Dynamic agricultural drought risk assessment for maize using weather generator and APSIM crop models
Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Wang, Yaxu [verfasserIn] |
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E-Artikel |
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Sprache: |
Englisch |
Erschienen: |
2022 |
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Anmerkung: |
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Natural hazards - Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V., 1988, 114(2022), 3 vom: 28. Sept., Seite 3083-3100 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:114 ; year:2022 ; number:3 ; day:28 ; month:09 ; pages:3083-3100 |
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DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 |
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Katalog-ID: |
SPR048621374 |
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520 | |a Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. The drought that occurred in the Liaoning Province in 2000 was selected as a case study, and the DADR was assessed weekly during the maize growth period. The statistical parameters of historical meteorological data were used to prove the rationality of meteorological scenarios. The crop data from 1996 to 2012 were used for crop model calibration and verification. The results showed that, on July 3, 2000, the majority of the Liaoning Province experienced severe or moderate DADR, which showed an increasing trend from east to west, while the highest DADR (over 35%) was noted in Fuxin and Chaoyang. The drought during the maize growth period in 2000 caused an average cumulative yield loss rate of 62.4%. The drought in the early seeding and milk maturity stages had a negligible impact on maize yield, contrary to that in the jointing to tasseling period. Our study provides insights into the implementation of drought relief measures and the development of drought monitoring systems. | ||
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10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 doi (DE-627)SPR048621374 (SPR)s11069-022-05506-5-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wang, Yaxu verfasserin aut Dynamic agricultural drought risk assessment for maize using weather generator and APSIM crop models 2022 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. The drought that occurred in the Liaoning Province in 2000 was selected as a case study, and the DADR was assessed weekly during the maize growth period. The statistical parameters of historical meteorological data were used to prove the rationality of meteorological scenarios. The crop data from 1996 to 2012 were used for crop model calibration and verification. The results showed that, on July 3, 2000, the majority of the Liaoning Province experienced severe or moderate DADR, which showed an increasing trend from east to west, while the highest DADR (over 35%) was noted in Fuxin and Chaoyang. The drought during the maize growth period in 2000 caused an average cumulative yield loss rate of 62.4%. The drought in the early seeding and milk maturity stages had a negligible impact on maize yield, contrary to that in the jointing to tasseling period. Our study provides insights into the implementation of drought relief measures and the development of drought monitoring systems. Weather generator (dpeaa)DE-He213 Crop model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yield loss rate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dynamic agricultural drought risk (dpeaa)DE-He213 Lv, Juan aut Sun, Hongquan aut Zuo, Huiqiang aut Gao, Hui aut Qu, Yanping aut Su, Zhicheng aut Yang, Xiaojing aut Yin, Jianming aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V., 1988 114(2022), 3 vom: 28. Sept., Seite 3083-3100 (DE-627)315621729 (DE-600)2017806-2 1573-0840 nnns volume:114 year:2022 number:3 day:28 month:09 pages:3083-3100 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 114 2022 3 28 09 3083-3100 |
spelling |
10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 doi (DE-627)SPR048621374 (SPR)s11069-022-05506-5-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wang, Yaxu verfasserin aut Dynamic agricultural drought risk assessment for maize using weather generator and APSIM crop models 2022 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. The drought that occurred in the Liaoning Province in 2000 was selected as a case study, and the DADR was assessed weekly during the maize growth period. The statistical parameters of historical meteorological data were used to prove the rationality of meteorological scenarios. The crop data from 1996 to 2012 were used for crop model calibration and verification. The results showed that, on July 3, 2000, the majority of the Liaoning Province experienced severe or moderate DADR, which showed an increasing trend from east to west, while the highest DADR (over 35%) was noted in Fuxin and Chaoyang. The drought during the maize growth period in 2000 caused an average cumulative yield loss rate of 62.4%. The drought in the early seeding and milk maturity stages had a negligible impact on maize yield, contrary to that in the jointing to tasseling period. Our study provides insights into the implementation of drought relief measures and the development of drought monitoring systems. Weather generator (dpeaa)DE-He213 Crop model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yield loss rate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dynamic agricultural drought risk (dpeaa)DE-He213 Lv, Juan aut Sun, Hongquan aut Zuo, Huiqiang aut Gao, Hui aut Qu, Yanping aut Su, Zhicheng aut Yang, Xiaojing aut Yin, Jianming aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V., 1988 114(2022), 3 vom: 28. Sept., Seite 3083-3100 (DE-627)315621729 (DE-600)2017806-2 1573-0840 nnns volume:114 year:2022 number:3 day:28 month:09 pages:3083-3100 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 114 2022 3 28 09 3083-3100 |
