A Study of Seismic Macroeconomic Losses Based on Monte Carlo Method—Take Tangshan City as an Example
Abstract The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site are calculated by the attenuation relationship, which is introduced into the vulnerability of the macroeconomic with GDP loss as an indicator. The mod...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Gespeichert in:
| Autor*in: |
Wu, Qing [verfasserIn] |
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| Format: |
E-Artikel |
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| Sprache: |
Englisch |
| Erschienen: |
2018 |
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| Schlagwörter: |
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| Anmerkung: |
© the Authors 2018 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response - Springer Netherlands, 2012, 8(2018), 4 vom: Dez., Seite 192-198 |
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| Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:8 ; year:2018 ; number:4 ; month:12 ; pages:192-198 |
| Links: |
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| DOI / URN: |
10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 |
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10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 doi (DE-627)SPR055022154 (SPR)jrarc.2018.8.4.3-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Qing verfasserin aut A Study of Seismic Macroeconomic Losses Based on Monte Carlo Method—Take Tangshan City as an Example 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © the Authors 2018 Abstract The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site are calculated by the attenuation relationship, which is introduced into the vulnerability of the macroeconomic with GDP loss as an indicator. The model gives the exceeding probability curve of macroeconomic losses. This method provides a straightforward way to estimate the level of economic loss of a city in future earthquakes. It is of great importance to decision-making reference for formulating the corresponding earthquake prevention and mitigation countermeasures at present stage, and also provides a reference for insurance companies to determine the rates. Monte Carlo method (dpeaa)DE-He213 macroeconomic vulnerability model (dpeaa)DE-He213 exceeding probability curve (dpeaa)DE-He213 Gao, Mengtan aut Enthalten in Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response Springer Netherlands, 2012 8(2018), 4 vom: Dez., Seite 192-198 (DE-627)1683678745 (DE-600)3001595-9 2210-8491 nnns volume:8 year:2018 number:4 month:12 pages:192-198 https://dx.doi.org/10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2018 4 12 192-198 |
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10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 doi (DE-627)SPR055022154 (SPR)jrarc.2018.8.4.3-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Qing verfasserin aut A Study of Seismic Macroeconomic Losses Based on Monte Carlo Method—Take Tangshan City as an Example 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © the Authors 2018 Abstract The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site are calculated by the attenuation relationship, which is introduced into the vulnerability of the macroeconomic with GDP loss as an indicator. The model gives the exceeding probability curve of macroeconomic losses. This method provides a straightforward way to estimate the level of economic loss of a city in future earthquakes. It is of great importance to decision-making reference for formulating the corresponding earthquake prevention and mitigation countermeasures at present stage, and also provides a reference for insurance companies to determine the rates. Monte Carlo method (dpeaa)DE-He213 macroeconomic vulnerability model (dpeaa)DE-He213 exceeding probability curve (dpeaa)DE-He213 Gao, Mengtan aut Enthalten in Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response Springer Netherlands, 2012 8(2018), 4 vom: Dez., Seite 192-198 (DE-627)1683678745 (DE-600)3001595-9 2210-8491 nnns volume:8 year:2018 number:4 month:12 pages:192-198 https://dx.doi.org/10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2018 4 12 192-198 |
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10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 doi (DE-627)SPR055022154 (SPR)jrarc.2018.8.4.3-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Qing verfasserin aut A Study of Seismic Macroeconomic Losses Based on Monte Carlo Method—Take Tangshan City as an Example 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © the Authors 2018 Abstract The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site are calculated by the attenuation relationship, which is introduced into the vulnerability of the macroeconomic with GDP loss as an indicator. The model gives the exceeding probability curve of macroeconomic losses. This method provides a straightforward way to estimate the level of economic loss of a city in future earthquakes. It is of great importance to decision-making reference for formulating the corresponding earthquake prevention and mitigation countermeasures at present stage, and also provides a reference for insurance companies to determine the rates. Monte Carlo method (dpeaa)DE-He213 macroeconomic vulnerability model (dpeaa)DE-He213 exceeding probability curve (dpeaa)DE-He213 Gao, Mengtan aut Enthalten in Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response Springer Netherlands, 2012 8(2018), 4 vom: Dez., Seite 192-198 (DE-627)1683678745 (DE-600)3001595-9 2210-8491 nnns volume:8 year:2018 number:4 month:12 pages:192-198 https://dx.doi.org/10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2018 4 12 192-198 |
