenario EP). Scenario analysis showed that urban growth would accelerate under all policy scenarios with significant differences in development pattern and sustainability after 2016. Urban development under Scenario CT would lead to substantial loss of resource lands than that under the other two scenarios, and the urban landscape pattern would be increasingly complex and dispersed. In contrast, urban growth under scenario PP and EP would consume less natural resource land and show a relatively compact urban development pattern during the prediction period. This study suggested that it is crucial to take stringent urban planning and management measures to control future urban growth and to protect primary farmland and the support system of urban ecology in Shenyang City. The SLEUTH model is a useful planning tool to guide sustainable utilization of urban land resources to a certain extent. © Wuhan University and Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2010
abstractGer	Abstract The SLEUTH urban growth model was used to simulate future urban growth patterns and to explore potential environmental impacts of urban development under different conditions of development in Shenyang City, China. The SLEUTH model was calibrated with historical data (1988–2004) extracted from a time series of TM satellite images, and the future growth was projected out to 2030 assuming three different policy scenarios: (1) current trends scenario (Scenario CT), (2) regional policy and urban planning scenario (Scenario PP), and (3) environmental protection scenario (Scenario EP). Scenario analysis showed that urban growth would accelerate under all policy scenarios with significant differences in development pattern and sustainability after 2016. Urban development under Scenario CT would lead to substantial loss of resource lands than that under the other two scenarios, and the urban landscape pattern would be increasingly complex and dispersed. In contrast, urban growth under scenario PP and EP would consume less natural resource land and show a relatively compact urban development pattern during the prediction period. This study suggested that it is crucial to take stringent urban planning and management measures to control future urban growth and to protect primary farmland and the support system of urban ecology in Shenyang City. The SLEUTH model is a useful planning tool to guide sustainable utilization of urban land resources to a certain extent. © Wuhan University and Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2010
abstract_unstemmed	Abstract The SLEUTH urban growth model was used to simulate future urban growth patterns and to explore potential environmental impacts of urban development under different conditions of development in Shenyang City, China. The SLEUTH model was calibrated with historical data (1988–2004) extracted from a time series of TM satellite images, and the future growth was projected out to 2030 assuming three different policy scenarios: (1) current trends scenario (Scenario CT), (2) regional policy and urban planning scenario (Scenario PP), and (3) environmental protection scenario (Scenario EP). Scenario analysis showed that urban growth would accelerate under all policy scenarios with significant differences in development pattern and sustainability after 2016. Urban development under Scenario CT would lead to substantial loss of resource lands than that under the other two scenarios, and the urban landscape pattern would be increasingly complex and dispersed. In contrast, urban growth under scenario PP and EP would consume less natural resource land and show a relatively compact urban development pattern during the prediction period. This study suggested that it is crucial to take stringent urban planning and management measures to control future urban growth and to protect primary farmland and the support system of urban ecology in Shenyang City. The SLEUTH model is a useful planning tool to guide sustainable utilization of urban land resources to a certain extent. © Wuhan University and Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2010
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title_short	Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model
url	https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11806-010-0155-7
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Study on forecast scenarios for simulation of future urban growth in Shenyang City based on SLEUTH model

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