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10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 doi (DE-627)SPR048621374 (SPR)s11069-022-05506-5-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wang, Yaxu verfasserin aut Dynamic agricultural drought risk assessment for maize using weather generator and APSIM crop models 2022 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. The drought that occurred in the Liaoning Province in 2000 was selected as a case study, and the DADR was assessed weekly during the maize growth period. The statistical parameters of historical meteorological data were used to prove the rationality of meteorological scenarios. The crop data from 1996 to 2012 were used for crop model calibration and verification. The results showed that, on July 3, 2000, the majority of the Liaoning Province experienced severe or moderate DADR, which showed an increasing trend from east to west, while the highest DADR (over 35%) was noted in Fuxin and Chaoyang. The drought during the maize growth period in 2000 caused an average cumulative yield loss rate of 62.4%. The drought in the early seeding and milk maturity stages had a negligible impact on maize yield, contrary to that in the jointing to tasseling period. Our study provides insights into the implementation of drought relief measures and the development of drought monitoring systems. Weather generator (dpeaa)DE-He213 Crop model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yield loss rate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dynamic agricultural drought risk (dpeaa)DE-He213 Lv, Juan aut Sun, Hongquan aut Zuo, Huiqiang aut Gao, Hui aut Qu, Yanping aut Su, Zhicheng aut Yang, Xiaojing aut Yin, Jianming aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V., 1988 114(2022), 3 vom: 28. Sept., Seite 3083-3100 (DE-627)315621729 (DE-600)2017806-2 1573-0840 nnns volume:114 year:2022 number:3 day:28 month:09 pages:3083-3100 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 114 2022 3 28 09 3083-3100 |
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10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 doi (DE-627)SPR048621374 (SPR)s11069-022-05506-5-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wang, Yaxu verfasserin aut Dynamic agricultural drought risk assessment for maize using weather generator and APSIM crop models 2022 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. The drought that occurred in the Liaoning Province in 2000 was selected as a case study, and the DADR was assessed weekly during the maize growth period. The statistical parameters of historical meteorological data were used to prove the rationality of meteorological scenarios. The crop data from 1996 to 2012 were used for crop model calibration and verification. The results showed that, on July 3, 2000, the majority of the Liaoning Province experienced severe or moderate DADR, which showed an increasing trend from east to west, while the highest DADR (over 35%) was noted in Fuxin and Chaoyang. The drought during the maize growth period in 2000 caused an average cumulative yield loss rate of 62.4%. The drought in the early seeding and milk maturity stages had a negligible impact on maize yield, contrary to that in the jointing to tasseling period. Our study provides insights into the implementation of drought relief measures and the development of drought monitoring systems. Weather generator (dpeaa)DE-He213 Crop model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yield loss rate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dynamic agricultural drought risk (dpeaa)DE-He213 Lv, Juan aut Sun, Hongquan aut Zuo, Huiqiang aut Gao, Hui aut Qu, Yanping aut Su, Zhicheng aut Yang, Xiaojing aut Yin, Jianming aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V., 1988 114(2022), 3 vom: 28. Sept., Seite 3083-3100 (DE-627)315621729 (DE-600)2017806-2 1573-0840 nnns volume:114 year:2022 number:3 day:28 month:09 pages:3083-3100 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 114 2022 3 28 09 3083-3100 |
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10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 doi (DE-627)SPR048621374 (SPR)s11069-022-05506-5-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wang, Yaxu verfasserin aut Dynamic agricultural drought risk assessment for maize using weather generator and APSIM crop models 2022 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. The drought that occurred in the Liaoning Province in 2000 was selected as a case study, and the DADR was assessed weekly during the maize growth period. The statistical parameters of historical meteorological data were used to prove the rationality of meteorological scenarios. The crop data from 1996 to 2012 were used for crop model calibration and verification. The results showed that, on July 3, 2000, the majority of the Liaoning Province experienced severe or moderate DADR, which showed an increasing trend from east to west, while the highest DADR (over 35%) was noted in Fuxin and Chaoyang. The drought during the maize growth period in 2000 caused an average cumulative yield loss rate of 62.4%. The drought in the early seeding and milk maturity stages had a negligible impact on maize yield, contrary to that in the jointing to tasseling period. Our study provides insights into the implementation of drought relief measures and the development of drought monitoring systems. Weather generator (dpeaa)DE-He213 Crop model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yield loss rate (dpeaa)DE-He213 Dynamic agricultural drought risk (dpeaa)DE-He213 Lv, Juan aut Sun, Hongquan aut Zuo, Huiqiang aut Gao, Hui aut Qu, Yanping aut Su, Zhicheng aut Yang, Xiaojing aut Yin, Jianming aut Enthalten in Natural hazards Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V., 1988 114(2022), 3 vom: 28. Sept., Seite 3083-3100 (DE-627)315621729 (DE-600)2017806-2 1573-0840 nnns volume:114 year:2022 number:3 day:28 month:09 pages:3083-3100 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 114 2022 3 28 09 3083-3100 |
