Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios
Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Olson, Stacey K. [verfasserIn] Smithwick, Erica A. H. [verfasserIn] Lucash, Melissa S. [verfasserIn] Scheller, Robert M. [verfasserIn] Nicholas, Robert E. [verfasserIn] Ruckert, Kelsey L. [verfasserIn] Caldwell, Christopher M. [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2021 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
© The Author(s) 2021 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Ecosystems - Springer-Verlag, 2000, 24(2021), 7 vom: 17. März, Seite 1756-1774 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:24 ; year:2021 ; number:7 ; day:17 ; month:03 ; pages:1756-1774 |
| Links: |
|---|
| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w |
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SPR045576807 |
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| 520 | |a Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for some Tribes. The damage will likely continue despite efforts to impede its spread. Further, widespread and rapid ash mortality as a result of EAB is expected to alter forest composition and structure, especially when coupled with the regional effects of climate change in post-ash forests. Thus, we forecasted the long-term effects of EAB-induced ash mortality and preemptive ash harvest (a forest management mitigation strategy) on forested land across a 2-million-hectare region in northern Wisconsin. We used a spatially explicit and spatially interactive forest simulation model, LANDIS-II, to estimate future species dominance and biodiversity assuming continued widespread ash mortality. We ran forest disturbance and succession simulations under historic climate conditions and three downscaled CMIP5 climate change projections representing the upper bound of expected changes in precipitation and temperature. Our results suggest that although ash loss from EAB or harvest resulted in altered biodiversity patterns in some stands, climate change will be the major driver of changes in biodiversity by the end of century, causing increases in the dominance of southern species and homogenization of species composition across the landscape. | ||
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10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w doi (DE-627)SPR045576807 (SPR)s10021-021-00616-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Olson, Stacey K. verfasserin aut Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios 2021 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2021 Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for some Tribes. The damage will likely continue despite efforts to impede its spread. Further, widespread and rapid ash mortality as a result of EAB is expected to alter forest composition and structure, especially when coupled with the regional effects of climate change in post-ash forests. Thus, we forecasted the long-term effects of EAB-induced ash mortality and preemptive ash harvest (a forest management mitigation strategy) on forested land across a 2-million-hectare region in northern Wisconsin. We used a spatially explicit and spatially interactive forest simulation model, LANDIS-II, to estimate future species dominance and biodiversity assuming continued widespread ash mortality. We ran forest disturbance and succession simulations under historic climate conditions and three downscaled CMIP5 climate change projections representing the upper bound of expected changes in precipitation and temperature. Our results suggest that although ash loss from EAB or harvest resulted in altered biodiversity patterns in some stands, climate change will be the major driver of changes in biodiversity by the end of century, causing increases in the dominance of southern species and homogenization of species composition across the landscape. Emerald ash borer (dpeaa)DE-He213 LANDIS-II (dpeaa)DE-He213 Forest simulation model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Northwoods (dpeaa)DE-He213 Biodiversity (dpeaa)DE-He213 Smithwick, Erica A. H. verfasserin aut Lucash, Melissa S. verfasserin aut Scheller, Robert M. verfasserin aut Nicholas, Robert E. verfasserin aut Ruckert, Kelsey L. verfasserin aut Caldwell, Christopher M. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecosystems Springer-Verlag, 2000 24(2021), 7 vom: 17. März, Seite 1756-1774 (DE-627)SPR008072272 nnns volume:24 year:2021 number:7 day:17 month:03 pages:1756-1774 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER AR 24 2021 7 17 03 1756-1774 |
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10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w doi (DE-627)SPR045576807 (SPR)s10021-021-00616-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Olson, Stacey K. verfasserin aut Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios 2021 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2021 Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for some Tribes. The damage will likely continue despite efforts to impede its spread. Further, widespread and rapid ash mortality as a result of EAB is expected to alter forest composition and structure, especially when coupled with the regional effects of climate change in post-ash forests. Thus, we forecasted the long-term effects of EAB-induced ash mortality and preemptive ash harvest (a forest management mitigation strategy) on forested land across a 2-million-hectare region in northern Wisconsin. We used a spatially explicit and spatially interactive forest simulation model, LANDIS-II, to estimate future species dominance and biodiversity assuming continued widespread ash mortality. We ran forest disturbance and succession simulations under historic climate conditions and three downscaled CMIP5 climate change projections representing the upper bound of expected changes in precipitation and temperature. Our results suggest that although ash loss from EAB or harvest resulted in altered biodiversity patterns in some stands, climate change will be the major driver of changes in biodiversity by the end of century, causing increases in the dominance of southern species and homogenization of species composition across the landscape. Emerald ash borer (dpeaa)DE-He213 LANDIS-II (dpeaa)DE-He213 Forest simulation model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Northwoods (dpeaa)DE-He213 Biodiversity (dpeaa)DE-He213 Smithwick, Erica A. H. verfasserin aut Lucash, Melissa S. verfasserin aut Scheller, Robert M. verfasserin aut Nicholas, Robert E. verfasserin aut Ruckert, Kelsey L. verfasserin aut Caldwell, Christopher M. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecosystems Springer-Verlag, 2000 24(2021), 7 vom: 17. März, Seite 1756-1774 (DE-627)SPR008072272 nnns volume:24 year:2021 number:7 day:17 month:03 pages:1756-1774 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER AR 24 2021 7 17 03 1756-1774 |
