The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models
Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Chen, Shangfeng [verfasserIn] Yu, Bin [verfasserIn] Wu, Renguang [verfasserIn] Chen, Wen [verfasserIn] Song, Linye [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2020 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Climate dynamics - Berlin : Springer, 1986, 56(2020), 3-4 vom: 18. Okt., Seite 701-725 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:56 ; year:2020 ; number:3-4 ; day:18 ; month:10 ; pages:701-725 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 |
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SPR043077110 |
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| 520 | |a Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a IPCC-AR6 |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
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| 650 | 4 | |a NPO |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a ENSO |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a PDO |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Victoria mode |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Historical simulation |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Climate change projection |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Yu, Bin |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Wu, Renguang |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Chen, Wen |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Song, Linye |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 doi (DE-627)SPR043077110 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05501-1-e (SPR)s00382-020-05501-1-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Chen, Shangfeng verfasserin aut The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models. IPCC-AR6 (dpeaa)DE-He213 Aleutian Low (dpeaa)DE-He213 NPO (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 PDO (dpeaa)DE-He213 Victoria mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Historical simulation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change projection (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yu, Bin verfasserin aut Wu, Renguang verfasserin aut Chen, Wen verfasserin aut Song, Linye verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 3-4 vom: 18. Okt., Seite 701-725 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:3-4 day:18 month:10 pages:701-725 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 3-4 18 10 701-725 |
| spelling |
10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 doi (DE-627)SPR043077110 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05501-1-e (SPR)s00382-020-05501-1-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Chen, Shangfeng verfasserin aut The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models. IPCC-AR6 (dpeaa)DE-He213 Aleutian Low (dpeaa)DE-He213 NPO (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 PDO (dpeaa)DE-He213 Victoria mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Historical simulation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change projection (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yu, Bin verfasserin aut Wu, Renguang verfasserin aut Chen, Wen verfasserin aut Song, Linye verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 3-4 vom: 18. Okt., Seite 701-725 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:3-4 day:18 month:10 pages:701-725 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 3-4 18 10 701-725 |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 doi (DE-627)SPR043077110 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05501-1-e (SPR)s00382-020-05501-1-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Chen, Shangfeng verfasserin aut The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models. IPCC-AR6 (dpeaa)DE-He213 Aleutian Low (dpeaa)DE-He213 NPO (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 PDO (dpeaa)DE-He213 Victoria mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Historical simulation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change projection (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yu, Bin verfasserin aut Wu, Renguang verfasserin aut Chen, Wen verfasserin aut Song, Linye verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 3-4 vom: 18. Okt., Seite 701-725 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:3-4 day:18 month:10 pages:701-725 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 3-4 18 10 701-725 |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 doi (DE-627)SPR043077110 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05501-1-e (SPR)s00382-020-05501-1-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Chen, Shangfeng verfasserin aut The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models. IPCC-AR6 (dpeaa)DE-He213 Aleutian Low (dpeaa)DE-He213 NPO (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 PDO (dpeaa)DE-He213 Victoria mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Historical simulation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change projection (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yu, Bin verfasserin aut Wu, Renguang verfasserin aut Chen, Wen verfasserin aut Song, Linye verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 3-4 vom: 18. Okt., Seite 701-725 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:3-4 day:18 month:10 pages:701-725 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 3-4 18 10 701-725 |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 doi (DE-627)SPR043077110 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05501-1-e (SPR)s00382-020-05501-1-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 ASE 38.80 bkl Chen, Shangfeng verfasserin aut The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models 2020 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models. IPCC-AR6 (dpeaa)DE-He213 Aleutian Low (dpeaa)DE-He213 NPO (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 PDO (dpeaa)DE-He213 Victoria mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Historical simulation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change projection (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yu, Bin verfasserin aut Wu, Renguang verfasserin aut Chen, Wen verfasserin aut Song, Linye verfasserin aut Enthalten in Climate dynamics Berlin : Springer, 1986 56(2020), 3-4 vom: 18. Okt., Seite 701-725 (DE-627)268128561 (DE-600)1471747-5 1432-0894 nnns volume:56 year:2020 number:3-4 day:18 month:10 pages:701-725 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER SSG-OPC-GGO SSG-OPC-ASE GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_381 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_612 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 38.80 ASE AR 56 2020 3-4 18 10 701-725 |
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Enthalten in Climate dynamics 56(2020), 3-4 vom: 18. Okt., Seite 701-725 volume:56 year:2020 number:3-4 day:18 month:10 pages:701-725 |
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Chen, Shangfeng @@aut@@ Yu, Bin @@aut@@ Wu, Renguang @@aut@@ Chen, Wen @@aut@@ Song, Linye @@aut@@ |
