Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change
Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presen...
Ausführliche Beschreibung
Autor*in: |
Yuan, Xing [verfasserIn] Wang, Yumiao [verfasserIn] Zhou, Shiyu [verfasserIn] Li, Hua [verfasserIn] Li, Chenyuan [verfasserIn] |
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E-Artikel |
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Sprache: |
Englisch |
Erschienen: |
2024 |
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Schlagwörter: |
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Anmerkung: |
© Science China Press 2024 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
Enthalten in: Science China / Earth sciences - Science China Press, 2010, 67(2024), 8 vom: 03. Juli, Seite 2649-2660 |
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Übergeordnetes Werk: |
volume:67 ; year:2024 ; number:8 ; day:03 ; month:07 ; pages:2649-2660 |
Links: |
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DOI / URN: |
10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x |
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Katalog-ID: |
SPR056710836 |
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520 | |a Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. Our findings emphasized the role of land-atmosphere coupling combined with anthropogenic climate change in intensifying flash droughts. | ||
650 | 4 | |a Flash drought |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
650 | 4 | |a Yangtze River basin |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
650 | 4 | |a Land-atmosphere coupling |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
650 | 4 | |a Climate change |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
650 | 4 | |a Attribution |7 (dpeaa)DE-He213 | |
700 | 1 | |a Wang, Yumiao |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Zhou, Shiyu |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Li, Hua |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
700 | 1 | |a Li, Chenyuan |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x doi (DE-627)SPR056710836 (SPR)s11430-024-1356-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ ASIEN DE-1a fid 6,25 ssgn Yuan, Xing verfasserin aut Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Science China Press 2024 Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. Our findings emphasized the role of land-atmosphere coupling combined with anthropogenic climate change in intensifying flash droughts. Flash drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yangtze River basin (dpeaa)DE-He213 Land-atmosphere coupling (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change (dpeaa)DE-He213 Attribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Yumiao verfasserin aut Zhou, Shiyu verfasserin aut Li, Hua verfasserin aut Li, Chenyuan verfasserin aut Enthalten in Science China / Earth sciences Science China Press, 2010 67(2024), 8 vom: 03. Juli, Seite 2649-2660 Online-Ressource (DE-627)623182726 (DE-600)2546528-4 (DE-576)321587324 1869-1897 nnns volume:67 year:2024 number:8 day:03 month:07 pages:2649-2660 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x X:SPRINGER Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER FID-ASIEN SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 67 2024 8 03 07 2649-2660 |
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10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x doi (DE-627)SPR056710836 (SPR)s11430-024-1356-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ ASIEN DE-1a fid 6,25 ssgn Yuan, Xing verfasserin aut Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Science China Press 2024 Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. Our findings emphasized the role of land-atmosphere coupling combined with anthropogenic climate change in intensifying flash droughts. Flash drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yangtze River basin (dpeaa)DE-He213 Land-atmosphere coupling (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change (dpeaa)DE-He213 Attribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Yumiao verfasserin aut Zhou, Shiyu verfasserin aut Li, Hua verfasserin aut Li, Chenyuan verfasserin aut Enthalten in Science China / Earth sciences Science China Press, 2010 67(2024), 8 vom: 03. Juli, Seite 2649-2660 Online-Ressource (DE-627)623182726 (DE-600)2546528-4 (DE-576)321587324 1869-1897 nnns volume:67 year:2024 number:8 day:03 month:07 pages:2649-2660 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x X:SPRINGER Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER FID-ASIEN SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 67 2024 8 03 07 2649-2660 |
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10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x doi (DE-627)SPR056710836 (SPR)s11430-024-1356-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ ASIEN DE-1a fid 6,25 ssgn Yuan, Xing verfasserin aut Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Science China Press 2024 Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. Our findings emphasized the role of land-atmosphere coupling combined with anthropogenic climate change in intensifying flash droughts. Flash drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yangtze River basin (dpeaa)DE-He213 Land-atmosphere coupling (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change (dpeaa)DE-He213 Attribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Yumiao verfasserin aut Zhou, Shiyu verfasserin aut Li, Hua verfasserin aut Li, Chenyuan verfasserin aut Enthalten in Science China / Earth sciences Science China Press, 2010 67(2024), 8 vom: 03. Juli, Seite 2649-2660 Online-Ressource (DE-627)623182726 (DE-600)2546528-4 (DE-576)321587324 1869-1897 nnns volume:67 year:2024 number:8 day:03 month:07 pages:2649-2660 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x X:SPRINGER Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER FID-ASIEN SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 67 2024 8 03 07 2649-2660 |
