Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis
Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP...
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| Autor*in: |
Akkemik, K. Ali [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2023 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
© Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA) 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: International journal of economic policy studies - [Singapore] : Springer Singapore, 2006, 17(2023), 2 vom: Aug., Seite 489-532 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:17 ; year:2023 ; number:2 ; month:08 ; pages:489-532 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z |
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| Katalog-ID: |
SPR053321995 |
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| 520 | |a Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP during the period 2023–2050. For this purpose, we estimate a social accounting matrix by hypothetically integrating a nuclear power sector. The results show that CO2 emissions are reduced by 1.3% by 2050 compared to the baseline without NPP. The reduction in emissions from electricity generation and transport services is decisive in this decline. In addition, while real GDP stays above the baseline in general, it falls below the long-run baseline trend after 2045. We also show that the government’s abatement policies should focus on high-emission sectors, construction, and non-metallic minerals, in particular. | ||
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10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z doi (DE-627)SPR053321995 (SPR)s42495-023-00113-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Akkemik, K. Ali verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-5461-4759 aut Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA) 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP during the period 2023–2050. For this purpose, we estimate a social accounting matrix by hypothetically integrating a nuclear power sector. The results show that CO2 emissions are reduced by 1.3% by 2050 compared to the baseline without NPP. The reduction in emissions from electricity generation and transport services is decisive in this decline. In addition, while real GDP stays above the baseline in general, it falls below the long-run baseline trend after 2045. We also show that the government’s abatement policies should focus on high-emission sectors, construction, and non-metallic minerals, in particular. Turkey (dpeaa)DE-He213 Nuclear energy (dpeaa)DE-He213 CGE model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hypothetical integration (dpeaa)DE-He213 Kato, Shinya aut Enthalten in International journal of economic policy studies [Singapore] : Springer Singapore, 2006 17(2023), 2 vom: Aug., Seite 489-532 (DE-627)1026601215 (DE-600)2935412-2 1881-4387 nnns volume:17 year:2023 number:2 month:08 pages:489-532 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_266 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 17 2023 2 08 489-532 |
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10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z doi (DE-627)SPR053321995 (SPR)s42495-023-00113-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Akkemik, K. Ali verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-5461-4759 aut Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA) 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP during the period 2023–2050. For this purpose, we estimate a social accounting matrix by hypothetically integrating a nuclear power sector. The results show that CO2 emissions are reduced by 1.3% by 2050 compared to the baseline without NPP. The reduction in emissions from electricity generation and transport services is decisive in this decline. In addition, while real GDP stays above the baseline in general, it falls below the long-run baseline trend after 2045. We also show that the government’s abatement policies should focus on high-emission sectors, construction, and non-metallic minerals, in particular. Turkey (dpeaa)DE-He213 Nuclear energy (dpeaa)DE-He213 CGE model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hypothetical integration (dpeaa)DE-He213 Kato, Shinya aut Enthalten in International journal of economic policy studies [Singapore] : Springer Singapore, 2006 17(2023), 2 vom: Aug., Seite 489-532 (DE-627)1026601215 (DE-600)2935412-2 1881-4387 nnns volume:17 year:2023 number:2 month:08 pages:489-532 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_266 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 17 2023 2 08 489-532 |
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10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z doi (DE-627)SPR053321995 (SPR)s42495-023-00113-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Akkemik, K. Ali verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-5461-4759 aut Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA) 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP during the period 2023–2050. For this purpose, we estimate a social accounting matrix by hypothetically integrating a nuclear power sector. The results show that CO2 emissions are reduced by 1.3% by 2050 compared to the baseline without NPP. The reduction in emissions from electricity generation and transport services is decisive in this decline. In addition, while real GDP stays above the baseline in general, it falls below the long-run baseline trend after 2045. We also show that the government’s abatement policies should focus on high-emission sectors, construction, and non-metallic minerals, in particular. Turkey (dpeaa)DE-He213 Nuclear energy (dpeaa)DE-He213 CGE model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hypothetical integration (dpeaa)DE-He213 Kato, Shinya aut Enthalten in International journal of economic policy studies [Singapore] : Springer Singapore, 2006 17(2023), 2 vom: Aug., Seite 489-532 (DE-627)1026601215 (DE-600)2935412-2 1881-4387 nnns volume:17 year:2023 number:2 month:08 pages:489-532 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_266 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 17 2023 2 08 489-532 |
