Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil

Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called...
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Autor*in:	Martins, Amanda Larissa Alves [verfasserIn] Liska, Gilberto Rodrigues [verfasserIn] Beijo, Luiz Alberto [verfasserIn] Menezes, Fortunato Silva de [verfasserIn] Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo [verfasserIn]

Format:	E-Artikel
Sprache:	Englisch

Erschienen:	2020

Schlagwörter:	Extreme value theory Probability distribution Rain amount Inundation Environmental concern

Übergeordnetes Werk:	Enthalten in: SN applied sciences - [Cham] : Springer International Publishing, 2019, 2(2020), 9 vom: 05. Aug.
Übergeordnetes Werk:	volume:2 ; year:2020 ; number:9 ; day:05 ; month:08

Links:	Volltext

DOI / URN:	10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8

Katalog-ID:	SPR040559629

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520			\|a Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called extreme event; moreover, statistical methodologies based on the mean occurrence of these events are inadequate to analyze these extreme events. The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. However, in January, March, April, and August the, Exponential Distribution is more appropriate, and in the other months, we can use either one.
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700	1		\|a Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
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author_variant	a l a m ala alam g r l gr grl l a b la lab f s d m fsd fsdm m â c mâ mâc
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publishDate	2020
allfields	10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 doi (DE-627)SPR040559629 (DE-599)SPRs42452-020-03199-8-e (SPR)s42452-020-03199-8-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 500 ASE 500 ASE 50.00 bkl 35.00 bkl 33.00 bkl Martins, Amanda Larissa Alves verfasserin aut Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called extreme event; moreover, statistical methodologies based on the mean occurrence of these events are inadequate to analyze these extreme events. The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. However, in January, March, April, and August the, Exponential Distribution is more appropriate, and in the other months, we can use either one. Extreme value theory (dpeaa)DE-He213 Probability distribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rain amount (dpeaa)DE-He213 Inundation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Environmental concern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Liska, Gilberto Rodrigues verfasserin aut Beijo, Luiz Alberto verfasserin aut Menezes, Fortunato Silva de verfasserin aut Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo verfasserin aut Enthalten in SN applied sciences [Cham] : Springer International Publishing, 2019 2(2020), 9 vom: 05. Aug. (DE-627)103761139X (DE-600)2947292-1 2523-3971 nnns volume:2 year:2020 number:9 day:05 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 50.00 ASE 35.00 ASE 33.00 ASE AR 2 2020 9 05 08
spelling	10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 doi (DE-627)SPR040559629 (DE-599)SPRs42452-020-03199-8-e (SPR)s42452-020-03199-8-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 500 ASE 500 ASE 50.00 bkl 35.00 bkl 33.00 bkl Martins, Amanda Larissa Alves verfasserin aut Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called extreme event; moreover, statistical methodologies based on the mean occurrence of these events are inadequate to analyze these extreme events. The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. However, in January, March, April, and August the, Exponential Distribution is more appropriate, and in the other months, we can use either one. Extreme value theory (dpeaa)DE-He213 Probability distribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rain amount (dpeaa)DE-He213 Inundation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Environmental concern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Liska, Gilberto Rodrigues verfasserin aut Beijo, Luiz Alberto verfasserin aut Menezes, Fortunato Silva de verfasserin aut Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo verfasserin aut Enthalten in SN applied sciences [Cham] : Springer International Publishing, 2019 2(2020), 9 vom: 05. Aug. (DE-627)103761139X (DE-600)2947292-1 2523-3971 nnns volume:2 year:2020 number:9 day:05 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 50.00 ASE 35.00 ASE 33.00 ASE AR 2 2020 9 05 08
allfields_unstemmed	10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 doi (DE-627)SPR040559629 (DE-599)SPRs42452-020-03199-8-e (SPR)s42452-020-03199-8-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 500 ASE 500 ASE 50.00 bkl 35.00 bkl 33.00 bkl Martins, Amanda Larissa Alves verfasserin aut Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called extreme event; moreover, statistical methodologies based on the mean occurrence of these events are inadequate to analyze these extreme events. The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. However, in January, March, April, and August the, Exponential Distribution is more appropriate, and in the other months, we can use either one. Extreme value theory (dpeaa)DE-He213 Probability distribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rain amount (dpeaa)DE-He213 Inundation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Environmental concern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Liska, Gilberto Rodrigues verfasserin aut Beijo, Luiz Alberto verfasserin aut Menezes, Fortunato Silva de verfasserin aut Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo verfasserin aut Enthalten in SN applied sciences [Cham] : Springer International Publishing, 2019 2(2020), 9 vom: 05. Aug. (DE-627)103761139X (DE-600)2947292-1 2523-3971 nnns volume:2 year:2020 number:9 day:05 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 50.00 ASE 35.00 ASE 33.00 ASE AR 2 2020 9 05 08
allfieldsGer	10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 doi (DE-627)SPR040559629 (DE-599)SPRs42452-020-03199-8-e (SPR)s42452-020-03199-8-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 500 ASE 500 ASE 50.00 bkl 35.00 bkl 33.00 bkl Martins, Amanda Larissa Alves verfasserin aut Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called extreme event; moreover, statistical methodologies based on the mean occurrence of these events are inadequate to analyze these extreme events. The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. However, in January, March, April, and August the, Exponential Distribution is more appropriate, and in the other months, we can use either one. Extreme value theory (dpeaa)DE-He213 Probability distribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rain amount (dpeaa)DE-He213 Inundation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Environmental concern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Liska, Gilberto Rodrigues verfasserin aut Beijo, Luiz Alberto verfasserin aut Menezes, Fortunato Silva de verfasserin aut Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo verfasserin aut Enthalten in SN applied sciences [Cham] : Springer International Publishing, 2019 2(2020), 9 vom: 05. Aug. (DE-627)103761139X (DE-600)2947292-1 2523-3971 nnns volume:2 year:2020 number:9 day:05 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 50.00 ASE 35.00 ASE 33.00 ASE AR 2 2020 9 05 08