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10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x doi (DE-627)SPR056710836 (SPR)s11430-024-1356-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ ASIEN DE-1a fid 6,25 ssgn Yuan, Xing verfasserin aut Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Science China Press 2024 Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. Our findings emphasized the role of land-atmosphere coupling combined with anthropogenic climate change in intensifying flash droughts. Flash drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yangtze River basin (dpeaa)DE-He213 Land-atmosphere coupling (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change (dpeaa)DE-He213 Attribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Yumiao verfasserin aut Zhou, Shiyu verfasserin aut Li, Hua verfasserin aut Li, Chenyuan verfasserin aut Enthalten in Science China / Earth sciences Science China Press, 2010 67(2024), 8 vom: 03. Juli, Seite 2649-2660 Online-Ressource (DE-627)623182726 (DE-600)2546528-4 (DE-576)321587324 1869-1897 nnns volume:67 year:2024 number:8 day:03 month:07 pages:2649-2660 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x X:SPRINGER Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER FID-ASIEN SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 67 2024 8 03 07 2649-2660 |
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10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x doi (DE-627)SPR056710836 (SPR)s11430-024-1356-x-e DE-627 ger DE-627 rakwb eng 550 VZ ASIEN DE-1a fid 6,25 ssgn Yuan, Xing verfasserin aut Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change 2024 Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier © Science China Press 2024 Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. Our findings emphasized the role of land-atmosphere coupling combined with anthropogenic climate change in intensifying flash droughts. Flash drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yangtze River basin (dpeaa)DE-He213 Land-atmosphere coupling (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change (dpeaa)DE-He213 Attribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 Wang, Yumiao verfasserin aut Zhou, Shiyu verfasserin aut Li, Hua verfasserin aut Li, Chenyuan verfasserin aut Enthalten in Science China / Earth sciences Science China Press, 2010 67(2024), 8 vom: 03. Juli, Seite 2649-2660 Online-Ressource (DE-627)623182726 (DE-600)2546528-4 (DE-576)321587324 1869-1897 nnns volume:67 year:2024 number:8 day:03 month:07 pages:2649-2660 https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x X:SPRINGER Resolving-System lizenzpflichtig Volltext SYSFLAG_0 GBV_SPRINGER FID-ASIEN SSG-OPC-GEO SSG-OPC-GGO GBV_ILN_11 GBV_ILN_20 GBV_ILN_22 GBV_ILN_23 GBV_ILN_24 GBV_ILN_31 GBV_ILN_32 GBV_ILN_39 GBV_ILN_40 GBV_ILN_60 GBV_ILN_62 GBV_ILN_63 GBV_ILN_65 GBV_ILN_69 GBV_ILN_70 GBV_ILN_73 GBV_ILN_74 GBV_ILN_90 GBV_ILN_95 GBV_ILN_100 GBV_ILN_105 GBV_ILN_110 GBV_ILN_120 GBV_ILN_138 GBV_ILN_150 GBV_ILN_151 GBV_ILN_152 GBV_ILN_161 GBV_ILN_170 GBV_ILN_171 GBV_ILN_187 GBV_ILN_213 GBV_ILN_224 GBV_ILN_230 GBV_ILN_250 GBV_ILN_281 GBV_ILN_285 GBV_ILN_293 GBV_ILN_370 GBV_ILN_602 GBV_ILN_636 GBV_ILN_702 GBV_ILN_2001 GBV_ILN_2003 GBV_ILN_2004 GBV_ILN_2005 GBV_ILN_2006 GBV_ILN_2007 GBV_ILN_2009 GBV_ILN_2010 GBV_ILN_2011 GBV_ILN_2014 GBV_ILN_2015 GBV_ILN_2020 GBV_ILN_2021 GBV_ILN_2025 GBV_ILN_2026 GBV_ILN_2027 GBV_ILN_2031 GBV_ILN_2034 GBV_ILN_2037 GBV_ILN_2038 GBV_ILN_2039 GBV_ILN_2044 GBV_ILN_2048 GBV_ILN_2049 GBV_ILN_2050 GBV_ILN_2055 GBV_ILN_2056 GBV_ILN_2057 GBV_ILN_2059 GBV_ILN_2061 GBV_ILN_2064 GBV_ILN_2065 GBV_ILN_2068 GBV_ILN_2088 GBV_ILN_2093 GBV_ILN_2106 GBV_ILN_2107 GBV_ILN_2108 GBV_ILN_2110 GBV_ILN_2111 GBV_ILN_2112 GBV_ILN_2113 GBV_ILN_2118 GBV_ILN_2119 GBV_ILN_2122 GBV_ILN_2129 GBV_ILN_2143 GBV_ILN_2144 GBV_ILN_2147 GBV_ILN_2148 GBV_ILN_2152 GBV_ILN_2153 GBV_ILN_2188 GBV_ILN_2190 GBV_ILN_2232 GBV_ILN_2336 GBV_ILN_2446 GBV_ILN_2470 GBV_ILN_2472 GBV_ILN_2507 GBV_ILN_2522 GBV_ILN_2548 GBV_ILN_4035 GBV_ILN_4037 GBV_ILN_4046 GBV_ILN_4112 GBV_ILN_4125 GBV_ILN_4126 GBV_ILN_4242 GBV_ILN_4249 GBV_ILN_4251 GBV_ILN_4305 GBV_ILN_4306 GBV_ILN_4307 GBV_ILN_4313 GBV_ILN_4322 GBV_ILN_4323 GBV_ILN_4324 GBV_ILN_4325 GBV_ILN_4326 GBV_ILN_4328 GBV_ILN_4333 GBV_ILN_4334 GBV_ILN_4335 GBV_ILN_4336 GBV_ILN_4338 GBV_ILN_4393 GBV_ILN_4700 AR 67 2024 8 03 07 2649-2660 |
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Enthalten in Science China / Earth sciences 67(2024), 8 vom: 03. Juli, Seite 2649-2660 volume:67 year:2024 number:8 day:03 month:07 pages:2649-2660 |
