Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus
Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., mo...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Zhao, Kai [verfasserIn] Zhao, Haikun [verfasserIn] Raga, Graciela B. [verfasserIn] Yoshida, Ryuji [verfasserIn] Wang, Weiqiang [verfasserIn] Klotzbach, Philip J. [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2020 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Climate dynamics - Berlin : Springer, 1986, 56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. Okt., Seite 515-535 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:56 ; year:2020 ; number:1-2 ; day:13 ; month:10 ; pages:515-535 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x |
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| Katalog-ID: |
SPR042907837 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus |
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| 520 | |a Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Large-scale flow pattern |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Tropical cyclogenesis |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Western North Pacific |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Mega la Niña-like pattern |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Global warming hiatus |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Zhao, Haikun |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Raga, Graciela B. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Yoshida, Ryuji |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Wang, Weiqiang |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Klotzbach, Philip J. |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | 8 | |i Enthalten in |t Climate dynamics |d Berlin : Springer, 1986 |g 56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. Okt., Seite 515-535 |w (DE-627)268128561 |w (DE-600)1471747-5 |x 1432-0894 |7 nnns |
| 773 | 1 | 8 | |g volume:56 |g year:2020 |g number:1-2 |g day:13 |g month:10 |g pages:515-535 |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x doi (DE-627)SPR042907837 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05486-x-e (SPR)s00382-020-05486-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Zhao, Kai verfasserin aut Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism. Large-scale flow pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Tropical cyclogenesis (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mega la Niña-like pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Global warming hiatus (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zhao, Haikun verfasserin aut Raga, Graciela B. verfasserin aut Yoshida, Ryuji verfasserin aut Wang, Weiqiang verfasserin aut Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. Okt., Seite 515-535 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:1-2 day:13 month:10 pages:515-535 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 1-2 13 10 515-535 |
| spelling |
10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x doi (DE-627)SPR042907837 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05486-x-e (SPR)s00382-020-05486-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Zhao, Kai verfasserin aut Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism. Large-scale flow pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Tropical cyclogenesis (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mega la Niña-like pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Global warming hiatus (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zhao, Haikun verfasserin aut Raga, Graciela B. verfasserin aut Yoshida, Ryuji verfasserin aut Wang, Weiqiang verfasserin aut Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. Okt., Seite 515-535 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:1-2 day:13 month:10 pages:515-535 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 1-2 13 10 515-535 |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x doi (DE-627)SPR042907837 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05486-x-e (SPR)s00382-020-05486-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Zhao, Kai verfasserin aut Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism. Large-scale flow pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Tropical cyclogenesis (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mega la Niña-like pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Global warming hiatus (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zhao, Haikun verfasserin aut Raga, Graciela B. verfasserin aut Yoshida, Ryuji verfasserin aut Wang, Weiqiang verfasserin aut Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. Okt., Seite 515-535 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:1-2 day:13 month:10 pages:515-535 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 1-2 13 10 515-535 |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x doi (DE-627)SPR042907837 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05486-x-e (SPR)s00382-020-05486-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Zhao, Kai verfasserin aut Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism. Large-scale flow pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Tropical cyclogenesis (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mega la Niña-like pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Global warming hiatus (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zhao, Haikun verfasserin aut Raga, Graciela B. verfasserin aut Yoshida, Ryuji verfasserin aut Wang, Weiqiang verfasserin aut Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. Okt., Seite 515-535 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:1-2 day:13 month:10 pages:515-535 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 1-2 13 10 515-535 |
| allfieldsSound |
10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x doi (DE-627)SPR042907837 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05486-x-e (SPR)s00382-020-05486-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Zhao, Kai verfasserin aut Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism. Large-scale flow pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Tropical cyclogenesis (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mega la Niña-like pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Global warming hiatus (dpeaa)DE-He213 Zhao, Haikun verfasserin aut Raga, Graciela B. verfasserin aut Yoshida, Ryuji verfasserin aut Wang, Weiqiang verfasserin aut Klotzbach, Philip J. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. Okt., Seite 515-535 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:1-2 day:13 month:10 pages:515-535 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05486-x lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 1-2 13 10 515-535 |