allfieldsSound	10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 doi (DE-627)SPR040559629 (DE-599)SPRs42452-020-03199-8-e (SPR)s42452-020-03199-8-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 500 ASE 500 ASE 50.00 bkl 35.00 bkl 33.00 bkl Martins, Amanda Larissa Alves verfasserin aut Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called extreme event; moreover, statistical methodologies based on the mean occurrence of these events are inadequate to analyze these extreme events. The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. However, in January, March, April, and August the, Exponential Distribution is more appropriate, and in the other months, we can use either one. Extreme value theory (dpeaa)DE-He213 Probability distribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rain amount (dpeaa)DE-He213 Inundation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Environmental concern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Liska, Gilberto Rodrigues verfasserin aut Beijo, Luiz Alberto verfasserin aut Menezes, Fortunato Silva de verfasserin aut Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo verfasserin aut Enthalten in SN applied sciences [Cham] : Springer International Publishing, 2019 2(2020), 9 vom: 05. Aug. (DE-627)103761139X (DE-600)2947292-1 2523-3971 nnns volume:2 year:2020 number:9 day:05 month:08 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 50.00 ASE 35.00 ASE 33.00 ASE AR 2 2020 9 05 08
language	English
source	Enthalten in SN applied sciences 2(2020), 9 vom: 05. Aug. volume:2 year:2020 number:9 day:05 month:08
sourceStr	Enthalten in SN applied sciences 2(2020), 9 vom: 05. Aug. volume:2 year:2020 number:9 day:05 month:08
format_phy_str_mv	Article
institution	findex.gbv.de
topic_facet	Extreme value theory Probability distribution Rain amount Inundation Environmental concern
dewey-raw	500
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container_title	SN applied sciences
authorswithroles_txt_mv	Martins, Amanda Larissa Alves @@aut@@ Liska, Gilberto Rodrigues @@aut@@ Beijo, Luiz Alberto @@aut@@ Menezes, Fortunato Silva de @@aut@@ Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo @@aut@@
publishDateDaySort_date	2020-08-05T00:00:00Z
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language_de	englisch
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The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. 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author	Martins, Amanda Larissa Alves
spellingShingle	Martins, Amanda Larissa Alves ddc 500 bkl 50.00 bkl 35.00 bkl 33.00 misc Extreme value theory misc Probability distribution misc Rain amount misc Inundation misc Environmental concern Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil
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topic_title	500 ASE 50.00 bkl 35.00 bkl 33.00 bkl Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil Extreme value theory (dpeaa)DE-He213 Probability distribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rain amount (dpeaa)DE-He213 Inundation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Environmental concern (dpeaa)DE-He213
topic	ddc 500 bkl 50.00 bkl 35.00 bkl 33.00 misc Extreme value theory misc Probability distribution misc Rain amount misc Inundation misc Environmental concern
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title	Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil
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title_full	Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil
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title_sort	generalized pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in uruguaiana, rs, brazil
title_auth	Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil
abstract	Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called extreme event; moreover, statistical methodologies based on the mean occurrence of these events are inadequate to analyze these extreme events. The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. However, in January, March, April, and August the, Exponential Distribution is more appropriate, and in the other months, we can use either one.
abstractGer	Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called extreme event; moreover, statistical methodologies based on the mean occurrence of these events are inadequate to analyze these extreme events. The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. However, in January, March, April, and August the, Exponential Distribution is more appropriate, and in the other months, we can use either one.
abstract_unstemmed	Abstract The rainfall monitoring allows us to understand the hydrological cycle that not only influences the ecological and environmental dynamics, but also affects the economic and social activities.These sectors are greatly affected when rainfall occurs in amounts greater than the average, called extreme event; moreover, statistical methodologies based on the mean occurrence of these events are inadequate to analyze these extreme events. The Extreme Values Theory provides adequate theoretical models for this type of event; therefore, the Generalized Pareto Distribution (Henceforth GPD) is used to analyze the extreme events that exceed a threshold. The present work has applied both the GPD and its nested version, the Exponential Distribution, in monthly rainfall data from the city of Uruguaiana, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil, which calculates the return levels and probabilities for some events of practical interest. To support the results, the goodness of fit criteria is used, and a Monte Carlo simulation procedure is proposed to detect the true probability distribution in each month analyzed. The results show that the GPD and Exponential Distribution fits to the data in all months. Through the simulation study, we perceive that the GPD is more suitable in the months of September and November. However, in January, March, April, and August the, Exponential Distribution is more appropriate, and in the other months, we can use either one.
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container_issue	9
title_short	Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil
url	https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8
remote_bool	true
author2	Liska, Gilberto Rodrigues Beijo, Luiz Alberto Menezes, Fortunato Silva de Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo
author2Str	Liska, Gilberto Rodrigues Beijo, Luiz Alberto Menezes, Fortunato Silva de Cirillo, Marcelo Ângelo
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hochschulschrift_bool	false
doi_str	10.1007/s42452-020-03199-8
up_date	2024-07-03T16:47:25.361Z
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score	7.3999653

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Generalized Pareto distribution applied to the analysis of maximum rainfall events in Uruguaiana, RS, Brazil

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