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10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w doi (DE-627)SPR045576807 (SPR)s10021-021-00616-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Olson, Stacey K. verfasserin aut Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios 2021 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2021 Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for some Tribes. The damage will likely continue despite efforts to impede its spread. Further, widespread and rapid ash mortality as a result of EAB is expected to alter forest composition and structure, especially when coupled with the regional effects of climate change in post-ash forests. Thus, we forecasted the long-term effects of EAB-induced ash mortality and preemptive ash harvest (a forest management mitigation strategy) on forested land across a 2-million-hectare region in northern Wisconsin. We used a spatially explicit and spatially interactive forest simulation model, LANDIS-II, to estimate future species dominance and biodiversity assuming continued widespread ash mortality. We ran forest disturbance and succession simulations under historic climate conditions and three downscaled CMIP5 climate change projections representing the upper bound of expected changes in precipitation and temperature. Our results suggest that although ash loss from EAB or harvest resulted in altered biodiversity patterns in some stands, climate change will be the major driver of changes in biodiversity by the end of century, causing increases in the dominance of southern species and homogenization of species composition across the landscape. Emerald ash borer (dpeaa)DE-He213 LANDIS-II (dpeaa)DE-He213 Forest simulation model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Northwoods (dpeaa)DE-He213 Biodiversity (dpeaa)DE-He213 Smithwick, Erica A. H. verfasserin aut Lucash, Melissa S. verfasserin aut Scheller, Robert M. verfasserin aut Nicholas, Robert E. verfasserin aut Ruckert, Kelsey L. verfasserin aut Caldwell, Christopher M. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecosystems Springer-Verlag, 2000 24(2021), 7 vom: 17. März, Seite 1756-1774 (DE-627)SPR008072272 nnns volume:24 year:2021 number:7 day:17 month:03 pages:1756-1774 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER AR 24 2021 7 17 03 1756-1774 |
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10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w doi (DE-627)SPR045576807 (SPR)s10021-021-00616-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Olson, Stacey K. verfasserin aut Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios 2021 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2021 Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for some Tribes. The damage will likely continue despite efforts to impede its spread. Further, widespread and rapid ash mortality as a result of EAB is expected to alter forest composition and structure, especially when coupled with the regional effects of climate change in post-ash forests. Thus, we forecasted the long-term effects of EAB-induced ash mortality and preemptive ash harvest (a forest management mitigation strategy) on forested land across a 2-million-hectare region in northern Wisconsin. We used a spatially explicit and spatially interactive forest simulation model, LANDIS-II, to estimate future species dominance and biodiversity assuming continued widespread ash mortality. We ran forest disturbance and succession simulations under historic climate conditions and three downscaled CMIP5 climate change projections representing the upper bound of expected changes in precipitation and temperature. Our results suggest that although ash loss from EAB or harvest resulted in altered biodiversity patterns in some stands, climate change will be the major driver of changes in biodiversity by the end of century, causing increases in the dominance of southern species and homogenization of species composition across the landscape. Emerald ash borer (dpeaa)DE-He213 LANDIS-II (dpeaa)DE-He213 Forest simulation model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Northwoods (dpeaa)DE-He213 Biodiversity (dpeaa)DE-He213 Smithwick, Erica A. H. verfasserin aut Lucash, Melissa S. verfasserin aut Scheller, Robert M. verfasserin aut Nicholas, Robert E. verfasserin aut Ruckert, Kelsey L. verfasserin aut Caldwell, Christopher M. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecosystems Springer-Verlag, 2000 24(2021), 7 vom: 17. März, Seite 1756-1774 (DE-627)SPR008072272 nnns volume:24 year:2021 number:7 day:17 month:03 pages:1756-1774 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER AR 24 2021 7 17 03 1756-1774 |
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10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w doi (DE-627)SPR045576807 (SPR)s10021-021-00616-w-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Olson, Stacey K. verfasserin aut Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios 2021 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s) 2021 Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for some Tribes. The damage will likely continue despite efforts to impede its spread. Further, widespread and rapid ash mortality as a result of EAB is expected to alter forest composition and structure, especially when coupled with the regional effects of climate change in post-ash forests. Thus, we forecasted the long-term effects of EAB-induced ash mortality and preemptive ash harvest (a forest management mitigation strategy) on forested land across a 2-million-hectare region in northern Wisconsin. We used a spatially explicit and spatially interactive forest simulation model, LANDIS-II, to estimate future species dominance and biodiversity assuming continued widespread ash mortality. We ran forest disturbance and succession simulations under historic climate conditions and three downscaled CMIP5 climate change projections representing the upper bound of expected changes in precipitation and temperature. Our results suggest that although ash loss from EAB or harvest resulted in altered biodiversity patterns in some stands, climate change will be the major driver of changes in biodiversity by the end of century, causing increases in the dominance of southern species and homogenization of species composition across the landscape. Emerald ash borer (dpeaa)DE-He213 LANDIS-II (dpeaa)DE-He213 Forest simulation model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Northwoods (dpeaa)DE-He213 Biodiversity (dpeaa)DE-He213 Smithwick, Erica A. H. verfasserin aut Lucash, Melissa S. verfasserin aut Scheller, Robert M. verfasserin aut Nicholas, Robert E. verfasserin aut Ruckert, Kelsey L. verfasserin aut Caldwell, Christopher M. verfasserin aut Enthalten in Ecosystems Springer-Verlag, 2000 24(2021), 7 vom: 17. März, Seite 1756-1774 (DE-627)SPR008072272 nnns volume:24 year:2021 number:7 day:17 month:03 pages:1756-1774 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10021-021-00616-w kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER AR 24 2021 7 17 03 1756-1774 |