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Enthalten in Climate dynamics 56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. Okt., Seite 515-535 volume:56 year:2020 number:1-2 day:13 month:10 pages:515-535 |
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Enthalten in Climate dynamics 56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. Okt., Seite 515-535 volume:56 year:2020 number:1-2 day:13 month:10 pages:515-535 |
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Large-scale flow pattern Tropical cyclogenesis Western North Pacific Mega la Niña-like pattern Global warming hiatus |
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Zhao, Kai @@aut@@ Zhao, Haikun @@aut@@ Raga, Graciela B. @@aut@@ Yoshida, Ryuji @@aut@@ Wang, Weiqiang @@aut@@ Klotzbach, Philip J. @@aut@@ |
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WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Large-scale flow pattern</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Tropical cyclogenesis</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Western North Pacific</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Mega la Niña-like pattern</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Global warming hiatus</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Zhao, Haikun</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Raga, Graciela B.</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Yoshida, Ryuji</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Wang, Weiqiang</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Klotzbach, Philip J.</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Climate dynamics</subfield><subfield code="d">Berlin : Springer, 1986</subfield><subfield code="g">56(2020), 1-2 vom: 13. 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Zhao, Kai |
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Zhao, Kai ddc 550 bkl 38.80 misc Large-scale flow pattern misc Tropical cyclogenesis misc Western North Pacific misc Mega la Niña-like pattern misc Global warming hiatus Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus |
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550 ASE 38.80 bkl Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus Large-scale flow pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Tropical cyclogenesis (dpeaa)DE-He213 Western North Pacific (dpeaa)DE-He213 Mega la Niña-like pattern (dpeaa)DE-He213 Global warming hiatus (dpeaa)DE-He213 |
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ddc 550 bkl 38.80 misc Large-scale flow pattern misc Tropical cyclogenesis misc Western North Pacific misc Mega la Niña-like pattern misc Global warming hiatus |
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ddc 550 bkl 38.80 misc Large-scale flow pattern misc Tropical cyclogenesis misc Western North Pacific misc Mega la Niña-like pattern misc Global warming hiatus |
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ddc 550 bkl 38.80 misc Large-scale flow pattern misc Tropical cyclogenesis misc Western North Pacific misc Mega la Niña-like pattern misc Global warming hiatus |
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Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus |
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(DE-627)SPR042907837 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05486-x-e (SPR)s00382-020-05486-x-e |
| title_full |
Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus |
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Zhao, Kai |
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Climate dynamics |
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Zhao, Kai Zhao, Haikun Raga, Graciela B. Yoshida, Ryuji Wang, Weiqiang Klotzbach, Philip J. |
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changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western north pacific in response to the global warming hiatus |
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Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus |
| abstract |
Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism. |
| abstractGer |
Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism. |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract This study examines extended boreal summer (May–October) tropical cyclogenesis events (TCGEs) associated with large-scale flow patterns (LFPs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) between 1979–1997 and 1998–2012. WNP TCGEs are objectively identified to be associated with five LFPs [e.g., monsoon shear line (SL), monsoon confluence region (CR), monsoon gyre (GY), Pacific easterly wave (EW) and preexisting tropical cyclone (PTC)]. Results show that an apparent decrease in TCGEs from 1998–2012 was due to the significant decrease in TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and to a somewhat lesser degree, TCGEs associated with the GY pattern. In contrast, TCGEs associated with the SL pattern show a small increase, which seems to contradict the weakened monsoon circulation since 1998 but corresponds well to cyclonic anomalies over the Philippines region. Decreased TCGEs associated with the GY pattern and increased TCGEs associated with the EW pattern are closely related to the strengthening of Pacific easterly waves in response to the Mega La Niña-like pattern that predominated during 1998–2012. Weakened easterly shear over the eastern WNP is not conducive to the development and propagation into the southeastern WNP of Rossby wave trains induced by preexisting TC energy dispersion. Consequently, there is a significant reduction of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and a weakening in the contribution of TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern to TCGEs associated with the EW pattern. An increased correlation between TCs associated with the SL/GY/EW patterns and central Pacific (CP)-type ENSO during 1998–2012 is observed. A stable and robust association between TCGEs associated with the CR pattern and tropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature is observed regardless of decadal climate regime shifts. However, there is no significant link between TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern and more CP ENSO events during 1998–2012, but there is a strong association between the Pacific meridional mode and TCGEs associated with the PTC pattern during 1979–1997. More observational analyses and numerical simulations are needed to further investigate the underlying physical mechanism. |
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Changes in extended boreal summer tropical cyclogenesis associated with large-scale flow patterns over the western North Pacific in response to the global warming hiatus |
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| score |
7.401019 |