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10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z doi (DE-627)SPR053321995 (SPR)s42495-023-00113-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Akkemik, K. Ali verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-5461-4759 aut Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA) 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP during the period 2023–2050. For this purpose, we estimate a social accounting matrix by hypothetically integrating a nuclear power sector. The results show that CO2 emissions are reduced by 1.3% by 2050 compared to the baseline without NPP. The reduction in emissions from electricity generation and transport services is decisive in this decline. In addition, while real GDP stays above the baseline in general, it falls below the long-run baseline trend after 2045. We also show that the government’s abatement policies should focus on high-emission sectors, construction, and non-metallic minerals, in particular. Turkey (dpeaa)DE-He213 Nuclear energy (dpeaa)DE-He213 CGE model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hypothetical integration (dpeaa)DE-He213 Kato, Shinya aut Enthalten in International journal of economic policy studies [Singapore] : Springer Singapore, 2006 17(2023), 2 vom: Aug., Seite 489-532 (DE-627)1026601215 (DE-600)2935412-2 1881-4387 nnns volume:17 year:2023 number:2 month:08 pages:489-532 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_266 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 17 2023 2 08 489-532 |
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10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z doi (DE-627)SPR053321995 (SPR)s42495-023-00113-z-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Akkemik, K. Ali verfasserin (orcid)0000-0002-5461-4759 aut Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis 2023 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA) 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP during the period 2023–2050. For this purpose, we estimate a social accounting matrix by hypothetically integrating a nuclear power sector. The results show that CO2 emissions are reduced by 1.3% by 2050 compared to the baseline without NPP. The reduction in emissions from electricity generation and transport services is decisive in this decline. In addition, while real GDP stays above the baseline in general, it falls below the long-run baseline trend after 2045. We also show that the government’s abatement policies should focus on high-emission sectors, construction, and non-metallic minerals, in particular. Turkey (dpeaa)DE-He213 Nuclear energy (dpeaa)DE-He213 CGE model (dpeaa)DE-He213 Hypothetical integration (dpeaa)DE-He213 Kato, Shinya aut Enthalten in International journal of economic policy studies [Singapore] : Springer Singapore, 2006 17(2023), 2 vom: Aug., Seite 489-532 (DE-627)1026601215 (DE-600)2935412-2 1881-4387 nnns volume:17 year:2023 number:2 month:08 pages:489-532 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z lizenzpflichtig Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_266 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2008 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4246 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 17 2023 2 08 489-532 |
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Akkemik, K. Ali |
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Akkemik, K. Ali misc Turkey misc Nuclear energy misc CGE model misc Hypothetical integration Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis |
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estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic cge analysis |
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Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis |
| abstract |
Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP during the period 2023–2050. For this purpose, we estimate a social accounting matrix by hypothetically integrating a nuclear power sector. The results show that CO2 emissions are reduced by 1.3% by 2050 compared to the baseline without NPP. The reduction in emissions from electricity generation and transport services is decisive in this decline. In addition, while real GDP stays above the baseline in general, it falls below the long-run baseline trend after 2045. We also show that the government’s abatement policies should focus on high-emission sectors, construction, and non-metallic minerals, in particular. © Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA) 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
| abstractGer |
Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP during the period 2023–2050. For this purpose, we estimate a social accounting matrix by hypothetically integrating a nuclear power sector. The results show that CO2 emissions are reduced by 1.3% by 2050 compared to the baseline without NPP. The reduction in emissions from electricity generation and transport services is decisive in this decline. In addition, while real GDP stays above the baseline in general, it falls below the long-run baseline trend after 2045. We also show that the government’s abatement policies should focus on high-emission sectors, construction, and non-metallic minerals, in particular. © Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA) 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
| abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract Turkey is launching a nuclear power plant (NPP) that will go operational in 2023. While it is expected to contribute to secure supply of energy, there are concerns about the environment. We construct a dynamic CGE model to examine the potential economic and environmental impacts of the NPP during the period 2023–2050. For this purpose, we estimate a social accounting matrix by hypothetically integrating a nuclear power sector. The results show that CO2 emissions are reduced by 1.3% by 2050 compared to the baseline without NPP. The reduction in emissions from electricity generation and transport services is decisive in this decline. In addition, while real GDP stays above the baseline in general, it falls below the long-run baseline trend after 2045. We also show that the government’s abatement policies should focus on high-emission sectors, construction, and non-metallic minerals, in particular. © Japan Economic Policy Association (JEPA) 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
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Estimating the economic and climate impacts of nuclear power in Turkey: hypothetical integration and dynamic CGE analysis |
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https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42495-023-00113-z |
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Kato, Shinya |
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