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Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios |
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Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios |
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Olson, Stacey K. |
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Olson, Stacey K. Smithwick, Erica A. H. Lucash, Melissa S. Scheller, Robert M. Nicholas, Robert E. Ruckert, Kelsey L. Caldwell, Christopher M. |
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Olson, Stacey K. |
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landscape-scale forest reorganization following insect invasion and harvest under future climate change scenarios |
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Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios |
| abstract |
Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for some Tribes. The damage will likely continue despite efforts to impede its spread. Further, widespread and rapid ash mortality as a result of EAB is expected to alter forest composition and structure, especially when coupled with the regional effects of climate change in post-ash forests. Thus, we forecasted the long-term effects of EAB-induced ash mortality and preemptive ash harvest (a forest management mitigation strategy) on forested land across a 2-million-hectare region in northern Wisconsin. We used a spatially explicit and spatially interactive forest simulation model, LANDIS-II, to estimate future species dominance and biodiversity assuming continued widespread ash mortality. We ran forest disturbance and succession simulations under historic climate conditions and three downscaled CMIP5 climate change projections representing the upper bound of expected changes in precipitation and temperature. Our results suggest that although ash loss from EAB or harvest resulted in altered biodiversity patterns in some stands, climate change will be the major driver of changes in biodiversity by the end of century, causing increases in the dominance of southern species and homogenization of species composition across the landscape. © The Author(s) 2021 |
| abstractGer |
Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for some Tribes. The damage will likely continue despite efforts to impede its spread. Further, widespread and rapid ash mortality as a result of EAB is expected to alter forest composition and structure, especially when coupled with the regional effects of climate change in post-ash forests. Thus, we forecasted the long-term effects of EAB-induced ash mortality and preemptive ash harvest (a forest management mitigation strategy) on forested land across a 2-million-hectare region in northern Wisconsin. We used a spatially explicit and spatially interactive forest simulation model, LANDIS-II, to estimate future species dominance and biodiversity assuming continued widespread ash mortality. We ran forest disturbance and succession simulations under historic climate conditions and three downscaled CMIP5 climate change projections representing the upper bound of expected changes in precipitation and temperature. Our results suggest that although ash loss from EAB or harvest resulted in altered biodiversity patterns in some stands, climate change will be the major driver of changes in biodiversity by the end of century, causing increases in the dominance of southern species and homogenization of species composition across the landscape. © The Author(s) 2021 |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract Emerald ash borer (EAB; Agrilus planipennis Farimaire) has been found in 35 US states and five Canadian provinces. This invasive beetle is causing widespread mortality to ash trees (Fraxinus spp.), which are an important timber product and ornamental tree, as well as a cultural resource for some Tribes. The damage will likely continue despite efforts to impede its spread. Further, widespread and rapid ash mortality as a result of EAB is expected to alter forest composition and structure, especially when coupled with the regional effects of climate change in post-ash forests. Thus, we forecasted the long-term effects of EAB-induced ash mortality and preemptive ash harvest (a forest management mitigation strategy) on forested land across a 2-million-hectare region in northern Wisconsin. We used a spatially explicit and spatially interactive forest simulation model, LANDIS-II, to estimate future species dominance and biodiversity assuming continued widespread ash mortality. We ran forest disturbance and succession simulations under historic climate conditions and three downscaled CMIP5 climate change projections representing the upper bound of expected changes in precipitation and temperature. Our results suggest that although ash loss from EAB or harvest resulted in altered biodiversity patterns in some stands, climate change will be the major driver of changes in biodiversity by the end of century, causing increases in the dominance of southern species and homogenization of species composition across the landscape. © The Author(s) 2021 |
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Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios |
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Smithwick, Erica A. H. Lucash, Melissa S. Scheller, Robert M. Nicholas, Robert E. Ruckert, Kelsey L. Caldwell, Christopher M. |
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Smithwick, Erica A. H. Lucash, Melissa S. Scheller, Robert M. Nicholas, Robert E. Ruckert, Kelsey L. Caldwell, Christopher M. |
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