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<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000caa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">SPR043077110</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20220110175122.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">210209s2020 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)SPR043077110</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05501-1-e</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(SPR)s00382-020-05501-1-e</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">550</subfield><subfield code="q">ASE</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">38.80</subfield><subfield code="2">bkl</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Chen, Shangfeng</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2020</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">IPCC-AR6</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Aleutian Low</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">NPO</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">ENSO</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">PDO</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Victoria mode</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Historical simulation</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Climate change projection</subfield><subfield code="7">(dpeaa)DE-He213</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Yu, Bin</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Wu, Renguang</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Chen, Wen</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Song, Linye</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="773" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Enthalten in</subfield><subfield code="t">Climate dynamics</subfield><subfield code="d">Berlin : Springer, 1986</subfield><subfield code="g">56(2020), 3-4 vom: 18. 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|
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Chen, Shangfeng |
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Chen, Shangfeng ddc 550 bkl 38.80 misc IPCC-AR6 misc Aleutian Low misc NPO misc ENSO misc PDO misc Victoria mode misc Historical simulation misc Climate change projection The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models |
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550 ASE 38.80 bkl The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models IPCC-AR6 (dpeaa)DE-He213 Aleutian Low (dpeaa)DE-He213 NPO (dpeaa)DE-He213 ENSO (dpeaa)DE-He213 PDO (dpeaa)DE-He213 Victoria mode (dpeaa)DE-He213 Historical simulation (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change projection (dpeaa)DE-He213 |
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ddc 550 bkl 38.80 misc IPCC-AR6 misc Aleutian Low misc NPO misc ENSO misc PDO misc Victoria mode misc Historical simulation misc Climate change projection |
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ddc 550 bkl 38.80 misc IPCC-AR6 misc Aleutian Low misc NPO misc ENSO misc PDO misc Victoria mode misc Historical simulation misc Climate change projection |
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The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models |
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(DE-627)SPR043077110 (DE-599)SPRs00382-020-05501-1-e (SPR)s00382-020-05501-1-e |
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The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models |
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Chen, Shangfeng |
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Climate dynamics |
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Climate dynamics |
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eng |
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2020 |
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701 |
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Chen, Shangfeng Yu, Bin Wu, Renguang Chen, Wen Song, Linye |
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56 |
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Elektronische Aufsätze |
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Chen, Shangfeng |
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10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 |
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| title_sort |
dominant north pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to pacific ssts: historical simulations and future projections in the ipcc ar6 models |
| title_auth |
The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models |
| abstract |
Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models. |
| abstractGer |
Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models. |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract The first two leading modes of the North Pacific atmospheric variability, the Aleutian Low (AL) and North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), in boreal winter and their relations to the North American and Eurasian surface temperature, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Victoria Mode (VM) are explored in 20 coupled climate models which participated in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The historical simulations of these models can well reproduce spatial structures and amplitudes of the winter AL and NPO, as well as their associations with North American and Eurasian surface air temperatures. The close connections of the winter AL with ENSO and PDO, as well as the linkage between the NPO and VM could also be well simulated. However, most of the models lack the capability in simulating the impact of the winter ENSO on the NPO. This deficiency is mainly attributed to westward shifts of the ENSO-related sea surface temperature and precipitation anomalies in the tropics and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections over the North Pacific in the models. Spread in the ENSO’s amplitude also contributes partly to the diversity of the ENSO–NPO relation among the models. Under the SSP2-RCP4.5 forced climate change projection, projected changes in the amplitudes and centers of the AL and NPO exhibit large uncertainties across the 20 models. The close connections of the AL with ENSO and PDO, and the NPO with VM are still robust in the warming climate. Most models project an increase (a decrease) in the AL–PDO (NPO–VM) relationship. However, there exists a large uncertainty in the projected changes of the AL–ENSO relationship, which is partly attributed to the large divergence in the projected changes of the ENSO’s amplitude among the models. |
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3-4 |
| title_short |
The dominant North Pacific atmospheric circulation patterns and their relations to Pacific SSTs: historical simulations and future projections in the IPCC AR6 models |
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https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05501-1 |
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Yu, Bin Wu, Renguang Chen, Wen Song, Linye |
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| score |
7.400937 |