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10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 doi (DE-627)SPR055022154 (SPR)jrarc.2018.8.4.3-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Qing verfasserin aut A Study of Seismic Macroeconomic Losses Based on Monte Carlo Method—Take Tangshan City as an Example 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © the Authors 2018 Abstract The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site are calculated by the attenuation relationship, which is introduced into the vulnerability of the macroeconomic with GDP loss as an indicator. The model gives the exceeding probability curve of macroeconomic losses. This method provides a straightforward way to estimate the level of economic loss of a city in future earthquakes. It is of great importance to decision-making reference for formulating the corresponding earthquake prevention and mitigation countermeasures at present stage, and also provides a reference for insurance companies to determine the rates. Monte Carlo method (dpeaa)DE-He213 macroeconomic vulnerability model (dpeaa)DE-He213 exceeding probability curve (dpeaa)DE-He213 Gao, Mengtan aut Enthalten in Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response Springer Netherlands, 2012 8(2018), 4 vom: Dez., Seite 192-198 (DE-627)1683678745 (DE-600)3001595-9 2210-8491 nnns volume:8 year:2018 number:4 month:12 pages:192-198 https://dx.doi.org/10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2018 4 12 192-198 |
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10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 doi (DE-627)SPR055022154 (SPR)jrarc.2018.8.4.3-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng Wu, Qing verfasserin aut A Study of Seismic Macroeconomic Losses Based on Monte Carlo Method—Take Tangshan City as an Example 2018 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © the Authors 2018 Abstract The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site are calculated by the attenuation relationship, which is introduced into the vulnerability of the macroeconomic with GDP loss as an indicator. The model gives the exceeding probability curve of macroeconomic losses. This method provides a straightforward way to estimate the level of economic loss of a city in future earthquakes. It is of great importance to decision-making reference for formulating the corresponding earthquake prevention and mitigation countermeasures at present stage, and also provides a reference for insurance companies to determine the rates. Monte Carlo method (dpeaa)DE-He213 macroeconomic vulnerability model (dpeaa)DE-He213 exceeding probability curve (dpeaa)DE-He213 Gao, Mengtan aut Enthalten in Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response Springer Netherlands, 2012 8(2018), 4 vom: Dez., Seite 192-198 (DE-627)1683678745 (DE-600)3001595-9 2210-8491 nnns volume:8 year:2018 number:4 month:12 pages:192-198 https://dx.doi.org/10.2991/jrarc.2018.8.4.3 kostenfrei Volltext GBV_USEFLAG_A SYSFLAG_A GBV_SPRINGER GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_206 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_4012 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4367 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 8 2018 4 12 192-198 |
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A Study of Seismic Macroeconomic Losses Based on Monte Carlo Method—Take Tangshan City as an Example Monte Carlo method (dpeaa)DE-He213 macroeconomic vulnerability model (dpeaa)DE-He213 exceeding probability curve (dpeaa)DE-He213 |
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study of seismic macroeconomic losses based on monte carlo method—take tangshan city as an example |
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A Study of Seismic Macroeconomic Losses Based on Monte Carlo Method—Take Tangshan City as an Example |
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Abstract The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site are calculated by the attenuation relationship, which is introduced into the vulnerability of the macroeconomic with GDP loss as an indicator. The model gives the exceeding probability curve of macroeconomic losses. This method provides a straightforward way to estimate the level of economic loss of a city in future earthquakes. It is of great importance to decision-making reference for formulating the corresponding earthquake prevention and mitigation countermeasures at present stage, and also provides a reference for insurance companies to determine the rates. © the Authors 2018 |
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Abstract The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site are calculated by the attenuation relationship, which is introduced into the vulnerability of the macroeconomic with GDP loss as an indicator. The model gives the exceeding probability curve of macroeconomic losses. This method provides a straightforward way to estimate the level of economic loss of a city in future earthquakes. It is of great importance to decision-making reference for formulating the corresponding earthquake prevention and mitigation countermeasures at present stage, and also provides a reference for insurance companies to determine the rates. © the Authors 2018 |
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Abstract The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate seismic sequences. For each earthquake in the sequence, the ground motion parameters of each site are calculated by the attenuation relationship, which is introduced into the vulnerability of the macroeconomic with GDP loss as an indicator. The model gives the exceeding probability curve of macroeconomic losses. This method provides a straightforward way to estimate the level of economic loss of a city in future earthquakes. It is of great importance to decision-making reference for formulating the corresponding earthquake prevention and mitigation countermeasures at present stage, and also provides a reference for insurance companies to determine the rates. © the Authors 2018 |
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