Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China
Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in t...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Zhao, Yan [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2023 |
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| Anmerkung: |
© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Bulletin of engineering geology and the environment - Berlin : Springer, 1970, 82(2023), 2 vom: 17. Jan. |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:82 ; year:2023 ; number:2 ; day:17 ; month:01 |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 |
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| Katalog-ID: |
SPR049066811 |
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| 520 | |a Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. The daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows estimated in this study can provide a reference for the early warning of regional debris flows where monitoring data are lacking. | ||
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| 700 | 1 | |a Meng, Xingmin |0 (orcid)0000-0003-3102-6193 |4 aut | |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Li, Yajun |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Yue, Dongxia |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Qing, Feng |4 aut | |
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10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 doi (DE-627)SPR049066811 (SPR)s10064-023-03068-9-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Zhao, Yan verfasserin aut Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. The daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows estimated in this study can provide a reference for the early warning of regional debris flows where monitoring data are lacking. Debris flow (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rainfall threshold (dpeaa)DE-He213 Frequency (dpeaa)DE-He213 Machine learning (dpeaa)DE-He213 Meng, Xingmin (orcid)0000-0003-3102-6193 aut Qi, Tianjun aut Chen, Guan aut Li, Yajun aut Yue, Dongxia aut Qing, Feng aut Enthalten in Bulletin of engineering geology and the environment Berlin : Springer, 1970 82(2023), 2 vom: 17. Jan. (DE-627)271597011 (DE-600)1480689-7 1435-9537 nnns volume:82 year:2023 number:2 day:17 month:01 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_267 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 82 2023 2 17 01 |
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10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 doi (DE-627)SPR049066811 (SPR)s10064-023-03068-9-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Zhao, Yan verfasserin aut Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. The daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows estimated in this study can provide a reference for the early warning of regional debris flows where monitoring data are lacking. Debris flow (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rainfall threshold (dpeaa)DE-He213 Frequency (dpeaa)DE-He213 Machine learning (dpeaa)DE-He213 Meng, Xingmin (orcid)0000-0003-3102-6193 aut Qi, Tianjun aut Chen, Guan aut Li, Yajun aut Yue, Dongxia aut Qing, Feng aut Enthalten in Bulletin of engineering geology and the environment Berlin : Springer, 1970 82(2023), 2 vom: 17. Jan. (DE-627)271597011 (DE-600)1480689-7 1435-9537 nnns volume:82 year:2023 number:2 day:17 month:01 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_267 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 82 2023 2 17 01 |
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10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 doi (DE-627)SPR049066811 (SPR)s10064-023-03068-9-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Zhao, Yan verfasserin aut Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. The daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows estimated in this study can provide a reference for the early warning of regional debris flows where monitoring data are lacking. Debris flow (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rainfall threshold (dpeaa)DE-He213 Frequency (dpeaa)DE-He213 Machine learning (dpeaa)DE-He213 Meng, Xingmin (orcid)0000-0003-3102-6193 aut Qi, Tianjun aut Chen, Guan aut Li, Yajun aut Yue, Dongxia aut Qing, Feng aut Enthalten in Bulletin of engineering geology and the environment Berlin : Springer, 1970 82(2023), 2 vom: 17. Jan. (DE-627)271597011 (DE-600)1480689-7 1435-9537 nnns volume:82 year:2023 number:2 day:17 month:01 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_267 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 82 2023 2 17 01 |
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10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 doi (DE-627)SPR049066811 (SPR)s10064-023-03068-9-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Zhao, Yan verfasserin aut Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. The daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows estimated in this study can provide a reference for the early warning of regional debris flows where monitoring data are lacking. Debris flow (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rainfall threshold (dpeaa)DE-He213 Frequency (dpeaa)DE-He213 Machine learning (dpeaa)DE-He213 Meng, Xingmin (orcid)0000-0003-3102-6193 aut Qi, Tianjun aut Chen, Guan aut Li, Yajun aut Yue, Dongxia aut Qing, Feng aut Enthalten in Bulletin of engineering geology and the environment Berlin : Springer, 1970 82(2023), 2 vom: 17. Jan. (DE-627)271597011 (DE-600)1480689-7 1435-9537 nnns volume:82 year:2023 number:2 day:17 month:01 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_267 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 82 2023 2 17 01 |
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10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 doi (DE-627)SPR049066811 (SPR)s10064-023-03068-9-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Zhao, Yan verfasserin aut Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. The daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows estimated in this study can provide a reference for the early warning of regional debris flows where monitoring data are lacking. Debris flow (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rainfall threshold (dpeaa)DE-He213 Frequency (dpeaa)DE-He213 Machine learning (dpeaa)DE-He213 Meng, Xingmin (orcid)0000-0003-3102-6193 aut Qi, Tianjun aut Chen, Guan aut Li, Yajun aut Yue, Dongxia aut Qing, Feng aut Enthalten in Bulletin of engineering geology and the environment Berlin : Springer, 1970 82(2023), 2 vom: 17. Jan. (DE-627)271597011 (DE-600)1480689-7 1435-9537 nnns volume:82 year:2023 number:2 day:17 month:01 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_267 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 82 2023 2 17 01 |
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Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. 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Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China Debris flow (dpeaa)DE-He213 Rainfall threshold (dpeaa)DE-He213 Frequency (dpeaa)DE-He213 Machine learning (dpeaa)DE-He213 |
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estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the bailong river basin, china |
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Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China |
| abstract |
Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. The daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows estimated in this study can provide a reference for the early warning of regional debris flows where monitoring data are lacking. © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
| abstractGer |
Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. The daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows estimated in this study can provide a reference for the early warning of regional debris flows where monitoring data are lacking. © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract Debris flows pose a major threat to life and property in mountainous regions. Rainfall thresholds are an important component for providing an early warning of debris flows. Most rainfall thresholds were calculated based on historical debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data, but in the areas where the debris flow events and rainfall monitoring data are lacking, these threshold models cannot be established. Here, we present a method for estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows according to different underlying surface factors. First, based on 34 underlying surface factors and 652 debris flow catchments with known frequencies, a relationship model between the influencing factors and debris flow frequency was established; second, a fitting function between the frequency of days with rainfall greater than a given amount (15 mm, 20 mm, 25 mm, 30 mm, 40 mm, and 50 mm) was derived. Last, the predicted debris flow frequencies were input into the fitting function to estimate the daily rainfall thresholds of each catchment. The estimated thresholds were verified using historical debris flow events, and the verification results were R2 = 0.82, MAE = 2.81, RMSE = 3.95. The daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows estimated in this study can provide a reference for the early warning of regional debris flows where monitoring data are lacking. © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China |
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https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 |
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Meng, Xingmin Qi, Tianjun Chen, Guan Li, Yajun Yue, Dongxia Qing, Feng |
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Meng, Xingmin Qi, Tianjun Chen, Guan Li, Yajun Yue, Dongxia Qing, Feng |
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10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9 |
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2024-07-03T23:07:26.397Z |
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| score |
7.4000797 |