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Wang, Yaxu @@aut@@ Lv, Juan @@aut@@ Sun, Hongquan @@aut@@ Zuo, Huiqiang @@aut@@ Gao, Hui @@aut@@ Qu, Yanping @@aut@@ Su, Zhicheng @@aut@@ Yang, Xiaojing @@aut@@ Yin, Jianming @@aut@@ |
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Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. 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dynamic agricultural drought risk assessment for maize using weather generator and apsim crop models |
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Dynamic agricultural drought risk assessment for maize using weather generator and APSIM crop models |
abstract |
Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. The drought that occurred in the Liaoning Province in 2000 was selected as a case study, and the DADR was assessed weekly during the maize growth period. The statistical parameters of historical meteorological data were used to prove the rationality of meteorological scenarios. The crop data from 1996 to 2012 were used for crop model calibration and verification. The results showed that, on July 3, 2000, the majority of the Liaoning Province experienced severe or moderate DADR, which showed an increasing trend from east to west, while the highest DADR (over 35%) was noted in Fuxin and Chaoyang. The drought during the maize growth period in 2000 caused an average cumulative yield loss rate of 62.4%. The drought in the early seeding and milk maturity stages had a negligible impact on maize yield, contrary to that in the jointing to tasseling period. Our study provides insights into the implementation of drought relief measures and the development of drought monitoring systems. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
abstractGer |
Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. The drought that occurred in the Liaoning Province in 2000 was selected as a case study, and the DADR was assessed weekly during the maize growth period. The statistical parameters of historical meteorological data were used to prove the rationality of meteorological scenarios. The crop data from 1996 to 2012 were used for crop model calibration and verification. The results showed that, on July 3, 2000, the majority of the Liaoning Province experienced severe or moderate DADR, which showed an increasing trend from east to west, while the highest DADR (over 35%) was noted in Fuxin and Chaoyang. The drought during the maize growth period in 2000 caused an average cumulative yield loss rate of 62.4%. The drought in the early seeding and milk maturity stages had a negligible impact on maize yield, contrary to that in the jointing to tasseling period. Our study provides insights into the implementation of drought relief measures and the development of drought monitoring systems. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract Drought risk assessment provides a vital basis for drought relief and prevention. We developed a dynamic agricultural drought risk (DADR) assessment model to predict drought trends and their impacts on crop yield in real time. A weather generator was employed to produce daily meteorological scenarios to simulate drought trends stochastically. Then, it was used to drive a crop model for simulating drought-induced yield loss. The yield loss rate was calculated to assess the DADR, whereas the cumulative yield loss rate was calculated to measure the cumulative impacts of drought on yield. The drought that occurred in the Liaoning Province in 2000 was selected as a case study, and the DADR was assessed weekly during the maize growth period. The statistical parameters of historical meteorological data were used to prove the rationality of meteorological scenarios. The crop data from 1996 to 2012 were used for crop model calibration and verification. The results showed that, on July 3, 2000, the majority of the Liaoning Province experienced severe or moderate DADR, which showed an increasing trend from east to west, while the highest DADR (over 35%) was noted in Fuxin and Chaoyang. The drought during the maize growth period in 2000 caused an average cumulative yield loss rate of 62.4%. The drought in the early seeding and milk maturity stages had a negligible impact on maize yield, contrary to that in the jointing to tasseling period. Our study provides insights into the implementation of drought relief measures and the development of drought monitoring systems. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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title_short |
Dynamic agricultural drought risk assessment for maize using weather generator and APSIM crop models |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 |
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Lv, Juan Sun, Hongquan Zuo, Huiqiang Gao, Hui Qu, Yanping Su, Zhicheng Yang, Xiaojing Yin, Jianming |
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Lv, Juan Sun, Hongquan Zuo, Huiqiang Gao, Hui Qu, Yanping Su, Zhicheng Yang, Xiaojing Yin, Jianming |
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10.1007/s11069-022-05506-5 |
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|
score |
7.397897 |