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<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01000naa a22002652 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">SPR056710836</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-627</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20240725064906.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">240725s2024 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c</controlfield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-627)SPR056710836</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(SPR)s11430-024-1356-x-e</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="c">DE-627</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">550</subfield><subfield code="q">VZ</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ASIEN</subfield><subfield code="q">DE-1a</subfield><subfield code="2">fid</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">6,25</subfield><subfield code="2">ssgn</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Yuan, Xing</subfield><subfield code="e">verfasserin</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="c">2024</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Computermedien</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Online-Ressource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">© Science China Press 2024</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. 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Yuan, Xing |
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Yuan, Xing ddc 550 fid ASIEN ssgn 6,25 misc Flash drought misc Yangtze River basin misc Land-atmosphere coupling misc Climate change misc Attribution Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change |
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550 VZ ASIEN DE-1a fid 6,25 ssgn Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change Flash drought (dpeaa)DE-He213 Yangtze River basin (dpeaa)DE-He213 Land-atmosphere coupling (dpeaa)DE-He213 Climate change (dpeaa)DE-He213 Attribution (dpeaa)DE-He213 |
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ddc 550 fid ASIEN ssgn 6,25 misc Flash drought misc Yangtze River basin misc Land-atmosphere coupling misc Climate change misc Attribution |
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multiscale causes of the 2022 yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change |
title_auth |
Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change |
abstract |
Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. Our findings emphasized the role of land-atmosphere coupling combined with anthropogenic climate change in intensifying flash droughts. © Science China Press 2024 |
abstractGer |
Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. Our findings emphasized the role of land-atmosphere coupling combined with anthropogenic climate change in intensifying flash droughts. © Science China Press 2024 |
abstract_unstemmed |
Abstract The 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought is characterized by strong intensity and rapid development both in time and space, accompanied by a persistent anticyclonic circulation anomaly. However, the causes of the extreme event remain elusive given the multiscale nature of drought. Here we presented a brief overview for the oceanic and terrestrial causes of the mega-flash drought during the summer of 2022, and estimated the risk in a changing climate. Using the soil moisture percentile as the drought index, it was found that the drought expanded to the entire Yangtze River basin within two months, with 80% of basin under severe drought conditions at the end of August. Both the intensity and onset speed of the 2022 mega-flash drought were ranked as the first during the past 62 years, with return periods of 86 and 259 years, respectively. The results of composite analysis showed that the spring La Niña can facilitate the abrupt change from a wet/normal condition in May–June to drought in July–August over the Yangtze River basin, which was beneficial for the increase of flash drought intensity and onset speed in 2022. The analysis through the linear regression also indicated that the unprecedented intensity was associated with the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Quantified by a coupling strength index for soil moisture and vapor pressure deficit, it was found that there was a strong land-atmosphere coupling over the Yangtze River basin during July–August 2022. The attribution by using CMIP6 climate models suggested that land-atmosphere coupling increased the risks of flash drought intensity and onset speed like 2022 by 61%±6% and 64%±7% under natural climate forcings, and the synergy of coupling and anthropogenic climate change would increase the risks by 75%±22% and 85%±12%. Our findings emphasized the role of land-atmosphere coupling combined with anthropogenic climate change in intensifying flash droughts. © Science China Press 2024 |
collection_details |
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container_issue |
8 |
title_short |
Multiscale causes of the 2022 Yangtze mega-flash drought under climate change |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x |
remote_bool |
true |
author2 |
Wang, Yumiao Zhou, Shiyu Li, Hua Li, Chenyuan |
author2Str |
Wang, Yumiao Zhou, Shiyu Li, Hua Li, Chenyuan |
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doi_str |
10.1007/s11430-024-1356-x |
up_date |
2024-07-25T04:51:54.279Z |
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score |
7.3982906 |